2007쓪뗚1웚뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽3쪷폮열ꆡ훜샨낲ꆡꆡ쓚죝쳡튪:훐맺뗄뺭볃룄룯쪼폚럅좨,폈웤쫇뛔뗘쟸뗄럅좨ꆣ놾컄틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽,퇐뺿헻쳥탔탐헾럅좨뛔뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬늢춨맽릹퓬쪡쓚폫쪡췢돇쫐뗄뛔뇈ퟩ살맀볆볆뮮떥쇐뗄틲맻킧펦ꆣ퇐뺿뷡맻뇭쏷:듓ퟜ쳥짏,럅좨좷쪵폐훺폚볆뮮떥쇐쫐쳡룟웤뺭볃킧싊ꆣ놾컄뛔듋뷡싛뷸탐쇋튻쾵쇐뗄컈붡탔볬퇩ꆣ맘볼듊:뗘쟸럅좨ꆡ볆뮮떥쇐ꆡ뺭볃킧싊튻ꆢ틽ꆡ퇔첽톰훐맺ꆰ뺭볃웦벣ꆱ놳뫳뗄싟벭,쫇뺭볃톧볒쯹맘탄뗄컊쳢,탭뛠톧헟뛔듋뷸탐쇋맣랺뗄퇐뺿ꆣ폐튻훖펰쿬뷏듳뗄맛뗣죏캪,훐맺뗄뺭볃룄룯쫇듓20쫀볍70쓪듺쒩ꆢ80쓪듺돵뗄럅좨죃샻뾪쪼뗄,헢훖럅좨듸살쇋뺭볃쳥훆훐벤샸뷡릹뗄룄뇤,듓뛸폐훺폚킧싊뗄쳡룟뫍뺭볃뗄퓶뎤ꆣ듓쓚죝짏뾴,럅좨죃샻훷튪냼삨솽룶믹놾랽쏦,벴뛔얩뮧ꆢ웳튵뗈뺭볃ퟩ횯뗄럅좨뫍뛔뗘랽헾뢮뗄럅좨ꆣ맘폚쿲얩뮧뫍웳튵럅좨뗄뺭볃킧맻,맺쓚췢톧쫵뷧좡뗃쇋뷏캪튻훂뗄뾴램ꆣꋙ듳솿뗄쪵횤퇐뺿뇭쏷,쿲얩뮧뫍웳튵럅좨믡듸살룼잿뗄벤샸뫍룼펲뗄풤쯣풼쫸,듓뛸쪹뗃뺭볃킧싊뗃틔쿔훸쳡룟(Lin,1992;Groves뗈,1995;Li,1997)ꆣ훐맺럅좨죃샻룄룯뗄뗚뛾룶믹놾랽쏦쫇훐퇫헾뢮뛔뗘랽헾뢮뗄쿂럅닆좨뫍뺭볃맜샭좨쿞,벴쯹캽뗄탐헾탔럖좨ꆣ탐헾탔럖좨ퟷ캪훐맺럖좨룄룯뗄뫋탄햽싔,뺭볃톧볒뛔폚쯼뗄움볛튻횱훚쮵럗,떽쒿잰튲쎻폐탎돉튻훂뗄틢볻ꆣ퓚맺쓚톧쫵뷧,탐헾탔럖좨뺭뎣놻맩뷡캪룄룯맽돌훐탭뛠뺭볃컊쳢뗄룹풴(짲솢죋ꆢ듷풰뎿,1990;컢뺴,2003)ꆣ폫듋쿠뛔헕,퓚맺췢탍뺭볃컄쿗훐,탭뛠톧헟죏캪헾뢮럖좨룄룯폈웤쫇닆헾럖좨룄룯뛔훐맺뺭볃룄룯폫랢햹믱뗃돉릦훁맘훘튪(Oi,1989;QianandXu,1993;Shirk,1993;QianandWeingast,1997;QianandRoland,1998;XuandZhuang,1998)ꆣ훐퇫뛔뗘랽헾뢮럅좨쫇럱듙뷸뺭볃킧싊뫍뺭볃랢햹ퟮ훕탨튪쪵횤뗄볬퇩ꆣ쒿잰뗄쪵횤퇐뺿훷튪닠훘폚닆헾럖좨뗄펰쿬,뇈뷏폐듺뇭탔뗄폐Zhang뫍Zou(1998)ꆢLin뫍Liu(2000)뫍Jin뗈(2005)ꆣ폐좤뗄쫇,짏쫶뷶폐뗄퇐뺿쯹뗃돶뗄뷡싛튲듳쿠뺶춥,뇈죧Zhang뫍Zou(1998)랢쿖닆헾럖좨뛔뗘쟸뺭볃퓶뎤닺짺늻샻뗄펰쿬,뛸Lin뫍Liu(2000)ꆢJin뗈(2005)퓲랢쿖쇋횧돖닆헾럖좨폐샻폚뺭볃퓶뎤뗄횤뻝ꆣ헢뇭쏷맘폚뗘쟸럅좨뗄뺭볃킧맻뮹탨튪룼볓짮죫쾸훂뗄뾼달ꆣ쫂쪵짏,쪼폚짏쫀볍80쓪듺돵뗄훐퇫쿲뗘랽뗄럅좨늻뷶뷶쫇닆좨뗄쿂럅,폫듋춬쪱뮹냼삨탭뛠뺭볃맜샭좨쿞뗄쿂럅,뛸헢훖튻삿ퟓ좨솦쿂럅닅쫇훐맺럖좨룄룯뗄훷튪탎쪽ꆣ죧맻뷶틔닆헾럖좨캪뾼달훘뗣,퓲죝틗붫웤쯼쿠맘뺭볃맜샭좨쿞쿂럅쯹듸살뗄킧맻튻늢맩퓚닆헾럖좨뗄쏻틥짏,떼훂맽룟뗄맀볆뷡맻ꆣ놾컄쫔춼뾼달튻삿ퟓ좨솦쿂럅룄룯뗄킧싊펰쿬ꆣ훐맺듓짏쫀볍80쓪듺훐웚뾪쪼뗄돇쫐볆뮮떥쇐룄3ꆡ쪷폮열,놱뺩듳톧맢뮪맜샭톧풺늩쪿짺;훜샨낲,놱뺩듳톧맢뮪맜샭톧풺;폊헾뇠싫:100871;뗧ퟓ탅쿤:shiyupeng@,zhoula@ꆣퟷ헟쳘뇰룐킻놱뺩듳톧맢뮪맜샭톧풺헅캬펭뷌쫚뗄횸떼뫍움싛,풭맺볒쳥룄캯쫔뗣쮾훜짙뮪쮾뎤뛔돇쫐볆뮮떥쇐놳뺰뗄뷩짜,쓤쏻움짳죋뗄폐틦움싛틔벰맺볒ퟔ좻뿆톧믹뷰뗄훺(쿮쒿뫅70573008),떱좻컄퓰ퟔ뢺ꆣꋙꆡ맺쓚톧쫵뷧뺭뎣쳡벰뗄ꆰ뺭볃럅좨ꆱ횸뗄뻍쫇뺭펪맜샭좨쿂럅룸웳튵ꆣ17' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
쪷폮열ꆢ훜샨낲:뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽룯헽쫇훐퇫뺭볃좨솦헻쳥탔쿂럅뗄뻸병낸샽,놾컄틔듋캪샽살퇐뺿뗘쟸럅좨뛔폚뗘쟸뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬ꆣ뗘쟸럖좨짦벰떽훐퇫헾뢮폫뗘랽헾뢮횮볤뺭볃좨솦뗄럖엤,뛸헢튻횱쫇훷쇷뺭볃톧훐쯹캽닆헾솪냮훷틥샭싛퇐뺿뗄뛔쿳(Tiebout,1956;Musgrave,1956;Oates,1972)ꆣꋙ룃샭싛죏캪솪냮헾뢮폫뗘랽헾뢮뗄뺭볃럖좨뿉틔쪹뗘랽헾뢮뗄릫릲닺욷뗄릩펦룼뷓뷼쾽쟸뻓쏱뗄욫뫃ꆣ룃컄쿗뗄샭싛폫쪵횤퇐뺿훷튪믹폚놱쏀뫍얷훞뗄뻟쳥쪵볹ꆣ닆헾솪냮훷틥샭싛튲놻펦폃폚탍뺭볃,웤훐틔훐맺쳘즫뗄솪냮훷틥샭싛ퟮ뻟듺뇭탔(Montinola뗈,1995;QianandWeingast,1997;QianandRoland,1998),룃샭싛잿뗷훐맺쪽뗄헾뢮럖좨폐훺폚퓶뷸훐퇫뛔럖좨돐억뗄뿉탅뛈뫍복짙뗘랽헾뢮뗄죭풤쯣풼쫸ꆣ떫쫇,죧잰쯹쫶,뗘쟸럅좨늻뷶쫇닆좨랽쏦,뮹냼삨웤쯼훘튪뗄뺭볃맜샭좨쿞ꆣ맘폚훐퇫헾뢮헻쳥탔럅좨뛔뗘랽퓋탐킧싊뗄펰쿬,쒿잰뗄컄쿗짐캴ퟶ돶쾵춳뗄쪵횤퇐뺿,놾컄횼퓚쳮늹헢랽쏦뗄뿕냗ꆣ듓샭싛짏쮵,볆뮮떥쇐ퟷ캪헻쳥탔좨솦쿂럅훁짙퓚죽룶랽쏦뿉쓜뛔돇쫐뗄뺭볃킧싊닺짺믽벫ퟷ폃ꆣ쫗쿈,내헕닆헾솪냮훷틥뗄맛뗣(Oates,1972,1999),냑뻶닟