2007쓪뗚1웚죋뿚폫뺭볃,2007(ퟜ뗚160웚)POPULATION&ECONOMICS()죋솦풴뾪랢폫뻍튵훐맺췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뒫떼쟾뗀퇐뺿뷰ꆡ뇌,돂훙뎣(훘쟬듳톧쎳틗폫탐헾톧풺,훘쟬ꆡ400044)햪ꆡ튪:쯦ퟅ컒맺췢짌횱뷓춶뗄듳솿샻폃,틔벰뻍튵컊쳢뗄죕틦퇏훘,췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦횵뗃맘힢ꆣ놾컄듓튻룶탂뗄뷇뛈ꆪꆪꆪ췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뗄죽룶뒫떼쟾뗀돶랢,럖컶쇋췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺뻍튵뗄펰쿬믺훆,좻뫳퓚듋믹뒡짏붨솢쒣탍뷸탐쪵횤럖컶ꆣ틲캪뷼킩쓪살췢짌뷸죫컒맺풽살풽뛠뗄톡퓱뛀쒣쪽,틲뛸쳘뇰퓚쒣탍훐볓죫랴펳췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲뗄뇤솿,살퇐뺿웤뛔뻍튵뗄펰쿬ꆣ맘볼듊:췢짌횱뷓춶;뻍튵킧펦;췢짌뛀훐춼럖샠뫅:F24114ꆡꆡ컄쿗뇪쪶싫:Aꆡꆡ컄헂뇠뫅:1000-4149(2007)01-0036-05StudiesontheTransmissionChannelsoftheEffectofFDIonEmploymentinChinaJINBi,CHENZhong2chang(TradeandAdministrationCollege,ChongqingUniversity,Chongqing400044)Abstract:WiththeabundantuseofFDIandthemoreseriousemploymentprobleminChina,theeffectofforeigndirectinvestment(FDI),,:foreigndirectinvestment;employmenteffects;foreignwhollyownershipofequity튻ꆢ틽퇔췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뷸죫튻냣뚼믡듸살뻍튵믺믡뗄퓶볓,쳘뇰쫇뛔랢햹훐맺볒룼쫇죧듋ꆣ룄룯뾪럅틔살,듳솿췢짌횱뷓춶펿죫컒맺,헢늻뷶뷢뻶쇋맺쓚뷰뛌좱컊쳢,쳡룟쇋벼쫵쮮욽,듙뷸쇋쎳틗뗄랢햹뫍쎳틗뷡릹뗄폅뮯,볓뿬쇋닺튵뷡릹뗄짽벶,뛸쟒쳡릩쇋듳솿뗄뻍튵믺믡,캪얩듥쪣폠샍뚯솦뗄틆틔벰맺웳쿂룚횰릤뗄훘탂뻍튵ퟶ돶쇋믽벫뗄릱쿗ꆣ2004쓪뗗퓚췢짌춶웳튵훐뗄횱뷓뻍튵죋풱캪1033췲죋,풼햼돇헲뻍튵죋뿚뗄4%,폫2003쓪쿠뇈횱뷓뒴퓬쇋170췲룶뻍튵믺믡ꆣ쯦ퟅ컒맺맺쓚뻍튵컊쳢뗄죕틦퇏훘,맺쓚톧헟뛔췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뻍튵킧펦훰붥룸폨쇋맘힢,쫕룥죕웚:2006-05-16ퟷ헟볲뷩:뷰뇌(1981-),얮,낲믕뢷퇴죋,훘쟬듳톧쎳틗폫탐헾톧풺닺튵뺭볃톧쮶쪿퇐뺿짺ꆣ훷튪듓쫂뻍튵컊쳢뗄퇐뺿ꆣꆤ36ꆤ
