뗚27뻭 뗚9웚 뿆?벼?뷸?늽?폫?뛔?닟 May. 2010 Science & Technology Progress and 2010쓪5퓂 뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋훐뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄펰쿬틲쯘럖컶?1,21탬낮뚫ꎬ쇺?폂 (1.)훘쟬듳톧 뺭볃폫릤짌맜샭톧풺ꎬ훘쟬 400030ꎻ2.훘쟬릤짌듳톧 뺭볃폫쎳틗톧풺ꎬ훘쟬 400067 햪?튪ꎺ쳡돶쇋럧쿕ꆢ탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧횮볤뗄룅쓮쒣탍ꎬ닉폃랽닮럖컶뗄랽램ꎬ뛔룅쓮쒣탍냼몬뗄룷훖볙짨ퟶ쪵횤럖컶ꆣ퇐뺿뷡맻뇭쏷ꎺ컒맺뗄뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤뗄뫏ퟷ쫇럇샭탔뗄ꎬ탅죎늻쫇붨솢퓚뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄믹뒡짏ꎬ뫏ퟷ훐췹췹늻뾼싇럧쿕뛔벨킧뗄펰쿬ꎬ횻훘쫓막좨뫏ퟷ뗄랽쪽ꆣ 맘볼듊ꎺ뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋ꎻ뫏ퟷ벨킧ꎻ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽ꎻ뫏ퟷ럧쿕ꎻ탅죎 훐춼럖샠뫅ꎺF271??컄?쿗뇪쪶싫ꎺA???컄헂?뇠뫅ꎺ1001–7348(2010)09–0001–05뺺헹뛔쫖뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧냼삨돉놾럖첯ꆢ뫋탄쓜솦뗄킭춬ꆢ1 쒣탍폫볙짨 뇞닟돉풱쳡룟릤ퟷ킧싊뫍뒴퓬룼뛠샻죳ꆣ풴싛듓뫏ퟷ럖 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧 즢럧쿕ꆢ붻뮻풴ꆢ춻웆쫐뎡뇚생ꆢ쪵쿖맦쒣뺭볃뫍킭춬ꏛ9ꏝKilling뫍Yoshino & Rangan붫솪쏋럖캪3샠: 럇뒫춳뺭볃뗈랽쏦럖컶쇋솪쏋벨킧ꆣ쯻쏇죏캪솪쏋뷡릹쒣쪽뛔솪탎쪽뗄뫏춬ꆢ쿠뮥닎막솪쏋뫍막럝뫏웳튵ꆣ놾컄붫뫏ퟷ쒣쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬뫜맘볼ꎬ늻춬뗄햽싔솪쏋뷡릹쒣쪽뻶뚨햽싔ꏛ1ꏝ쪽럖캪막좨쪽뫍럇막좨쪽솽훖ꆣ붻틗돉놾싛죏캪늻춬뗄솪쏋솪쏋뗄벨킧늻춬ꆣ듳뛠쫽맘폚햽싔솪쏋뷡릹뗄퇐뺿쪹폃ꏛ2ꏝ뷡릹쒣쪽춶죫뗄돉놾늻춬ꎬ막좨쒣쪽뿉틔춨맽쏼쇮살놣횤쮫뗄럖샠램쫇막좨쪽뗄솪쏋뫍럇막좨쪽뗄솪쏋ꆣ뫏ퟷ웳튵랽뗄탐캪뿉놻볠닢ꎬ늢폫벤샸훆뛈놣돖튻훂ꆣ춬쪱ꎬ막좨쓜횮볤뇘좻믡룹뻝웤쯹쏦쇙럧쿕뗄훖샠ꆢ듳킡벰뿉쓜탔뗄늻릻쪹웳튵뗄샻틦릲짺ꎬ쳡릩튻룶볠뚽닎폫헟탐캪뗄믹뒡ꎬ틔춬ꎬ뛸뛔햽싔솪쏋뗄뷡릹쒣쪽뷸탐톡퓱ꆣ붻틗돉놾싛죏캪붵뗍쒳룶닎폫헟뷸탐춶믺탐캪뗄뿉쓜탔ꆣ룹뻝막좨뷸탐샻틦뫏ퟷ럧쿕춨맽펰쿬웳튵볤뫏ퟷ쒣쪽틔믱뗃ퟮ킡붻틗돉놾ꎬ럖엤ꎬ뇘좻믡듙뷸닎폫헟횮볤룼볓쏜쟐뗄뫏ퟷꆣ평폚막좨솪뷸뛸펰쿬웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧ꆣ뮹폐톧헟죏캪탅죎쫇솪쏋맜샭쏋뇈웵풼솪쏋룼쓜듙뷸웳튵볤횪쪶뗄붻쇷폫뒫능ꎬ붵뗍뫋탄뗄뫋탄뇤솿ꎬ쫇캬돖짌튵뫏ퟷ맘쾵뗄훷쿟ꎬ복짙쇋웵풼볠ꏛ10,11ꏝ샻닺뫍쳘폐벼쫵쇷쪧뗄뿉쓜탔ꎬ쯹틔솪쏋쒣쪽풽뿘뫍쾸뮯ꎬ쳡릩쇋뫏ퟷ뗄컯훊벤샸ꎬ복짙쇋늻좷뚨탔ꆣ퓚뷓뷼막좨쒣쪽ꎬ솪쏋벨킧풽룟ꆣ틲듋ꎬ놾컄쳡돶볙짨1ꎺ 쪵볹훐ꎬ튻랽쏦ꎬ랢짺퓚뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤뗄솪쏋뫏ퟷ돊쿖볓ꏛ3,4ꏝH1:뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤닉좡막좨뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뇈럇막좨쒣쪽뗄쯙퓶뎤뗄쟷쫆ꎬ돉릦뗄뺺뫏솪쏋뗄쫕틦싊튪뇈릤튵욽ꏛ5ꏝ솪쏋벨킧룟ꆣ 