ݓ࠽ࣁವ תࠊлކቔ!!!基于最优货币区理论的分析洪 林ଽಸิေ 随着经济全球化和区域化的发展,世界范围内的区域金融合作也深入开展起来b欧元的成功实践为国际货币体系改革提供了宝贵的经验,也为东亚国家(地区)开展货币合作提供了良好的示范效应b本文先从东亚货币合作的必要性出发,然后对货币合作的理论基础!!!最优货币区理论进行探讨,接着按照最优货币区理论的标准和结论对东亚货币合作的经济基础进行分析,最后对东亚货币合作给出一些看法bܱՍ 东亚货币合作最优货币区理论ቔᆀֆ໊ 南京大学商学院ᇏٳোݼ: ໓ངѓ്:A ໓ᅣщݼ:1007-6964[2007]04-061115-1050 ෛሢת∀ݓࡅ(ֹ)ᆭࡗࣜ࠶સၞ৳༢ರၭࡆ߄ބളӁ၂ุ߄ഈbགྷᄝת13ݓଽસၞ֥бᇗၘധ,ࠊлކቔၘӮູתࣜ࠶ކቔ֥ᇗေߌࢫbؓႿתࣜᅝ֞13ݓຓસሹਈ֥55%,ᆃ۱бᇗၘࣜӑݖਔКࠊлކቔၘႵྸ؟࿐ᆀࣉྛਔ࣮,ཋႿږ,Ч໓ૅሱႮસၞ10۱Ϥٳׄ,ࣇбૐ֮6۱Ϥٳׄቐ҂၂၂ሕඍbႷbՖ֒భת֥གྷൌ౦ঃु,۲ݓၘषᅚਔ၂ུࠊл 2.תࠊлކቔॖၛַპࣁವາࠏކቔ,ѩ౼֤ਔૼཁ֥Ӯݔb൞ࠊлކቔ൞۲ݓбࢠ1997୍֥ࣁವາࠏᇗֹԊࠌਔת֥ࣁವุݓࡅ০ၭࠎԤഈ֥࿊ᄴ,൞၂۱ӻ࿃ࡶࣉ֥ݖӱbಖط༢,۳ת۲ݓ(ֹ)ࣜ࠶ᄯӮਔऍն֥ാbתჭ֥Ӯۿൌࠞնֹܝਔದૌࣉྛࠊлކቔ֥ྐ۲ݓ(ֹ)ᇿၩ:֞ݓࡅᆭࡗ҂ࣇીႵླྀטྛ,طྏ,ࠗؿਔ࿐ᆀؓႿთࣁವ၂ุ߄࣮ಣ౦b෮ၛ,ൌྛࣩཌྷъᆴᆟҦ,ᆺି֝ᇁࣁವາࠏঔն;ݓ࠽ࠊؓႿתࠊлކቔ,οᅶն؟ඔ࿐ᆀ֥ܴׄ,۲ݓ֥ࣁлࠎࣁቆᆮ(IMF)ቔູቋުվॻದ֥ቔႨٳႵཋ,ᄝವކቔॖၛՖࣜ࠶aࣁವ֥ؓ߅ࠏᇅष,֞თଽ֥ࠊлາࠏؿളުمิ܂ࠣൈaԉቀ֥ݓ࠽ੀྟᆦವሧь০ࠏᇅ,ᄜ֞߸ੱᇅ؇νஆaܥק߸ੱ,ቋުॖӻ,תݓࡅ(ֹ)҂ିປಆ၇ঠIMFb෮ၛ,ת௧ؿᅚ֞ֆ၂ࠊлb్ླေࡹ৫၂۱۷ࡆࣅૡ֥თଽᇹࣷჱႋࠤࠏᇅ,ѩ๙ݖთྟ֥ࠊлކቔ,ࡹ৫ླྀטࠏᇅ,ࢹთ၂aתࠊлކቔ֥сေྟᆜุൌ৯,ॖၛᄝ၂קӱ؇ഈַპࣁವາࠏ֥ݝb 3.ႋؓಆ౯ࣜ࠶֥ാޙ2006୍Ԛ,ૅݓસၞҵղ֞ਔԷ࠺֥8050ၡ 1.