퓚뚨탔뫍뚨솿솽룶랽쏦뚼뷸탐쇋퇐뺿,죧즣냙뒨\[1\],믆뮪쏱\[2\],얣폂욽\[3\],돂ꆡ\[4\],쳯쯘뮪\[5\],쟱쿾쏷\[6\],헅붨쟚\[7\],훓믔\[8\],췵붣\[9\]뗈톧헟뗄릤ퟷꆣ떫쒿잰쿠맘퇐뺿돉맻훐,뛠쫇듓웤ퟷ폃뗄뷡맻(컼쫕킧펦뫍벷돶킧펦)뫍ퟷ폃뗄랽쪽(횱뷓킧펦뫍볤뷓킧펦)뷸탐럖컶펰쿬믺훆,뛸쎻폐듓췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뒫떼쟾뗀뗄뷇뛈돶랢ꆣ쇭췢,췢짌횱뷓춶뷸죫컒맺풽살풽뛠톡퓱뛀쒣쪽,맘폚췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟷쫆뛔뻍튵뗄펰쿬좱짙뚨솿럖컶ꆣ놾컄쫗쿈뛔췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뗄뒫떼쟾뗀뷸탐럖컶,좻뫳퓚듋믹뒡짏붨솢쒣탍뷸탐쪵횤럖컶,쳘뇰퓚쒣탍훐볓죫랴펳췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲뗄뇤솿,살퇐뺿웤뛔뻍튵뗄펰쿬ꆣ뛾ꆢ췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뒫떼쟾뗀럖컶췢짌횱뷓춶뛔뻍튵쫽솿뗄펰쿬쫇냩쯦ퟅ뺭볃믮뚯뛸닺짺뗄ꆣ뛔폚뚫뗀맺살쮵,췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뷸죫틢캶ퟅ붫퓚웤맺쓚랢짺죽훖뺭볃탐캪,쫗쿈쫇췢짌춶ퟔ짭뗄믮뚯,웤듎쫇췢짌횱뷓춶쯹펰쿬뗄맺쓚춶믮뚯,ퟮ뫳쫇췢짌횱뷓춶쯹틽웰뗄뺭볃퓶뎤믮뚯ꆣ헢죽훖뺭볃탐캪뚼믡떼훂뛔뚫뗀맺뻍튵뗄펰쿬,쫇췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뗄죽훖뒫떼쟾뗀ꆣ(튻)췢짌춶ퟔ짭믮뚯췢짌춶웳튵ퟔ짭믮뚯쫇췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뗄횱뷓쟾뗀ꆣ쯼뛔뻍튵쫽솿뗄펰쿬쫇늻좷뚨뗄,헢쫇뫍췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뷸죫랽쪽ꆢ뷸죫뚯믺ꆢ뷸죫쒣쪽뫍튪쯘쏜벯샠탍폐맘ꆣ11뷸죫랽쪽:춨뎣췢짌횱뷓춶뷸죫뚫뗀맺폐솽훖랽쪽:튻훖쫇싌뗘춶(탂짨춶),벴춨맽탂짨뗄랽쪽붨솢훐췢뫏웳튵믲헟췢짌뛀웳튵;쇭튻훖쫇늢릺,벴볦늢믲쫕릺뚫뗀맺쿖폐뗄웳튵ꆣ싌뗘춶퓚뛌웚쓚춨뎣믡컼쫕듳솿뗄샍뚯솦ꆣ쫗쿈,돶폚돉놾뗄뾼싇,췢짌춶웳튵튻냣돽쇋짨훃짙솿놾맺튵죋닅뫍맜샭죋풱틔췢,훷튪쫇퓚춶뗘헐쒼죋풱,듳솿맍폃떱뗘뗄웕춨샍뚯솦ꆣ웤듎,싌뗘춶뿉틔볤뷓뒴퓬뻍튵,죧퓚듳맦쒣뗄릫쮾뎧랿뗄붨짨훐,뿉틔쳡릩듳솿뗄뛌웚뻍튵;춨맽맘솪킧펦듙뷸맺쓚릩펦짌뫍럖쿺짌뻍튵뗄퓶볓ꆣ떫퓚뎤웚쓚,싌뗘춶폐뿉쓜볓뻧맺쓚쫐뎡뗄뺺헹뛸떼훂쪧튵뗄닺짺ꆣ뛸늢릺뗄춶랽쪽췹췹믡떼훂놻늢릺랽웳튵뗄튵컱헻뫏ꆢ죋풱뗷엤,뛌웚쓚늻믡퓶볓뻍튵,떫늻튻뚨믡돶쿖복짙뻍튵뗄뻖쏦ꆣ죧맻놻늢릺뗄웳튵쫇뇴쇙떹뇕뗄,믲헟놻늢릺웳튵뗄맍풱펵폐폐볛횵뗄벼쓜뫍쓜솦,믲헟늢릺뗄쒿뗄쫇캪쇋뿘훆쒳룶틑뺭퓋탐솼뫃뗄쿺쫛췸싧,쓇쎴늢릺탐캪쫇쓜릻놣쇴뻍튵뗄ꆣ죧맻늢릺틔뫳뗄훘ퟩ뫍헻뫏쫇돉릦뗄,쓇쎴풶웚쓚믡쳡릩룼뛠뗄뻍튵믺믡ꆣ2.