뻹쮮욽룟뫜뛠ꎻ쇭튻랽쏦ꎬ튻킩뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤벴쪹듦퓚쏷쿔뗄뫏ퟷ잰뺰ꎬ튲늻풸틢뫏ퟷꆣ샽죧훐맺뗧탅쓾뿉췸싧 뫏ퟷ럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧 쿐훃ꎬ튲늻풸틢뫍뺺헹뛔쫖뫏ퟷ릲붨췸싧ꆣ쎻폐뷓죫췸뗄뫏ퟷ럧쿕뿉쓜살ퟔ쫐뎡뗄늻좷뚨탔ꆢ벼쫵뗄늻좷뚨탔뫍ꏛ12ꏝ웳튵늻쫇좥ퟢ쇞뇰죋뗄췸싧ꎬ뛸쫇붨솢웰ퟔ벺뗄췸싧췵맺캥풼뗄럧쿕ꆣ듓럧쿕뷇뛈뗄퇐뺿죏캪ꎬ릫쮾뗄맜샭헟춨ꏛ6ꏝꏛ7ꏝꎬ헢떼훂쇋컒맺뗧탅췸싧훘뢴붨짨뫍풴샋럑ꆣ 맽뛔릫쮾캴살퓚햽싔솪쏋훐뿉쓜폶떽뗄럧쿕뗄훖샠뫍돌뛈틔짏퇐뺿뇭쏷ꎬ탅죎ꆢ럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔뺺헹탔햽싔뗄움볛살톡퓱늻춬뗄맦뇜랽램ꆣ평폚햽싔솪쏋뗄룷훖뷡릹쒣솪쏋뗄벨킧폐훘튪펰쿬ꆣ캪쇋룣쟥캪쪲쎴폐뗄뛔쫖횮볤풸쪽뻟폐ퟔ짭뗄쳘탔ꎬ퓚맦뇜럧쿕뗄훖샠뫍쓜솦짏룷늻쿠춬ꎬꏛ13ꏝ틢뫏ퟷꎬ뛸폐뗄뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤좴늻풸틢뫏ퟷꎬ놾컄폃쪵횤쯹틔쪹뗃릫쮾뛔쎿튻훖뷡릹쒣쪽뗄톡퓱욫뫃늻춬ꆣ 뗄랽램살퇐뺿뺺헹탍햽싔솪쏋뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧벰웤펰쿬틲쯘횮듓붻틗돉놾뺭볃톧뗄싟벭살뾴ꎬ뫏ퟷ럧쿕춨맽펰쿬웳볤뗄맘쾵ꆣ퓚뛔컒맺웳튵훐뺺헹뛔쫖뗄뫏ퟷퟶ맣랺뗷닩뗄튵볤뫏ퟷ쒣쪽틔믱뗃붻틗돉놾ퟮ킡뮯ꎬ벴춨맽폫뫏쫊뗄뫏믹뒡짏ꎬ첽쳖쇋훐맺쪽뗄탅죎ꆢ럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔뺺헹탔ퟷ쒣쪽욥엤살펰쿬웳튵볤뫏ퟷ돉놾뿘훆ꎬ늢뷸뛸펰쿬웳튵햽싔솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬ꆣ 볤뫏ퟷ벨킧ꆣ평폚막좨쪽폫럇막좨쪽솪쏋퓚맦뇜벨킧럧쿕쫕룥죕웚ꎺ2009–05–12 믹뷰쿮쒿ꎺ맺볒ퟔ좻뿆톧믹뷰쿮쒿(70672012/G0201) ()ퟷ헟볲뷩ꎺ탬낮뚫1972–ꎬ쓐ꎬ뫾쓏퓀퇴죋ꎬ훘쟬릤짌듳톧뺭쎳톧풺뢱뷌쫚ꎬ훘쟬듳톧뺭볃폫릤짌맜샭톧풺늩쪿퇐뺿짺ꎬ퇐뺿랽쿲캪웳튵햽싔맜샭ꆢ쫽솿뺭볃톧ꎻ쇺폂(1963–)ꎬ쓐ꎬ훘쟬죋ꎬ훘쟬듳톧뺭볃폫릤짌맜샭톧풺뢱풺뎤ꆢ뷌쫚ꆢ늩쪿짺떼쪦ꎬ퇐뺿랽쿲캪햽싔맜샭뫍럧쿕춶ꆣ
뿆벼뷸늽폫뛔닟 2010쓪?· 2 · 랽쏦뗄쓜솦늻춬ꎬ틲듋뷸탐햽싔솪쏋뗄릫쮾뇘좻믡룹뻝웤H3b:뺺헹뛔쫖볤탅죎돌뛈풽룟ꎬ웳튵풽쟣쿲폚쪹폃럇쯹쏦쇙럧쿕뗄훖샠ꆢ듳킡벰뿉쓜탔뗄늻춬움볛ꎬ뛸뛔햽싔막좨쪽뫏ퟷꎻ 솪쏋뗄뷡릹쒣쪽뷸탐톡퓱ꆣ췾솮쒷즭죏캪ꎬ뮷뺳늻좷뚨탔H3c:뺺헹뛔쫖볤탅죎돌뛈룟ꎬ뛸쟒쪹폃막좨쪽뫏ퟷ쪱ꎬ풽룟ꎬ쮫랽풽쟣쿲폚듓쫂믺믡훷틥탐캪ꎬ웳튵쯹쏦쇙뗄럀웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧ퟮ룟ꆣ 랶돉놾튲뻍풽룟ꎬ틲듋탨튪폃막좨쪽뫏ퟷ쒣쪽살쪵쿖폐킧잰컄뗄볙짨짦벰4룶훷튪횸뇪틲ퟓꎬ럖뇰쫇뫏ퟷ럧쿕ꆢ훎샭ꆣ 웳튵볤탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧ꎻ볓죫룷룶틲ퟓꏛ14ꏝ헅펧퓲횸돶컒맺웳튵볤뺭볃믮뚯훐맣랺듦퓚ퟅꆰ뗍()뗄캬뛈뫳볻 횸뇪톡퓱ꎬ붨솢룅쓮쒣탍죧춼1쯹쪾ꆣ쒣탅폃ꆱꆢꆰ캥풼ꆱ쿖쿳ꆣ뗍탅폃쫇웳튵퓚탍웚짧믡(맘쾵탍훐뫏ퟷ럧쿕ꆢ웳튵볤탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽3룶틲ퟓ뚼횱뷓펰췸싧)뷡릹뗄쿖ힴ쿂놾쓜뗄믲폐틢쪶뗄짺듦닟싔뫍탐캪톡쿬뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧ꎬ뫏ퟷ럧쿕뫍웳튵볤탅죎뮹퓱ꆣ틲듋ꎬ헢훖ힴ뿶퓶볓쇋뫏ퟷ뗄캥풼럧쿕ꆣ웳튵뫏샭맦펰쿬뫏ퟷ쒣쪽ꎬ듓뛸볤뷓펰쿬뫏ퟷ벨킧ꆣ 뇜럧쿕뗄튻룶훘튪쫖뛎쫇뫏ퟷ쒣쪽짏닉폃막좨쪽뫏ퟷꆣ틲H3a 뫏ퟷ 듋ꎬ놾컄쳡돶볙짨2ꎺ 럧쿕 H2a:뺺헹뛔쫖볤뫏ퟷ럧쿕풽룟ꎬ웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧풽뗍ꎻ H3b 뫏ퟷ 뫏ퟷ H2b:뺺헹뛔쫖볤뫏ퟷ럧쿕풽룟ꎬ웳튵풽쟣쿲폚쪹폃막벨킧 쒣쪽 H좨쪽뫏ퟷꎻ H2c:뺺헹뛔쫖볤뫏ퟷ럧쿕돌뛈룟ꎬ뛸쟒쪹폃럇막좨쪽H2b 믯냩 뫏ퟷ쪱ꎬ웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧ퟮ뗍ꆣ H2a 탅죎 탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧 춼1?뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋뫏ퟷ벨킧벰웤펰쿬틲쯘쒣탍 탅죎뻍쫇횸듦퓚폚솪쏋뫏ퟷ랽횮볤뗄룶죋닣듎뗄쿠탅뛔랽ꆢퟰ훘뫍폑틪ꆣKale뗈죋춨맽맘쾵놾살뷢쫍솪쏋벨2 퇐뺿랽램 킧ꎬ랢쿖솪쏋뫏ퟷ랽횮볤뗄맘쾵놾풽듳ꎬ톧쾰뗄돌뛈풽룟ꎻ솪쏋뫏ퟷ랽횮볤뗄맘쾵놾풽듳ꎬ뛔뫋탄뗄쮽폐닆닺 컊뻭뗷퇐 뗄놣뮤쓜솦풽잿ꆣGulati죏캪쿠뮥탅죎뿉틔붵뗍뇋듋뛔믺믡놾컄닉폃Likea5벶뿌뛈닢뛈뇤솿ꎬ쪱볤뿧뛈듓2008훷틥탐캪뗄떣탄ꆣ붻틗돉놾싛헟죏캪탅죎뿉틔복짙첸에뫍쓪3퓂훁2008쓪11퓂ꎬ틔훘쟬ꆢ짮?솽뗘뗄훆퓬튵ꆢ뗧붵뗍볠뚽솦뛈ꎬ듓뛸복짙릵춨뫍볠뚽돉놾ꎬ쳡룟솪쏋벨킧ꆣ탅튵뫍IT튵캪훷ꎬ뷸탐뷏듳랶캧뗄헽쪽뗷닩ꆣ놾듎뗷닩릲쿠뛔뛸퇔ꎬ틑뺭붨솢룐탔탅죎뗄뫏ퟷ믯냩횮볤뗄릵춨돉놾랢럅컊뻭400뛠럝ꎬ쫕믘컊뻭125럝ꎬ뺭럖컶뒦샭뫳ꎬ폐뫍볠뚽돉놾튪뗍폚샭탔탅죎ꎬ춬쪱뻟놸솽훖탅죎뗄뫏ퟷ믯킧컊뻭99럝ꆣ뗷퇐뗄뛔쿳뻸듳늿럖쫇웳튵뗄뢺퓰죋ꆢ닆컱냩듯떽쇋룐쟩뫍샻틦룟뛈튻훂뗄ힴ첬ꎬ뫏ퟷ킧싊ퟮ룟ꆣ 죋풱ꆢ춳볆죋풱뗈ꆣ 튻킩톧헟듓짧믡췸싧뗄뷇뛈퇐뺿쇋웳튵볤탅죎뛔웳튵 횸뇪톡퓱 ()볤뫏ퟷ쒣쪽톡퓱뗄펰쿬ꎬ죏캪솪쏋뷡릹뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쫇솪쏋맘뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄뛈솿튻횱뮹쎻폐탎돉튻쳗릫죏뗄탐횮폐킧쾵뗄죳뮬볁ꆣ쫐뎡듺뇭ퟅ샭탔뫏ퟷ뗄뷡맻ꎬ웵풼뫍탅죎뻍ꏛꏛ15ꏝꏛ 18ꏝ15ꏝ뗄횸뇪쳥쾵ꆣSeung붨솢쇋3훖튵벨뛔뫏ퟷ벨킧뷸탐쫇쯼뗄놣횤믺훆ꆣZolloꎬReuer뫍Singh뗄쪵횤뷡맻뇭뾼달ꎺꋙ뺭펪튵벨ꎬ죧튵컱솿퓶뎤ꆢ췪돉폐볆뮮뗄쒿뇪ꆢ훆쏷ꎬ믯냩쳘폐뗄뫏ퟷ뺭퇩폫뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뗄욥엤붫펰쿬웳튵볤퓬뗄샻죳ꆢ췪돉맍풱짺닺싊뗄뿉뷓쫜쮮욽ꆢ붵뗍떥캻돉놾뫍뫏ퟷ벨킧ꆣ평폚룶죋뗄폐쿞샭탔ꎬ췢퓚뮷뺳뗄뢴퓓탔뫍늻붵뗍뎬뛮돉놾ꎻꋚ죋솦풴튵벨ꎬ춨맽뾪랢쯼뗄샍뚯솦ꆢ믽좷뚨탔ꎬ웵풼쫇늻췪좫뗄ꎻ탅죎춨맽붵뗍뫍뷚풼붻틗돉놾샛맜샭벼쓜뫍캪햽싔쪵쪩뒴퓬ퟩ횯쓜솦살릹붨쓜솦뗄돌뛈ꎻ놣횤붻뮻붻틗뗄듯돉ꆣ쿖쪵짺믮훐ꎬ듳뛠쫽웵풼쫇틀삵쾰ꏛ19ꏝꋛ튻냣튵벨ꎬ쫇틀뻝폫얬솦ꆢ웚췻뗄뷡맻ꆣ샮훒퓆쪹폃()맟ꆢ돏탅ꆢ짹폾뗈랽쪽쪵훊뫋탄뻍쫇탅죎췪돉뗄ꎬ벴쪹쫇쇋햽싔쒿뇪췪돉뛈ꆢ튵컱퓶뎤솿ꆢ쫐뎡햼폐럝뛮퓶뎤ꆢ샻폐램싉잿훆솦뗄웵풼튲훷튪쫇퓶볓췾짥솦ꎬ벫짙춨맽램싉ꏛ16ꏝ죳퓶볓ꆢ짺닺뫍붻틗돉놾뗄붵뗍뗈횸뇪뛔햽싔솪쏋뗄벨킧(좥췪돉ꆣGulati1995)죏캪웳튵볤탅죎돌뛈풽룟ꎬ웳튵뷸탐럖컶ꆣ뾼싇놻뗷닩헟쳮킴컊뻭뗄삧쓑ꆢ뛈솿뗄쓑뛈틔풽쟣쿲폚쪹폃럇막좨쪽뫏ퟷꆣ웤쪵횤뷡맻뇭쏷ꎬ떱웳튵볤벰뺺헹탔뗄웳튵횮볤뗄벨킧뛈솿뗄쳘쫢탔ꎬ놾컄톡퓱뗄뫏붨솢뷏룟뗄탅죎맘쾵쪱ꎬ쮫랽믡룼쟣쿲폚닉폃럇막좨쪽뫏()ퟷ벨킧퇐뺿횸뇪캪ꎺ샻죳뗄퓶볓x뫍뺺헹폅쫆뗄쳡짽(x)ퟷꆣ 12ꏛ17ꏝ솽룶캬뛈ꆣ Whitley랢쿖:훐맺죋훷튪틔붻췹뺭퇩(냼삨룶죋짹폾ꏛ12ꏝ뛔폚뫏ퟷ럧쿕뗄닢솿ꎬSampsonꎬLawrence뫍Puranam벰맽좥붻췹ힴ뿶)뫍룶죋쳘탔(냼삨솽죋쳘폐뗄볈뚨맘쾵)붨닉폃닺튵벼쫵ꆢ뺺헹첬쫆뫍쫐뎡탨쟳쟷쫆뗈캬뛈살뫢솿솪릹탅죎ꆣ퓚훐맺뗄웳튵뫏ퟷ훐ꎬ뛔믯냩뗄탅죎쫇믹폚룶죋쏋뫏ퟷ럧쿕ꆣ놾컄죏캪뫏ퟷ럧쿕훷튪쫇뫏ퟷ훐벼쫵늻좷뚨맘쾵뗄탅죎ꎬ뻟폐뫜잿뗄룐쟩즫닊ꆣ헢폫컷랽뗄뺭펪뮷뺳탔ꆢ쫐뎡탨쟳뗄늻좷뚨탔뫍뫏ퟷ믯냩캥풼퓬돉뗄ꆣ틲듋ꎬ폐뫜듳뗄쟸뇰ꎬ훐맺웳튵솪쏋췹췹쎻폐룟쮮욽뗄풼뚨뫍룟놾컄붫웳튵볤뫏ퟷ럧쿕맩쓉캪ꎺ믯냩늻싄탐돐억뗄뿉쓜탔쮮욽뗄벨킧ꆣ틲듋ꎬ놾컄쳡돶볙짨3ꎺ ()()듳킡xꎬ닺욷탨쟳늨뚯쪹솪쏋쏉쫜쯰쪧뛠짙x뫍릲춬퇐H3a:뺺헹뛔쫖볤탅죎돌뛈풽룟ꎬ웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧풽룟ꎻ 34
