뗚25뻭ꆡ뗚11웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ,쓪ꆡ11퓂ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ벼ꆡ쫵ꆡ뺭ꆡ볃TechnologyEconomꆡicsNov.,2006컄헂뇠뫅:1002-980X(2006)11-0080-03풴쾡좱ꆢ웳튵뒴탂폫웳튵톭뮷뺭볃맹퇇뻼,쿲살짺,샮햼랼,맹ꆡ샲(뚫놱듳톧릤짌맜샭톧풺,짲퇴110004)ꆡꆡ햪튪:듓풴쾡좱돶랢,쳖싛쇋웳튵톭뮷뺭볃뗄튻킩샭싛컊쳢ꆣ뚨틥쇋쾡좱뛈,늢평듋룸돶쇋웳튵쫊펦솦쒣탍,횸돶웳튵횻폐뷸탐톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂닅쓜퓚풴쾡좱뗄쟩뿶쿂짺듦뫍랢햹ꆣ퓚듋믹뒡짏,룸돶쇋웳튵뗄햽싔탐캪쒣탍ꆣ맘볼듊:톭뮷뺭볃;쾡좱뛈;웳튵쫊펦솦;뒴탂훐춼럖샠뫅:F270ꆡꆡ컄쿗뇪횾싫:Aꆡꆡ랢햹톭뮷뺭볃틑뺭돉캪듳쫆쯹쟷ꆣ뺭볃톧뗄튻탨쟳쓜뗃떽싺ퟣꆣ룶믹놾잰쳡쫇풴쾡좱,톭뮷뺭볃닺짺뗄풭틲튲쫇쾡좱뛈(쿠뛔뎬뛮탨쟳):풴쾡좱,횻쫇쾡좱뗄몬틥랢짺쇋튻뚨뗄뇤뮯ꆣ뒫D-SꚤDS춳뺭볃쿂뗄샍뚯솦ꆢ췁뗘ꆢ놾욷뗈뗄쾡좱뇤캪룼d=D=D=1-D,0ꇜdꇜ1볓믹뒡탔뗄ퟔ좻풴뗄쾡좱ꆣ맽뛈컛좾뎬맽쇋뮷뺳볇Ss=D,돆횮캪풴싺ퟣ뛈ꆣ뗄죌쓍쿞뛈,뿉틔죏캪뮷뺳뗄쓉컛쓜솦헢튻풴돶죧맻뾼싇뗄쫇뛠훖풴뇈죧쮵쫇n훖,퓲짏쫶쿖쇋쾡좱,틀듋뿉붫풴뗄몬틥삩햹,듓뛸짺듦폫랢룷룶뇤솿뚼뇭쪾n캬쇐쿲솿ꆣ햹뗄믹놾삧뺳뚼뿉틔맩뷡캪풴뗄쾡좱ꆣ뛔폚웳튵ퟛ뫏쾡좱뛈T:
d=dw,w캪좨훘쿲솿,뇭쪾쒳살쮵,내헕짺첬톧뗄맛뗣,웳튵튲쫇튻룶폐믺짺쏼훖풴뛔웳튵뗄훘튪돌뛈ꆣ쳥,쯼튪뷢뻶뗄믹놾컊쳢튲쫇짺듦폫랢햹ꆣ웳튵ퟔ짭뫍췢늿뮷뺳틲쯘뻶뚨쇋웳튵톡퓱뗄짺듦춾뺶,헢톭뮷뛈R:r=ꆣR캪믘쫕솿ꆣS튲뻍뻶뚨쇋웳튵뛌웚뗄짺듦ힴ첬뫍뎤웚뗄랢햹쓜뫄즢솿:ꚤS=S-R솦ꆣ풴쾡좱뗄쟩뿶쿂,뒫춳뗄뺭볃랢햹쒣쪽쪹뗃뫄즢뛈ꚤS:v=,쿔좻폐r+v=1ꆣ뫄즢뗄몬웳튵쏦쇙뺽뺳,짺듦뚼쏦쇙캣쿕,튲뻍룼첸늻짏랢S틥쫇쮵,쯤좻컯훊쫘뫣,떫풴뺭맽쪹폃뫳,폐튻늿햹ꆣ톭뮷뺭볃퓲쫇튻쳵뿉틔믱뗃탂짺뗄슷뺶ꆣ웳튵럖ꆰ쿻쪧ꆱ,늻쓜캪죋샠퓙듎쪹폃ꆣ뇘탫뷸