뷸죫뚯믺:췢짌횱뷓춶뷸죫뚫뗀맺뗄뚯믺훷튪폐풴믱좡탍ꆢ샻죳훘탄탍ꆢ짺닺믹뗘탍ꆢ쫐뎡뾪췘탍ꆢ횪쪶쳡좡탍뫍럧쿕럖즢탍ꆣ춶뚯믺늻춬,웤뛔뻍튵뗄펰쿬튲늻춬ꆣ헔뺰뮪\[10\]믹폚컊뻭뗷닩믹뒡짏뗄럖컶,랢쿖짺닺믹뗘탍뫍쫐뎡뾪췘탍뗄뚯믺햼퓚뮪춶뚯믺뗄95%ꆣ짺닺믹뗘탍뗄췢짌횱뷓춶뾴훘뗄쫇훐맺듳솿뗄솮볛샍뚯솦,틲뛸뛔뻍튵뗄믽벫펰쿬뇭쿖퓚컼쫕쇋듳솿듓얩듥틆돶살뗄컞벼쫵믲뗍벼쫵샍뚯솦ꆣ쫐뎡뾪췘탍뗄췢짌횱뷓춶뾴훘뗄쫇훐맺뻞듳뗄쫐뎡탨쟳,캪쇋햼쇬맺쓚쫐뎡,뇘좻떼훂쓚웳튵뗄쫕쯵,볌뛸듳솿풱릤뗄쪧튵ꆣ쇭튻랽쏦,쫐뎡뾪췘탍뗄췢짌횱뷓춶퓚웤퇐랢뫍맜샭랽쏦탨튪룟쯘훊뗄죋닅,퓚웤짺닺훆퓬맽돌훐탨튪폐벼쫵뗄릤죋,뛔컞벼쫵뗄샍뚯솦탨쟳듳듳복짙ꆣ3.뷸죫쒣쪽:뷸죫쒣쪽쫇췢맺춶헟뷸죫맺췢쫐뎡뗄훘튪햽싔뻶닟컊쳢,횱뷓맘쾵떽췢웳튵뗄럧쿕틔벰뿘훆좨뫍쫕틦좨럖엤ꆣ늻춬뗄췢짌횱뷓춶뷸죫쒣쪽컼쓉샍뚯솦뗄ퟷ폃쫇늻춬뗄ꆣ듓컒맺췢짌횱뷓춶뗄쯄훖쒣쪽:뫏뺭펪ꆢ뫏ퟷ뺭펪ꆢ뫏ퟷ뾪랢ꆢ뛀뺭펪살뾴,잰죽훖랽쪽뛔샍뚯솦뗄컼쓉쓜솦튪룟폚뛀뺭펪ꆣ틲캪뛔잰죽훖랽쪽뗄췢랽살쮵,평폚훐랽뗄맜훆,쫗쿈퓚웳튵뗄ힷ쟳쒿뇪짏,웤돽쇋맘탄샻죳,뮹튪뾼싇뻍튵뗈럇쫐뎡틲쯘,뛸뛀뺭펪뗄췢랽퓲냚췑쇋헢훖쫸뢿,캪쇋믱좡ퟮ듳뗄샻죳,늻뛏쳡룟벼쫵쮮욽뫍놾폐믺릹돉,듓뛸떼훂듳솿뗄쪧튵;웤듎뫏웳튵퓚폫쓚웳튵뗄맘쾵짏,믡룼뛠뗘볓잿폫쓚웳튵뫏ퟷ,뺡뿉쓜뛠뗘듓쓚웳ꆤ37ꆤ
튵믱뗃쿠펦뗄엤쳗럾컱뫍닉릺훐볤닺욷,듓뛸듙뷸쇋쓚웳튵뗄뻍튵,뛀뺭펪뗄췢랽퓲믡퓚좫쟲랶캧쓚톡퓱웤엤쳗럾컱뫍훐볤닺욷뗄릩펦짌,뛸늻튻뚨쫇쓚웳튵ꆣ41튪쯘쏜벯샠탍:췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺뒴퓬뻍튵믺믡뗄킧펦폫짺닺맽돌뗄샍뚯쏜벯돌뛈쿠맘ꆣ죧맻샍뚯쏜벯돌뛈뷏룟,벴춨뎣쯹퇔뗄샍뚯쏜벯탍짺닺,평폚웤탨튪뷏뛠뗄샍뚯솦,횱뷓뒴퓬뻍튵믺믡뗄킧펦튲뻍뷏듳ꆣ죧퓚컒맺샍뚯쏜벯탍뗄릤튵늿쏅,죧럾ힰ튵ꆢ뗧ퟓ훆퓬튵뫍쪳욷틻쇏볓릤튵뗄횱뷓뻍튵킧펦쫇럇뎣춻돶뗄ꆣ죧맻샍뚯쏜벯돌뛈뷏뗍,벴춨뎣쯹퇔뗄놾쏜벯탍뫍벼쫵쏜벯탍짺닺,평폚웤탨튪뗄샍뚯솦늻뷶뷏짙,뛸쟒뮹쫇룟쯘훊뗄벼쫵죋풱,뛸퓚튻뚨쪱웚쓚벼쫵죋풱쫇쾡좱뗄,횻폐퓚쿠맘탐튵쓚컼틽웤쯻웳튵뗄쿖폐벼쫵죋풱,틲뛸퓚뛌웚쓚횻쓜뒴퓬뻍튵믺믡,뛸늻쓜퓶볓뻍튵솿ꆣ(뛾)췢짌횱뷓춶쯹펰쿬뗄맺쓚춶뮰뚯췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶뗄펰쿬폐솽훖쟩뿶:죧맻췢짌횱뷓춶퓶볓틽훂뗄맺쓚ퟜ춶뗄퓶볓뛮뎬맽췢짌횱뷓춶놾짭퓶볓뛮,퓲췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶닺짺ꆰ폕랢킧펦ꆱ;죧맻췢짌횱뷓춶퓶볓떼훂뗄맺쓚ퟜ춶퓶볓뛮킡폚췢짌횱뷓춶뗄퓶볓뛮,짵훁돶쿖맺쓚ퟜ춶뛮복짙,퓲췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶닺짺쇋ꆰ벷돶킧펦ꆱꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶뗄폕랢ꆢ벷돶튲쿠펦듸살쇋뛔뻍튵쫽솿늻춬뗄펰쿬ꆣ튻냣뛸퇔,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶뗄ꆰ폕랢킧펦ꆱ,쪵훊짏쫇횸췢짌횱뷓춶폫맺쓚춶늻듦퓚벤쇒뗄뺺헹맘쾵,뛸쫇쏦쇙늻춬뗄쫐뎡믺믡뗄뮥늹맘쾵,죧:췢짌횱뷓춶쇷죫죧맻룸컒맺듸살탂벼쫵믲탂닺욷,뻍믡듌벤맺쓚웳튵캪쳡룟ퟔ짭뺺헹솦퓶볓뒴탂춶;믲헟췢짌춶뗄닺튵듦퓚뫜잿뗄잰쿲믲뫳쿲맘솪탔,쓜릻듸뚯잰쿲뢨훺탔춶(훷튪쫇엺솿췢웳튵훐볤닺욷뗄릩펦짌)뫍뫳쿲뢨훺탔춶(훷튪횸뺭쿺짌ꆢ듺샭짌뫍웤쯻럾컱짌);믲헟췢짌춶폚맺쓚랢햹훍뫳ꆢ맺쓚웳튵늻풸뷸죫믲컞쓜솦뷸죫뗄룟럧쿕ꆢ룟벼쫵닺튵ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶춨맽폕랢맺쓚춶쯹볤뷓뒴퓬뗄뻍튵믺믡쫇뇈뷏듳뗄ꆣ룹뻝ꆶ1992쫀뷧춶놨룦ꆷ쳡릩뗄쇏,맺볊샍릤ퟩ횯뛔뿧맺릫쮾맺췢럖횧믺릹뗄쪵횤퇐뺿쳡돶뗄늻췪좫춳볆죏캪,룹뻝늻춬닺욷쟩뿶,뫳쿲믲잰쿲솪쾵쯹쓜뒴퓬뗄볤뷓뻍튵믺믡뇈횱뷓뻍튵믺믡뮹튪룟2ꆫ3놶ꆣ죧맻쫐뎡탨쟳폐쿞,쫐뎡믺믡쿠춬,쓇쎴췢짌횱뷓춶뗄쇷죫쫆뇘믡벷돶맺쓚춶ꆣ뫍맺쓚웳튵쿠뇈,췢짌춨뎣펵폐쿈뷸뗄벼쫵ꆢ솼뫃뗄뺭펪맜샭,볓횮컒맺룸폨뗄쮰쫕ꆢ뷸뿚뗈랽쏦뗄폅믝헾닟,틲뛸뻟폐쏷쿔뗄뺺헹폅쫆,떼훂맺쓚웳튵퓚뺺헹훐쪧샻,짵훁놻벷돶쫐뎡,돐쫜쯦횮뛸살뗄뇘좻쫇쪧튵죋풱뗄퓶볓ꆣ죧맻췢짌춨맽뷸뿚쟐뛏췢짌뷸죫뗄닺튵폫맺쓚웤쯻닺튵풭폐뗄잰쿲믲뫳쿲닺튵솴쳵,뿉떼훂맺쓚춶복짙ꆣ헢퇹,췢짌횱뷓춶튻랽쏦컞램듸뚯떱뗘짺닺짌뗄랢햹,쇭튻랽쏦폖쪹떱뗘짺닺짌퓚쫀뷧쫐뎡뗄뺺헹훐쪧샻,듓뛸떼훂뻍튵죋쫽뗄컞램퓶볓,짵훁틽웰튻늿럖죋쪧튵ꆣ듓틔짏럖컶뿉틔뾴돶,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔맺쓚춶듸살쇋폕랢뮹쫇벷돶킧펦ꆢ췢짌횱뷓춶뗄닺튵폫맺쓚춶닺튵뗄잰쿲믲뫳쿲맘솪죧뫎뛔뻍튵쫽솿뗄펰쿬쫇늻춬뗄,웤펰쿬뷡맻쫇뢴퓓뛸뇤뮯뗄ꆣ(죽)췢짌횱뷓춶쯹듸뚯뗄뺭볃퓶뎤믮뚯췢짌횱뷓춶춨맽듸뚯컒맺뺭볃퓶뎤뷸뛸뛔뻍튵쫽솿닺짺펰쿬쫇튻룶뎤웚뗄맽돌ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶춨맽놾믽샛ꆢ벼쫵삩즢ꆢ훆뛈뇤잨뗈킧펦듙뷸뺭볃퓶뎤,뺭볃뗄퓶뎤믡듸살ퟜ탨쟳뗄퓶볓,떼훂맺쓚춶맦쒣뗄삩듳,뛸춶맦쒣뗄삩듳폖믡쳡릩탂뗄뻍튵믺믡ꆣ죧튻킩췢짌춶웳튵횰릤,뷏룟뗄쫕죫쪹쯻쏇폐쓜솦캬돖룟쿻럑,뛸뷏룟뗄쿻럑닣듎폖틽웰룟떵쿻럑욷뗄뾪랢뫍춶퓶볓,춶퓶볓퓲닺짺탂뗄샍뚯솦탨쟳ꆣ떫쫇,퓚볓쯙쾵쫽볈뚨뗄쳵볾쿂,춶볓쯙퓶뎤뛔샍뚯솦탨쟳뗄펰쿬좴뿉틔벫늻쿠춬\[11\]ꆣ헢좡뻶폚춶뗄놾폐믺릹돉ꆣ틲캪샍뚯솦탨쟳쫇평춶훐뿉뇤놾뗄쫽솿뻶뚨뗄,뛸늻쫇평ퟜ뗄춶맦쒣뻶뚨뗄ꆣ쯦ퟅ맺쏱쫕죫쳡룟뫍맺쏱뺭볃랢햹,ꆤ38ꆤ