좨솦쿂럅룸뗘랽,쪹뗃뗘랽헾뢮쓜릻샻폃헢훖폅쫆,훆뚨룼볓럻뫏떱뗘ힴ뿶뗄헾닟,듓뛸룄짆뺭볃킧싊뫍짧믡뢣샻ꆣ웤듎,좨솦쿂럅횮뫳,돇쫐뗄탭뛠뻶닟늻퓙탨튪쟫쪾쪡헾뢮,뿉틔ퟔ훷뻶뚨,헢튻랽쏦쪹뗃탐헾킧싊듳듳쳡룟ꋚ,쇭튻랽쏦,닆헾럖좨퓶볓쇋뗘랽헾뢮뒴퓬닆풴뗄벤샸(Montinola뗈,1995),퓚뗘랽맙풱뷺짽벤샸뗄ퟷ폃쿂,뺭볃좨솦쿂럅뿉틔룼뫃뗘놻폃살듙뷸뗘랽뺭볃뗄랢햹(훜샨낲,2004)ꆣퟮ뫳,듓톰ퟢ뗄맛뗣살뾴,좨솦쿂럅,쳘뇰쫇춶짳엺ꆢ뛔췢쎳틗뗈뺭볃맜샭좨솦뗄쿂럅쪹뗃맜훆닣벶붵뗍ꆢ맜훆믺맘뇤짙,복짙쇋돇쫐쿲짏벶헾뢮톰ퟢ뗄돉놾,듓뛸퓶볓쇋짧믡뢣샻ꆣ떫쫇,컒쏇튲뿉틔뻙돶튻킩샭평죏캪,볆뮮떥쇐늻튻뚨믡듙뷸킧싊뗄쳡룟ꆣ뇈죧,쿂럅뗄뺭볃좨솦튲뿉쓜놻샄폃,춶짳엺좨쿂럅쯤좻복짙쇋쫐벶헾뢮쿲짏벶헾뢮톰ퟢ뗄돉놾,떫튲뿉쓜벤랢쫐벶헾뢮쿲웳튵짨ퟢ뗄뚯솦(ShleiferandVishny,1993)ꆣ틲듋,좨솦쿂럅쫇럱튻뚨믡듙뷸뺭볃킧싊뗄쳡룟,죔좻폐듽폚퇏룱뗄쪵횤볬퇩ꆣ듓볆솿랽램뗄뷇뛈뾴,뛔뗘쟸럖좨뗄킧맻퇐뺿좷쪵폐웤삧쓑횮뒦ꆣ펰쿬뺭볃킧싊뗄틲쯘럇뎣맣랺,듓훐럖샫돶럅좨헾닟뗄펰쿬췹췹뇈뷏삧쓑ꆣ놾컄뷨폃쮫훘닮럖랽램(difference-in-differences)뗄믹놾쮼슷ꋛ,춨맽릹퓬쫔퇩ퟩ(treatmentgroup)뫍뿘훆ퟩ(controlgroup),뇈뷏튻룶쫔퇩돇쫐퓚볆뮮떥쇐잰뫳폫뿘훆돇쫐뗄쮫훘닮틬,틔듋업돽늻뿉볻틲쯘뗄룉죅ꆣ컒쏇톡좡뺭볃랢햹돌뛈폫볆뮮떥쇐쫐쿠뷼뗄쪡쓚폫쪡췢돇쫐ퟷ캪뿘훆ퟩꆣ폫볲떥뗄믬뫏믘맩쿠뇈,헢퇹ퟶ늻뷶뿉틔럖뇰뿘훆쪡쓚뫍쪡볊틲쯘뛔돇쫐뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬,뛸쟒뿉틔럖뇦돶헢훖펰쿬퓚쪡쓚뫍쪡췢횮볤쫇럱듦퓚닮뇰ꆣ컒쏇뗄퇐뺿뇭쏷,뻍ퟜ쳥뛸퇔,뗘쟸럅좨뛔뺭볃킧싊좷폐듙뷸ퟷ폃,떫쫇헢훖킧맻퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤닮뇰뫜듳:돇쫐뗄떥쇐늢쎻폐쪹쯼폫놾쪡돇쫐횮볤뗄킧싊삭뾪룼듳닮뻠,믲헟쮵헢훖ퟷ폃늢늻쏷쿔;떫쫇볆뮮떥쇐쪹뗃떥쇐쫐폫쪡췢뛔뇈돇쫐뗄킧싊닮뻠톸쯙삩듳ꆣ놾컄퓚뷡릹짏낲업죧쿂:뗚뛾늿럖뛔볆뮮떥쇐뗄웰틲뫍놳뺰뷸탐쇋볲튪뷩짜,뗚죽늿럖뛔놾컄쪹폃뗄쒣탍뫍랽램뷸탐쇋쮵쏷,뗚쯄늿럖쫇믘맩럖컶,퓚쯦뫳뗄뗚컥늿럖뷸탐쇋컈붡탔볬퇩,ퟮ뫳ퟜ뷡좫컄ꆣꋙ맘폚닆헾솪냮훷틥샭싛뗄탂뷼랢햹,쟫닎볻ImanandRubinfeld(1997)뫍Oates(1999)ꆣꋚ풭맺볒쳥룄캯훜짙뮪쮾뎤퓸뺭뻙맽튻룶럇뎣탎쿳뗄샽ퟓ,퓚볆뮮떥쇐횮잰,훘쟬쫐뗄웳튵죧맻뗚뛾쳬튪룸릤죋볓냠럑,뻍뇘탫솬특ퟸ믰뎵떽돉뚼좥쟫쟳엺쪾,퓚볆뮮떥쇐횮뫳쿔좻늻퓙탨튪헢쎴ퟶ쇋ꆣꋛ맘폚쮫훘닮럖랽램뗄쿪쾸쳖싛,닎볻Meyer(1995)뫍훜샨낲ꆢ돂(2005)ꆣ18' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚1웚뛾ꆢ볆뮮떥쇐뗄놳뺰ꆡꆡ볆뮮떥쇐쫐쫇훐맺뺭볃쳥훆룄룯맽돌훐돶쿖ꆡ뇭1ꆡ볆뮮떥쇐쫐짨솢ꆢ좡쿻쪱볤벰뛔뇈돇쫐뇭ꋙ뗄쳘쫢쿖쿳,횸뗄쫇쒳킩돇쫐쿭쫜쪡튻벶뺭볃맜샭좨쿞탲뫅볆뮮웰쪼ퟮ뫳쪡쓚뛔쪡췢뛔,퓚맺볒볆뮮훐쪵탐떥쇐뗄쿖쿳ꆣ1985쓪떥쇐쫐쪱볤튻쓪뇈돇쫐뇈돇쫐12퓂ꆶ맺컱풺냬릫쳼랢쳥룄캯ꆢ맺볒볆캯맘폚볌탸실쪵뫍췪짆웟돇쫐볆뮮떥쇐릤ퟷ놨룦뗄춨1훘쟬ꋚ19841997ퟔ릱뎤훎횪ꆷ뛔볆뮮떥쇐쫐뗄좨쿞뷸탐쇋쏷좷쮵쏷2커몺19851994믆쪯삼훝:볆뮮떥쇐쫐뫍쪡벶볆뮮떥캻튻퇹3짲퇴19851994엌뷵런즽,펵폐쪡벶뺭볃맜샭좨쿞,퓚맺볒볆뮮훐떥쇐뮧춷,웤뺭볃뫍짧믡랢햹룷4듳솬1985ꆪ엌뷵런즽쿮볆뮮좫쏦떥쇐,횱뷓쓉죫좫맺볆뮮ퟛ뫏욽뫢ꆢ춳5맣훝19851994런즽엌뷵돯낲업,늢횱뷓닎볓좫맺탔뗄룷훖뺭볃믮뚯ꆣ틲6맾뛻뇵19851994쒵떤붭삼훝듋,쯤좻볆뮮떥쇐쫐뮹쫜떽훐퇫헾뢮뗄맜샭,떫쫇쪵볊짏쯼펵폐뗄ퟔ훷좨튪뇈떥쇐틔잰듳뗃뛠7컷낲19851994놦벦횣훝,튲뿉틔쮵쫇쪡벶좨쿞쿂럅룸쇋돇쫐ꆣ8쟠떺1987ꆪ볃쓏몪떦ퟔ9쓾늨1988ꆪ볎탋헲붭1984쓪훘쟬볆뮮떥쇐뾪쪼,ퟮ뛠뗄쪱뫲듦퓚14룶볆뮮떥쇐쫐10쿃쏅1989ꆪ죽쏷뎣훝;떫쫇,듓1994쓪뾪쪼,볆뮮떥쇐쫐퓚늻뛏복짙,쒿잰뷶쪣5룶ꆣ뇭1쫇룹뻝11짮�1989ꆪ훩몣듳쟬맺컱풺냤랢뗄튻쾵쇐컄볾좷뚨뗄룷볆뮮떥쇐쫐짨12쓏뺩19901994뎣훝런즽솢뫍좡쿻뗄쪱볤뇭ꆣꋛ13돉뚼19901994ퟔ릱쳆즽볆뮮떥쇐쫐뗄돶쿖폐웤쳘뚨뗄샺쪷놳뺰ꆣ튻룶횱뷓뗄풭틲쫇14뎤뒺19901994믫붭쮫톼즽,퓚뒫춳뗄훐퇫-쪡-돇쫐뗄맜샭쳥훆쿂ꆡꆡ힢:엌뷵폚1985쓪붨쫐,믫붭쫐ퟔ1987쓪웰룄돆냗즽쫐ꆣ,돇쫐뗄뺭볃킧싊쫜떽퇏훘톹틖,돇쫐맙풱뛔헢훖쳥훆럇뎣늻싺ꆣ듓볆뮮떥쇐뗄쏻떥짏컒쏇뿉틔뾴돶,헢킩돇쫐췹췹뻟폐뷏뫃뗄벼쫵뫍죋솦놾�뢳,뻟폐뫜듳뗄퓶뎤잱솦ꆣ떫쫇훷맜돇쫐뗄쪡헾뢮뾼싇뗄늻뷶뷶쫇뺭볃킧싊,뮹냼삨쪡쓚돇쫐볤뗄뺭볃욽뫢ꆣ틔듳솬쫐캪샽,볆뮮떥쇐틔잰,돇쫐좱랦춳돯낲업좫쫐뺭볃ꆢ뿆벼뫍짧믡랢햹뗄좨쿞,뺭볃랢햹쫜쇉쓾쪡ퟛ뫏욽뫢뗄퇏훘훆풼ꆣ좨솦엤훃뗄랽쪽쪹뗃듳솬쫐헢퇹튻룶릤튵쏅샠웫좫ꆢ붻춨퓋쫤랢듯ꆢ짌튵쎳틗믮풾ꆢ탅쾢쇩춨뇣뷝뗄퇘몣듳돇쫐,쓜솿늻쓜췪좫쫍럅돶살,뺭볃랢햹뮺싽,좱랦믮솦ꆣꋜ퓚룕룕뺭샺쇋쪮쓪뚯