中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应X王少平 欧阳志刚ᅋ ေ:鉴于我国的城乡二元结构,使用泰尔指数更适宜度量和刻画我国的城乡收入差距及其变化特征b非线性阈值协整模型的进一步设定,揭示了我国改革开放以来城乡收入差距与实际经济增长的长期非线性关系b其长期效应的变化,在泰尔指数为01100处发生机制转移b1978)1991年,我国城乡收入差距对实际增长的长期效应为正;1992)1999年,收入差距对实际增长的效应由正向负平滑转换;1999年后,我国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长产生阻滞作用,且负效应呈逐年增加趋势bܱՍ:阈值协整 检验 城乡收入差距 实际经济增长 科学发展观作者王少平,华中科技大学经济学院教授(武汉 430074);欧阳志刚,博士研究生,华东交通科技大学经济管理学院讲师(南昌 330013)b၂aႄ ڿ۪ष٢࣍30,୍ݓࣜ࠶ॹؿᅚ,Ӭཔࣜ࠶֥ؽჭࢲܒބ/୪0໙,ีಯᇅჿሢݓӬཔࣜ࠶֥ླྀטؿᅚbؽჭࢲܒބࢳथ/୪0໙ี֥ނྏ൞ᄹࡆ୪൬ೆ,෪ཬӬཔ൬ೆҵएb୍࣍ࠫট,۴ऌ॓࿐ؿᅚܴ֥ေ,ݓᆟکҐ౼ਔ၂༢ਙᆟҦծീ:૧Ԣ୪ြඥѩؓ୪ြളӁࣉྛҀ์;ູิۚ୪ըস৯֥ିބൌགྷ୪ըস৯֥ሇ၍ൌྛ૧ٮࠇჍၛն৯ሧᇹ;ն৯ؿᅚ୪ը֥ྐ༏ຩބ୪ြ॓࢝ტ;ሢ৯ࣉ୪ըൌႨ॓ೆ;ࣉ၂҄ࡆնؓ୪ըၬༀ࢝ტ֥ೆ৯؇,ؓ୪ըࡅ๖֥࿐ളൌീ/ਆ૧၂Ҁ0;૧Ԣഽٓള࿐ٮ֩֩bՖࣜ࠶࿐ંॖᆩ,ದ৯ሧЧᇶေіགྷູসᆀ෮ႚႵ֥ᆩ്aିaসඃӱ؇ބࡲूሑঃ֩bؓႿݓ୪ط,ದ৯ሧЧᇶေЇݣ୪෮ႚႵ֥୪ြ॓ᆩ്ބൌീି֩bՖᆃ۱ၩၬഈඪ,ݓᆟکၛ୪ູЧ෮ൌീ֥ᆟҦ,ؓႿิۚ୪֥ದ৯ሧЧඣބ୪൬,ೆ୪ြ॓ࣉ,҄ၝᇅӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ঔն,ࡼӁളӉჹބധख़֥႕ཙbႮՎ෮ิԛ֥໙ี൞,ೂޅ؇ਈݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए?ೂޅࢣൕݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋ?ݓགྷࢨ؍֥୪ըᆟҦ,หљ൞ิۚ୪ըದ৯ሧЧඣ֥ᆟҦބծീ,ؓࣜ࠶֥Ӊ௹ᄹӉބӬཔླྀטؿᅚࡼӁളહ႕ཙ?ᆃུᆟҦ൞ڎऎႵൡൈྟބӉ௹ྟ?߭ճᆃུ໙ีູࠧЧ໓֥࣮ࠏbX Ч໓൳ݓࡅሱಖ॓࿐ࠎࣁ֥ሧᇹ,ཛଢщݼ:70571026bЧ໓ቔᆀหљۋ྆େബ۠ದ֥ྩڿၩ,ૌ۴ऌྩڿၩࣉྛਔಪᆇྩڿ,໓ᄳሱڵb#54#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应ݓଽຓ࿐ᆀؓ൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢ࣉྛਔധೆ࣮:Barro¹ಪ,ູ൬ೆҵए๙ݖ႕ཙളӁေط႕ཙమᄝӁԛ,ࣉط႕ཙࣜ࠶ᄹӉੱބࣜ࠶ᄹӉඣ,ѩ,൬ೆҵएؓӁԛࠇࣜ࠶ᄹӉੱ֥႕ཙ၇ঠႿൌ࠽ӁԛඣbPerssonބTabellinºiಪູ,ࣜ࠶ದࠒᇉބದ৯ሧЧ֥ࠏ൳֞ඥ൬ᆟҦ֥႕ཙ,ೂݔ๙ݖཟڶದᆘඥট෪ཬ൬ೆҵए,ࣼ߶ࢆ֮ದૌ֥ളӁࠒࠞ,ྟቋᇔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵ૫႕ཙbAghion֩ದ»ಪູ,ᄝྐվ൧ӆ҂ປൈ,ሧࠏ߶֥০Ⴈ၇ঠႿ۱ದ֥ሧӁބ൬ೆඣ,౫ದ۷ౠཟႿؓཌྷؓ߭Бੱ۷֥ۚದ৯ሧЧሧbݖᆃᇕࠏᇅ,൬ೆҵए֥༯ࢆ,ႵᇹႿ՜ࣉࣜ࠶ᄹӉb္ࣼ൞ඪ,൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥႕ཙݖӱ൞گᄖ,֥Ӂള֥ࢲݔ൞҂ಒק֥(ॖି൞ᆞཟིႋ,္ॖି൞ڵཟིႋ)bࣉ၂,҄GalorބMoav¼֥ંٳ༅ಪ,ູᄝࣜ࠶ؿᅚ֥ᄪ௹ࢨ؍ࠇࣜ࠶ԩႿࢠ֮ඣൈ,ᇉሧЧࠒ൞ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ᇶေჷಅ,൬ೆҵए֥ঔնႵ০ႿᇉሧЧ֥ࠒ,ൡ֥֒൬ೆҵएႵ০Ⴟࣜ࠶ᄹӉ;֒ದनGDP໊Ⴟࢠۚඣൈ,ದ৯ሧЧؓႿࣜ࠶ᄹӉᇯࡶఏሢᇶ֝ቔႨ,൬ೆҵए֥ঔնᇅჿਔ֮൬ೆᆀᄹࡆದ৯ሧЧሧ,ၹՎ,ᄝࣜ࠶ؿᅚԩႿࢠۚඣࠇದनGDPཌྷؓࢠۚൈ,ݖն֥൬ೆҵएቅᇌࣜ࠶ᄹӉbหљ,ֹAslanidis½ಪ,ູᄝ൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ܱ༢ᇏ,֒൬ೆҵएӑݖଖ၂ඣ(ӫఃູᚐᆴ)ൈ,൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢Ⴎ၂ᇕࠏᇅሇ၍֞ਸ਼၂ᇕࠏᇅ,ؓႋ֥൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋؿളሇߐbՖݓ֥ൌ࠽Мࣟ,ुڿ۪ष٢֥Ԛ௹ᇀ20ൗࡀ90୍սᇏ௹,֒ൈ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएཌྷؓࢠཬ,ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ؇ࢠॹ,ᆃ၂གྷའ൞ڎၩሢ֒ൈ֥൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ҂ࣇીႵӁളቅᇌིႋ,ߎॖି՜ࣉਔ֒ൈ֥ൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ?ط୍࣍টෛሢݓࣜ࠶֥ࢠॹؿᅚ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएӻ࿃ঘն,ᆃ൞ڎቅᇌਔ୍࣍ট֥ൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ?ೂՎ,ݓڿ۪ष٢ު֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएࠣఃэ߄,ؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ൞ڎӁളਔ҂ི֥ႋ?གྷթ໓ངᇏ,ܱႿ൬ೆҵएაᄹӉ֥ൌᆣ࣮ࢲݔაഈඍંٳ༅ࠎЧ၂ᇁbPero¾tti০Ⴈ67۱ݓࡅ֥ޘࢩ૫ඔऌ,ၛࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣ(ႨದनGDP؇ਈ,ّ႘൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉੱི֥ႋ၇ঠࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣ)a൬ೆҵएቔູᇶေ֥ࢳэਈ,ఃࢲં,ູ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉऎႵڵིႋbForbes¿০Ⴈ45۱ݓࡅ֥૫ϰඔऌ,ႨაPerottiཌྷර֥ଆഡק,ఃࢲંູ,൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥؋௹ބᇏ௹(5୍ଽ)ིႋູᆞbBanerjeeބDufloÀಪູ,ᆞ൞ႮႿޭ൪൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ႕ཙ֥٤ཌ,ྟ֝ᇁൌᆣ࣮Ӂള҂၂ᇁ֥ࢲં,ૌؿགྷૅݓ֥ࣜ࠶ᄹ¹,÷EconomicGrowthinaCross-SectionofCountries,"QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,,(May1991),)444.º,÷IsInequalityHarmfulforGrowth?"TheAmericanEconomicReview,,(Jun1994),)621.»,,÷InequalityandEconomicGrowth:ThePerspectiveoftheNewGrowthTheories,"JournalofEconomicLiterature,,(),)1660.¼,÷FromPhysicaltoHumanCapitalAccumulation:InequalityintheProcessofDevelopment,"ReviewofEconomicStudies,,(),)1026.