תݓࡅ(ֹ)֥ࣜ࠶સၞ৳༢ರၭࡆധૅჭ,ᅝ֞ఃGDP֥6 5%bऌܙ࠹,ᆃ၂ඔᆴ֞2007ת൞ಆ౯ࣜ࠶ؿᅚቋॹֹ֥bᄝݖಀ30୍Ԛࡼӑݖ1ຣၡૅჭbЧಆ౯ࣜ࠶ാޙቋູႄದ,୍ಆ౯ࣜ࠶ૄ୍֥ᄹӉੱ൞3 5%,طתղ֞8 5%,ۚႿಆ౯5۱Ϥٳׄbਸ਼ຓ,ႮႿתݓࡅ(ֹ)ᆭࡗ҂؎ࡆധ֥સၞሧສট,თᆜุ֥સၞ၂ุ߄ඣ∀ת൞ᆷ:תૐ10ݓ(໓ঞaႆ؇ୄ༆aઔট༆a٣ੰџaྍࡆaݓaᄀଲaໝa૪aࡠ௱ᅐ)aᇏݓ(ݣཐۖaϏބຖ)aರЧaݢૐཌྷ֒bఃԛหุׄགྷᄝۚ؇֥თસၞ၂ุݓb # 40# ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹
תࠊлކቔᇿଢ֥၂ׄ൞,ႚႵնਈࣜӈᅬ႔Ⴥ֥ԢਔെႲൻԛսغิԛၛളӁေ(স৯ބሧЧ)֥ۚ؇ੀྟݓຓߎႵתྍྖࣜ࠶ุb2006୍Ԛ,תᇶေࣜ࠶টཨԢ҂ޙ,ط҂сࢹᇹႿ߸ੱڜটЌӻޡܴࣜ࠶ุຓ߸ԥСၘᅝ26000ၡૅჭ,ࣂ୍ၛট,Їওᇏݓaઔ֥໗קbট༆ᄝଽ֥תݓࡅຓ߸ԥСߎᄝ҂؎ᄹӉbᆃུચࣁ୪(Mckinnon)Ⴟ1963୍Ֆࣜ࠶ष٢؇֥࢘ຓ߸ԥСّݖটႻੀೆၛૅݓູ൮֥ؿղݓࡅb၂ٚ؇,ิԛޙਈቋႪࠊл֥ࡎѓሙ,ࠧ၂ݓളӁࠇཨ૫,ྍྖ൧ӆݓࡅ(ֹ)֥ࣜ࠶ؿᅚླေնਈሧࣁ,๙ٮᇏસၞᅝഠ߶ሹӁ֥бੱbಪ,ູؓႿ၂ུაݖඥ൬aֹ֩۲ᇕႪ߲Ϸمট་ႄটሱၛૅݓູսіຓ҆ࣜસ৳༢ࣅૡ֥ष٢ࣜ࠶֥ݓࡅটඪ,ቆӮ၂۱֥ؿղݓࡅ֥ᆰࢤሧ;ਸ਼၂ٚ૫,ᆟکಏ॥ᇅሢնਈࠊлႵޓն֥ॖିྟb၂۱ֹؓຓۚ؇ष٢,ࠧຓ߸ԥСটᆦӻૅݓᆟک֥ᄎሇ,طࠆ֤၂۱٤ӈ֥֮ॖસၞഅᅝሹӁԛބሹཨٮ֥бᇗ٤ӈ,ۚڜ߸ੱ൬ၭੱbෙಖ,ԉٳ֥ຓ߸ԥСؓႿն؟ඔתࣜ࠶ุቔູؓຓޙטࢫఖ֥ቔႨࣼ߶༯ࢆbॖၛᄝთଽটඪ൞ؓڱາࠏ֥ቋݺϷمbૅჭ֥ъᆴ,္߶۲ൌྛܥק߸,ੱၛղ֞ࡎ۬໗ק֥ଢѓ,طཌྷؓຓ֥ݓ֥ຓ߸ԥСࡎᆴ༯יbູਔࡨഒࣁವാ,תླေݓࡅ,ଽݓࡅॖၛൌྛؓຓ৳ކڜbؿᅚთଽࣁವ൧ӆ,ധ߄ࠊлކቔbऺଲ(Kenen,1969)ಪູ,Ӂ؟ဢ߄ӱ؇ࢠ֥ۚ4.תთଽࣁವࢲܒᇏڵᅏੱݖ,ۚࡗࢤವሧݓࡅᄝႋؓݓຓഅླؿളэ߄ൈ,ႮႿ؟ᇕഅбੱݖն֥ླཌྷࢌҭ֥႕ཙ,ॖၛཨԢݓຓླ֥ѯ,Ќᄝת,ၿྛྐվᅝऌವሧᇶֹ֝,໊طᆟکູఃၿӻࣜ࠶֥ཌྷؓ໗קbၹط,ᄝӁ؟