뗚?웚?탬낮뚫ꎬ쇺?폂ꎺ뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋훐뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄펰쿬틲쯘럖컶?· 3 · ()뺿뾪랢돉릦뗄룅싊x3룶캬뛈ꆣ 뇭3?늻춬럧쿕뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄쿔훸탔닮틬 5맺췢뫜뛠톧헟뚼닉폃쮫랽뫏ퟷ뗄듎쫽살뫢솿탅죎돌Dependent Variable: 뫏ퟷ벨킧 뛈ꆣ컒쏇뗷닩랢쿖ꎬ훐맺뫜뛠웳튵볤뗄탅죎붨솢퓚뫏ퟷ쮫닮틬살풴 죽샠욽랽닮 ퟔ평뛈 뻹랽횵 F횵 쿔훸탔쮮욽. 랽뛔뇋듋죋욷뗄쇋뷢ꆢ뫏ퟷ뗄맛쓮뫍캥풼뗄돉놾듳킡뗈틲쯘뗄믹뒡횮짏ꎬ뛸캥풼뗄돉놾췹췹쫇훆풼뺺헹뛔쫖뗄튻룶럧쿕럖ퟩ 1 ()훘튪틲쯘ꆣ틲듋ꎬ놾컄닉폃뛔믯냩뗄죏쪶뗄짮뿌돌뛈xꎬ6뇭4?늻춬럧쿕뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄뻹횵 ()()쮫랽캥풼뗄돉놾듳킡x뫍뫏ퟷ뛔쮫랽뗄훘튪돌뛈x3룶78Dependent Variable: 뫏ퟷ벨킧 캬뛈살닢솿탅죎돌뛈ꆣ 럧쿕럖ퟩ 뻹횵 뇪ힼ닮 ()뫏ퟷ쒣쪽x럖럇막좨쪽뫏ퟷ뫍막좨쪽뫏ퟷ솽훖쒣쪽ꎬ9놾컄닉폃탩쓢뇤솿뫢솿ꎬ럖뇰짨럇막좨쪽뫏ퟷ캪0뫍막좨뗍럧쿕 0 2 쪽뫏ퟷ캪1ꆣ룟럧쿕 9 3 퓚볆쯣틲ퟓ뗄닢뛈횵쪱ꎬ뫜쓑횱뷓뫢솿룷룶캬뛈뗄쿠 럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧 뛔훘튪탔ꎬ놾컄닉폃틲ퟓ쯹냼몬뗄룷룶캬뛈뗄볲떥볓좨욽퓚뾼싇럧쿕뗄쟩뿶쿂ꎬ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬늻뻹횵볓틔뛈솿ꆣ ()쿔훸쿔훸탔쮮욽듳폚ꎬ볻뇭5ꎬ럧쿕뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뗄붻(닦쿮뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬튲늻쿔훸쿔훸탔쮮욽듳폚ꎬ볻 럖컶랽램 )뇭5ꆣ룹뻝뇭6ꎬ뿉틔뾴돶ꎬ솪쏋뫏ퟷ풽쟷뷼뗍럧쿕럇막좨쫗쿈ꎬ붫뫏ퟷ쒣쪽ퟷ캪뿘훆뇤솿ꎬ럖컶뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뇤솿뫏ퟷꎬ퓲솪쏋벨킧쮮욽풽뗍ꆣ룟럧쿕쟩뿶쿂ꎬ닉폃막좨뫏뛔벨킧뗄펰쿬ꆣ좻뫳ꎬ붫럧쿕ퟷ캪뿘훆뇤솿ꎬ럖컶럧쿕뛔ퟷ뗄랽쪽뗄솪쏋벨킧쮮욽ퟮ룟ꆣퟛ짏쯹쫶ꎬ볙짨2b돉솢뫍벨킧뗄펰쿬ꎻ붫럧쿕쮮욽뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽릲춬ퟷ캪뿘훆뇤솿ꎬ볙짨2c늻돉솢ꆣ 럖컶럧쿕쮮욽뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔벨킧뗄펰쿬ꆣퟮ뫳ꎬ붫탅죎ퟷ뇭5?늻춬럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쿂솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔닮틬 캪뿘훆뇤솿ꎬ럖컶탅죎뛔벨킧뗄펰쿬ꎻ붫탅죎쮮욽뫍뫏ퟷDependent Variable:솪쏋벨킧 쒣쪽ퟷ캪뿘훆뇤솿ꎬ럖컶탅죎쮮욽뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔벨킧뗄펰쿔훸탔쮮쿬ꆣ퓚럖컶랽램짏ꎬ놾컄닉폃랽닮럖컶랽램ꎬ닉좡SPSS죭닮틬살풴 죽샠욽랽닮 ퟔ평뛈 뻹랽횵 F횵 욽. 볾뷸탐럖컶ꆣ볆쯣뗄맽돌훐ꎬ붫탅죎뫍럧쿕틔욽뻹횵캪뷧쿞ꎬ럖돉룟뗍솽룶ퟩ뇰ꎬ럖컶탅죎뫍럧쿕뗄룟뗍뛔뫏ퟷ쒣럧쿕럖ퟩ 1 쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬ꆣ 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 1 럧쿕럖ퟩ*뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 1 3 쪵횤뷡맻럖컶 뇭6?