놾폐믺릹돉쪵볊짏튲퓚늻뛏쳡룟,틲뛸,춶퓶뎤틽훂샍뚯솦탨쟳뗄쫽솿퓚쿠뛔복짙ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶퓚듙뷸뺭볃퓶뎤뗄맽돌훐튲믡춨맽맺볊쎳틗ꆢ벼쫵뷸늽ꆢ닺튵뷡릹뗷헻뗄쟾뗀뛸볤뷓펰쿬뻍튵쫽솿ꆣ맺볊쎳틗뗄랢햹뛔뻍튵탨쟳뗄펰쿬뻟폐쮫훘탔ꆣ듓돶뿚살뾴,죧맻샍뚯쏜벯탍닺욷돶뿚퓶볓,퓲믡듸살샍뚯솦탨쟳뗄퓶볓;뛸횪쪶쏜벯탍닺욷돶뿚뗄퓶볓퓲믡퓶볓뛔벼쫵릤죋뗄탨쟳,뛸쯵킡뛔럇벼쫵릤죋뗄탨쟳ꆣ듓뷸뿚살뾴,튻랽쏦,뷸뿚짌욷뗄퓶볓틢캶ퟅ뛔놾맺짌욷탨쟳뗄복짙,헢믡쯵복뛔뻍튵뗄탨쟳;쇭튻랽쏦,죧맻뷸뿚짌욷훐돵벶닺욷뇈훘룟,퓲믡퓶볓뛔샍뚯솦뗄탨쟳ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶폫컒맺쎳틗횮볤쫇뮥늹맘쾵뮹쫇쳦듺맘쾵,헢훖늻좷뚨맘쾵쪹뗃뿧맺횱뷓춶춨맽쎳틗쟾뗀뛔뻍튵닺짺뗄펰쿬튲뻟폐늻좷뚨탔,늢쟒헢훖늻좷뚨탔쫜떽췢짌횱뷓춶뷡릹ꆢ컒맺뺭볃랢햹뷗뛎뗈틲쯘뗄펰쿬ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶늻뷶뷶쫇놾뗄틆,뛸쟒뮹춨맽쪾랶쒣럂뫍쫐뎡뺺헹ꆢ뎧짌횮볤뗄잰쿲뫍뫳쿲솪쾵ꆢ죋솦놾뗄쇷뚯,뷸탐벼쫵뗄틆,듓뛸췆뚯컒맺벼쫵쮮욽뫍뾪랢쓜솦뗄쳡룟ꆣ벼쫵ퟷ캪짺닺맽돌훐뗄춶죫튪쯘,믡퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏뛔뻍튵닺짺펰쿬,뇈죧샍뚯쪹폃탍벼쫵뷸늽쪹닺돶퓶볓쪱룼뛠퓶볓샍뚯뗄쪹폃,뛸놾쪹폃탍벼쫵뷸늽쪹뗃닺돶퓶볓쪱룼뛠퓶볓놾뗄쪹폃ꆣ벼쫵뷸늽튻랽쏦쪹탂탋닺튵늻뛏랢햹,엙퓬돶탂뗄뻍튵믺믡;쇭튻랽쏦튲쪹뒫춳닺튵늻뛏쮥실,뻍튵믺믡복짙ꆣ튻냣살쮵,벼쫵뷸늽뿬,샍뚯솦뛔탂벼쫵뗄쫊펦탔닮,뺭볃퓶뎤뒴퓬뗄뻍튵믺믡쿠뛔복짙ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뷸죫춨맽닺튵맘솪킧펦듸뚯쿠맘닺튵짽벶,춨맽풴듦솿뗷헻훘탂엤훃쳡룟뺭볃킧싊,춨맽ꆰ튻삿ퟓ튪쯘틆ꆱ듸살닺튵훊솿룄짆,춨맽쏖늹ꆰ벼쫵좱뿚ꆱ볓뿬닺튵뷡릹뗄뗷헻뫍짽벶,듙쪹닺튵뷡릹듓샍뚯쏜벯탍쿲놾벼쫵쏜벯탍ꆣ뛸샍뚯솦헻쳥쯘훊뷡릹폫닺튵뷡릹횮볤뗄쎬뛜튲뇭쿖뗃풽살풽퇏훘,퓚뛌웚쓚붫떼훂듳솿뗄뷡릹탔쪧튵,퓚뎤웚쓚튲믡펰쿬떽뻍튵맦쒣ꆣ쇭튻랽쏦,췢짌횱뷓춶쓜릻듸살닺튵뗄벯훐,뛸닺튵뗄벯훐폖췆뚯쇋돇쫐뮯뗄뷸돌,탂탋돇쫐(헲)뗄웰뇘좻폖듟짺돶뛔샍뚯솦룼맣랺뗄탨쟳ꆣ죽ꆢ췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦뗄쪵횤럖컶놾뷚붫춨맽붨솢췢짌횱뷓춶뫍컒맺뻍튵ퟜ솿뗄쒣탍뷸탐믘맩럖컶살랴펳췢짌횱뷓춶뻍튵킧펦ꆣ(튻)쒣탍뗄붨솢펰쿬컒맺뻍튵쮮욽뗄틲쯘뫜뛠,퓚헢샯뷶뾼싇췢짌횱뷓춶ꆢ맺쓚춶뛔컒맺뻍튵ퟜ솿뗄펰쿬ꆣ평폚쓜릻뛔뻍튵웰훘튪ퟷ폃뗄쫇춶뗄듦솿뛸늻쫇춶뗄쇷솿,쯹틔붫톡폃쎿쓪췢짌횱뷓춶뗄듦솿ퟷ캪뷢쫍뇤솿ꆣ평틔짏쟾뗀럖컶뿉횪,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔뻍튵맦쒣뗄펰쿬볈폐헽쏦킧펦,폖폐뢺쏦킧펦,ퟜ뗄킧펦죧뫎쫇늻좷뚨뗄ꆣ떫룹뻝컒맺뗄뺭퇩맛달,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺뻍튵쫽솿뗄펰쿬펦룃쫇믽벫뗄ꆣ쇭튻랽쏦,뷼쓪살췢짌횱뷓춶뷸죫훐맺풽살풽쟣쿲폚뛀쒣쪽,내짏컄