1999쓪뗚5웚훐맺욽뻹샻죳싊뗄맀쯣3쳆횾뫪(훐맺횤좯쫐뎡퇐뺿짨볆훐탄퇐뺿뾪랢늿ꆡ100026)튻ꆢ믹놾쒣탍ꆰ뺭볃퓶뎤뫋쯣ꆱ(GrowthAccounting)풴폚쯷싥(1957)ꆢDenison(1962)뛔ퟜ짺닺몯쫽뗄쳖싛,냑ퟜ닺돶뗄퓶뎤럖뷢돉춶죫튪쯘퓶뎤뗄릱쿗뫍벼쫵뷸늽뗄릱쿗,헢훖랽램쫇뷸탐뺭볃퓶뎤쪵횤럖컶뗄믹뒡ꆣ뇪ힼ뗄맅뗤퓶뎤몯쫽캪:ꆡꆡY=F(A,K,L)(1)Y캪ퟜ닺돶,A캪벼쫵쮮욽,K캪놾듦솿,L캪샍뚯솦뗄춶죫솿ꆣ뗈쪽(1)솽뇟춬쪱뛔쪱볤t쟳떼:ꆡꆡÛYKK/YF=g+(Y)3(ÛKL/KFL)+(Y)3(LÛ/L)(2)ÛY,ÛK,LÛ럖뇰캪ퟜ닺돶ꆢ놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뛔쪱볤t뗄떼쫽,FK,FL캪튪쯘뗄뇟볊닺욷,g듺뇭벼쫵뷸늽뗄릱쿗,쯼놻돆캪좫튪쯘짺닺싊퓶뎤싊,폐쪱튲돆캪ꆰ쯷싥폠쿮ꆱꆣgꇔFAA(Y)3(AÛ/A)(3)죧맻벼쫵뷸늽쫇ꆰ쾣뿋쮹훐탔ꆱ(Hicks2neuꋙtral),쓇쎴g=AÛ/AꆣFKKFLLg=ÛY/Y-(Y)3(ÛK/K)-()L3(LÛ/L)(4)볆쯣(4)쪽,떫FK,FL컒쏇늻횪뗀ꆣ튻냣컒쏇볙짨쫐뎡쫇췪좫뺺헹뗄,쓇쎴놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄뇟볊닺돶뗈폚놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄쫐뎡볛룱,FK=샻싊(R),FL=릤싊(w)ꆣ(4)쪽튲뿉킴돉ꆡꆡ^g=ÛY/Y-SK3(ÛK/K)-SL3(LÛ/L)(5)SKꇔRK/Y,SLꇔwL/Y,럖뇰듺뇭ퟜ닺돶훐놾ꆢ샍뚯솦쯹뗃럝뛮,튲쫇놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄떯탔ꆣ죧맻볙짨맦쒣쫕틦늻뇤,쓇쎴SK+SL=1,믲헟Y=RK+wL,퓚쪵볊볆쯣쪱놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뫋쯣뿚뺶펦폫ퟜ닺돶뗄뫋쯣뿚뺶튻훂ꆣ죧맻뾼싇쮰싊폫헛뻉RFK=1-ꛓ+ꛄ(6)ꛓ캪쮰싊ꛄ,캪헛뻉싊,쓇쎴3ꆡ놾퇐뺿쫇퓚훐맺횤좯쫐뎡퇐뺿짨볆훐탄ퟜ뺭볃쪦쯎맺쟠뗄횸떼쿂췪돉뗄,뷷듋훂킻,ퟔ좻컄훐뗄듭컳평ퟷ헟놾죋뢺퓰ꆣꋙꆡ죧맻짺닺몯쫽쫇Y=AF(K,L),벼쫵뷸늽뛔놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄펰쿬쫇ꆰ쾣뿋쮹훐탔ꆱ뗄ꆣ죧맻짺닺몯쫽쫇Y=(K,AL),쓇쎴벼쫵뷸늽쫇ꆰ맾싞뗂훐탔ꆱ(Harrod2neutral)ꆣ61' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
RKg=ÛY/Y-(31-ꛓ+ꛄ)Y3(ÛK/K)-SL3(LÛ/L)(7)Hsieh(1998)샻폃쇋쇭튻훖랽램,볆쯣ꆰ좫튪쯘짺닺싊ꆱY=RK+wL(8)ÛY/Y=SK3(RÛ/R+ÛK/K)+SL3(wÛ/w+LÛ/L)(9)g^=ÛY/Y-SK3ÛK/K-SL3LÛ/L=SK3RÛ/R+SL3wÛ/w(10)(10)쪽폫(5)쪽튻룶쫇듓볛룱뇤뮯,튻룶쫇듓쫽솿뇤뮯살맀쯣벼쫵뷸늽뗄릱쿗싊ꆣ뛾헟볆쯣뗄뷡맻펦쿠뗈ꆣ듓(5)쪽컒쏇뿉틔뗃떽볆쯣샻죳싊뗄튻룶릫쪽:R=(SK-ꛄ)ꇁYꇁ(1-ꛓ)/K(11)듓(10)쪽폫(5)쪽컒쏇뿉틔뗃떽볆쯣샻죳싊퓶뎤싊뗄튻룶릫쪽:RÛ/R=[ÛYR/Y-(1-ꛓ+ꛄK)3Y3(ÛK/K)-SL3(LÛ/L)-SLꇁwÛ/w]/SK(12)뛔폚SK,SL뗄좷뚨폐솽훖랽램ꆣ튻훖랽램쫇샻폃쪱볤탲쇐쫽뻝,폃ퟜ닺돶뛔놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄춳볆믘맩랽램좷뚨;쇭튻훖랽램