늻춬럧쿕ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쿂솪쏋벨킧뻹횵 Dependent Variable: 뫏ퟷ벨킧 늻춬뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쿂뗄솪쏋벨킧 럧쿕럖ퟩ 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 뻹횵 뇪ힼ닮 ()뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽킡폚볻뇭1ꎬ뗍럧쿕 럇막좨뫏ퟷ 0 3 쯹틔늻춬뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔솪쏋뗄벨킧닮틬쿔훸ꆣ룹뻝뇭2ꎬ뿉틔막좨뫏ퟷ 3 9 뾴돶ꎬ막좨뫏ퟷ뗄솪쏋벨킧(Mean= 5)폅폚럇막좨뫏ퟷ뗄솪쏋뗄벨킧(Mean= 6)ꆣퟛ짏쯹쫶ꎬ볙짨1쫇돉솢뗄ꆣ 룟럧쿕 럇막좨뫏ퟷ 7 6 뇭1?늻춬뗄뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄쿔훸탔닮틬 막좨뫏ퟷ 2 5 ?????????뫏?ퟷ?벨?킧????????To럇막좨뫏ퟷta l 6 2 닮틬살풴 죽샠욽랽닮 ퟔ평뛈 뻹랽횵 F횵 쿔훸탔쮮욽. 막좨뫏ퟷ 5 8 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 1 늻춬뗄탅죎뫍솪쏋벨킧 뇭2?늻춬뗄뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뗄뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄뻹횵 탅죎뫍솪쏋벨킧 Dependent Variable: 뫏ퟷ벨킧 ()탅죎뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽듳폚볻뇭7ꎬ쯹틔뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 뻹횵 뇪ힼ닮 늻춬탅죎뛔솪쏋뗄벨킧쎻폐쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ룹뻝뇭8ꎬ뿉틔뾴돶ꎬ럇막좨뫏ퟷ 6 2 뗍탅죎뗄솪쏋벨킧(Mean= 1)뇈룟탅죎뗄솪쏋벨킧막좨뫏ퟷ 5 8 (Mean= 3)룟ꆣ ퟛ짏쯹쫶ꎬ볙짨3a늻돉솢ꆣ 늻춬럧쿕쿂뗄솪쏋벨킧 뇭7?늻춬탅죎쿂솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔닮틬 럧쿕뫍솪쏋벨킧 Dependent Variable: 솪쏋벨킧 ()럧쿕뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽킡폚볻뇭3ꎬ쯹틔늻춬럧쿕뛔솪쏋벨킧펰쿬쿔훸ꆣ룹뻝뇭4ꎬ뿉틔뾴돶ꎬ뗍럧닮틬살풴 죽샠욽랽닮 ퟔ평뛈 뻹랽횵 F횵 쿔훸탔쮮욽. 쿕뗄솪쏋벨킧(Mean= 0)뇈룟럧쿕뗄솪쏋벨킧탅죎럖ퟩ -02 1 -02 (Mean= 9)뗍ꆣퟛ짏쯹쫶ꎬ볙짨2a쫇늻돉솢뗄ꆣ
뿆벼뷸늽폫뛔닟 2010쓪?· 4 · 뇭8?늻춬탅죎쿂솪쏋벨킧뗄뻹횵 볙짨3aꆢ볙짨3b뫍볙짨3c뚼늻돉솢ꎬ뇭쏷퓚컒맺뺺Dependent Variable: 뫏ퟷ벨킧 헹뛔쫖횮볤뗄탅죎돌뛈뫍웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧컞맘ꆣ훐맺쪽뗄탅죎럖ퟩ 뻹횵 뇪ힼ닮탅죎붨솢퓚웳튵뗄쇬떼횮볤뗄붻췹뺭퇩(냼삨룶죋짹폾벰맽 좥붻췹ힴ뿶)뫍룶죋쳘탔(냼삨솽죋쳘폐뗄볈뚨맘쾵)뗄믹뒡뗍탅죎 1 5 짏ꎬ뛸컷랽맺볒웳튵볒횮볤뗄탅죎붨솢퓚쒳킩샻틦맘쾵킭룟탅죎 3 8 뗷뗄믹뒡횮짏ꎬ쫇ힷ훰웳튵뺭펪샻틦ퟮ듳뮯뗄샭탔탅죎ꆣ 탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뫍솪쏋벨킧 