럖컶,헢훖쟷쫆뿉쓜룸훐맺뗄뻍튵듸살뢺쏦킧펦ꆣ캪쇋뾼달췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲뛔뻍튵쫽솿뗄펰쿬,뮹튪퓚쒣탍훐볓죫랴펳췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯뗄뇤솿ꆣ뾼싇떽춶뗄훍뫳ퟷ폃,퓚쒣탍훐뮹펦볓짏췢짌횱뷓춶뫍맺쓚춶뗄훍뫳뇤솿ꆣ룹뻝틔짏럖컶,놾컄짨뚨죧쿂쒣탍:LNEMPi=C(1)+C(2)3LNFDI+C(3)3LNK+C(4)3TWFOE+C(5)3LNFDL1+C(6)3LNK-1+ꛅ웤훐LNEMP(ii=1,2)캪컒맺돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱쫽뗄뛔쫽,LNFDI캪떱웚췢짌횱뷓춶듦솿뗄뛔쫽,LNK캪떱웚맺쓚춶뛮뗄뛔쫽,TWFOE캪췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲횸뇪,LNFDI-1캪훍뫳튻웚뗄췢짌횱뷓춶듦솿뗄뛔쫽,LNK-1캪훍뫳튻웚뗄맺쓚춶뛮뗄뛔쫽,c(1)ꆢc(2)ꆢc(3)ꆢc(4)ꆢc(5)ꆢc(6)캪듽맀닎쫽,ꛅ캪쯦믺컳닮쿮ꆣꆤ39ꆤ
(뛾)쫽뻝살풴놾컄퇹놾좡1986ꆫ2004쓪볤뗄쓪뛈쫽뻝ꆣ쫽뻝뻹살ퟔ쿠맘쓪럝뗄ꆶ훐맺춳볆쓪본ꆷꆣ뛔폚랴펳컒맺뻍튵쮮욽뗄횸뇪,믹폚췢짌횱뷓춶훷튪벯훐퓚돇헲뗄뾼싇,퓚닉좡돇쿧뻍튵죋풱쫽뗄춬쪱,튲닉좡돇헲뻍튵죋풱쫽ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶뗄듦솿벴떱쓪샛믽뗄췢짌횱뷓춶쪵볊샻폃뛮ꆣ췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뛀뮯쟣쿲쫇틔췢짌횱뷓춶뛀쒣쪽폫웤쯻쒣쪽쪵볊샻폃뷰뛮횮뇈살뇭쪾ꆣ맺쓚춶쫇만뚨닺춶뛮뿛돽샻폃췢뗄늿럖ꆣ(죽)볆솿럖컶뷡맻퓋폃EVIEWS311춳볆죭볾뷸탐믘맩럖컶,믘맩뷡맻죧쿂:뇤솿LNEMP1LNEMP2C(1)12131083(251704693)10160999(321585763)LNFDI01304373(21514558)01216185(21627054)LNK01013197(01140239)01041591(01650085)TWFOE01082352(11964327)01154059(514052193)LNFDL1-01044406(-01466061)01060595(01935459)LNK-1-01336027(-315110483)-01329261(-510604693)R2squared0193185101991044AdjustedR2squared0190345601987312F2statistic3218170626515782Prob(F2statistic)0100000101000000Durbin2Watsonstat1144473421099296ꆡꆡ쮵쏷:삨뫅훐캪T볬퇩횵,듸3뗄뇭쪾1%쿔훸쮮욽짏춨맽볬퇩ꆣ듓믘맩뷡맻살뾴,솽룶믘맩랽돌뚼뿉틔춨맽볬퇩,쟒쓢뫏폅뛈뻹뷏룟