½,÷IncomeInequalityandGrowth:ARegime-SwitchingApproach,",WorkingPaper,DepartmentofEconomics,UniversityofCrete,Greece,2004.¾,Growth,÷IncomeDistributionandDemocracy,"JoumalofEconomicGrowth,,(June1996),)187.¿,÷AReassessmentoftheRelationshipbetweenInequalityandGrowth,"AmericanEconomicReview,,(),)887.À,÷InequalityandGrowth:WhatCantheDataSay?"JournalofEconomicGrowth,,(),)299.#55#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期Ӊੱ൞൬ೆҵए֥֚/U0ݦඔ,ѩ൬ೆҵए֥э߄߶֝ᇁࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥༯ࢆbBarro¹ູॉҳ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉིႋაࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣ֥٤ཌྟܱ༢,ᄝࢳэਈᇏ҂ࣇЇও൬ೆҵए,ߎЇও൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣ(ၛದनGDPіൕ)֥ࢌቔႨཛ,ႨૅݓބOECDݓࡅ֥ॴݓޘࢩ૫ඔऌଆ,ࢲݔіૼ,ؿղݓࡅ൬ೆ҂नაࣜ࠶ᄹӉᆭࡗ൞ᆞཟܱ༢,طᄝؿᅚᇏݓࡅ,ਆᆀᆭࡗ൞ڵཟܱ༢bFrankºၛ൬ೆҵएބ൬ೆҵएაದनGDP֥ࢌቔႨཛቔູࢳэਈ,Ⴈ૫ϰླྀᆜٚمؿགྷૅݓ۲ᇜ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵིႋbAslanidis»Ⴈ69۱ݓࡅ֥૫ϰඔऌ,ѩٳљႨ႕ཙ൬ೆٳ֥эਈ(ᆟکᆦԛa๙ࠊளᅮ֩)ູᚐᆴэਈ,ؿགྷ൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢ऎႵࠏᇅሇ၍หᆘbഈඍൌᆣ࣮іૼ,൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋ၇ঠႿࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣބ൬ೆҵएඣ,ႮՎؿള٤ཌྟሇ၍bݓ҂ࣜ࠶ؿᅚࢨ؍෮ؓႋ֥൬ೆҵएऎႵࢠնэ߄,ၹՎഈඍࢲં࣮ؓݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋႵᇗေ֥ࢹၩၬbಖط,Banerjee,Duflo¼ބAslanidis½֩ෙಖॉ੮ਔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥٤ཌྟིႋ,ૌ֥࣮ࡌק൬ೆҵए൞໗эਈ,ᆃ၂ׄაݓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ඔऌหᆘޓॖି҂၂ᇁbݓ࿐ᆀລaғᄁᇝᄎႨѓሙླྀᆜંބ۫ধࢭၹݔဒٳ༅ਔݓं൬ೆҵएؓሧაࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢¾,ؿགྷӬᆓं൬ೆҵएঔն֝ᇁሧࢲܒᇏᇗ۽ြбᇗᄹն,ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ؇ิ,ۚ୪ըଽ҆൬ೆҵएؓሧࢲܒ႕ཙ҂ཁᇷb૿֩ࠎႿ৳৫ٚӱބٳ҃ᇌުଆؓݓ1987)2001୍֥സ࠽૫ϰඔऌ࣮ؿགྷ,¿൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥႕ཙູڵbഒaဝᆽېႨ1979)2004୍֥സ࠽૫ϰඔऌÀ,ܒᄯ૫ϰླྀᆜଆ,ؿགྷᄝڿ۪Ԛ௹ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋູᆞ,གྷࢨ؍ི֥ႋູڵbݓଽຓቋྍ֥ંაൌᆣ࣮नіૼ,൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋ၇ঠႿ൬ೆҵएඣބࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣطऎႵ٤ཌྟหᆘbႮႿݓ҂ࣜ࠶ؿᅚࢨ؍෮ؓႋ֥൬ೆҵए֥э߄ࢠն,ഈඍࢲં࣮ؓݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋႵᇗေ֥ࢹၩၬbЧ໓ࡼᆌؓݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣ֥ဆэหᆘطࡹ৫٤ཌྟᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ,ᆭุགྷݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ؿᅚི֥ႋၹ൬ೆҵएඣބࣜ࠶ؿᅚࢨ؍֥҂ط҂,ࣉطႨ٤ཌྟቋཬؽӰم(DNLS)ܙ࠹ଆၛཨԢଽള,ྟѩࠎႿDNLS֥җҵࠣఃٳॶൌགྷᚐᆴླྀᆜဒ,ၛՎ࣮ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაࣜ࠶ᄹӉᆭࡗ൞ڎթᄝ٤ཌྟᚐᆴིႋb¹,÷InequalityandGrowthinaPanelofCountries,"JournalofEconomicGrowth,,(),)32.º,÷.:APanelCoIntegrationApproach,"WorkingPaper,SamHoustonStateUniversity,2005.»,÷IncomeInequalityandGrowth:ARegime-SwitchingApproach."¼,÷InequalityandGrowth:WhatCantheDataSay?"½,÷IncomeInequalityandGrowth:ARegime-SwitchingApproach."¾ҕລaғᄁᇝ:5ڿ۪ष٢ၛট൬ೆٳؓሧЧࠒࠣሧࢲܒ֥႕ཙ6,5ᇏݓഠ߶॓࿐62006୍ֻ1௹b¿ҕ૿aӧ᪒aຣܼ:5ၹߑܪ,طߑ҂न)))ᇏݓ֥൬ೆҵएaሧa࢝ტބࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ཌྷቔႨ6,5ࣜ࠶࣮62005୍ֻ12௹bÀҕഒaဝᆽې:5ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥؇ਈࠣఃؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋ6,5ࣜ࠶࣮62007୍ֻ10௹b#56#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应ؽaݓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉაӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆഡק(၂)ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥؇ਈࠣఃဆэหᆘᄝགྷႵ໓ངᇏ,ӈႨӬᆓದनॖᆦ൬ೆა୪ըದनՂ൬ೆᆭбট؇ਈӬཔ൬ೆҵएbᆃ၂؇ਈٚمીႵّ႘Ӭཔದ१෮ᅝбᇗ֥э߄,ႮႿݓ൞၂۱୪ြնݓ,Ӭཔࣜ࠶ӯགྷԛཁᇷ֥ؽჭࢲܒ,୪ըದ१ᅝႵधؓն֥бᇗ,ၹՎᆃ၂؇ਈٚم҂ିሙಒ؇ਈݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएbࠎୄ༢ඔ൞ࡼሹದ१߃ٳູ҂֥൬ೆࢨҪ,ၹط෮؇ਈ֥൞ሹ֥൬ೆҵएط҂൞ؓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ሙಒ؇ਈbЧ໓ᆌؓݓ֥ؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒ,ࠎႿShorrocks¹֥࣮طקၬ؇ਈݓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥غᆷඔbၛdistіൕtൈ௹֥غᆷඔ,ఃקၬބ࠹ෘ܄ൔ:ູ2 