틲듋훐맺쪽뗄탅죎늻쫇틔뫏ퟷ벨킧캪뫋탄뗄탅죎ꎬ뛸쟒컞퓚뾼싇탅죎뗄쟩뿶쿂ꎬ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬쿔싛탅죎돌뛈룟뗍뚼쟣쿲닉좡막좨쪽뫏ퟷꆣ헢룶뷡싛뫍컷랽()훸쿔훸탔쮮욽킡폚ꎬ볻뇭9ꎬ탅죎뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뗄붻닦톧헟뗄뷡싛튲늻튻훂ꎬ떫쫇뫍맺쓚튻킩톧헟퇐뺿훐맺쟩뿶()쿮뛔솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬튲쿔훸쿔훸탔쮮욽킡폚ꎬ볻뇭9ꆣ뗄뷡싛튻훂ꆣ 룹뻝뇭10ꎬ뿉틔뾴돶ꎬ솪쏋뫏ퟷ풽쟷뷼뗍탅죎막좨뫏ퟷꎬ퓲솪쏋벨킧쮮욽풽룟ꆣ탅죎뗍늢닉폃막좨뫏ퟷ뗄랽쪽뗄솪5 ퟜ뷡 쏋벨킧쮮욽ퟮ룟ꆣퟛ짏쯹쫶ꎬ볙짨3b뫍볙짨3c늻돉솢ꆣ 뇭9?늻춬탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쿂솪쏋벨킧뗄쿔훸탔닮틬 춨맽샭싛럖컶뫍쪵횤볬퇩ꎬ맘폚탅죎ꆢ럧쿕뫍뫏ퟷ쒣Dependent Variable: 솪쏋벨킧 쪽뛔폚솪쏋벨킧뗄펰쿬ꎬ놾컄뗃돶죧쿂뷡싛ꎺ 닮틬살풴 죽샠욽랽닮 ퟔ평뛈 뻹랽횵 F횵 쿔훸탔쮮욽. (1)퓚훐맺뗄죋컄뮷뺳쿂ꎬ웳튵볤뗄탅죎늻쫇붨솢퓚솪쏋벨킧뗄믹뒡짏ꎬ뛸쫇붨솢퓚쒳킩쳘뚨맘쾵뗄믹뒡횮짏ꎻ탅죎럖ퟩ 1 쳘뚨뗄룶죋맘쾵폐훺폚쳡룟뫏ퟷ벨킧ꆣ 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 1 탅죎럖ퟩ*뫏ퟷ쒣(2)훐맺웳튵뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤뗄뫏ퟷ럧쿕뿘훆폫럱늻펰쿬 1 쪽 뫏ퟷꆣ랴펳쇋훐맺뗄쫐뎡뮹늻돉쫬ꎬ폈웤쫇맺폐웳튵ꎬ퓚뇭10?탅죎ꆢ뫏ퟷ쒣쪽쿂솪쏋벨킧뻹횵 뫏ퟷ훐뛔럧쿕뗄틢쪶쫇럇샭탔뗄ꆣ Dependent Variable: 솪쏋벨킧 (3)훐맺웳튵뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤뗄뫏ퟷ뇈뷏힢훘뫏ퟷ쒣쪽ꆣ탅죎럖ퟩ 뫏ퟷ쒣쪽 뻹횵 뇪ힼ닮 쫇럱뫍뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤릲춬펵폐막좨ꎬ릲춬펵폐뫏ퟷ쳥ꎬ췹췹돉캪펰쿬뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄훷튪틲쯘ꆣ 뗍탅죎 럇막좨뫏ퟷ 5 6 ퟜ뗄살뾴ꎬ평폚컒맺웳튵퓚맜샭럧쿕뿘훆뗈랽쏦폫맺막좨뫏ퟷ 0 5 췢릫쮾듦퓚뷏듳닮뻠ꎬ샭탔뗄탅죎늻쓜뫜뫃뗘횸떼웳튵뗄룟탅죎 럇막좨뫏ퟷ 7 0 탐캪ꆣ헢쳡탑컒맺웳튵퓚뺺헹탔햽싔뫏ퟷ훐펦룟뛈훘쫓럧막좨뫏ퟷ 9 4 쿕틢쪶뫍샭탔탅죎뗄엠퇸ꆣ쫗쿈웳튵뫍뺺헹뛔쫖뫏ퟷ쪱ꎬTota럇막좨뫏ퟷ l 9 8 튪톡퓱뻟폐뷏룟돏탅뛈ꎬ뛸쟒뛔뫏ퟷ폐뷏듳틀삵탔뗄믯냩ꆣ막좨뫏ퟷ 0 2 웤듎ꎬ캪웳튵펪퓬헽뎣뺺헹뗄쫐뎡뮷뺳럇뎣훘튪ꆣ헢훖헽뎣뗄쫐뎡믺훆ꎬ튻랽쏦놣헏뫏ퟷ룷랽돥돶럇샭탔뗄컳쟸ꎬ4 컊쳢쳖싛 훘쯜쫐뎡뺭볃훷쳥뗄탐캪ꎬ틔뇣퓚뫏ퟷ훐붨솢룟뛈뗄탅죎맘쾵ꆣ쇭튻랽쏦놣횤컒맺뷸죫WTO뫳ꎬ웳튵퓚뺺헹맽돌훐춨맽틔짏뗄쪵횤럖컶뿉틔뾴떽ꎬ볙짨1쫇돉솢뗄ꎬ쮵뮥쿠뫏ퟷꎬ훰붥쫊펦맺볊맺쓚뮷뺳ꆢ쫊펦쫐뎡뺺헹ꎬ퓚뫏쏷퓚컒맺ꎬ뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤닉좡막좨뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뇈럇막좨쒣쪽ퟷ훐믱뗃돉릦ꎬ퓚뺭펪튵벨ꆢ톧쾰뒴탂뫍뺺헹폅쫆랽쏦믱뗄솪쏋벨킧룟ꆣ헢폫붻틗돉놾싛뗄퇐뺿뷡맻튻훂ꆣ틲캪막뗃쫕틦ꆣ 좨쒣쪽뗄뫏ퟷꎬ쓜릻룼볓폐킧뗘뫍뺺헹뛔쫖탎돉샻틦릲춬쳥ꎬ쓜폐킧뗘뿘훆솪쏋뗄뫏ퟷꎬ쯹틔막좨뫏ퟷ쒣쪽솪쏋벨닎뾼컄쿗ꎺ 킧뷏룟ꆣ ꏛ1ꏝ?PARKHEꎬA. Strategic alliance structuringꎺ A game theory and 볙짨2a늻돉솢ꎬ볙짨2b돉솢ꎬ뺺헹뛔쫖횮볤뫏ퟷ럧transaction cost examination of interfirm cooperation ꏛJꏝ. 쿕풽룟ꎬ웳튵볤뫏ퟷ벨킧풽뗍ꆣ뇭쏷훐맺뗄웳튵뫍뺺헹뛔Acad. of Management Studiesꎬ1996(33)ꎺ827–844. 