탐뒴탂,룄짆ퟔ짭믺쓜,늻뛏쫊펦쾡좱뗄뮷평폚풴뗄믘쫕샻폃,쿠떱폚퓶볓쇋튻늿럖릩뺳,닅쓜놣돖뫍룄짆짺듦쮮욽,듯떽뿉돖탸뗄랢햹ꆣ룸,듋쪱쾡좱뛈캪:놾컄뻍틔풴쾡좱캪돶랢뗣,뛔웳튵랢햹톭뮷3D-(S+R)D-(1+r)SS뺭볃뗄샭싛컊쳢ퟶ튻돵늽첽쯷ꆣd=D=D=1-(1+r)D튻ꆢ풴쾡좱ꆢ풴톭뮷뫍벴3웳튵뗄쫊펦솦d=1-(1+r)s(<d)짏쪽뻟폐뫜쏷쿔뗄몬틥,쾡좱뛈쫇톭뮷뛈뗄복몯쫽,ꆡꆡ놾컄훐뗄ꆰ풴ꆱ뻟폐맣틥뗄몬틥ꆣ헫뛔풴,벴믘쫕샻폃싊풽룟,풴뻍풽늻쾡좱ꆣ쿈뚨틥튻킩뇤솿벰웤몬틥:풴폐킧샻폃뛈뇤캪:탨쟳솿:D릩룸솿(믲헟쫇풴뗄쪵볊뿉믱뗃솿):S헢튲QQR(1++RQu3u+r===(>u)S+RR1+r뻍쫇웳튵짺닺훐튪쯘쪵볊춶죫솿ꆣS(1+)S뎬뛮탨쟳:ꚤD=D-Sꆣ떱DꇜS쪱,웳튵뗄짏쪽뇭쏷,춨맽믘쫕샻폃쳡룟쇋풴폐킧샻폃쫕룥죕웚:2006ꆪ07ꆪ06ퟷ헟볲뷩:맹퇇뻼(1952ꆪ),쓐(싺ퟥ),쇉쓾뾪풭죋,뚫놱듳톧릤짌맜샭톧풺벼쫵뺭볃폫맜샭퇐뺿쯹쯹뎤,늩쪿,뷌쫚,늩쪿짺떼쪦,훷튪퇐뺿랽쿲:움볛샭싛폫벼쫵,벼쫵뺭볃럖컶,웳튵풴엤훃폫맜샭ꆣ80
ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ풴쾡좱ꆢ웳튵뒴탂폫웳튵톭뮷뺭볃뛈ꆣ싺ퟣ:웳튵튪퓚풴쾡좱뗄쟩뿶쿂짺듦,뇘탫폐튻뚨ꛕꇝꛕ0돌뛈뗄쫊펦솦ꆣ믲헟랴맽살쮵,풴쾡좱튪쟳웳튵죧맻평폚뮷뺳랢짺뇤뮯,죧짺닺튪쯘뗄춶죫쫽폐튻뚨뗄쫊펦솦,헢뾴ퟷ뛔웳튵쫊펦솦뗄탨쟳,볇ퟷ솿벰웤볛룱,닺욷뗄쿺쫛쫽솿벰웤볛룱틔벰컛좾컯DFꆣ웳튵쪵볊뻟폐뗄쫊펦솦뾴ퟷ웳튵쫊펦솦뗄릩뗄쫽솿뗈뗄뇤뮯,뛔웳튵닺짺쇋톹솦,쪹뗃웳튵뗄짺룸,볇ퟷSFꆣ웳튵뗄쫊펦돌뛈풽룟,쮵쏷웳튵쫊펦듦쮮욽쫜떽췾킲,벴:솦뗄릩룸풽뷓뷼쫊펦솦뗄탨쟳ꆣ쾡좱돌뛈쫜탭뛠쯦ꛕ<ꛕ0믺틲쯘뗄펰쿬,틲뛸웤듳킡튲쯦믺뇤뮯,뛔웳튵쫊펦폚쫇,퓚풴쾡좱ힴ뿶쿂,웳튵쏦쇙ퟅ튻룶쎬솦뗄탨쟳튲쯦횮뇤뮯,쯹틔웳튵쫊펦솦뗄릩룸뫍탨뛜:웳튵튪놣돖짺듦쮮욽,벴튪ꛕꇝꛕ0,뻍뇘탫쿻뫄쟳ퟜ듦퓚ퟅ닮뻠ꆣ튻뚨뗄풴살짺닺늢쿺쫛닺욷,헢퇹닅쓜짺듦,뛸횻떱DF<SF쪱,웳튵쫊펦솦뗄릩룸듳폚탨쟳,폐퓚짺듦뗄잰쳡쿂,닅쓜ퟷ돶얬솦살쫊펦톹솦;쇭튻뇭쏷웳튵췪좫폐쓜솦놣돖짺듦쮮욽늢쓜믱뗃랢햹ꆣ랽쏦,웳튵튪복쟡뮷뺳뗄톹솦,뻍튪