dist=Epjtzjttp1tz1t)=p1()lnpjt(/()ln(/)+p2t2tz2t()lnp(/)(1)j=1ptptztptptztptptztఃᇏ,j=1,2ٳљіൕӬᆓބ୪ըֹ,zjtіൕtൈ௹Ӭᆓ(j=1)ࠇ୪ը(j=2)ದ१ඔਈ,ztіൕtൈ௹֥ሹದ१,pjtіൕӬᆓ(j=1)ࠇ୪ը(j=2)֥ሹ൬ೆ(Ⴈཌྷႋ֥ದ१ބದन൬ೆᆭࠒіൕ),ptіൕtൈ௹֥ሹ൬ೆb҂ुԛ,Ч໓קၬ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए(غᆷඔ)൮༵൞ٳљ࠹ෘӬaཔ൬ೆٺحაದ१ٺحᆭб֥ሱಖؓඔ,ಖުᄜႨӬཔ൬ೆٺحቔູಃඔ,ࣉྛࡆಃनط֤֞bၹՎ,Ч໓קၬ֥غᆷඔ҂ࣇॉ੮֞Ӭཔंधؓ൬ೆ֥э߄,طߎॉ੮֞ؓႋ֥Ӭཔದ१ࢲܒ֥э߄bၹՎ,ࠎႿݓӬཔؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒބ୪ըंದඔᅝႵधؓն֥ٺحᆃ၂൙ൌ,Ч໓קၬ֥غᆷඔ۷ൡႨႿ؇ਈݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएbЧ໓ဢЧ௹ࡗ࿊ᄴ1978)2006୍(༯º),ࠎႿ(1)ൔ෮࠹ෘ֥غᆷඔ֥ࢲݔі1:і1 ݓ1978)2006୍ࡗ۲୍؇֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए(غᆷඔ)୍؇1978197919801981198219831984198519861987غᆷඔ01091010900108901066010530104601040010420106001085୍؇1988198919901991199219931994199519961997غᆷඔ01086010800107301091011080112801135011210110401100୍؇199819992000200120022003200420052006غᆷඔ011040111701129011380115501162011590115801180ೂі1ބ1෮ൕ,Ֆᆜุु,ڿ۪ष٢ၛট,ෛሢࣜ࠶֥ؿᅚ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएᄝѯᇏӯᇯ҄ঔն֥൝,Ⴍః൞1998୍,ުӬཔ൬ೆҵएӻ࿃ঔնbՖअ҆,ुݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएӯགྷࢨ؍ྟэ߄bֻ၂ࢨ؍ູ1978)1994୍,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᄝ/W0ѯᇏഈശ;ֻؽࢨ؍ູ1995)2006୍,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएӯ/V0ѯэ߄bᄝڿ۪ष٢֥Ԛ௹ࠧ1978)1984୍,୪ըൌྛ֥৳ӁӵЇᄳᇅ,ਔ୪ြࣜ࠶֥ؿᅚ,ิۚਔ୪൬,ೆ෪ཬਔӬཔ൬ೆҵए,غᆷඔႮ1978୍֥01091෪ཬ֞1984୍֥01040bՎުؿᅚ֥ᇗׄሇཟ۽ြބӬ൧,غᆷඔᇯ҄ঔն֞1988୍֥01086b1988)1991୍ࡗ,غᆷඔෙႵཬږ༯ࢆ,1992୍,ުغ¹,÷TheClassofAdditivelyDecomposableInequalityMeasures,"Econometrica,,(),)626.º୪ըದ१ބӬᆓದ१ٳљႨοӬཔٳ֥Ӭᆓದ१ބ୪ըದ१іൕ;୪ըದन൬ೆބӬᆓದन൬ೆٳљႨӬᆓंࡅ๖ದनॖᆦ൬ೆބ୪ըंࡅ๖Ղ൬ೆіൕb1978)2005୍ඔऌটሱႿཌྷႋ୍؇֥5ᇏݓ࠹୍6,2006୍֥ඔऌটሱᇏݓࣜ࠶ྐ༏ຩඔऌ९b#57#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期ᆷඔᇯ҄ঔն֞1994୍֥01135bሹᆭ,ֻ၂ࢨ؍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᄝ/W0ѯᇏഈശbູิۚ୪൬,ೆݓࡅᄝ1994୍a1996୍৵࿃ิۚ୪Ӂࡎ,֤۬غᆷඔᄝ1995)1997୍Ⴕ෮෪ཬb1998୍ၛ,ުݓ൬ೆٳ൧ӆ߄ڿ۪ࣉ၂҄ധ,ೆӬཔ൬ೆҵएᄝࢠն֥ࠎԤഈᄜՑᇯ҄ঔն,غᆷඔႮ1998୍֥01104ᇯ҄ঔն֞2006୍֥01180bหљ൞ഈඍਆ۱ࢨ؍ؓႋ֥൬ೆҵएඣཌྷҵࢠն,1978)1994୍غᆷඔनູ01080,1995)2006୍غᆷඔनູ01136b1ൈඪૼڿ۪ष٢ၛটݓದनGDPᄹӉੱ֥э߄b1993୍ၛభ,ࣜਔ༵༯ࢆުഈശ,ᄜ༯ࢆᄜഈശ֥/W0ѯbఃᇏ1981୍ބ1990୍ູਆ۱अ҆ቋ֮ׄ,ದनᄹӉੱࣇູ319%ބ213%;1984୍ބ1992୍൞ದनGDPᄹӉੱ֥ਆ۱अ҆ቋۚׄ,ٳљղ֞1317۱ބ1218۱Ϥٳׄb1993୍,ުದनᄹӉੱࣜਔႮ༯ࢆᄜഈശ֥/V0э߄,ቋູ֮ׄ1999୍֥617%bದनGDPᄹӉੱ֥э߄აغᆷඔ֥э߄ࠎЧཌྷර,หљ൞1998୍ު,ؽᆀनӯᇯ҄ഈശ൝b1 غᆷඔ(dis)ބದनGDPᄹӉੱ(g)ࣉ၂,҄1ߎᆰุܴགྷԛغᆷඔބದनᄹӉੱᆭࡗ֥ཌྷэ߄bೂభ෮ඍ,غᆷඔᄝ1994୍ղ֞अ҆ቋնᆴު,Ⴎ/W0ѯሇཟ/V0ѯbაᆭཌྷؓႋ,ದनGDPᄹӉੱᄝ1992୍ބ1993୍ղ֞अ҆ቋնᆴު֥ѯྙൔ္ཌྷႋؿളэ߄bၛഈ֥э߄หᆘ൞ڎၩሢ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएॖିթᄝ၂۱ᚐᆴ,֒Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएղ֞ބӑݖᆃ၂ᚐᆴದनൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣࢠնൈ,ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵིႋ?ّᆭ,֒Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएཬႿᆃ၂ᚐᆴದनࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣཌྷؓࢠ֮ൈ,ؓႋ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളᆞིႋ?Ч໓ᆞ൞ၛ؇ਈݓӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥غᆷඔቔູᚐᆴэਈ,ࠎႿᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ,ࢣൕӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋၹӬཔ൬ೆҵएඣ֥э߄طؿളࠏᇅሇ၍֥٤ཌྟིႋb(ؽ)ݓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉაӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆᇙ෮ᇛᆩ,ݓ൞ದ१նݓ,္൞୪ြնݓ,࣐ܵሹਈGDPࢠն,नᄹӉ؇ࢠॹ,ದनGDPޓ,֮ದनᄹӉ؇ࢠત,ᆃ൞ݓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ׅ൙ൌbطࢠն֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएࠣఃঔն֥൝,ၩሢ୪ြࣜ࠶ඣߎཌྷؓࢠ,֮୪ြࣜ࠶ᄹӉཌྷؓࢠત,ࣉطॖି֝ᇁӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ঔնቅᇌದनൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ,ၹՎႨሹਈGDP؇ਈࣜ࠶ᄹӉ,ॖି౷Ӭཔ൬ೆ#58#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应ҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋbหљ,ֹЧ໓֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᆞ൞ᆌؓݓӬཔؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒطࠎႿದ१ބ൬ೆб২קၬغᆷඔ,ሸކഈඍਆٚ૫,Ч໓ၛytіൕtൈ௹ದनൌ࠽GDP(1978୍҂эࡎ,۬༯)֥ሱಖؓඔ,ၛՎ؇ਈದनൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ(ၛ༯ࡥӫൌ࠽ᄹӉ),ၛldistіൕ౼ሱಖؓඔު֥غᆷඔbקၬyt@ldistၛࢣൕݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएႮႿࣜ࠶ඣ֥҂طؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋ҂,ఃོੱ༢ඔіൕ֥ཌྷؓэ߄ؓದनGDPི֥ႋbᄜᆀ,ູख़߂ႮႿ൬ೆҵएሱദඣ֥҂,֝ᇁ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥҂ིႋ,קၬ٤ཌྟܻ߁ሇ၍ݦඔf(dist-d;K,c),ఃᇏdist-dູᚐᆴэਈ,dູؿളࠏᇅሇ၍໊֥ᇂҕඔ,ႨႿಒקࠏᇅሇ၍ؿള໊֥ᇂ,Kູथקࠏᇅሇ၍؇֥ܻ߁ҕඔ,cູᚐᆴbf(.)൞ᚐᆴэਈdist-d֥৵࿃ݦඔ,ఃݦඔᆴෛሢdist-d֥э߄طᄝ[0,1]ᆭࡗ৵࿃э߄bၹՎ,ሇ၍ݦඔf(.)ࢣൕӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋෛӬཔ൬ೆҵएඣ֥э߄طэ߄bᆃဢ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆഡק:ູ yt=A1+B1ldist+B2(yt@ldist)+(A2+B3ldist+B4(yt@ldist))f(dist-d;K,c)+Et(2)ଆ(2)іૼ,֒f(.)=0ൈ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋڛՖֻ၂ᇕࠏᇅ(ႮA1,B1,B2ख़߂),֒f(.)=1ൈ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋڛՖֻؽᇕࠏᇅ(ႮA1+A2,B1+B3,B2+B4ख़߂),֒f.>0f.<1ൈ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋᄝਆᇕࠏᇅࡗ߁(౼थႿf(.)ᆴ)ሇߐ,ᆃᇕሇߐ౼थႿf(.)֥ऎุݦඔྙൔbหљ,ֹೂݔଆ(2)֥эਈनڛՖֆ໊۴ݖӱ,җҵEt)I(0),ᄵଆ(2)ູᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ,෮ႅݣ֥ނྏၩၬ൞,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ིႋ,ෛӬཔ൬ೆҵए൞ڎն(ཬ)Ⴟଖ၂ඣ(ᚐᆴ)ࠣఃൌ࠽ದनࣜ࠶ඣ֥҂ط҂bၹՎ,ଆ(2)ᆞ൞ࠎႿݓ֥ࣜ࠶Мࣟطഡק,ุ֥གྷਔؓBarro¹ބFrankºଆ֥ঔᅚbૌުࡼඪૼ,Ч໓֥ܙ࠹ބဒٚمุགྷਔؓݓ֥ൡႨྟބ࠹ਈٚم֥భခྟbaଆ֥ܙ࠹აဒູൌགྷؓଆ(2)֥ဒაܙ࠹,ૌླေᄝ٤໗ඔऌ่ࡱ༯ဒ٤ཌྟ൞ڎթᄝ,ࣉطಒקሇ၍ݦඔ֥ྙൔ,ࠎႿՎؓଆ(2)ࣉྛᚐᆴླྀᆜဒބܙ࠹bൌགྷᆃུဒބܙ࠹֥ܱᄝႿऎႵࢠۚဒ൝֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜဒ࠹ਈ֥ܒᄯࠣః࠹ෘႵཋဢЧ֥ਢࢸᆴbᆃུ໙ี္ᆞ൞ଢభ࠹ਈࣜ࠶࿐ٚمંቋ֥భခਵთᆭ၂bၹՎ,Ч໓൮༵ဒඔऌ൞ڎႮֆ໊۴ݖӱളӮ,ಖުဒଆ(2)֥ഡקѩࣉྛܙ࠹,ቋުࠎႿܙ࠹֥җҵဒ٤ཌྟᚐᆴླྀᆜb(၂)эਈ֥ֆ໊۴ဒູಒЌࢲં֥ሙಒ,ྟЧ໓ٳљႨADFބPPဒyt,ldist,yt@ldist֥໗ྟbADFބPPဒ֥ჰࡌഡH0BI(1),҂ऋधჰࡌഡᄵіૼဒ֥эਈູֆ໊۴ݖӱbဒࢲݔі2bі2 эਈ֥໗ྟဒэਈဒഡקྙൔADFPPࢲંy(c,t)-0163(0197)-1177(0169)I(1)ùy(c,0)-5167(0100)-3108(0104)I(0)¹,÷InequalityandGrowthinaPanelofCountries."º,÷.:APanelCoIntegrationApproach."#59#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期 ࿃і2эਈဒഡקྙൔADFPPࢲંldis(c,0)-1152(0151)-0116(0193)I(1)ùldis(0,0)-3132(0100)-2158(0101)I(0)y@ldis(c,0)-0111(0194)-0104(0195)I(1)(y@ldis)(0,0)-3182(0101)-2141(0102)I(0) ᇿ:ဒഡקྙൔওݼᇏ֥cіൕႵࢩएཛ,tіൕႵൈࡗ൝ཛ;ADFބPPဒ࠹ᆴওݼଽඔऌ൞ؓႋ࠹ဒ֥൬ແۀੱ,ࠧpᆴbႮі2ॖᆩ,෮ႵэਈनູI(1),ః၂ࢨҵٳनູI(0)ࣉ၂҄ᆦӻᆃ၂ࢲંb(ؽ)٤ཌྟဒܻࠣ߁ሇ၍ݦඔྙൔ֥ಒקݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋ൞ڎၹӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥҂طऎႵཁᇷ֥٤ཌྟሇߐ,ؓՎ֥ሙಒ߭ճႋࠎႿ֥۬ဒbູՎ,ૌ൮༵ဒ٤ཌྟ֥թᄝྟb۴ऌChoi,Saikkonen¹ބDijk֩ದ,ºଆ(2)֥٤ཌྟဒބᚐᆴэਈdist-dᇏሇ၍໊ᇂd֥ಒק,൞ࠎႿሇ၍ݦඔ֥ࢨীᅚषൔ(ࡼᆷඔݦඔބઆࠠݦඔٳљᄝჰׄࣉྛࢨীᅚष,ѩࡼীᅚषൔቔູሇ၍ݦඔ֥࣍රൔսೆଆ(2)),ᇗྍҕඔ߄ު֤֞(3)ൔ:3 yt=A1+B1ldist+B2(ldist@yt)+(A2+B3ldist+B4(ldist@yt))Epidiist-d+Eti=1(3)ႮႿ(3)ൔᇏ֥ࢳэਈݣႵФࢳэਈ֥ࢌҭཛ,֝ᇁࢳэਈऎႵଽളྟbູཨԢႮႿଽളࢳэਈطջট֥٤၂ᇁܙ࠹ࢲݔ,ᄝଆ(3)ᇏᄹࡆࢳэਈҵٳު֥ӑభބᇌުཛ,Ⴕ3i yt=A1+B1ldist+B2(ldist@yt)+(A2+B3ldist+B4(ldist@yt))Epidist-di=1kk +EH1j$ldist-j+EH2j$(ldist-j@yt-j)+Et(4)j=-kj=-kkູᇌު௹ඔ,Ч໓࿊ᄴk=1bູٚьඪૼ,ࡼଆ(4)ᅚषѩᇗྍіඍູ:kk yt=C0+C1xt+C2ht+C3t+C4st+EH1j$ldist-j+EH2j$(ldist-j@yt-j)+Etj=-kj=-k(5)ఃᇏ,xt=(ldist,ldist@yt)c,ht=(ldistdist-d,ldistytdist-d)c22,t=(ldistdist-d,ldistytdist-d)c,33st=(ldistdist-d,ldistytdist-d)cbؓ(5)ൔᄝ҂֥dᆴ༯ࣉྛቋཬؽӰم(OLS)ܙ࠹,ቋཬ֥AICࠇቋն֥R2෮ؓႋ֥dູࠧሇߐؿള໊֥ᇂ,Ч໓࿊౼ቋնdmax=6,ࢲݔі3bі3 ಒקdᆴd123456AIC-3122-2128-1180-1138-1101-1105¹,÷TestingLinearityinCointegratingSmoothTransitionRegressions,"JournalofEconometrics,,(),)365.º,,÷SmoothTransitionAutoregressiveModels-ASurveyofRecentDevelopments,"EconometricReviews,,(),)47.