쫇춨맽맺쏱쫕죫뫋쯣뇭횱뷓믱뗃ꆣ믘맩랽램뗄폅뗣쫇:SK,SL횮뫍뿉틔늻뗈폚1,벴:SK+SLꇙ1,쯼뿉폃살볬퇩맦쒣뺭볃쫇늻뇤ꆢ뗝퓶믲뗝복,좱뗣쫇:11춳볆믘맩랽램캪쇋놣횤맀볆뗄믘맩쾵쫽뗄컞욫탔,튪쟳닐닮쿮폫믘맩뇤솿횮볤쫇뛀솢뗄,떫뺭볃톧샭싛좷죏캪놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄퓶뎤싊폫벼쫵뷸늽듦퓚쒳훖쿠맘탔,헢퇹믘맩뗄쾵쫽쫇폐욫뗄ꆣ21놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄쪵볊쪹폃퓚춳볆짏듦퓚욫닮,헢펰쿬믘맩뗄뷡맻ꆣ폃맺쏱쫕죫뫋쯣뇭뗄랽램횱뷓믱뗃뗄좱뗣쫇춳볆짏뫜쓑쟸럖놾쯹뗃뫍샍뚯쯹뗃ꆣSarel(1997)죏캪,놾뗄떯탔쾵쫽펦퓚0128ꆪ0135횮볤ꆣ뛾ꆢ쪵횤볬퇩룹뻝ꆶ훐맺춳볆쓪본(1998)ꆷ훐뗄ꆰ룷뗘쟸맺쓚짺닺ퟜ횵뷡릹쿮쒿ꆱ(뇭1)볆쯣돶,1997쓪샍뚯헟놨돪ꆢ만뚨닺헛뻉ꆢ짺닺쮰뺻뛮ꆢ펪튵펯폠퓚GDP훐뗄뇈샽룷캪:53%ꆢ14%ꆢ13%ꆢ20%ꆣ죧맻SK=0133(짺닺쮰뺻뛮뇈샽+펪튵펯폠뇈샽)ꛄ,=0113ꛓ,=0114,Y/K뗄뇈싊캪0150,퓲볆쯣1997쓪짧믡욽뻹쮰뫳쪵볊샻죳싊캪:R=(SK-ꛄ)ꇁYꇁ(1-ꛓ)/K=816%캪쇋볆쯣샻죳싊뗄퓶뎤싊,컒쏇뮹탨튪볆쯣좫튪쯘짺닺싊퓶뎤싊,SK=0133,룹뻝GDPꆢ놾ꆢ샍뚯솦뗄퓶뎤싊맀쯣돶g^=318%ꆣꆡꆡ룹뻝춳볆쓪본볆쯣돶1978쓪훁1997쓪훐맺뻓쏱볒춥죋뻹쫕죫쓪뻹퓶뎤캪715%ꆣ샻폃릫쪽(12),쮰뫳샻죳싊뗄퓶뎤싊캪RÛ/R=(g^-SLꇁwÛ/w)/SK=(01038-0153ꇁ01075)/0133=-015%튲뻍쫇쮵샻죳싊뗄퓶뎤싊캪뢺횵ꆣ죧맻컒쏇볙짨SKꆢꛄꆢꛓ늻뇤,듓릫쪽(11)컒쏇뿉틔뾴떽쮰뫳샻죳싊틀삵폚Y/K뗄뇈싊,듓춼1컒쏇튲뿉틔뾴떽헢룶뇈싊쫇퓚쿂붵뗄ꆣ62' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뇭1룷뗘쟸맺쓚짺닺ퟜ횵뷡릹쿮쒿(1997쓪)떥캻:틚풪놾뇭내떱쓪볛룱볆쯣뗘쟸GDP샍뚯헟놨돪만뚨닺헛뻉짺닺쮰뺻뛮펪튵펯폠놱뺩1810109867146304125300125338113쳬뷲124014631126184193166164257157뫓놱39531782107132513189404139928118즽컷1480113749176123205199348191쓚쏉맅1094152635107132104120179206162쇉쓾349010617191735231738318862183벪쇖144619189311623716416519150121뫚쇺붭27081461293156386194475192552104짏몣336012111661924071677361731048189붭쯕668013434331629121228171451517105헣붭463812422031734391315671441427176낲믕26691951321122291134329138728101뢣붨30001361549115352147291109807165붭컷17151181102167209189181195220167즽뚫6650102301013511181128601111661144뫓쓏40791262605104554111509138410173뫾놱345012421081525251544312373102뫾쓏299319601744071763171230713맣뚫7315151359619112616411351711456126맣컷201512141019187111194147222172몣쓏40918624415364169401546011훘쟬13501176716312111113