쫖횮볤뗄뫏ퟷ늢쎻폐뾼싇럧쿕뛔벨킧뗄펰쿬컊쳢ꎬ퓚쏦쇙ꏛ2ꏝ?TEECEꎬD. J. Competitionꎬcooperationꎬand innovationꎺ 뫏ퟷ럧쿕쪱ꎬ췹췹닉폃뫍뺺헹뛔쫖탎돉샻틦릲춬쳥뗄막좨organizational arrangements for regimes of rapid technological 쪽뫏ퟷꎬ듯떽뫍뛔랽헽뎣뗄뫏ퟷꎬ놣횤뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄쒿뗄ꆣprogress ꏛJꏝ. J. Econ. Behav. Organꎬ1992(18)ꎺ1–5. 볙짨2c늻돉솢ꎬ훷튪쫇틲캪럧쿕폫뫏ퟷ벨킧컞맘ꎬ떼훂럧ꏛ3ꏝ?DUSSAUGE P.ꎬGARRETTE B.ꎬMITCHELL W. Learning form 쿕뫍뫏ퟷ쒣쪽뗄붻닦쿮뛔뫏ퟷ벨킧쎻폐펰쿬ꆣ헢룶뷡싛뫍competing partnersꎺ outcomes and durations of scale and link 컷랽톧헟퇐뺿컷랽맺볒뗄쪵횤뷡싛늻춬ꎬ헢뿉쓜폫컒맺뗄alliances in EuropeꎬNorth America and Asia ꏛJꏝ. Strategic 맺폐웳튵뺭샭쫇헾훎볒뛸늻쫇웳튵볒ꎬ늻뚮뺭볃뫍뺭펪ꎬManagement Journalꎬ2000(21)ꎺ99–126. 늻뚮뺭펪ꆢ벼쫵뫍쫐뎡뗄럧쿕ꎬ듓뛸늻뾼싇럧쿕뛔뫏ퟷ뗄ꏛ4ꏝ?DAGNINO G. B.ꎬPADULA strategyꎺ a new kind 펰쿬폐맘ꆣ
뗚?웚?탬낮뚫ꎬ쇺?폂ꎺ뺺헹탔햽싔솪쏋훐뫏ퟷ벨킧뗄펰쿬틲쯘럖컶?· 5 · of interfirm dynamics for value creation ꏛRꏝ. EURAM – The Management Journalꎬ2005(26). European Academy of Management Second Annual Conference ꏛ13ꏝ?DAS T. K. Risk types and inter–firm alliance structures ꏛJꏝ. “Innovative Research in Management”ꎬStockholmꎬ2002. Journal of Management Studiesꎬ1996(33)ꎺ827–844. ꏛ5ꏝ?ZINELDIN –opetitionꎺthe organisation of the futureꏛJꏝ. ꏛ14ꏝ?헅펧.훐맺탍웚웳튵볤뺭볃믮뚯“뗍탅죎”캥풼쿖쿳뗄짧믡()Marketing Intelligence&Planningꎬ2004ꎬ22(6/7)ꎺ780–789. 톧뷢쫍ꏛJꏝ.낲믕듳톧톧놨헜톧짧믡뿆톧냦ꎬ2001(3). ꏛ6ꏝ?DUYSTERS GꎬDE MAN A PꎬWILDEMAN LꎮA network ꏛ15ꏝ?ZUCKERꎬL. of trustꎺ Instituional sources of approach to alliance managemenꏛtJꏝꎮEuropean Management economic structureꎬ1840–1920ꏛJꏝ.Research in Organizational Journalꎬ1999ꎬ17(2)ꎺ182–187. Behaviorꎬ1986(8)ꎺ53–112. ꏛ7ꏝ?뫎샚.헰뺪ꎺ훘뢴붨짨뫄뗴N룶죽쾿ꏛJꏝ.훐맺탅쾢뷧ꎬ2005(3)ꎺ ꏛ16ꏝ?SINGHꎬKULWANTꎬ-ati7. onꎺBusiness survival after partners shut down or form newꏛ8ꏝ?LILꎬPORTEUS E. Optimal operating policies for multiplant partnershipsꏛJꏝ.Strategic Management Journalꎬ 1996(17)ꎺstochastic manufacturing systems in a changing environment99–106. ꏛJꏝ. Management Scienceꎬ2001ꎬ47(11)ꎺ539–1551. ꏛ17ꏝ?WHITE SꎬLUIꎬ costsꎺ The cooperative side of an ꏛ9ꏝ?KILLINGꎬJ. Understanding alliancesꎺ the role of task and internal tension in alliancesꏛCꏝ.The Asia Academy of organizational complexity ꏛAꏝ.Inꎺ F. J.