#60#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应۴ऌі3֥ࢲݔ,d=1ൈ෮ؓႋ֥AICቋཬ,ܣЧ໓࿊౼d=1bࣉ၂҄,ູဒ٤ཌྟ,ؓ(5)ൔഡקჰࡌഡ(ჿඏ)H0BC2=C3=C4=0,ऋधჰࡌഡࠧթᄝ٤ཌྟ,ࢤ൳ჰࡌഡࠧ҂թᄝ٤ཌྟbᄝ(5)ൔᇏ֥эਈູ٤໗่֥ࡱ༯,ChoiބSaikkonen¹ิԛਔࠞཋٳູ҃2Vٳ֥҃LM٤ཌྟဒ:d2 LM=S^[R^2EM-1]S^c yV(q)(6)ఃᇏ,qູཌྟჿඏඔ,S^=(C^2,C^3,C^4)ູ(5)ൔ֥OLSܙ࠹ᆴ,M=(h,,s)@(h,,s)cູq@qइᆔ,R^2E൞ଆ(5)ᄝჰࡌഡ༯֥௴๙ቋཬؽӰم(OLSº)֥җҵ֥Ӊ௹ٚҵ֥ܙ࠹bLM࠹ᆴ࠹ෘࢲݔі4bі4֥ࢲݔіૼ,ᄝ٤ཌྟဒᇏ(ဒH0),෮࠹ෘ֥LM=21516,նႿሱႮ؇ູ6֥5%֥ਢࢸᆴ(1917),ૌၹՎऋधჰࡌഡ,طࢤ൳թᄝ٤ཌྟ֥С࿊ࡌഡ,ߐᆭ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋཁᇷ၇ঠӬཔ൬ೆҵएሱദ֥э߄طӯགྷԛ٤ཌྟሇߐbᆃ၂ࢲંඪૼଆ(2)֥ഡק൞ކൡ֥,൞ૌླေࣉ၂҄ಒק٤ཌྟሇߐݦඔ֥ྙൔ,ࠧಒקଆ(2)ᇏ֥٤ཌྟܻ߁ሇ၍ݦඔf(.)൞આࠠݦඔߎ൞ᆷඔݦඔbູՎ,۴ऌSarantis»֥࣮,ᆌؓଆ(5)ഡקჰࡌഡH01BC4=0;H02BC3=0|C4=0,H03BC2=0|C3=0,C4=0,ѩؓᆃུࡌഡቔܺဒb҂ुԛ,ᆃ၂ဒऎႵ־݂,ྟࠧ҂ऋधH01طऋधH02,іૼଆ(2)֥f(.)ູᆷඔݦඔ,ڎᄵ,f(.)ູઆࠠݦඔbႮభඍ,ൌགྷᆃ၂ဒಯູഈඍLMჿඏဒ¼,ဒࢲݔ၂ѩਙೆі4bі4 ଆഡקဒჰࡌഡLM2V0105(q)ࢲંH0BC2=C3=C4=02151612159(q=6)ऋधH01BC4=012115199(q=2)ऋध۴ऌі4֥ࢲݔ,ᄝ5%֥ཁᇷྟඣഈऋधჰࡌഡH01,ၹՎླဒH02ބH03ࠧॖಒקf(.)ູઆࠠݦඔb()ᚐᆴླྀᆜဒᇀՎ,Ч໓֥ࢲݔіૼ,ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ܱ༢൞ၛઆࠠݦඔູܻ߁ሇ၍ݦඔ֥٤ཌྟܱ༢bᄝՎࠎԤഈ,ૌླؓଆ(2)ࣉྛܙ࠹ބဒ,ൌགྷؓଆ(2)ܙ࠹ބဒ֥ᄝႿ࠻ေॉ੮ླྀᆜཟਈ֥ܻ߁ሇ၍,ႻေྙӮ၂۱ऎႵࢠۚဒ൝֥٤ѓሙٳ֥҃࠹ਈbЧ໓Ⴈ༯ඍ٤ཌྟᚐᆴླྀᆜٚمؓଆ(2)ࣉྛဒbૌ൮༵ؓଆ(2)Ⴈ٤ཌྟቋཬؽӰم(DNLS),½࠺DNLS֥җҵE^tbE^t)I(0),¹,÷TestingLinearityinCointegratingSmoothTransitionRegressions."ºཌྷؓႿჰଆ(2),ႮႿᄹࡆҵٳބభᇂཛ,ᆃ֥OLSൌ࠽ഈ္൞OLS,༯b»,÷Nonlinearities,CyclicalBehaviorandPredictabilityinStockMarkets:InternationalEvidence,"InternationalJournalofForecasting,,(July2001),)482.¼ؓ҂ჰࡌഡቓဒൈ,qᆴ҂,इᆔMቓཌྷႋטᆜb½ႮႿଆ(2)ᇏ֥ࢳэਈݣႵФࢳэਈ֥٤ཌྟྙൔ,֤ࢳэਈऎႵଽളྟ,ູᆞࢳэਈଽളྟطջট٤၂ᇁ֥ܙ࠹ࢲݔ,ૌᄝଆ(2)ᇏᄹࡆਔҵٳު֥ࢳэਈ֥ӑభᇌުཛ,ࠧႨDNLSࣉྛܙ࠹b#61#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期ᄵܙ࠹֥ଆ(2)ູࠧᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢bChoiބSaikkonen¹ڿࣉਔKwiatkowski֩ದº(༯ӫKPSS)෮ิԛ֥ؓҗҵࣉྛ໗ྟဒ֥ٚم,ఃჰࡌഡH10BE^t)I(0),ࠧଆ(2)ູᚐᆴླྀᆜ;СᄴࡌഡH11BE^t)I(1),ࠧଆ(2)҂൞ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆbᄝ٤ཌྟթᄝ่֥ࡱ༯,Ⴈಆ҆җҵ,KPSS࠹ਈ֥ٳ҃၇ঠໃᆩҕඔbၹՎ,࿊౼҆ٳҗҵ,ႮՎ֤֥֞KPSS࠹ਈ֥ࠞཋٳ҃҂၇ঠໃᆩҕඔ,ࠧ:i+b+1t12Cb,i-22 NLS=bX^-EE(EE^2j)](s)ds(7)j=iQw0t=1ᆃ,X^2EູE֥Ӊ௹ٚҵX2E֥၂ᇁܙ࠹,bູ෮࿊౼֥҆ٳҗҵဢЧಸਈ,iູ҆ٳҗҵ֥ఏ,ׄw(s)ູѓሙ҃ᄎbႨ҆ٳҗҵ࠹ෘ֥ဒ࠹ਈෙ҂ݣໃᆩҕඔ,ཌྷؓႿႨಆ҆җҵ,ႮႿ෮Ⴈ֥ྐ༏ཌྷؓࢠഒ֝ᇁఃဒ֥൝ॖିࢆ֮bູิۚဒ൝,ؓഈඍ҂֥bބi,Ֆᇏ࿊౼ିܔCb,iNLSቋն֥࠹ਈb»۴ऌഈඍ࠹ෘٚم,০ႨݓဢЧ௹ଽඔऌؓଆ(2)ࣉྛDNLSܙ࠹,ѩࠎႿܙ࠹֥җҵ࠹ෘ࠹ਈCb,iNLSᆴ(і5)bھ࠹ᆴཬႿఃٳ҃ؓႋ֥ਢࢸᆴ,ᄵ҂ऋधჰࡌഡ,ଆ(2)ູࠧᚐᆴླྀᆜଆbࣉ၂,҄Ֆ(7)ൔॖၛुԛ,ႋႨCb,iNLSࣉྛᚐᆴླྀᆜဒ,ႮႿఃٳ҃൬৻Ⴟෛࠏٗݦ,ၹطсྶ๙ݖٟᆇ࠹ෘఃٳ֥҃ਢࢸᆴ,ҌିൌགྷᚐᆴླྀᆜဒbູՎ,ૌ๙ݖMonteCarloٟᆇ൫ဒট࠹ෘ֥ࣚಒਢࢸᆴၛൌགྷႵཋဢЧ֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜဒbࠎႿଆ(2)֥ٟᆇ൫ဒഡ࠹ೂ༯:1.ᄝनᄋٳ҃[0,1]ഈෛࠏളӮ༢ඔAm1,Am2,Bm1,Bm2,Bm3,Bm4,Kmb2.Ֆनᆴູ0aٚҵູ1aླྀٚҵູ0֥ؽົᆞٳ҃ෛࠏളӮuit,ളӮࢳэਈູֆ໊۴ݖӱ֥xit=xit-1+uit(i=1)2)b3.ෛࠏളӮѓሙᆞٳ҃Tt,ࠎႿՎളӮ༂ҵཛEt=Tt+r6u1t+r7u2t,ၛՎุགྷࢳэਈ֥ଽളྟb4.۴ऌଆ(2)ളӮyt,Ⴟ൞Ӂളਔჰࡌഡ༯ࢳэਈऎႵଽളྟ֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢֥эਈyt,xitcb5.ٟؓᆇඔऌࣉྛDNLS,Ӂളؓႋ֥ܙ࠹җҵ,ࠎႿܙ࠹֥җҵ࠹ෘ(7)ൔ֥ࠞཋٳ֥҃ᆴbᇗگၛഈݖӱ10000Ց,ϜૄՑ࠹ෘ֥ᆴοՖཬ֞նஆਙ,ֻ9500۱ᆴູࠧCb,iNLS֥5%ਢࢸᆴ,ࢲݔі5bі5 ᚐᆴླྀᆜ࠹ဒࢲݔ࠹ਈܙ࠹ᆴ5%ਢࢸᆴࢲંCb,iNLS0106511843ࢤ൳ჰࡌഡ ᇿ:ᄝСᄴࡌഡ༯Cb,iNLS࠹ᆴཟᆞ౫նؿ,ܣఃऋधთູႷແbCb,iNLS࠹ਈܙ࠹ᆴູ01065,ཬႿఃࠞཋٳ֥҃5%ਢࢸᆴ11843,ၹՎ,ࢤ൳ჰࡌഡE^t)I(0),္ࣼ൞ඪ,ܙ࠹֥ଆ(2)ູࠧݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉིႋ֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆbࠎႿၛഈ֥ࢲݔ,ૌႋႨቋཬؽӰܙ࠹(DNLS),ؓଆ(2)ࣉྛቋᇔܙ࠹b(ඹ)ᚐᆴླྀᆜ֥ܙ࠹ࢲݔႮభඍ,ູཨԢଽളྟ,ᄝଆ(2)ᇏࡆೆࢳэਈ֥ᇌުބӑభཛ,ѩࠎႿChoiބ¹,÷TestsforNonlinearCointegration,"Workingpaper,DepartmentofEconomics,HongKongUniversityofScienceandTechnology,2005.º,,,÷TestingtheNullHypothesisofStationarityagainsttheAlternativeofaUnitRoot:HowSureAreWethatEconomicTimeSeriesHaveaUnitRoot?"JournalofEconometrics,,(),)178.»བྷ༥֥࠹ෘݖӱ౨ҕॉ,÷TestsforNonlinearCointegration."