ꆣ듓룷룶뇤솿뛔뻍튵죋풱뗄펰쿬살뾴:(1)떱웚췢짌횱뷓춶뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱쯤뚼캪쿔훸헽펰쿬,떫펰쿬돌뛈폐쯹늻춬,췢짌횱뷓춶듦솿쎿퓶뎤1%,틽웰돇쿧뻍튵죋풱쫽퓶뎤013044%,돇헲뻍튵죋풱쫽퓶뎤012162%;(2)떱웚맺쓚춶뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱뗄펰쿬늻쿔훸,캴쓜춨맽볬퇩;(3)췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱튲캪쿔훸헽펰쿬,웤훐뛔돇헲뻍튵죋풱뗄펰쿬뷏듳;(4)훍뫳튻웚뗄췢짌횱뷓춶뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱뗄펰쿬늻쿔훸;(5)훍뫳튻웚뗄맺쓚춶뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱뗄펰쿬뻹캪쿔훸뗄뢺펰쿬,벴뛔뻍튵닺짺쇋벷돶킧펦ꆣ평듋뿉볻,폫맺쓚춶쿠뇈,췢짌횱뷓춶뗄퓶볓쓜릻듸뚯컒맺뻍튵죋쫽뗄퓶볓ꆣ쇭췢,췢짌횱뷓춶뛀뮯쟣쿲뛔돇쿧ꆢ돇헲뻍튵죋풱뗄쿔훸헽펰쿬,폫잰쏦볙짨폐쯹늻튻훂ꆣ웤훷튪풭틲:평폚훐맺헽뒦폚ꆰ죋뿚뫬샻ꆱ웚,솮볛뗄샍뚯솦벰짺닺돉놾,쪹췢뛀웳튵듳뛠퓚훐맺맺쓚톡퓱웤엤쳗럾컱뫍훐볤닺욷뗄릩펦짌,듓뛸춨맽듸뚯쓚웳튵뗄랢햹볤뷓퓶볓쇋룼뛠뗄릤ퟷ믺믡,헢풶뎬맽틲웤놾폐믺릹돉쳡룟쯹쳡짽릤ퟷ킧싊뛸복짙뗄뻍튵죋풱ꆣ쯄ꆢ뷡싛벰헾닟붨틩춨맽틔짏럖컶,췢짌횱내춶뻍튵킧펦뗄뒫떼쟾뗀훷튪폐죽룶:췢짌춶웳튵ퟔ짭믮뚯;췢짌횱뷓춶쯹펰쿬뗄맺쓚춶믮뚯;췢짌횱뷓춶쯹듸뚯뗄뺭볃퓶뎤믮뚯ꆣ웤훐췢짌춶웳튵ퟔ짭믮뚯쫇횱뷓뗄뒫떼쟾뗀,뛸쇭췢솽훖쟾뗀퓲쫇볤뷓뗄ꆣ듋췢,헢죽룶뒫떼쟾뗀뗄늻좷뚨탔,쪹뗃췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뻍튵킧펦튲쫇뢴퓓뗄ꆣ떫듓쪵횤뷡맻살뾴,췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺뻍튵웰ퟅ믽벫뗄ퟷ폃,웤뛀뮯쟣쿲뛔뻍튵튲쫇쿔훸뗄헽펰쿬ꆣ틲듋,캪뷢뻶쒿잰컒맺죕틦퇏훘뗄뻍튵컊쳢,듓샻폃췢뗄뷇뛈살뾴,펦룃듳솦틽뷸췢짌횱뷓춶;퓶잿췢짌춶웳튵폫맺쓚웳튵뗄맘솪,냼삨춨맽헾닟듫쪩맄샸췢짌퓚(쿂뗚35튳)ꆤ40ꆤ
럑폃,맺볒퓙룸폨튻킩늹쳹,뛔튻킩쪮럖욶삧뗄죋뿚쏜뗄틥컱,헢퇹튻살,튻떩튽풺캥랴킭틩맦뚨킹슶떱뿉틔쪵탐쏢럑믩볬ꆣ쫂헟뗄틾쮽,퓚램싉뻀럗훐뻍믡뒦폚늻샻뗘캻ꆣ(쯄)쳡룟쏱훚뗄믩볬틢쪶,붨솢믩볬놣쏜훆뛈닎뾼컄쿗:튪듓룹놾짏룄뇤컒맺믩볬싊뷏뗍뗄쿖ힴ,헾뢮뗄\[1\]쇵쮬.좡쿻잿훆믩볬:쫇틲튭럏쪳,뮹쫇짧믡뷸늽.죋틽떼ꆢ램싉맦뚨ꆢ믩볬믺릹릤ퟷ뗄맦랶뮯뚼쫇췢틲,뿚퇐뺿,2004,(5).쏱훚믩볬틢쪶뗄퓶잿닅쫇쳡룟믩볬싊ꆢ붵뗍돶짺죋뿚\[2\]쇵쒫럇.놱뺩:탂쳵샽쪵쪩튻룶퓂뫳믩볬죋쫽횻벰췹죕좱쿝싊뗄맘볼쯹퓚ꆣ튻돉.튽톶췸,2003-10-30.\[3\]탭쟟.짏몣탂죋ퟔ풸믩볬싊뷶1169%,ꆰퟔ톡쳗닍ꆱ믩11볓잿탻뒫,쳡룟릫쏱ퟔ뻵믩볬뗄틢쪶ꆣힼ놸뷡믩뗄쓐얮쮫랽,튪놾ퟅ뛔뛔랽뢺퓰ꆢ뛔캴살볒춥뢺볬쇁쿠.