싒뗄룄룯돵웚,훐퇫닆헾ힴ뿶럇뎣삧쓑ꆣ냑쪡벶뺭볃맜샭좨쿞횱뷓쿂럅룸돇쫐,냑돇쫐뗄닆헾뫍쮰쫕횱뷓쓉죫맺볒볆뮮,늻뷶뿉틔볓잿뛔돇쫐맙풱뗄벤샸,튲뿉틔캪뮺뷢닆헾뷴헅ퟶ릱쿗ꆣ틲듋,듓훐퇫헾뢮뗄뷇뛈살쮵,쯼튲폐믽벫탔뛔늿럖돇쫐쪵탐볆뮮떥쇐ꆣ믹폚틔짏샭평,뛔늿럖돇쫐쪵탐볆뮮떥쇐ꆢ쿂럅맜샭좨쿞틔쳡룟탐헾맜샭킧싊뫍뺭볃킧싊뻍돉쇋훐퇫뫍돇쫐뗄릲쪶ꆣ떫쫇ퟮ훕놻쇐죫볆뮮떥쇐뗄돇쫐늢늻뛠,뛸쟒ퟮ뫳튲듳늿럖놻좡쿻쇋ꆣ횮쯹틔돶쿖헢룶뷡맻,튲폐웤쓚퓚뗄풭틲ꆣ쫗쿈,훐퇫헾뢮탨튪캬뮤쪡헾뢮뗄좨췾뫍뗘랽헾훎뗄욽ꋙ평폚늿럖돇쫐떥쇐틔잰죋뻹GDP쪮럖뷓뷼,틲듋듦퓚뛔뇈돇쫐훘뢴뗄쿖쿳,퓚헢훖쟩뿶쿂믬뫏믘맩믡복짙늿럖맛닢횵ꆣ컒쏇퓚컈붡탔볬퇩훐닉폃룼뮻뛔뇈돇쫐뗄냬램틔벰쪹폃룼뛠돇쫐믘맩뗄랽램살뷢뻶헢룶컊쳢ꆣꋚ1997쓪6퓂18죕,훘쟬룄캪횱쾽쫐ꆣ틲듋,훘쟬떥쇐쪱볤컒쏇볆쯣떽1997쓪ꆣꋛ평폚헾닟쿎뷓탨튪튻뚨뗄쪱볤,틲듋컒쏇뛔룷돇쫐뗄볆뮮떥쇐뚼쫇듓맺컱풺엺ힼ뗄쿂튻쓪뾪쪼볆쯣ꆣ뺭볬퇩,퓧튻쓪춳볆뛔믘맩뷡맻쎻폐뛠짙펰쿬ꆣꋜ닎볻ꆶ듳솬쫐횾ꆷ,췸횷캪http:ΠΠΠdlszΠ005Π002Π005Πꆣ19' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
쪷폮열ꆢ훜샨낲:뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽뫢ꆣ쇭튻룶좡쿻볆뮮떥쇐뗄훘튪풭틲쫇,럖쮰훆뾪쪼좫쏦쪵쪩,맺볒뫍뗘랽닆좨뗄쏷컺돌뛈잰쯹캴폐,훐퇫닆헾퓚닆헾ퟜ쫕죫훐뗄뇈훘늻뛏짏짽ꆣ퓚닆헾뗃떽돤럖놣헏뗄쟩뿶쿂,맺볒쎻폐뇘튪퓙뛔헢쎴뛠돇쫐뷸탐떥쇐ꆣ죽ꆢ볆솿랽램뫍뛔뇈ퟩ뗄톡퓱(1)믘맩쒣탍뗄짨뚨컒쏇쫔춼춨맽볆솿뗄랽램볬퇩볆뮮떥쇐쫇럱믡뛔돇쫐뗄뺭볃킧싊웰떽듙뷸ퟷ폃ꆣ캪듋,볙짨튻룶돇쫐짺닺몯쫽뗄뿲볜쿂뾼달볆뮮떥쇐뛔돇쫐뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬ꆣꋙ볙뚨돇쫐짺닺몯쫽캪Cobb2Douglas탎쪽,벴Y=AKꛁꛂL,웤훐Y캪돇쫐뗄짺닺ퟜ솿(폃GDP듺뇭),K캪놾듦솿,L캪샍뚯솦ퟜ솿(폃돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚듺뇭),A듺뇭짺닺뗄킧싊틲ퟓꆣ컒쏇뗄믹놾볙쮵쫇,죧맻볆뮮떥쇐ퟷ캪럖좨뗄쫖뛎쓜릻듙뷸튻룶돇쫐뗄뺭볃킧싊,쓇쎴쯼붫돉캪돇쫐짺닺몯쫽킧싊틲ퟓA훐뗄튻늿럖,랢믓헽쿲ퟷ폃ꆣ뻟쳥뗘쮵,죧맻붫ퟜ솿짺닺몯쫽킴돉죋뻹탎쪽늢좡뛔쫽,뿉틔뗃떽죧쿂뇭듯쪽:lny=lnA1+ꛂ0p+ꛁlnk+(ꛁ+ꛂ-1)lnL(1)웤훐y뫍k캪GDPퟜ솿뫍놾듦솿뗄죋뻹탎쪽,A1캪돽볆뮮떥쇐횮췢펰쿬돇쫐킧싊틲ퟓ뗄틲쯘,p캪돇쫐쫇럱볆뮮떥쇐뗄탩쓢뇤솿ꆣꛂ0쫇컒쏇쯹맘탄뗄쾵쫽,죧맻ꛂ0쿔훸듳폚0,쓇쎴뇭쏷볆뮮떥쇐폐훺폚뺭볃킧싊뗄쳡룟,럱퓲뇭쏷볆뮮떥쇐쎻폐킧맻,짵훁붵뗍쇋뺭볃킧싊ꆣ캪쇋맀볆볆뮮떥쇐뛔돇쫐뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬,뇘탫붫볆뮮떥쇐뫍웤쯼뿉쓜펰쿬뺭볃킧싊뗄틲쯘럖샫돶살ꆣ캪듋,뷨폃쮫훘닮럖맀볆랽램뗄믹놾쮼슷,릹퓬쮫훘뛔뇈,벴볆뮮떥쇐돇쫐ퟔ짭퓚볆뮮떥쇐잰뫳뗄뛔뇈뫍볆뮮떥쇐폫럇볆뮮떥쇐뗄돇쫐뛔뇈ꆣ쪹폃쮫훘닮럖랽램뗄튻룶뫋탄쳵볾쫇죧뫎톡좡뛔뇈ퟩ,튪쟳뛔뇈ퟩ폫쪵퇩ퟩ돽쇋퓚쪵퇩뇤솿(퓚컒쏇뗄샽ퟓ훐쫇볆뮮떥쇐)틔췢뇘탫헦헽뿉뇈,럱퓲솽룶ퟩ뇰쿔쪾뗄닮틬폐뿉쓜쫇웤쯼캴뿘훆틲쯘쯹떼훂뗄ꆣ틲듋,컒쏇뺡솿톰헒쓇킩퓚볆뮮떥쇐횮잰폫쪵퇩ퟩ쿠쯆뗄뛔뇈ퟩ돇쫐,믲헟쮵퓚뿘훆쇋뿉맛달뇤솿횮뫳솽헟뺡뿉쓜쿠쯆ꆣ뫜쿔좻,늻듦퓚튻훖듳볒릫죏뗄톡좡뛔뇈ퟩ뗄랽쪽,틲캪쯹캽쿠쯆탔뿉틔듓늻춬뷇뛈좥샭뷢ꆣ컒쏇뗄ퟶ램뻍쫇뺡솿뇤뮻뷇뛈톡좡,좻뫳뾼달믹놾뷡싛쫇럱뻟폐컈붡탔ꆣ쿖퓚볲튪쮵쏷놾컄닉폃뗄맀볆랽램ꆣ볙짨돇쫐1뫍돇쫐2쫇룹뻝튻뚨뇪ힼퟩ돉뗄튻뛔퇹놾,컒쏇폐죧쿂믘맩랽돌:lny1t=ꛁ1+ꛂ0p1t+ꛃꇤx1t+ꛅ1(t2)lny2t=ꛁ2+ꛂ0p2t+ꛃꇤx2t+ꛅ2(t3)웤훐p1t뫍p2t럖뇰듺뇭돇쫐1뫍2퓚t쓪쫇럱떥쇐뗄탩쓢뇤솿,x(iti=1,2)쫇튻룶쿲솿,듺뇭웤쯻쾣췻뿘훆뗄뇤솿,냼삨죋뻹놾듦솿ꆢ돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚ꆢ쓪뛈탩쓢뇤솿뗈ꆣ뷘뻠쿮ꛁi훁짙평솽늿럖릹돉,튻늿럖쫇돇쫐놾짭쯹만폐뗄쳘탔ꛌi뫍솽룶돇쫐쏦쇙뗄릲춬돥믷ꛇꆣ랽돌(2)뫍(3)쿠복뗃떽:ꚤlnyt=ꚤꛁ+ꛂ0ꚤpt+ꛃꇤꚤxt+ꚤꛅ(t4)ꆡꆡ헢퇹,돇쫐쏦쇙뗄릲춬돥믷ꛂ놻쿻돽ꆣ컒쏇퓚믘맩럖컶쪱훷튪맀볆랽돌(4),늢뷸탐만뚨킧펦믘맩,틔쿻돽돇쫐볤튻킩늻틀쪱볤뇤뮯뗄만뚨닮틬뗄펰쿬ꆣꋚ뾼싇떽쫽뻝쪱볤뿧뛈뇈뷏뎤,닐닮횮볤뿉쓜듦퓚쒳훖쿠맘탔믲닮틬탔,틲듋컒쏇뷸탐뗄쫇컈붡탔랽닮쿂뗄만뚨킧펦믘맩ꆣ(2)쫽뻝살풴벰웤뇤솿놾컄쯹폃쫽뻝훷튪살풴폚ꆶ훐맺돇쫐춳볆쓪본ꆷ(1985ꆪ2004)ꆣ놾컄믘맩쯹짦벰뗄틲뇤솿캪돇ꋙ샻폃쟸폲짺닺몯쫽퇐뺿쳘뚨틲쯘뛔쟸폲뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬쫇튻훖뎣폃뗄ퟶ램,샽죧죋쏇샻폃헢훖랽램뾼달믹뒡짨쪩뛔뗘쟸짺닺싊뗄펰쿬,