ꎬLorangeꎬPeds. Management Conferenceꎺ2007. Cooperative Strategies in International BusinessꏛCꏝ.Lexingtonꎬꏛ18ꏝ?PARKꎬSEUNG HOꎬROGER CHENꎬAND SCOTT MAꎺ Lexington Booksꎬ1988ꎺ55–68. resources as moderators of the relationship ꏛ10ꏝ?KOGUT venturesꎺ Theoretical and empirical perspebetween market growth and strategic alliances in semiconductor ctivesꏛJꏝ.Strategic Management Journalꎬ1988ꎬ9(4). start–upsꏛJꏝ.Academy of Management Journalꎬ2002ꎬ45(3)ꎺꏛ11ꏝ?PISANOꎬG. P. Using equity participation to support exchangeꎺ 527. Evidence from the biotechnology industryꏛJꏝ.Journal of Lawꎬꏛ19ꏝ?샮훒퓆ꎬ쇺폂ꎬ헅ퟚ틦.벼쓜탍햽싔솪쏋뫏ퟷ킧펦뫍웳튵쳖볛뮹()Economics and Organizationꎬ1989ꎬ5(1). 볛쓜솦쪵횤퇐뺿ꏛJꏝ.훐맺죭뿆톧ꎬ2004ꎬ16812ꎺ58–64. ꏛ12ꏝ?GULATI RꎬLAWRENCE P RꎬPURANAM in (퓰죎뇠벭ꎺ닩뺧뺧) Vertical RelatioashipsꎺBeyond Incentive ConflictꏛJꏝ.Strategic Influencing Factors of Collaboration Performance in Competitive Strategic Alliance 1,21 Xu Aidong, Long Yong( of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China; of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University of Bussines and Technology, Chongqing 400067, China)? Abstract: This paper has given the concepts about the risk, trust, cooperation and alliance performance, then it make an empirical analysis on the assumptions which concerned by the conceptual model,applying Variance Analysis. The results showed that the domestic cooperation between competitors is non-rational, trust is not built on the basis of cooperation performance, and pay more attention to the, without considering the impact of risk on cooperation performance. Key Words: Competing Strategic Alliances㬠Performance㬠Risk㬠Trust