511326126쯄뒨33201111860105464172365177629157맳훝7921985051429014713619560114퓆쓏1644123770161217133398145257184컷님7619857185111372146513짂컷132610479119185118151182197114룊쯠781134413157101124121159144194쟠몣202105130167321272115617155쓾쿄210192126155331432517825116탂붮1050114593114172184117118166198ꆡꆡ쇏살풴:룹뻝ꆶ훐맺춳볆쓪본(1998)ꆷ볆쯣ꆣ63' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뇭1폐맘훐맺퓶뎤뫋쯣뗄퇐뺿뇈뷏(%)쪱웚GDP퓶뎤싊TFP퓶뎤싊놾릱쿗샍뚯릱쿗쇏살풴1979ꆪ1994913319412112뫺ퟦ쇹ꆢ샮즽(1996)1979ꆪ199510164125114샮뺩컄(1996)1980ꆪ1986815313231341184Bosworthetal(1995)1978ꆪ1997918219517112뗔랲(1998)1978ꆪ1995914318314112쫀뷧틸탐(1997)ꆡꆡ쇏살풴:뗔랲(1998)ꆣ춼1ꆡGDP/놾뗄뇈싊쇏살풴:놾듦솿쫇룹뻝kt-1+I-ꛄkt-1릫쪽볆쯣뗄,룹뻝춳볆쓪본컒쏇횪뗀쎿쓪뗄좫짧믡만뚨닺춶It,95ꆢ96ꆢ97쓪좫짧믡헛뻉솿,78쓪맺폐만뚨닺듦솿ꆣ컒쏇뿉틔닉폃쫔듭램,닉폃늻춬뗄k0ꆢꛄ,틔뗃떽폫95ꆢ96ꆢ97쓪좫짧믡헛뻉솿쿠튻훂뗄놾듦솿ꆣ컒쏇뿉틔퇩쯣튻쿂ퟮ뫳뗃떽뗄놾듦솿:1997쓪놾ꆪ닺돶뇈싊풼캪2,헢뫍Romer,RM(1989)뛔랢듯맺볒뗄맀볆틔벰웤쯻뺭볃톧볒뫺폀첩(1998)뗄맀볆쿠튻훂ꆣ뛔놾듦솿늻춬뗄맀볆랽램뿉볻뫺ퟦ쇹ꆢ샮즽(1994)ꆣ듓뇭2컒쏇튲뿉틔뾴돶샻죳싊ꋙ쫇쿂붵뗄ꆣ죽ꆢ뷡싛죧맻컒쏇뗄볆쯣쫇헽좷뗄뮰,쓇쎴:11훐맺놾춶뗄믘놨싊늻믡뫜룟,춶헟뗄뷰돉놾죧맻뫜룟뗄뮰,튻훖뿉쓜쫇춶헟뻍쎻듲쯣뮹잮ꆣ21춶헟뛔춶믘놨뗄풤웚뫜룟,헢훷튪쫇틲캪훐맺뒦퓚훆뛈뻧쇒뇤룯횮훐,춶헟풤웚뗄춶믘놨웚뫜뛌,헢펰쿬쇋춶헟뛔뎤웚쿮쒿뗄춶ꆣꆡꆡ31샻죳싊퓶뎤싊캪-015%,샻죳싊쫇퓚쿂붵ꆣ헢튲럻뫏컒쏇뗄횱뻵ꆰ쿖퓚짺틢쓑ퟶꆱꆣ샻죳싊뗄쿂붵헢훷튪쫇틲캪놾뗄뇟볊놨돪싊뗝복,fꇥ(k)ꇜ0,믲헟뺺헹떼훂풭살퓚볆뮮뺭볃쳥훆쿂뎬뛮샻죳싊뗄뫄즢ꆣ틲캪1978ꆪ1997쓪ꆰ좫튪쯘짺닺싊ꆱ퓶뎤싊캪318%,헢웤훐훷튪쫇훆뛈뇤잨듸살뗄풴엤훃폅뮯,떱풭살뗄풴엤훃얤쟺뗃떽훰늽룄짆,좫튪쯘짺닺싊퓶뎤싊믡쿂붵,샻죳튲믡쿂붵ꆣ죧맻헾뢮늻쪹ퟔ벺뗄탐캪훆뛈뮯ꆢ춸쏷뮯,퓶볓뿉풤웚탔,복짙헾뢮뗄ꆰ믺믡훷틥ꆱ,듓뛸붵뗍춶뗄럧쿕쳹쮮,컒쏇풤웚짧믡룶죋춶뗄퓶뎤싊뮹붫쿂붵ꆣꋙ틲캪짏쫐릫쮾뿉쓜듦퓚샻죳틆뗄쟩뿶,컒쏇횻볆쯣훷펪튵컱쫕죫샻죳싊ꆣ64' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뇭2짮?ꆢ짏몣짏쫐릫쮾훷펪튵컱쫕죫샻죳싊(%)탐튵1994쓪1995쓪1996쓪1997쓪붨닄30155624129214158391699볒뗧1013228174171897101133싃폎181298171808171067161331뮯쿋1519561218195107921862튱뷰121446717008104081101랿뗘닺321464251818171601121450훆튩1211649197691871101044뗧ퟓ12169613164710197681508쇣쫛엺랢51586413114100431907믺킵91882817236177051247믺뚯뎵훆퓬71674713777186881428뮯릤1219781410629179291251붻춨퓋쫤럾컱141959151045121820131623쓜풴131687151142111077191312얩튵111513121198111943101645믹붨81997617645167451894볆쯣믺탅쾢닺튵111667819579166771602욽뻹1219761111259111591025랽닮5114979653419069531513024241718036609287854ꆡꆡ쇏살풴:룹뻝짮?