닎볻EvansandKerras(1994)ꆣꋚힼ좷뗘쮵쫇ퟔ1984쓪틔살뗄늻쯦쪱볤뇤뮯뗄돇쫐볤뗄만뚨닮틬ꆣ20' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚1웚쫐떱쓪죋뻹쪵볊GDP,샻폃GDP횸쫽붫웤쏻틥횵뗷헻떽1980쓪뿉뇈볛룱쿂뗄쪵볊횵ꆣ평폚좱짙쎿룶돇쫐뗄춳볆쇏,틲듋쪹폃돇쫐쯹퓚쪡럝뗄GDP횸쫽뷸탐욽복ꆣ웤훐1980ꆪ1998쓪뗄쫽뻝살ퟔꆶ탂훐맺컥쪮쓪춳볆쇏믣뇠ꆷ,틔뫳룷쓪뻹살ퟔꆶ훐맺춳볆쓪본ꆷꆣ평폚1984ꆪ1986쓪뫍1992ꆪ1993쓪쎻폐돇쫐GDP뗄춳볆쫽뻝,컒쏇쪹폃쪡쓚죋뻹GDP횸쫽랴췆뗃떽ꆣꆶ훐맺돇쫐춳볆쓪본ꆷ훐횻폐쎿쓪만뚨닺춶맦쒣뗄쫽뻝,늢쎻폐춳볆떱쓪돇쫐뗄놾듦솿ꆣ틲듋,닉폃컄쿗훐춨탐뗄폀탸엌듦램살볆쯣돇쫐죋뻹만뚨닺듦솿ꆣ내헕춨뎣뗄ퟶ램,붫1984쓪뗄웰쪼놾듦솿K0뚨틥캪떱쓪만뚨닺춶뗄10놶,좻뫳내헕Kt+1=(1-ꛄ)Kt+It+1뗄릫쪽뷸탐뗼듺쟳뷢ꆣ만뚨닺춶ퟜ뛮It+1평솽룶늿럖ퟩ돉,맺쓚춶ퟜ뛮뫍떱쓪쪵볊샻폃췢ퟜ뛮ꆣ컒쏇톡좡만뚨닺헛뻉싊ꛄ=10%ꆣ쯹폐뗄춶뫍닺듦솿뚼뺭맽쇋돇쫐쯹퓚쪡럝뗄만뚨닺춶볛룱횸쫽뗄욽복,뻹캪1980쓪뗄뿉뇈볛룱ꆣ맘폚돇쫐샍뚯솦죋쫽,평폚좱랦잰뫳솬맡뗄춳볆쫽뻝,놾컄쯹쪹폃뗄ꆶ훐맺돇쫐춳볆쓪본ꆷ뛔샍뚯솦뗄춳볆뿚뺶퓚놾컄뗄퇹놾웚볤튲랢짺쇋뛠듎룄뇤,틲듋,컒쏇쪹폃돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚살뷼쯆뗘듺뇭돇쫐뗄샍뚯솦맦쒣ꆣ듓퇐뺿랽램뫍쒣탍짨뚨훐뿉틔뾴돶,ퟮ맘볼뗄죎컱퓚폚듓룷훖뿉쓜틲쯘훐럖샫볆뮮떥쇐뛔뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬ꆣ컒쏇톡좡틔쿂뇤솿틔뿘훆웤쯻틲쯘뗄펰쿬,쯼쏇쫇:ꋙ돇쫐뮯쮮욽ꆣ듓틔췹뗄퇐뺿뾴,돇쫐뮯쮮욽쫇펰쿬뺭볃킧싊뗄훘튪뇤솿,틲캪뿉틔랴펳돶돇쫐뗄ퟔ좻풴뫍뗘샭쳵볾뗈틲쯘뛔뺭볃뗄펰쿬(LinandLiu,2000;훜튵낲뗈,2004)ꆣ컒쏇쪹폃럇얩죋뿚퓚돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚훐뗄뇈샽살듺뇭룷룶돇쫐뗄돇쫐뮯쮮욽ꆣꋚ쪵볊쪹폃췢짌횱뷓춶(FDI)햼떱쓪만뚨닺춶뗄뇈훘ꆣFDI뗄틽죫뿉쓜뻟폐맜샭뫍벼쫵짏뗄췢틧탔,틲듋뛔놾뗘짺닺킧싊뿉쓜뻟폐듙뷸ퟷ폃(삼틋짺,2002;뫎럣ꆢ돂죙,2004)ꆣ탨튪힢틢뗄쫇,1984쓪뗄춳볆뿚뺶캪샺쓪샻폃췢ퟜ뛮,1992쓪뫍1993쓪퓲냼삨쇋뛔췢뷨뿮뗈럇FDI뗄샻폃췢쿮쒿ꆣ뺭맽볬퇩,뛔춳볆뷡맻펰쿬늻듳ꆣꋛ죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚ꆣ죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚랴펳뗄쫇돇쫐뗄췢쎳틀듦뛈,틲듋뛔돇쫐뺭볃뿉쓜뻟폐펰쿬ꆣꋙ평폚췢쎳뷸돶뿚쳥훆퓚1993쓪뫳돶쿖쇋룄뇤,틲듋,헢룶횸뇪뗄쫽뻝살풴럖캪솽룶늿럖:1985ꆪ1993쓪뗄쫽뻝쪵볊짏춳볆뗄쫇죋뻹췢쎳쫕릺ퟜ뛮,횸뗄쫇췢쎳웳튵틔쿖뷰믲헟춨맽틸탐뮮늦뗈랽쪽,듓췢떥캻믲룶죋릺뷸뗄릩펦돶뿚뗄짌욷뗄뷰뛮;1994ꆪ1998쓪춳볆뗄쫇죋뻹췢쎳돶뿚ퟜ뛮,쫽뻝살풴폚룷룶쪡믲돇쫐뗄쓪본뫍춳볆쓪본ꆣꋚ쯹폐뗄쫽뻝뻹뺭맽쿻럑볛룱횸쫽뗄욽복ꆣꋜ쎿냙죋훐뿆벼죋풱뗄뇈샽ꆣ죋솦놾쫇뺭볃퓶뎤뗄훘튪ퟩ돉늿럖,틲듋튲쫇훘튪뗄뿘훆뇤솿,컒쏇쪹폃돇쫐뗄뿆벼죋풱쫽솿살뿘훆죋솦놾뗄펰쿬,헢룶횸뇪랴펳뗄쫇돇쫐죋뿚훐뇈뷏룟벶뗄죋솦놾듦솿ꆣ헢룶횸뇪퓚1984ꆪ1991쓪뗄춳볆뿚뺶캪ꆰ돇쫐쎿냙죋훐ퟔ좻뿆벼죋풱뗄뇈샽ꆱ,1993쓪뫍1994쓪뗄뿚뺶캪ꆰ돇쫐쎿냙죋훐듓쫂뿆벼믮뚯뗄죋풱죋쫽ꆱꆣꋝ뛔뇈ퟩ뗄톡퓱평폚컒쏇뾼싇뗄쫇떥쇐쫇럱쪹뺭볃킧싊뗃떽쳡룟,틲듋뇘탫톰헒폫떥쇐돇쫐뺭볃랢햹쮮욽뷓뷼뗄돇쫐살뷸탐뛔뇈,헢퇹뛔뇈닅뻟폐뿉뇈탔ꆣ뾼싇떽룷쪡횮볤듦퓚뷏듳뗄닮틬탔,틲듋쪹폃쇋쪡쓚뫍쪡췢솽룶뛔뇈ퟩꆣ톡퓱쪡쓚뛔뇈ퟩ쫇캪쇋뿘훆쪡벶횮볤뿉쓜뗄쾵춳닮틬ꆣ평폚ퟮ뫳튻엺볆뮮떥쇐쫐쫇1990쓪짨솢뗄,늢쟒볆뮮떥쇐쫐뚼쫇쪡쓚맜쾽뗄뗘벶쫐,틲듋컒쏇톡좡1984ꆪ1989쓪죋ꋙ퓚틔잰뗄퇐뺿훐,췢쎳틀듦뛈뛠쫽쫇폃췢쎳폫GDP뗄뇈훘살뇭쪾,떫쫇평폚GDP놾짭뻍쫇컒쏇쯹퇐뺿뗄뛔쿳,틲듋컒쏇쪹폃죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚살랴펳ꆣꋚ1998쓪뫳,탭뛠돇쫐췢쎳뗄춳볆뿚뺶랢짺쇋훘듳뇤뮯,틲듋1998쓪뫳뗄쫽뻝짡웺늻폃ꆣ21' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
쪷폮열ꆢ훜샨낲:뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽뻹GDP폫떥쇐쫐ퟮ뷓뷼뗄뗘벶돇쫐ퟷ캪뛔뇈ꆣꋙ탨튪힢틢뗄쫇,퓚쯹뾼달뗄1984ꆪ2003쓪볤,늿럖ꆡ돇쫐뗄맜쾽쟸폲랢짺쇋뇤뮯ꆣ뛔ꆡ뇭2뻹횵볬퇩뗄뷡맻듋컒쏇쫇헢퇹뒦샭뗄,죧맻맜쾽쟸폲뗄뇤뮯늢쎻폐듸살돇쫐뗘캻뗄룄뇤솿풭볙짨:뻹횵쿠춬뇤폫쪡쓚돇쫐쿠뇈폫쪡췢돇쫐쿠뇈,뷶뷶쫇맜쾽랶캧뗄쯵킡믲뇤듳,쓇쎴뻍죏캪헢룶돇쫐뗄쫽뻝죔좻쫇33죋뻹(풪)뿉폃뗄ꆣ틲캪돇쫐뗄탐헾좨솦쎻폐()()랢짺뇤뮯3333,늢쟒틲캪쯹폃뗄쫇죋뻹횸뇪돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚(췲죋)(,틲듋믘맩뷡맻뛔헢훖뇤뮯늻)()쏴룐;떫쫇,죧맻돇쫐쟸뮮뗄뇤뮯냩33쯦ퟅ돇쫐뗘캻뗄뇤뮯죋뻹만뚨닺듦솿(풪),뇈죧듓쿘벶()()쫐짏짽캪뗘벶쫐,쓇쎴뻍죏캪돇쫐33쯹펵폐뗄좨솦랢짺쇋뇤뮯,벴쪹쪹럇얩죋뿚뇈샽폃죋뻹횸뇪튲늻쓜랴펳헢훖훆뛈뇤()()뮯,틲듋헢킩돇쫐놻업돽퓚뾼달랶FDI햼떱쓪ퟜ춶뇈훘캧횮췢ꆣ뺭맽톡퓱()(),컒쏇헒돶쇋룷떥쇐돇쫐뛔펦뗄쪡쓚뫍쪡췢뛔뇈돇33쫐쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱뇈샽,뻟쳥쏻떥닎볻뇭1ꆣꋚ()()캪쇋뷸튻늽퇐뺿쯹뾼달뗄룷룶33뇤솿퓚떥쇐잰쫇럱듦퓚쿔훸닮틬,죋뻹돶뿚.(풪20)()()컒쏇뛔떥쇐돇쫐뫍뛔뇈ퟩ뷸탐쇋뻹횵볬퇩ꆣ컒쏇죏캪ꆡ힢:(1)삨뫅훐쫽ퟖ캪뇪ힼ닮33;(2)듺뇭쮫캲볬닢쿂뗄5%벰틔짏뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽;,죧맻볆뮮떥쇐쫐퓚떥쇐횮잰뫍뛔뇈돇쫐뗄닮뇰늻(3)죋뻹GDPꆢ죋뻹만뚨닺듦솿뫍죋뻹돶뿚뗄춳볆떥캻캪풪(1980쓪뿉뇈볛),돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚캪췲죋ꆣ뇭3ꆪ뇭7틠죧듋,늻퓙쇭탐뇪힢ꆣ듳,쓇쎴헢룶뛔뇈룼캪뿉탅,틲캪헢뇭쏷쯦뫳뗄닮틬평떥쇐헾닟살뷢쫍룼캪뫏샭,헢퇹튲복쟡쇋톡퓱탔뗄쏽컳(selectionbias)ꆣ뻹횵볬퇩뗄뷡맻죧뇭2ꆣ듓짏쏦뿉틔뾴돶,좫맺뛔뇈ퟩ뛔컒쏇뗄퇐뺿살쮵룼캪뫏틢ꆣ돽쇋돇쫐죋뿚맦쒣뫍죋뻹췢쎳돶뿚헢솽룶뇤솿틔췢,웤쯻뇤솿폫떥쇐돇쫐닮뇰뚼늻첫쿔훸,쳘뇰쫇죋뻹GDP쎻폐뛠듳닮뇰;쿠랴,쪡쓚뛔뇈ퟩ횻폐죋뻹돶뿚뫍떱쓪FDI뗄뇈훘뫍떥쇐돇쫐뷓뷼,웤폠뗄뇤솿뚼듦퓚쿔훸닮뇰ꆣ횵뗃힢틢뗄쫇,쪡쓚뛔뇈ퟩ쫇컒쏇내헕죋뻹GDPퟮ뷓뷼풭퓲톰헒뗄,헢뇭쪾떥쇐돇쫐퓚쪡쓚뗄뺭볃뗘캻좷쫇웤쯻돇쫐컞램뇈쓢뗄ꆣ뇭3뫍뇭4쫇뛔솽ퟩ쫽뻝뗄쏨쫶탔춳볆ꆣ쯄ꆢ믘맩뷡맻폫럖컶쿂쏦컒쏇뛔잰쫶솽ퟩ쫽뻝뷸탐만뚨킧펦믘맩ꆣ쫗쿈뷸탐떥쇐돇쫐폫솽룶뛔뇈ퟩ뗄믬뫏믘맩틔좷뚨ퟜ쳥펰쿬,좻뫳퓙럖ퟩ뷸탐믘맩,첽쟳떥쇐뗄펰쿬퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤쫇럱듦퓚닮뇰ꆣ믘맩뷡맻믣ퟜ퓚뇭5ꆪ뇭7훐ꋛꆣꋙ1994쓪,놣쇴뗄볆뮮떥쇐쫐뫍놻좡쿻떥쇐뗄8룶쪡믡돇쫐퓚탐헾벶뇰짏놻뚨캪뢱쪡벶돇쫐,떫쫇쯼쏇뫍웤쯻뗘벶쫐튻퇹쫴폚쪡헾뢮횱뷓맜쾽,늢놻쓉죫뗘벶쫐믲뗘벶탐헾쟸폲튻늢뷸탐맜샭ꆣ닎볻뫮뺰탂뗈(2006)ꆣꋚ쟉뫏뗄쫇,쪡췢뛔뇈돇쫐춬퇹쫇좫맺랶캧쓚폫떥쇐쫐죋뻹GDPퟮ뷓뷼뗄돇쫐ꆣꋛ평폚돇쫐횮볤닮틬탔뷏듳,틲듋컒쏇쎻폐뷸탐믬뫏웕춨ퟮ킡뛾돋맀볆(poolingOLS)ꆣ22' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚1웚뇭3쪡쓚ퟩ훷튪뇤솿쏨쫶뇤솿틲뇤솿:돇쫐죋뻹GDP맛닢횵쪱볤뿧뛈뻹횵뇪ힼ닮ퟮ킡횵ퟮ듳횵죋뻹GDP뛔쫽2721984ꆪ돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚뛔쫽2721984ꆪ죋뻹만뚨닺듦솿뛔쫽2721984ꆪ럇얩죋뿚뇈샽2721984ꆪ햼떱쓪ퟜ춶뇈훘2721984ꆪ쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱뇈샽1361984ꆪ죋뻹돶뿚뗄뛔쫽1821985ꆪ뇭4쪡췢ퟩ훷튪뇤솿쏨쫶뇤솿틲뇤솿:돇쫐죋뻹GDP맛닢횵쪱볤뿧뛈뻹횵뇪ힼ닮ퟮ킡횵ퟮ듳횵죋뻹GDP뛔쫽2731984ꆪ돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚뛔쫽2731984ꆪ죋뻹만뚨닺듦솿뛔쫽2731984ꆪ럇얩죋뿚뇈샽2731984ꆪ햼떱쓪ퟜ춶뇈훘2731984ꆪ쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱뇈샽1381984ꆪ죋뻹돶뿚뗄뛔쫽1891985ꆪꆡꆡ힢:ꋙ틔짏믣놨뗄쫽횵뻹쫇떥쇐돇쫐폫룷뛔뇈돇쫐ퟩ쿠맘뇤솿뗄닮럖;ꋚ폐맘뇤솿뻹뺭맽돇쫐쯹퓚쪡럝볛룱횸쫽뗷헻,뻹캪1980쓪뿉뇈볛룱;ꋛ쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱쫽좱짙1992쓪쫽뻝ꆣ맛달믬뫏믘맩뗄뷡맻,컒쏇랢쿖뻍ퟜ쳥뛸퇔,볆뮮떥쇐뛔뺭볃킧싊좷쪵뻟폐듙뷸ퟷ폃ꆣ볆뮮떥쇐뇤솿퓚좫늿뗄6룶믘맩랽돌훐폐5룶뇭쿖럇뎣쿔훸,늢쟒쾵쫽횮볤닮뇰늻듳ꆣ좡뗚튻룶믘맩뷡맻ꛂ0=01093,쯼뇭쏷퓚웤쯼춶죫놣돖늻뇤뗄쟩뿶쿂,떥쫇볆뮮떥쇐뻍뿉틔쪹죋뻹GDP쳡룟풼913%ꆣ퓚럖ퟩ믘맩훐,쯤좻ퟜ쳥짏볆뮮떥쇐뗄쾵쫽뻹캪헽쫽,떫쫇솽ퟩ횮볤컞싛쫇쫽횵듳킡뮹쫇쿔훸탔쮮욽닮뇰뚼뇈뷏듳ꆣ퓚쪡췢뛔뇈ퟩ뗄믘맩훐,볆뮮떥쇐뗄쾵쫽뷏듳,뛸쟒뇭쿖럇뎣쿔훸,쿔훸탔쮮욽좫늿퓚5%틔쓚;떫쫇퓚쪡쓚돇쫐뗄뛔뇈믘맩훐,떥쇐뇤솿뷶퓚튻룶믘맩훐뇭쿖뇈뷏쿔훸,뛸쟒쾵쫽뫜킡,헢뇭쏷볆뮮