뢶돶뛮췢뗄돉놾듋쪱,튲죏캪웳튵쪵볊늻듦퓚풴쾡좱컊쳢ꆣ떱뫍복짙닺욷뗄짺닺벰쿺쫛,뛸헢퇹웳튵뗄짺듦쮮욽DF>SF쪱,웳튵쫊펦솦릩룸킡폚탨쟳,듋쪱웳튵붵뗍쪹ꛕꇝꛕ0늻쓜돉솢ꆣ웳튵튪쿫짺듦쿂좥,캨튻풭살뗄짺듦쮮욽늻쓜놣돖,짵훁쏦쇙짺듦캣쿕ꆣ떱뗄춾뺶뻍쫇뒴탂ꆣ웳튵뿉틔춨맽벼쫵뒴탂ꆢ맜샭뒴DF=SF쪱,웳튵쫊펦솦릩룸뗈폚탨쟳,쫊펦듯떽탂ꆢ훆뛈뒴탂ꆢퟩ횯뒴탂ꆢ컄뮯뒴탂뫍쫐뎡뒴탂뗈,뗷뻹뫢,듋쪱,웳튵쓜놣돖짺듦쮮욽,떫랢햹뫜삧쓑ꆣ헻웳튵뗄뷡릹뫍릦쓜,붵뗍돉놾,쳡룟짺닺싊,퓶잿쿂쏦컒쏇룸돶맘폚웳튵쫊펦탔뗄튻킩룅쓮ꆣ뒴퓬샻죳뗄쓜솦,틔쫊펦뮷뺳틲쯘뗄뇤뮯,쟳뗃룼뫃뚨틥:웳튵쫊펦솦쾡좱솿:뗄짺듦뫍랢햹ꆣ헢킩뒴탂ퟛ뫏떽튻웰,뻍쫇랢햹톭ꚤDF=DF-SF뮷뺭볃,춳돆횮캪웳튵톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂ꆣ웳튵쫊펦솦쾡좱뛈(쫊펦솦쿠뛔뎬뛮탨쟳):쿂쏦춨맽튻럹춼살뇈뷏튻쿂늻춬탔훊뗄뒴탂뛔DDF-SFꚤDF폚웳튵뗄펰쿬ꆣf=D=FDF춼1훐뛾캬욽쏦훐낼쿲풭뗣뗄쟺쿟뇭쪾웳튵뗄웳튵쫊펦탔횸뇪:ꚵ짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟ꆣ퓚벼쫵쮮욽늻뇤(뒴탂잰)뗄쳵볾=DTfWDf쿂,짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟뒦폚AB캻훃;떥뒿뾼싇뺭볃킧웤훐:틦뛸뫶쫓뮷뺳뫳맻뗄뒴탂쪹뗃짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟뗄캻w1훃틆뚯떽CD캻훃ꆣ틆뚯뫳뗄짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟폫풭wW2=쟺쿟쿠뇈뿉틔뾴떽,웳튵퓚헢훖랢햹쒣쪽훐,뺭볃킧ω틦(샻죳)뗄쳡룟쫇틔뮷뺳훊솿뗄쿂붵ퟷ캪듺볛뗄ꆣwnnꇁn캪좨훘뻘헳,뛔뷇쿟짏뗄풪쯘wi캪웳튵뛔폚풴i뗄쾡좱뛈쫊펦탔뗄좨훘ꆣ웳튵뗄쫊펦탔쫇춨맽쾡좱뛈살뚨틥뗄,ꚵ횵풽킡,쮵쏷웳튵뗄쫊펦쓜솦풽듳ꆣ뛾ꆢ웳튵톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂뫍웳튵뗄짺듦랢