#62#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应Saikkonen¹֥ࡹၰಒקᚐᆴॖି֥ࡗ,ؓఃᇏૄ၂۱ॖି֥ᚐᆴ,ૌؓঔᅚު֥ଆ(ࡆೆᇌުބӑభཛၛࠣॖି֥ᚐᆴ)ࣉྛDNLSםսܙ࠹,ᆰᇀҗҵٚބቋཬ,ႮՎӁള֥ܙ࠹ਈऎႵ၂ᇁྟ,ܙ࠹ࢲݔೂ༯(ওݼଽູt࠹ᆴº): y^t=6154+1194ldist-0127ldist@yt+(0192+1134ldist-0117ldist@yt)(1+exp(-240135(dist-1-01100-1))) (4714)(2317)(-1816) (617)(814)(-314) (-418)(8)Ⴎᚐᆴླྀᆜဒࢲݔ(і5)ॖᆩ,ଆ(2)֥ܙ࠹(8)ൔູࠧݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ᄹӉᆭࡗթᄝ֥Ӊ௹ᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢bหљ,ֹB^2(=-0127,t=-1816)ބB^4(=-0117,t=-314)іૼݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ིႋ,ၹൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣބӬཔ൬ೆҵएሱദඣ֥҂طཁᇷ҂,B^1/B^2ބB^3/B^4֥ᆴनࢠնࣉ၂҄ᆦӻᆃ၂ࢲં,္ࣼ൞ඪ,ᄝൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣࢠ֮(ytࢠཬ)Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएཌྷؓࢠཬൈ,ൡ֥֒Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए՜ࣉൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ;֒ൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣࢠۚ(ytࢠն)Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएཌྷؓࢠնൈ,ࢠն֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁള֥Ӊ௹ིႋູڵb۴ऌܙ࠹ࢲݔ(8)ൔ,1984୍֥൬ೆҵएඣູ01040,ದनൌ࠽GDPູ579133ჭ,ݓ୍֒൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋູ01183(ོࠧੱ༢ඔ=1194-0127y1984+(1134-0117y1984)f(dis1983,K,c)=01222),္ࣼ൞ඪ,1984୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളᆞིႋbෛሢݓࣜ࠶֥ؿᅚ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵႵ෮ঔն,2005୍֥غᆷඔູ01158,ದनൌ࠽GDPູ3039151ჭ,োරഈඍ࠹ෘ,2005୍֥൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋؿളཁᇷڿэ,ູ-01249,္ࣼ൞ඪ,2005୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵིႋb҂ुԛ,ၛഈࠎႿᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ(8)֥ٳ༅҂ࣇაݓ֥Мࣟཌྷ໖ކ,္აGalorބMoav»֥ંࢲݔ၂ᇁb2 ܻ߁ሇ၍ݦඔᆴf(.) ਸ਼၂ٚ૫,આࠠሇ၍ݦඔf(.)֥ܙ࠹ࢲݔࢣൕਔݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ི¹,÷TestsforNonlinearCointegration."ºܱႿᚐᆴҕඔC֥ಒק,Ч໓ࡼ1978)2006୍ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएοՖཬ֞նஆਙఏট,౼ᇏࡗ10۱ඔऌቔູC֥ॖିࡗbᄝᆃ၂ॖିࡗࣉྛ۬ׄෆ෬,ؓႋቋཬҗҵٚބ֥Cູࠧܙ࠹֥ᚐᆴ011bਸ਼ຓ,ႮႿӑభބᇌުཛ֥༢ඔીႵࣜ࠶࿐ၩၬ(ࡆೆᆃུཛࣇູཨԢଽളྟ,ླྀᆜཟਈ֥ܙ࠹ऎႵ၂ᇁྟ),Ч໓ીႵБۡӑభᇌުཛ֥ܙ࠹ࢲݔb»,÷FromPhysicaltoHumanCapitalAccumulation:InequalityintheProcessofDevelopment."#63#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期ႋ,ၹ൬ೆҵएඣ֥э߄طऎႵ֥ࠏᇅሇ၍֥٤ཌྟหᆘbఃᇏܻ߁ҕඔK=-240135(t=-418)ඪૼᆃᇕ٤ཌྟིႋࠏᇅሇ၍֥؇ࢠॹཁᇷ(2)bᚐᆴҕඔC(=01100)іૼ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥٤ཌྟིႋ֥ࠏᇅሇ၍ؿളᄝغᆷඔ֩Ⴟ011ԩbՖ2ॖౢ༉ֹुԛ,ᄝ1978)1991୍ࡗ,غᆷඔཬႿܙ࠹֥ᚐᆴC(=01100)bၧࠧӬཔ൬ೆҵएࢠཬൈ,ܙ࠹֥ሇ၍ݦඔf(.)ᆴູ0ࠇ࣍රູ0,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋᇶေႮֻ၂ᇕࠏᇅ(ࠧܙ࠹֥B1ބB2)෮ख़߂,ఃᇏऎႵսіྟ୍֥ٺູ1982୍ބ1990୍bᆃਆ୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएٳљູ01053ބ01073,ದनൌ࠽GDPٳљູ460178ჭބ759170ჭbࠎႿଆ(8)ֻ֥၂ࠏᇅ,1982୍ބ1990୍൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋٳљູ01284ބ01151bᆃ၂ࡗᇏ֥ః୍ٺऎႵোර֥ࢲݔ,ࠧ1978)1991୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋႮֻ၂ᇕࠏᇅ෮ख़߂,ఃིႋູᆞbਸ਼ຓ,֒غᆷඔնႿܙ࠹֥ᚐᆴC(=01100),ࠧӬཔ൬ೆҵएࢠնൈ,ܙ࠹֥ሇ၍ݦඔf(.)ᆴູ1ࠇ࣍රູ1,ؓႋ୍֥ٺູ1994)1995୍ބ2000)2005,୍ᆃؽ۱ࡗ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋᇶေႮֻؽᇕࠏᇅࠧB^1+B^3f^(.)+B^2+B^4f^(.)෮ख़߂bఃᇏऎႵսіྟ୍֥ٺູ2000୍ބ2004୍,ᆃਆ୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएٳљູ01129ބ01159,ದनൌ࠽GDPٳљູ1810152ჭބ2706136ჭ,္ࣼ൞ඪ,ࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣཌྷؓࢠ,ۚӬཔ൬ೆҵएඣၧཌྷؓࢠն,Ⴟ൞ࠎႿֻؽࠏᇅ෮࠹ෘ֥ࢲݔ,ູᆃਆ୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋٳљູ-01022ބ-01197bႮՎॖᆩ,ᆃਆ୍ཌྷؓࢠն֥൬ೆҵएඣ,ቅᇌਔൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣ֥ิۚb҂࠹ෘ,Ⴎֻؽᇕࠏᇅ(1994)1995୍ބ2000)2005୍)ख़߂֥ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋູڵbਸ਼ຓ,1991)1998୍֥غᆷඔᇶေຶಡᚐᆴ(C=01100)ᇛຶѯ,Ֆط֤1992)1999,୍Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ቔႨᄝֻ၂aֻؽࠏᇅᆭࡗ߁ሇߐ,൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉི֥ႋ္Ⴎᆞཟڵܻ߁ሇ၍bଆ(8)֥ٳ༅іૼ,ڿ۪ष٢ၛটݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉᆭࡗթᄝ٤ཌྟᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢,ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ིႋ,ၹӬཔ൬ೆҵएሱദ֥ඣބൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣ֥҂ط҂bሹุট,ु1978)1991୍ࡗ,ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉऎႵᆞིႋ,1994)1995୍a2000)2005,୍Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएඣཁᇷঔն,ཌྷؓࢠն֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵིႋbࠎႿܙ࠹֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ(8),ૌॖၛ࠹ෘӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ொིႋb¹ொིႋࢣൕ֥ࣜ࠶ၩၬ:ູ֒Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए(غᆷඔ)ᄹࡆ1%ఃэਈ҂э,ൌ࠽ದनGDPᄹӉੱ֥э߄b҂ൈ௹Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉொིႋࢲݔі6bі6 Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ொིႋ୍؇1978197919801981198219831984198519861987ொིႋ)))012050119701180011580114301120011020110401100୍؇1988198919901991199219931994199519961997ொིႋ0110001107010880107301061017201097010870107001052୍؇199819992000200120022003200420052006ொིႋ01001-01001-01011-01031-01055-01081-01109-01137-01171і6֥ࢲݔඪૼ,1999୍ၛభ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ொིႋູᆞbᆞཟ႕ཙቋն֥¹ொིႋ֥࠹ෘ൞ؓܙ࠹֥(8)ൔytؓldist֥ொ֝ඔ֤֞b#64#
中国城乡收入差距对实际经济增长的阈值效应ൈ௹൞ڿ۪Ԛ௹,ೂ1979୍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᄹࡆ1%,߶֝ᇁൌ࠽ದनGDPᄹࡆ01205%;1999୍ᆭު,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ொིႋनູڵ,2006୍֥ڵཟ႕ཙູ-01171;หљ൞1999୍,ުӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ڵཟིႋӯᇯ୍ᄹࡆ֥൝bႿ൞,ഈඍொིႋაЧ໓భඍ֥ᇶေࢲં၂ᇁ:1991୍ၛభ֥ொིႋູᆞ,ؓႋႿႮֻ၂ᇕࠏᇅ෮ख़߂֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ᆞིႋ;1999୍ᆭު֥ொིႋູڵ,ؓႋႿႮֻؽᇕࠏᇅ෮ख़߂֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ڵིႋ;1992)1999୍,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ቔႨᄝֻ၂აֻؽࠏᇅᆭࡗ߁ሇߐ,ொིႋႮᆞэູڵbၹՎ,і6ᇏ֥ொིႋڣᆣਔᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢(8),ၹطႮ(8)ൔ෮Ӂള֥ࢲંაொིႋཌྷᆦӻބཌྷႆᆣbഈඍࢲં҂ࣇაGalorބMoav¹֥ࣜ࠶ંٳ༅ཌྷ၂ᇁ,္ࠎЧሙಒֹख़߂ਔݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢:ڿ۪Ԛ௹,ᇉሧЧࠒაೆ൞ݓࣜ࠶ؿᅚ֥ᇶေ৯,طᇅჿݓࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ᇶေၹ္൞ႮᇉሧЧಌكط֝ᇁ֥܂۳ჿඏbӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ൡ֒ঔն,ႵᇹႿ֒ൈᇉሧЧࠒބೆ,߄܂۳ჿඏ,ࣉط՜ࣉൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉbෛሢݓࣜ࠶֥ॹؿᅚၛࠣࣜ࠶ࢲܒሇބࢲܒശࠩ,ݓᇉሧЧބᇉሧЧ֥ࠒཌྷؓԉၮ,หљ൞࣍ࠫ,୍ݓ֥ൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ۷؟၇ঠႿ॓ࣉ҄ބದ৯ሧЧ֥ิۚb൞,ݓ୪ըֹთখ,୪ြࣜ࠶ؿᅚࠞ҂ޙ,Ⴍః൞ᇏ༆֥҆,୪ြളӁ֥ሱಖ่ࡱಯಖذਜ,୪ြ॓ඣߎޓઋ,ުܼ୪ြ॓࿐ඌބิۚ୪֥୪ြ॓࿐ିߎ٤ӈbᆃֹུ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएჹჹۚႿಆݓनඣ,֤Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᇅჿਔ୪ြ॓ࣉ҄aᇅჿਔ୪ըসᆀದ৯ሧЧ֥ิۚbطݓ୪ြದ१ಯᅝႵधؓն֥бᇗ,Ֆದन֥࢘؇ु,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएঔնؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉӁളڵིႋbਸ਼၂ٚ૫,ϴෛӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ঔն,ݓགྷࢨ؍ԛགྷሹླ҂ቀ,ᇶေ൞ंཨٮླ҂ቀ,ၹՎ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए֥෪ཬࡼՏܼࠗն୪ըं֥ཨٮླ,Ֆط՜ࣉࣜ࠶ᄹӉbၛഈ֥ٳ༅ඪૼ,Ч໓֥ࢲંԉٳֹࢣൕਔݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢b୍࣐ܵ࣍ࠫݓ୪൬ೆ֥धؓਈᄝᇯ୍ᄹӉ,ݓࡅؓ୪ြ֥ೆ҂؎ঔն,Ӭ൧ंหљ൞؎ྛြՖြದჴ֥൬ೆᄹӉݖॹ,ႏބ۱ุࣜ࠶֥ؿᅚ,Ӭ൧ۚ൬ೆದಕॹঔᅦ,֝ᇁӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ӻ࿃ঔն,෪ཬ൬ೆҵए૫ਢሢห൹֥bၹՎ,෪ཬӬཔ൬ೆҵए,ൌགྷӬཔࣜ࠶ླྀטؿᅚ,ಯ൞ݓӉ௹ؿᅚᅞ֥ᇶေༀbႮՎඪૼЧ໓ࢲં෮ႅݣ֥ၩၬ:ݓ֒భ෮ൌྛ֥୪ըᆟҦ,หљ൞ࡆն୪ದ৯ሧЧሧ֥ᆟҦ,ؓ෪ཬݓགྷࢨ؍֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए,ݓӬཔؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒ,՜ࣉݓࣜ࠶֥ӻ࿃ᄹӉބӬཔླྀטؿᅚ,ऎႵൡൈྟa॓࿐ྟބӉ௹ྟbᆌ୍ؓ࣍ࠫݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ෮Ӂള֥ၝᇅིႋ,ૌิԛေሢ৯ิۚ୪ըದ৯ሧЧ,ᆃࣇ൞෪ཬӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥ࣥᆭ၂bՎຓ,ՖӬཔؽჭࢲܒބЧ໓؇ਈӬཔ൬ೆҵए֥غᆷඔ֥ࢲݔট,ुݓႋᄝࣉഠ߶ᇶၬྍ୪ըࡹഡބӬᆓ߄֥ࣉӱᇏ,ࡆॹ୪ըস৯ཟֻؽބֻӁြ֥ሇ၍,Ֆطൡ؇ࡨഒ୪ըದ१ඔਈ;ၛิۚ୪൬ೆ్ູೆ,ׄࡆॹ܄܋Ӂཟ୪ըഥ;ࡆնؓ୪ြ֥ᇉ,ೆࡆॹ୪ြބ୪ը֥ࠎԤഡീࡹഡ,ሢ৯ิۚ୪ြ֥Ӂြࢲܒބ୪Ӂ֥ڸࡆᆴ,ิശགྷս୪ြӁြ߄֥ඣބڭۂ؇;ࡆն୪ը֮Ќބ၄Ќ֩ഠ߶ڞ০ᇅ؇ڿ۪,՜ࣉഠ߶܄;หљ൞ࡹ৫ၛ۽՜୪aၛӬջཔ֥Ӊིࠏᇅ,՜ࣉӬཔԔؿᅚ,ྙӮӬཔࣜ࠶ഠ߶ؿᅚ၂ุ߄ྍ۬अ,Ֆط෪ཬӬཔ൬ೆҵए,ၝᇅఃؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ڵིႋ,ൌགྷӬཔࣜ࠶֥ླྀטؿᅚb¹,÷FromPhysicaltoHumanCapitalAccumulation:InequalityintheProcessofDevelopment."#65#