떥쇐뛔뺭볃킧싊뗄ퟷ폃믺훆퓚쪡쓚뫍쪡볊뗄뇈뷏횮볤듦퓚쿔훸닮틬ꆣ떱좻,헢룶뷡맻튲폐뿉쓜쫇쫽뻝맀쯣쯹틽웰뗄ꆣ평폚좱짙1984ꆪ1986쓪뫍1992ꆪ1993쓪죋뻹GDP쫽뻝,컒쏇쪹폃쇋쪡쓚죋뻹GDP횸쫽살뷸탐랴췆ꆣ평폚헢룶횸뇪뛔폚쪡쓚쯹폐돇쫐뚼쫇튻훂뗄,쯹틔볆뮮떥쇐퓚쪡쓚뗄펰쿬뿉쓜놻뗍맀ꆣ캪쇋퇐뺿쫽뻝뗄맀쯣랽램쫇럱뛔뷡싛닺짺맘볼펰쿬,컒쏇냑좱쪧뗄쓪럝좥뗴,좻뫳퓙뛔솽ퟩ쫽뻝럖뇰뷸탐믘맩ꆣ뷡맻쿔쪾,퓚솽룶ퟩ뇰훐,돽쇋쾵쫽뗄쫽횵폐쯹뇤뮯횮췢,떥쇐뇤솿뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽뫍믹ힼ믘맩벸뫵튻쒣튻퇹ꆣ헢뇭쏷떥쇐뛔뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤좷쪵듦퓚쿔훸닮틬,뛸쟒헢훖닮틬늢늻쫇쫽뻝컊쳢쯹틽웰뗄ꆣ캪쇋뷸튻늽첽뺿돇쫐떥쇐뛔쪡쓚웤쯻돇쫐뫍쪡췢돇쫐뗄늻춬펰쿬,컒쏇폃떥쇐뫍쪱볤뇤솿뛔돇쫐횮볤뗄닮뇰뷸탐쇋볲떥믘맩ꆣ폃죋뻹맺쓚만뚨춶듺뇭돇쫐컼틽맺쓚춶뗄쓜솦,죋뻹FDI듺뇭돇쫐컼틽췢뗄쓜솦,폃돇쫐쎿냙죋뗧뮰쫽솿듺뇭돇쫐뗄믹뒡짨쪩붨짨,좻뫳럖뇰뷸탐믘맩,23' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
쪷폮열ꆢ훜샨낲:뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽뇭ꆡ5ꆡꆡꆡ믬뫏믘맩뷡맻뷢쫍뇤솿틲뇤솿:돇쫐죋뻹GDP(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)333333333333333쫇럱떥쇐()()()()()()333333돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()333333333333333죋뻹만뚨놾듦솿뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()333333럇얩죋뿚뇈샽(0124)()FDI햼만뚨춶뇈훘(0118)()333333죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚뗄뛔쫽(0101)()쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱쫽(0101)(0101)퇹놾솿667667667462337301ꆡꆡ힢:ꋙ뎣쫽쿮컒쏇쎻폐믣놨,삨뫅훐쫽ퟖ캪뇪ힼ닮;ꋚ333ꆢ33ꆢ뫍3럖뇰듺뇭1%ꆢ5%뫍10%뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽;ꋛ쯹폐뗄믘맩뻹쫇컈붡탔랽닮쿂뗄만뚨킧펦믘맩쒣탍,춬쪱뿘훆쇋쓪럝틲쯘ꆣ뇭6ꆪ뇭7폫듋쿠춬,늻퓙쇭탐뇪쏷ꆣ뇭6쪡쓚ퟩ믘맩뷡맻틲뇤솿:돇쫐죋뻹GDP뷢쫍뇤솿(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)3쫇럱떥쇐()()()()()()333돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()3333333죋뻹만뚨놾듦솿뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()333럇얩죋뿚뇈샽(0172)()3FDI햼만뚨춶뇈훘(0114)()333죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚뗄뛔쫽(0102)(0102)쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱쫽(0101)()퇹놾솿27227227218213612024' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚1웚뇭7쪡췢ퟩ믘맩뷡맻뷢쫍뇤솿틲뇤솿:돇쫐죋뻹GDP(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)3333333333333333쫇럱떥쇐()()()()()()3333돇쫐ퟜ죋뿚뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()333333333333죋뻹만뚨놾듦솿뗄뛔쫽()()()()()()333333럇얩죋뿚뇈샽()()햼만뚨춶뇈훘(0122)()333333죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚뗄뛔쫽()()쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱쫽()()퇹놾솿273273273189138123뗃떽뇭8ꆣꋙꆡ뇭8떥쇐뇤솿뗄펰쿬퓚쪡쓚췢뛔뇈ꆡꆡ듓믘맩뿉틔뾴돶,돇쫐퓚볆뮮믘맩솿:볆뮮떥쇐탩쓢뇤솿떥쇐틔뫳컼쫕쓚췢뗄쓜솦쿔훸퓶놻믘맩솿잿폫쪡쓚돇쫐뛔뇈폫쪡췢돇쫐뛔뇈,믹뒡짨쪩튲뗃떽뫜듳룄짆ꆣ떫쫇333333,헢훖킧맻퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤듦퓚벫죋뻹만뚨닺춶닮뇰듳닮틬ꆣ듓쫽ퟖ짏뾴()(),볆뮮떥쇐쪹뗃돇쫐뇈뛔펦뗄쪡췢돇쫐뛠컼쫕풼333333죋뻹닮뇰풪(1980쓪뿉뇈볛)뗄죋뻹맺쓚()()춶,헢룶쫽ퟖ벸뫵쫇쪡쓚뛔뇈ퟩ333333뗄쎿냙죋뗧뮰쫽닮뇰놶,뛸죋뻹FDI뗄닮뇰춬퇹퓚()()115놶ퟳ폒ꆣ틔뗧뮰쫽솿캪듺뇭뗄돇쫐믹뒡짨쪩붨짨튲쫇죧듋ꆣ퓬돉ꆡꆡ힢:ꋙ컒쏇믣놨뗄쫇떥쇐뇤솿잰뗄쾵쫽,삨뫅훐쫽ퟖ캪뇪ힼ닮;ꋚ333듺뇭1%뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽;ꋛ쯹폐뗄믘맩뻹쫇컈붡탔랽닮쿂뗄만뚨킧펦믘맩쒣탍,춬쪱뿘훆헢퇹뗄뷡맻,뇊헟닂닢뿉쓜쫇떥쇐쇋쓪럝틲쯘ꆣꋜ뗧뮰쫽솿좱짙1989ꆪ1991쓪쫽뻝,웤폠뇤솿뻹캪1984ꆪ2003쓪뗄킧맻뗄췢틧탔쯹퓬돉뗄ꆣ볆뮮떥쇐쫽뻝ꆣ쪹뗃돇쫐컼쫕쇋룼뛠뗄춶,헢훖춶퓚뗘폲짏튲탭뻟폐쒳훖췢틧탔뫍믽뻛킧펦ꆣ뻠샫뗄풶뷼퓬돉췢틧탔뫍믽뻛킧펦퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤듦퓚뷏듳닮뇰,쪡쓚돇쫐ꆰ뷼쮮슥첨쿈뗃퓂ꆱ,췢쪡돇쫐평폚쿠뻠뷏풶뛸뗃늻떽헢훖뫃뒦,헢퇹뻍퓬돉쇋떥쇐킧맻퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤뗄닮틬탔ꆣꋙ뗀슷붨짨튲탭쫇뫢솿믹뒡짨쪩뗄룼뫃횸뇪,떫쫇ꆶ훐맺돇쫐춳볆쓪본ꆷ훐횻폐쫐쟸뗀슷붨짨뗄춳볆,쯹틔컒쏇닉폃냙죋뗧뮰쫽솿ퟷ캪쳦듺ꆣ평폚뗧뮰쫇쿖듺뺭볃뷸탐붻췹쯹뇘탫뗄릤뻟,틲듋튲쫇펰쿬뺭볃킧싊뗄훘튪틲쯘횮튻ꆣ25' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
쪷폮열ꆢ훜샨낲:뗘쟸럅좨폫뺭볃킧싊:틔볆뮮떥쇐캪샽듓믬뫏뫍럖ퟩ믘맩뷡맻뮹뿉틔뾴돶,죋뻹만뚨놾듦솿퓚뻸듳뛠쫽믘맩훐쿔훸캪헽,헢뇭쏷만뚨닺춶죔좻쫇돇쫐뺭볃퓶뎤뗄훘튪풴좪ꆣ돇쫐뗄죋뿚쫽솿퓚냫쫽쟩뿶쿂쿔훸캪뢺ꆣ뾼싇떽폐킩뿘훆뇤솿놾짭튲쫇죋뻹횸뇪,틲듋뷢쫍웰살탨튪킡탄ꆣ떫쫇춨맽럖컶죔좻뿉틔죏캪,돇쫐뺭볃퓚쒳훖돌뛈짏뻟폐맦쒣쫕틦뗝복뗄탔훊,틲듋튻캶뗘춨맽퓶볓춶죫살쳡룟돇쫐뺭볃랢햹쮮욽킧맻폐쿞ꆣ퓚룷훖뿘훆뇤솿훐,죋뻹뛔췢돶뿚퓚룷훖믘맩훐뚼뇭쿖캪헽,뛸쟒쿠떱쿔훸,헢랴펳닎폫맺볊뺭볃뫏ퟷ,좷쪵뿉틔쳡룟놾뗘뺭볃뗄킧싊ꆣ돇쫐뮯쮮욽(럇얩죋뿚뇈샽)퓚쯹폐믘맩훐뚼뇭쿖캪쿔훸캪헽ꆣ평폚돇쫐뮯쮮욽쓜릻볤뷓뗘랴펳뗚뛾뫍뗚죽닺튵폫뗚튻닺튵뗄뇈샽맘쾵,틲듋,뿉틔죏캪닺튵뷡릹뗄짽벶쓜릻폐킧쳡룟돇쫐뺭볃킧싊ꆣ쿠뇈뷏뛸퇔,돇쫐쎿냙죋뿆벼죋풱쫽퓚뻸듳뛠쫽믘맩훐쯤좻럻뫏풤웚,떫쫇킧맻뫜늻쏷쿔ꆣ듓횱뻵짏쮵,춬만뚨닺튻퇹,죋솦놾펦룃쫇돇쫐뺭볃퓶뎤뗄훘튪솦솿,평폚컒쏇톡좡뗄횸뇪퓚춳볆뿚뺶짏폐킩쿁햭,쯹틔뿉쓜뗍맀쇋죋솦놾뗄펰쿬ꆣ춨맽럖컶뷡맻뮹뿉틔랢쿖,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔뺭볃킧싊늢쎻폐뛠짙펰쿬,헢뇭쏷췢짌춶뗄벼쫵췢틧탔늢쎻폐춨뎣풤닢뗄쓇퇹듳ꆣ컥ꆢ컈붡탔볬퇩캪쇋놣횤뷡싛뗄컈붡탔,훷튪뷸탐쇋틔쿂벸룶랽쏦뗄볬퇩ꆣꋙ쫗쿈,컒쏇룄뇤뛔뇈돇쫐뗄톡좡랽램,틔업돽톡퓱욫닮뗄펰쿬ꆣ듓볆뮮떥쇐쫐뗄짨솢쪱볤뇭짏뿉틔뾴돶,튻냫틔짏뗄볆뮮떥쇐쫐쫇퓚1988쓪틔잰짨솢뗄ꆣ틲듋,내헕떥쇐뾪쪼잰쯄쓪(1984ꆪ1987)죋뻹GDPퟮ뷓뷼뗄풭퓲훘탂톡좡쇋쪡쓚뫍맺쓚뛔뇈ퟩ,좻뫳퓙뷸탐믬뫏뫍럖ퟩ믘맩ꆣ죽훖믘맩뗄뷡맻뫍믹ힼ믘맩쿠뇈쎻폐듳뗄욫닮ꆣ춬쪱,뮹샻폃볆뮮떥쇐쫐뫍쯄ퟩ뛔뇈돇쫐뗄쫽뻝(릲44룶돇쫐)뷸탐쇋믬뫏믘맩ꆣ뷡맻춬퇹쿔쪾볆뮮떥쇐뛔뺭볃킧싊뻟폐듙뷸ퟷ폃,킧맻욽뻹뛸퇔캪1011%ꆣ뿉틔뾴돶,헢룶쫽ퟖ뫍믹ힼ믘맩쒣탍쫇뫜뷓뷼뗄ꆣꋚ웤듎,컒쏇뛔떥쇐뾪쪼뫍뷡쫸뗄쪱볤뷸탐쇋뗷헻ꆣ퓚믹ힼ뗄춳볆훐,쓏뺩뫍돉뚼뗄떥쇐쪱볤뚼쫇듓1990쓪쯣웰ꆣ쫂쪵짏내헕맺컱풺뗄맦뚨,쓏뺩뫍돉뚼듓1988쓪뾪쪼뻍쿭쫜볆뮮떥쇐뗄늿럖듽폶,훷튪냼삨닎볓맺컱풺룷늿캯맘폚뺭볃랽쏦뗄릤ퟷ믡틩,폐좨뷓쫕쿂랢룸쪡뗄튵컱컄볾ꆢ볲놨ꆢ쇏뗈ꆣꋛ틲듋,뛔헢솽룶돇쫐떥쇐쪱볤뗄춳볆짏뿉쓜듦퓚욫닮ꆣ캪쇋뇜쏢헢룶컊쳢,컒쏇냑쓏뺩뫍돉뚼뗄떥쇐쪱볤듓1988쓪뾪쪼볆쯣,훘탂뷸탐쇋맀볆ꆣ뛔폚냋룶쪡믡돇쫐살쮵,쯤좻맺컱풺맘폚뷡쫸떥쇐뗄헾닟컄볾쫇1994쓪랢돶뗄,떫쫇,훐릲훐퇫퓧퓚1993쓪뻍뾪쪼쳡돶믺릹룄룯뗄랽낸,튪쟳뷡쫸뛔헢킩돇쫐뗄볆뮮떥쇐ꆣꋜ틲듋,컒쏇냑헢킩쪡믡돇쫐볆뮮떥쇐뗄ퟮ뫳튻쓪룄캪1993쓪,좻뫳퓙듎뷸탐맀볆ꆣퟮ뫳,뺡솿업돽웤쯼돇쫐헾닟뗄펰쿬ꆣ훐맺뗄뺭볃룄룯쫇튻쿮럇뎣뢴퓓뗄릤돌,탭뛠룄룯듫쪩췹췹붻닦뷸탐,볆뮮떥쇐튲쫇죧듋ꆣ퓚볆뮮떥쇐뗄춬쪱,죽훖헫뛔돇쫐뗄룄룯튲퓚뷸탐,쯼쏇뛔룄짆뺭볃킧싊춬퇹뿉쓜뻟폐듙뷸ퟷ폃,뇘탫튪업돽헢킩헾닟뗄펰쿬ꆣ(1)뺭볃쳘쟸헾닟ꆣ1980쓪8퓂,컥뷬죋듳뎣캯믡뗚15듎믡틩뻶뚨,퓚짮�ꆢ훩몣ꆢ짇춷뫍쿃쏅짨훃뺭볃쳘쟸,늢룸폨헢킩돇쫐퓚뛔췢뺭볃믮뚯훐ꆰ쳘쫢헾닟뫍쇩믮듫쪩ꆱꆣ뛔폚춶퓚헢킩돇쫐뗄췢짌,룸폨쮰쫕ꆢ췁뗘쪹폃ꆢ췢믣뷡쯣뗈뛠랽쏦폅믝헾닟ꆣ쇭췢,뺭볃쳘쟸놻룸폨쇋뷏뛠뗄뺭볃믮뚯ퟔ훷좨,뇈죧뺭볃솢램좨ꆣ평폚짮�뫍쿃쏅춬쪱폖쫇볆뮮떥쇐쫐,틲듋,컒쏇뇘탫튪냑뺭볃쳘ꋙ평폚믘맩뷡맻럇뎣뛠(뛠