ꆢ짏몣짏쫐릫쮾쓪놨볆쯣뗃돶ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗뫺ퟦ쇹ꆢ샮즽,1994ꆶ:훐맺뺭볃돖탸퓶뎤뗄풴좪폫벫쿞ꆷꆶ,룄룯ꆷ뗚4웚ꆣ샮뺩컄,릨량뫨,쏷낲쫩,1996ꆶ:짺닺싊뫍훐맺뺭볃퓶뎤ꆷꆶ,쫽솿뺭볃벼쫵뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚12웚ꆣ쫀뷧틸탐,1995ꆶ:뚫퇇웦벣:뺭볃퓶뎤폫릫릲헾닟ꆷ,훐맺닆헾뺭볃돶냦짧ꆣ쫀뷧틸탐,1997ꆶ:2020쓪뗄훐맺:탂쫀볍뗄랢햹쳴햽ꆷ,훐맺닆헾뺭볃돶냦짧ꆣ뗔랲,1998ꆶ:룄룯뾪럅뛾쪮쓪살훐맺뺭볃퓶뎤뗄틲쯘럖컶ꆷ,맺컱풺랢햹퇐뺿훐탄뗷닩퇐뺿놨룦,뗚197웚ꆣ뫺폀첩,1998ꆶ:훐맺좫튪쯘짺닺싊:살ퟔ얩튵늿쏅샍뚯솦퓙엤훃뗄쫗튪ퟷ폃ꆷꆶ,뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ뗚6웚ꆣ훐맺춳볆쓪본,룷쓪ꆣBarro,Robert,1998ꆰ,NoteonGrowthAccountingꆱ,,EdwardF.,1962,TheSourcesofEconomicGrowthintheUnitedStatesandtheAlternativesBeforeUs,WashingtonDC,,Chang2TAI,1998ꆰ,WhatExplainstheIndustrialRevolutioninEastAsia?EvidencefromFactorMarketsꆱ,unpub2lished,,DaleW.,1967ꆰ,TheExplanationofProductivityChangeꆱ,ReviewofEconomicStudies,34(July).Lucas,RobertE.,1988ꆰ,OntheMechanicsofDevelopmentPlanningꆱ,JournalofMonetaryEconomics,22,1(July)..,1998ꆰ,EastAsiaGrowthBeforeandAftertheCrisisꆱ,,PaulM.,1986ꆰ,IncreasingReturnsandLong2RunGrowthꆱ,JPE,94,5(October).Romer,PaulM.,1990ꆰ,EndogenousTechnologicalChangeꆱ,JPE,98,5(October).Sarel,M.,1997ꆰ,GrowthandProductivityinASEANCountriesꆱ,IMFWorkingPaperNo97/,RobertM.,1957,ꆰTechnicalChangeandtheAggregateProductionFunctionꆱ,ReviewofEconomicStudies,43,2(June),,A.,1995ꆰ,TheTyrannyofNumbers:ConfrontingtheStatisticalRealitiesoftheEastAsianGrowthExperienceꆱ,QuarterlyJournalofEconomic,.(퓰죎뇠벭:뷰ꆡ풪)(킣뛔:쮮)65' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