中国社会科学 2008年第2期ඹaࢲ ંЧ໓ࠎႿغᆷඔ؇ਈݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए,ᆌؓݓ֥ࣜ࠶МࣟބཌྷܱંطഡקݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ,ႋႨ٤ཌྟቋཬؽӰܙ࠹(DNLS)ބٟᆇ൫ဒ,ቓԛਔᚐᆴླྀᆜଆ֥ܙ࠹აဒb࣮ࢲݔࢣൕਔݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ܱ༢,ࣉط၇ऌܙ࠹֥ଆٳ༅൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥ொིႋbၛഈᇶေࢲંཌྷႆᆣ,ູҀԉ,ۀඍೂ༯:(၂)Ч໓ᆌؓݓӬཔؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒᆃ၂ࠎЧหᆘ,Ⴈغᆷඔ؇ਈڿ۪ष٢ၛটݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए,࠹ෘࢲݔࠎЧሙಒֹ؇ਈਔᆃ၂ൈ௹ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए,ࢣൕਔӬཔ൬ೆҵएэ߄֥ࢨ؍ྟหᆘ:Ֆሹุु,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएᄝѯᇏӯᇯ҄ঔն֥൝b1978)1994୍,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएᄝ/W0ѯᇏഈശ,غᆷඔႮ1978୍֥01091෪ཬ֞1984୍֥01040,ෛުᇯ҄ঔն֞1994୍֥01135;1995)2006,୍غᆷඔ༵Ⴎ1995୍֥01121༯ࢆ֞1997୍֥011,طࢠॹ֥ঔնᇀ2006୍֥01180b1978)1994୍غᆷඔनᆴູ01080,1998)2006୍غᆷඔनᆴູ01136bЧ໓֥࠹ෘࢲݔіૼ,ၝᇅ୍࣍ࠫݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएӻ࿃ঔն֥൝,ၘࣜӮູݓޡܴט॥ࢠູԛ֥གྷൌࣜ࠶໙ีb(ؽ)ڿ۪ष٢ၛটݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएაൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ܱ༢൞٤ཌྟᚐᆴླྀᆜܱ༢,္ࣼ൞ඪ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ᄹӉ֥Ӊ௹ིႋ,ၹӬཔ൬ೆҵएඣބൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ඣ֥э߄ط٤ཌྟ֥ሇߐაဆэ:1978)1991,୍ݓ֥ൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣࢠ֮,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएཌྷؓࢠཬ,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋູᆞbᄝ1999୍ၛު,Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएঔն,ࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣཌྷؓࢠۚ,ᆃ၂ൈ௹ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉི֥ႋູڵbఃᇏ,1992)1999୍,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ቔႨႮᆞཟڵ߁ሇߐ;หљ൞୍࣍ࠫ,ݓӬཔ൬ೆҵएඣ֥ӻ࿃ঔն,ؓൌ࠽ࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥ڵིႋ္ෛᆭ఼߄,ఃᇏ2006୍֥ڵིႋղ֞-01171bႮᚐᆴླྀᆜ෮ஊള֥ொིႋࣉ၂҄ᆦӻഈඍࢲંbᆃ၂ࢲંඪૼ,ݓ֥Ӭཔ൬ೆҵएބӬཔؽჭࣜ࠶ࢲܒ,ၘࣜӮູ၂۱ԛ֥ഠ߶ࣜ࠶໙ีbЧ໓֥ࢲં҂ࣇ୍ູ࣍ࠫݓ෮ൌྛ֥୪ըᆟҦิ܂ਔ࠹ਈᆣऌ,္ඪૼݓགྷྛ֥୪ըᆟҦ,ุགྷਔ॓࿐ྟaൡൈྟބӉ௹ྟbՖӉ௹,ुݓႋࣉ၂҄ࡆ఼୪ြ֥ࠎԤྟֹ໊,หљ൞ࡆնؓ୪ը॓ބ୪ը࢝ტ֥,ೆԷྍ୪ը॓ࣉุ֥҄ᇅބࠏᇅ,ሢ৯ิۚؓ୪ըস৯֥୪ြ॓ބି֥,ն৯ؿᅚ୪ըᆯြ࢝ტ,ࣉ୪ը֥ྐ༏߄ࡹഡބჹӱ࢝ტ,ิۚ୪ըं֥॓࿐໓߄ᇉ,ၛՎቔູഠ߶ᇶၬྍ୪ըࡹഡ֥ᇗေଽಸb1责任编辑:钱永中2#66#
ABSTRACTSsocialcontracttheory,thecitizeninspecificsocio-historicalconditions,-interpretingtheseimplications,,asthisarticleshows,theconceptofcitizenhasthecharacteristicsofuniversalism,constructionism,;andcitizenisaformofmanpsexistenceinhisowncreation,(rights).(4)ReaderandTextfromthePerspectiveoftheMethodologyofComprehension:GadamerandMethodologicalHermeneuticsPanDerong#42#-centeredinterpretivetheory;however,analysisofthephenomenologicalpremisesofthistheoryclearlyillustrateshisreader-centeredposition,apositionwhichleadstoaretreatfrompursuingtheoriginalintentionofauthorsortheoriginalmeaningoftexts,,asfaraspeoplepsconsciouscomprehensionisconcerned,theprimaryandfundamentaltaskremainsthatofobtainingsomerelativelycorrectunderstanding,-introducemethodologicalawarenessintohermeneuticsfollowingontologicalreflection,andillustratethenecessityofareturntoatext-centeredmethodologicalstance.(5)TheThresholdEffectofChinapsUrban-RuralIncomeInequalityonRealEconomicGrowthWangShaopingandOuyangZhigang#54#GivenChinapsdualisticurban-ruralstructure,,,(thresholdvalue).From1978to1991,thelong-runeffectoftheurban-ruralincomeinequalityonChinapseconomicperformancewaspositive;between1992and1999,therewasasmoothchangetoanegativeeffect;andsince1999,.(6)UpgradingtheDomesticTechnologicalContentsofChinapsExports:EvidencefromJiangsuandGuangdongProvincesandChinaasaWholeYaoYangandZhangYe#67#ItisgenerallybelievedbuthasnotyetbeensystematicallydemonstratedthatChinapsexport#205#