듯쫽쪮룶믘맩),헢샯쿞폚욪럹뻹쎻폐놨룦,폐탋좤뗄뛁헟뿉틔쿲ퟷ헟쯷좡ꆣꋚ퓚놾컄뗄퓧웚냦놾훐,컒쏇뮹내헕쪡쓚헾훎뗘캻쿠뷼뗄풭퓲,쪡믡뛔펦쪡믡,럇쪡믡돇쫐뛔펦ꆰ뷏듳뗄쫐ꆱ,듓쇙뷼쪡럝톡좡쇋뛔뇈ퟩ,믘맩뷡맻춬퇹쿔쪾떥쇐뗄킧맻럇뎣쿔훸ꆣꋛ닎볻ꆶ맺컱풺냬릫쳼맘폚쓏뺩쫐ꆢ돉뚼쫐쿭쫜볆뮮떥쇐돇쫐늿럖듽폶뗄몯ꆷ(1987쓪5퓂19죕)ꆣꋜ닎볻ꆶ훐릲훐퇫맘폚펡랢ꆴ맘폚떳헾믺릹룄룯뗄랽낸ꆵ뫍ꆴ맘폚떳헾믺릹룄룯랽낸뗄쪵쪩틢볻ꆵ뗄춨횪(훐랢ꆲ1993ꆳ7뫅)ꆷꆣ26' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚1웚쟸뗄틲쯘업돽돶좥ꆣ내헕뺭볃랢햹쮮욽뷓뷼뗄풭퓲,퓚뛔뇈ퟩ훐냑짮�뫍쿃쏅뛔펦돇쫐럖뇰룄캪훩몣뫍짇춷,좻뫳퓙뷸탐믘맩ꆣ(2)퇘몣뾪럅헾닟ꆣ1984쓪5퓂,맺컱풺뻶뚨퓚뾪냬뺭볃쳘쟸뗄믹뒡짏,뷸튻늽뾪럅쳬뷲ꆢ짏몣ꆢ쟠떺뗈14룶퇘몣뾪럅돇쫐,삩듳돇쫐ퟔ훷좨,맄샸돇쫐닎폫뛔췢쎳틗,늢뛔췢짌춶룸폨뷏듳폅믝ꆣ퓚볆뮮떥쇐쫐훐,듳솬ꆢ쟠떺ꆢ쓾늨뫍맣훝튲쫴폚퇘몣뾪럅돇쫐횮쇐,듓뛸뻟폐룼뛠뗄폅믝쳵볾,헢퇹,컒쏇뇘탫냑퇘몣뾪럅헾닟뗄펰쿬업돽돶좥,뷢뻶랽램쫇닉폃춬튻쪡럝쓚뗄퇘몣뾪럅돇쫐뷸탐뛔뇈,퇌첨ꆢ컂훝뫍햿붭럖뇰뛔펦쟠떺ꆢ쓾늨뫍맣훝ꆣ평폚듳솬쎻폐뛔뇈돇쫐뿉틔톡퓱,틲듋퓚믘맩훐냑듳솬업돽ꆣ(3)뺭볃쳥훆ퟛ뫏룄룯쫔뗣ꆣ쯹폐뗄볆뮮떥쇐쫐뚼엤쳗뷸탐쇋뺭볃쳥훆뗄ퟛ뫏룄룯ꆣ룄룯듫쪩훷튪냼삨삩듳돇쫐뺭볃맜샭좨쿞,퓶볓닆헾훐돇쫐쇴돉뇈샽,쿂럅쪡늿쫴뗄듳웳튵,춬쪱쪵탐쫐쇬떼쿘뗄훆뛈ꆣ평폚쯹폐뗄볆뮮떥쇐쫐뚼쫇뺭볃쳥훆ퟛ뫏룄룯뗄돇쫐,틲듋뇘탫튪냑쳥훆ퟛ뫏룄룯뗄틲쯘뫍볆뮮떥쇐뗄틲쯘럖샫ꆣ닉좡뗄냬램쫇업돽뛔뇈돇쫐훐뗄럇뺭볃쳥훆ퟛ뫏룄룯돇쫐ꆣ탒퓋뗄쫇,듓1984쓪뾪쪼,좫맺뻍틑뺭폐50뛠룶돇쫐퓚뷸탐헢랽쏦뗄룄룯(킻쏷룉,1985),컒쏇ퟮ퓧뿉틔쓃떽1987쓪뻍틑뺭뷸탐ퟛ뫏쳥훆룄룯뗄돇쫐쏻떥ꆣ퓚뛔뇈돇쫐ퟩ훐훰튻쳞돽럇뺭볃쳥훆ퟛ뫏룄룯돇쫐,좻뫳퓙뛔1987쓪틔뫳뗄쫽뻝뷸탐믘맩ꆣ춨맽틔짏훖훖컈붡탔볬퇩,컒쏇랢쿖볆뮮떥쇐뇤솿퓚뻸듳뛠쫽믘맩훐뗄뇭쿖폫풭쪼뷡싛쫇튻훂뗄,벴퓚믬뫏믘맩훐뇭쿖쿔훸,떫쫇퓚쪡쓚췢럖ퟩ믘맩훐뗄뇭쿖듦퓚쿔훸닮틬,헢뇭쏷풭쪼뗄믘맩뷡맻쫇뇈뷏뿉뾿뗄ꆣ쇹ꆢ뷡ꆡ싛볆뮮떥쇐쫇훐맺룄룯맽돌훐쯹쳘폐뗄쿖쿳,훐퇫헾뢮냑쿠떱폚쪡튻벶뗄뺭볃맜샭좨쿞쿂럅룸돇쫐ꆣ헢훖럅좨늻뷶쫇닆헾짏뗄,뛸쟒쫇듓쿮쒿짳엺떽췢쎳뷸돶뿚뗈뛠랽쏦좨솦뗄헻쳥쿂럅ꆣ뛔떥쇐돇쫐뛸퇔,쯤좻쯼뮹쫜떽훐퇫헾뢮뗄맜샭,떫쫇듓듋믱뗃쇋잰쯹캴폐뗄뺭볃ퟔ훷좨ꆣ맜샭닣듎뗄쯵뛌쿔좻폐샻폚탅쾢뗄뒫뗝,폐샻폚뿬쯙ힼ좷뗘ퟶ돶뺭볃뻶닟,쫐벶헾뢮뿉틔듓킧싊뛸늻쫇듓욽뫢뗄뷇뛈살럖엤룷훖풴,틲듋,헻쳥뺭볃킧싊믡쯦ퟅ볆뮮떥쇐뗄쪵탐뛸쳡룟ꆣ듓놾컄뗄쪵횤럖컶살뾴,헢훖뺭볃짏뗄럅좨좷쪵듳듳쳡룟쇋킧싊ꆣ떫쫇,헢훖듙뷸ퟷ폃퓚쪡쓚췢횮볤듦퓚쿔훸닮틬ꆣ뻍볆뮮떥쇐뛸퇔,뷶폐짙쫽횤뻝뇭쏷럅좨쪹뗃돇쫐폫놾쪡웤쯻돇쫐횮볤뗄킧싊닮뻠뇤듳,떫쫇좴폐쿠떱횤뻝뇭쏷떥쇐쫐폫쪡췢돇쫐뗄닮뻠풽삭풽듳ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗뫎럣ꆢ돂죙,2004ꆶ:뺭볃뾪럅뛈뛔훐맺뺭볃킧싊뗄펰쿬ꆪꆪꆪ믹폚뿧쪡쫽뻝뗄쪵횤럖컶ꆷꆶ,쫽솿뺭볃벼쫵뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚3웚,뗚18ꆪ24튳ꆣ뫮뺰탂ꆢ웑짆탂뫍키뷰돉,2006ꆶ:탐헾쟸뮮폫쟸폲맜샭ꆷ,훐맺죋쏱듳톧돶냦짧ꆣ삼틋짺,2002ꆶ:뛔췢뾪럅뛈폫뗘쟸뺭볃퓶뎤뗄쪵횤럖컶ꆷꆶ,춳볆퇐뺿ꆷ뗚2웚,뗚19ꆪ22튳ꆣ짲솢죋ꆢ듷풰뎿,1990ꆶ:컒맺ꆰ훮뫮뺭볃ꆱ뗄탎돉벰웤뇗뛋뫍룹풴ꆷꆶ,뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚3웚,뗚12ꆪ19튳ꆣ췴탛붣,2005ꆶ:쫕죫쮰ꆢ릫릲놾쪹폃럑폫짧믡뢣샻틔벰뛔훐맺뺭볃퓶뎤뗄펰쿬ꆷ,놱뺩듳톧맢뮪맜샭톧풺늩쪿뇏튵싛컄ꆣ컢뺴,2003ꆶ:떱듺훐맺뺭볃룄룯ꆷ,짏몣풶뚫돶냦짧ꆣ킻쏷룉,1985ꆶ:1984쓪훐맺릤튵룅뿶ꆷ,퓘폚ꆶ훐맺뺭볃쓪본1985ꆷ,뺭볃맜샭돶냦짧ꆣ훜샨낲,2004ꆶ:뷺짽늩�훐헾뢮맙풱뗄벤샸폫뫏ퟷ:볦싛컒맺뗘랽놣뮤훷틥뫍훘뢴붨짨컊쳢뎤웚듦퓚뗄풭틲ꆷꆶ,뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚6웚,뗚33ꆪ40튳ꆣ훜샨낲ꆢ돂,2005ꆶ:훐맺얩듥쮰럑룄룯뗄헾닟킧맻:믹폚쮫훘닮럖쒣탍뗄맀볆ꆷꆶ,뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚8웚,뗚44ꆪ53튳ꆣ훜튵낲ꆢ럫탋풪뫍헔볡틣,2004ꆶ:뗘랽헾뢮뺺헹폫쫐뎡훈탲뗄훘릹ꆷꆶ,훐맺짧믡뿆톧ꆷ뗚1웚,뗚56ꆪ65튳ꆣEvans,P.,,1994,ꆰAreGovernmentActivitiesProductive?ꆱ,ReviewofEconomicsand27' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
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