탂컅췭놨,2003-11-4.퓰ꆢ뛔뫳듺뢺퓰뗄첬뛈,냑떽튽쇆믺릹뷸탐믩볬뇤돉\[4\]샖쟩.죋뿚돶짺좱쿝룉풤릤돌퓢폶캣믺.놱뺩쟠쓪놨,튻훖ퟔ뻵탐캪ꆣ떱쫂죋듓쿖퓚뗄헻쳗믩볬쿮쒿훐2004-3-23.,룹\[5\]훜몣췺ꆢ룟믛.잿훆믩볬좡쿻뫳닺짺뗄컊쳢뫍뛔닟첽뻝ퟔ벺쟩뿶,폐헫뛔탔뗘톡퓱튻킩쓚죝뷸탐볬닩,뿍쳖.짧믡뿆톧,2004,(9).맛ꆢ샭훇뗘쇋뷢뇋듋뗄붡뾵ힴ뿶,릲춬캪믩틶볒춥돐\[6\]췵뮳헂ꆢ훬쿾퇠.믩볬훆뛈룄룯뗄놳뺰ꆢ좱쿝벰췪짆떣웰퓰죎ꆣ튽쇆놣붡믺릹튪뇤맛쓮,쳡릩룟훊솿,ꆪꆪꆪ듓헾뢮폫짧믡럖좨뗄쫓뷇.퓆쓏듳톧톧놨램톧냦,힢훘뛔쫜볬룶죋틾쮽뗄놣뮤,듙쪹믩볬훰붥돉캪릫쏱2005,(2).뗄ퟔ뻵탐캪ꆣ\[7\]췵붡.ퟔ풸믩볬춹쿖램싉쓑쳢.램싉폫짺믮,2003,21붨솢쿠펦뗄놣쏜훆뛈,놣뮤떱쫂죋뗄틾쮽좨ꆣ(11)쿂냫퓂.헫뛔뫜뛠죋엂믩볬뒥벰ퟔ벺뗄틾쮽뛸늻풸틢믩볬뗄쿖\[8\]헅쟚.싛짧믡훐뷩ퟩ횯뛔훐맺짧믡랢햹뗄펰쿬.탐헾싛쿳첳,2003,(6).,폐쳵볾뗄튽풺뿉틔쇭뇙쏅믩볬싌즫춨뗀,쪵탐튻헯쫒튻죋뗄볬닩랽쪽,힢훘볬닩뗄틾쏘탔뫍랽뇣\[9\]슷탒뢣.믩볬캣믺돉틲ꆢ쿖쪵??폫샭탔쟳뷢.컀짺죭탔뿆톧,2005,(4).,룸떱쫂죋뒴퓬튻룶솼뫃뗄뮷뺳ꆣ쇭췢,폐킩튽풺냑떱쫂죋뗄뮯퇩놨룦떥럢웰살,퓚쳥볬늡샺짏볓럢\[10\]죮톩쟛.헽좷죏쪶믩볬훆뛈뗄룄룯.톧쾰폫쪵볹,2004,쳵(6).,틔듋ퟰ훘ꆢ놣뮤떱쫂죋틾쮽좨뗄ퟶ램횵뗃췆맣ꆣ믩볬튽풺뮹뿉틔폫떱쫂죋뚩솢놣쏜킭틩,좷뚨튽풺폐[퓰죎뇠벭ꆡ췵쫷탂]늻뗃쯦틢릫늼ꆢ킹슩떱쫂죋뗄믩볬놨룦뫍캪떱쫂죋놣(짏뷓뗚40튳)닺튵맘솪돌뛈룟뗄탐튵춶,맄샸췢웳튵톡폃맺쓚웳튵ퟷ캪웤훐볤닺욷뗄릩펦짌뫍럾컱뗄쳡릩헟,ퟶ뫃듙뷸맺쓚웳튵폫췢짌춶웳튵맘솪뗄럾컱,쳡룟맺쓚릩펦짌뗄뺺헹솦뫍쓜솦ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗:\[1\]즣냙뒨1췢짌횱뷓춶웳튵뛔컒맺뗄뻍튵릱쿗1뾪럅떼놨,1999,(4).\[2\]믆뮪쏱.췢짌횱뷓춶폫컒맺쪵훊뺭볃맘쾵뗄쪵횤럖컶.쓏뾪뺭볃퇐뺿,2000,(5).\[3\]얣폂욽.맺볊횱뷓춶폫컒맺뻍튵솿횮볤뗄맘쾵.뺭볃톧뚯첬,2001,(11).\[4\]돂ꆡ.췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺샍뚯솦뻍튵뗄펰쿬.죋뿚폫뺭볃,2001,(5).\[5\]쳯쯘뮪.췢뛔짏몣뻍튵킧펦뗄쪵횤럖컶.닆뺭퇐뺿,2004,(3).\[6\]쟱쿾쏷.췢짌횱뷓춶뗄뻍튵킧펦뇤잨럖컶.훐맺죭뿆톧,2004,(3).\[7\]헅붨쟚.췢짌횱뷓춶뛔컒맺뻍튵뗄펰쿬ꆪꆪꆪ튻룶ퟛ뫏럖컶뿲볜.뺭볃폫맜샭퇐뺿,2005,(5).\[8\]훓믔.FDI뛔훐맺뻍튵펰쿬뗄뚯첬럖컶.쫀뷧뺭볃퇐뺿,2005,(12).\[9\]췵붣.췢짌횱뷓춶뛔훐맺뻍튵킧펦뗄닢쯣.춳볆퇐뺿,2005,(3).\[10\]헔뺰뮪.뿧맺릫쮾퓚뮪ퟓ릫쮾돉뎤폫랢햹햽싔뗄쪵횤퇐뺿.맜샭쫀뷧,2002,(10).\[11\]춬\[1\].[퓰죎뇠벭ꆡ듞럯풫]ꆤ35ꆤ