햹쒣탍ꆡꆡ뮷뺳틲쯘뗄뇤뮯믡뛔웳튵뗄춶죫튪쯘뗄쫽솿뫍볛룱,닺욷뗄볛룱뫍쫽솿뚼닺짺펰쿬,듓뛸펰쿬웳튵뗄짺닺쓜솦,뇭쿖캪짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟뗄뇤뮯ꆣ랴맽춼1ꆡ웳튵뒴탂폫짺닺뿉쓜탔쟺쿟뗄틆뚯살ꆡꆡ뾼싇뮷뺳폫뺭볃킭뗷랢햹뗄뒴탂쪹뗃웳튵짺닺,웳튵뛔뮷뺳틲쯘뗄뇤뮯튪얬솦쫊펦,떱웳튵뗄쫊펦ퟮ듳쪱,튲뻍쫇풴뗄쾡좱탔ퟮ킡ꆣ웳튵쫊펦뮷뿉쓜탔쟺쿟뗄캻훃틆뚯떽EF캻훃ꆣ춨맽EF쟺쿟뺳쫇캪쇋짺듦,죧맻늻쓜짺듦뻍첸늻짏쫊펦ꆣ볙짨폫AB쟺쿟뇈뷏뿉볻,퓚헢훖랢햹쒣쪽훐,웳튵뺭볃웳튵폐튻룶믹놾뗄짺듦쮮욽ꛕ0,벴웳튵뗄짺듦쮮욽킧틦뗄쳡룟폫뮷뺳훊솿뗄룄짆쫇춬늽뷸탐뗄ꆣ늻춬81
벼쫵뺭볃ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ뗚25뻭ꆡ뗚11웚벼쫵슷쿟뗄톡퓱튲뻍틢캶ퟅ랢햹쒣쪽뗄늻춬,웳튵maxDs=Ds(ꛕ,ꚵ)=Rꛕꛁꚵꛂ펦룃톡퓱볈폐샻폚뮷뺳훊솿룄짆폖듙뷸웳튵뺭볃돖ꛕ=ꛐ(x,ꛋ,y,p,SF)ꇝꛕ0탸랢햹뗄뒴탂,벴톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂ꆣꚵ=dTfWDfꇜꚵ0쿂쏦평웳튵뗄짺듦몯쫽살뿌뮭웳튵뗄ힴ첬,짺y=y(p,x,DF)듦몯쫽쫇퓚샻죳몯쫽뗄믹뒡짏릹퓬뗄ꆣ웳튵짺듦몯s1t1x=x(ꛋ,DF)쫽죧쿂:p=p(DF)ꛕ=ꛐ(x,ꛋ,y,p,SF)ꛋ=ꛋ(DF)x:춶죫튪쯘;ꛋ:튪쯘볛룱;y:닺욷;p:닺욷볛룱;SF:웳튵쫊펦솦릩룸ꆣ죽ꆢ뷡폯헢킩솿뻹캪쿲솿ꆣ웳튵쫇랢햹톭뮷뺭볃뗄캢맛훷쳥ꆣ룼룟닣쏦뗄웳튵뗄햽싔죧맻쫇캬돖튻뚨쫊펦뛈ힷ쟳ퟮ듳짺톭뮷뺭볃튪틔웳튵뗄톭뮷뺭볃캪믹뒡,웳튵ퟔ짭쪵듦쮮욽,퓲폐죧쿂쒣탍:쪩톭뮷뺭볃폖쫇웤짺듦폫뿉돖탸랢햹뗄춾뺶ꆣ놾컄maxꛕ=ꛐ(x,ꛋ,y,p,SF)틔풴쾡좱캪돶랢뗣,릹퓬쇋웳튵짺듦폫랢햹뗄룅ꚵ=DTfWDfꇜꚵ0쓮탔쒣탍ꆣ떫헢풶풶늻릻ꆣ뛔폚랢햹톭뮷뺭볃살y=y(p,x,DF)쮵,듓샭싛짏뫍쪵볊닙ퟷ짏뚼폐뫜뛠뢴퓓뗄쾸훂뗄s1t1x=x(ꛋ,DF)컊쳢탨튪퇐뺿ꆣ뇊헟죏캪,톭뮷뺭볃볈쫇쫖뛎폖쫇p=p(DF)쒿뗄ꆣퟷ캪쫖뛎살쮵,탨튪짮죫톭뮷뺭볃쓚늿,퇐뺿ꛋ=ꛋ(DF)웤뻟쳥뗄샭싛ꆢ랽램ꆢ벼쫵벰쪵쪩뗈쾸뷚컊쳢ꆣ냑톭헢훖쒣탍뗄쳘뗣쫇뇈뷏힢훘뛌웚쒿뇪벴짺듦ꆣ뮷뺭볃뾴ퟷ쒿뗄,퓲폖탨튪쳸돶톭뮷뺭볃횮췢,돤럖웳튵뗄햽싔튲뿉쓜쫇폐쿞짺듦ퟮ듳쫊펦,럂짏뷨본웤쯻쇬폲뗄샭싛뫍랽램ꆣ헢퇹톭뮷뺭볃뗄퇐뺿뿉붨솢쒣탍:닅쓜룼돤쪵짮뿌ꆣ뻍놾컄살쮵,맘폚톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂minꚵ=TdfWDf뗄쓚죝쎻폐햹뾪ꆣ쯹릹퓬뗄쒣탍놾짭짐폐탭뛠컊쳢ꛕ=ꛐ(x,ꛋ,y,p,SF)ꇝꛕ0탨튪첽쳖,뛸튪붫웤폃폚쪵볊,퓲룼폐듽폚뷸튻늽뗄y=y(p,x,DF)퇐뺿ꆣs1t1x=x(ꛋ,DF)닎뾼컄쿗p=p(DF)ꛋ=ꛋ(DF)ꆲ1ꆳ돂뗂쏴,샮냘슥,돂퇞솫.톭뮷뺭볃랢햹쒣쪽훐뗄웳튵탐캪뗚죽훖햽싔쫇퓚짺듦뫍쫊펦돌뛈횮볤좡뗃좨럖컶[J].뺭볃컊쳢,2003(5).ꆲ2ꆳ헅삤.톭뮷뺭볃샭싛폫쪵볹[M].훐맺뮷뺳뿆톧돶냦짧,뫢,쫇볈힢훘뛌웚뗄짺듦폖힢훘뎤풶랢햹뗄햽싔,쒿2003.뗄뻍쫇웳튵뗄뿉돖탸랢햹ꆣ짨웳튵뿉돖탸랢햹쮮욽ꆲ3ꆳ퇮훒횱.웳튵짺첬톧틽싛[M].뿆톧돶냦짧,2003.ꆲ4ꆳ짲싺뫩,뫎헁폂,샮붨쟙.뺭볃뿉돖탸랢햹뗄뿆벼뒴탂[M].쫇짺듦쮮욽ꛕ뫍쫊펦뛈ꚵ뗄몯쫽:훐맺뮷뺳돶냦짧,ꆲ5ꆳ샮햼랼,쿲살짺,맹퇇뻼.톭뮷뺭볃훐뗄웳튵릲짺컊쳢[J].s=Ds(ꛕ,ꚵ)=Rꛕꛁꚵꛂ뚫놱듳톧톧놨:짧뿆냦,2006(s1):캪톭뮷뺭볃뒴탂틲ퟓꆣ퓲쒣탍캪:ResourceScarcityꆢEnterpriseInnovationandCircularEconomyGUOYa2jun,XIANGLai2sheng,LIZhan2fang,GUOLi(SchoolofBusinessAdministration,NortheasternUniversity,Shenyang110004,China)Abstract:Basingonresourcescarcity,,,itisappoint2edthatonlytodotheinnovationofcirculareconomy;,:circulareconomy;scarcitydegree;enterpriseadaptationcapabilities;innovation82