ဢ߄ӱ؇֥ۚݓࡅྛิ܂۲ᇕႅݣքЌbᆃᇕքЌିູၿྛࢠಸၞၛࢠ֮ᆭࡗ۷ൡކႿൌྛܥק߸ੱᇅ,ቆӮֆ၂ࠊлb০ੱՖݓ࠽൧ӆഈࢹೆຓлሧࣁ,ᆃᇕքЌ္ᄝၿྛႇ۬ঘଚ(Ingram,1973)ᆷԛ,ᄝࢳቋႪࠊл҆ࠒਔऍն֥ڄགb၂ུݓࡅ؋௹ຓᅏݖ,ۚପུѓሙൈ,Ⴕсေॉҳࣜ࠶ഠ߶֥ࣁವหᆘb֒ࣁವ൧ӆݖᄪष٢ሧЧཛଢܵᇅ֥ݓࡅ,ޓಸၞᄥ൳ຓݓࠏᆀۚ؇၂ุ߄ൈ,၂ݓॖၛࢹᇹሧЧ֥ሱႮੀটቅᆸݓ۾ࠌ,ႄؿੀྟາࠏbၹՎ,תषᅚࠊлކቔ,ିܔ࠽൬ᆦാޙ෮֝ᇁ֥߸ੱ֥၂్҂০э߄,Ֆطх૧ڿሧࣁ֥ٳི,ੱ൞ิ܂ٳڄག֥Ⴕི࿊ᄴbਔ߸ੱ֥ѯbၹՎ,۲ݓᆭࡗࣁವ൧ӆۚ؇၂ุ߄ൈ,ൌྛܥק߸ੱᇅ൞ކൡ,֥Ⴕ০ႿྙӮቋႪࠊлb 5.ࠊлކቔॖၛߏބᆟᇍ؛ᄝᆟᇍބνಆҪ૫,ת҂Ⴟᇝbתթᄝሢ 2.ቋႪࠊлં֥ྍؿᅚ၂ུ҂໗ק֥ၹ,ᇶေЇওರЧ֥फݓᇶၬ໙ีaଲ20ൗࡀ90ս୍ၛট,ᇝࠊлაࣜ࠶ކቔ֥གྷൌؿݚᇭ֛ᇶಃᆚ؊aӔ༷϶֛໙ี֩֩bೂݔھֹԛགྷᅚቋႪࠊлંაൌ֥࣮ԛགྷྍ֥ۚӖ,ದૌᄝᆟᇍԊ,თྟކቔࠏᇅࠇቆᆮॖᄝ၂קӱ؇ഈߏބनޙॿࡏ༯ሸކѩؿᅚਔᄪ௹֥۲ᇕֆ၂ѓሙٳ༅bᆟᇍ؛bၹ,ູࠊлކቔၛࠣࠊлކቔ֥ധ߄ିܔิक़ਗ਼۬ણ(Krugman,1990)ၛ୳ຯࡆೆჭູ܂චٚᆰࢤؓ߅౻,֡ิ܂ࣜ࠶ഈච႓֥ࠏ߶,ᄹ఼ච২,ٳ༅୳ຯࡆೆჭ֥ӮЧ!!!൬ၭ౷ཌ,֤ԛਔ֥ٚྐ,ߏࢳᆟᇍ؛bᇷ֥GG!LLଆbھଆࡌקࠊлଽࡎ۬ඣؽaࠊлކቔ֥ં൞໗ק֥ބॖყҩ֥b!!!ቋႪࠊлંඍ ܱႿࠊлކቔ֥ંᇶေ൞ቋႪࠊлંbھંၘࣜՖᄪ௹֥ޙਈቋႪࠊлѓሙ֥࣡ٳ༅,ؿᅚ֞ਔགྷᄝ֥ଽളྟ࣮b 1.ቋႪࠊлં֥ᄪ௹ؿᅚսغႿ1961୍ቋ༵ิԛਔቋႪࠊлંbսغಪ,ູေᄝਆ۱ཌྷܥקਔ߸ੱ֥ݓࡅᆭࡗЌӻࡎ໗קބԉٳࣼြ,сྶေႵ၂۱טࢫླሇ၍ބݓ࠽൬ᆦ֥ࠏᇅ,ᆃ۱ࠏᇅᆺି൞ളӁေ֥ۚ؇ੀb ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹#41#
תࠊлކቔ 1ބ2֥ޘᇠіൕࡆೆݓაࠊл֥ࣜ࠶၂corr(v,s)i,j,t= + Trade(w)i,j,t+!i,j,tุ߄ӱ؇,ॖၛႨࣜ࠶ࢌສᅝGDP֥Ϥٳбіൕ;ሺھ݂߭ٚӱ܋Ⴕ32ቆ݂߭ඔऌ,࠹ෘࢲݔᆣൌસᇠіൕࡆೆݓ֥ࠊл൬ၭࠇാbᇏGG౷ཌູ൬ၞ၂ุ߄ӱ؇֥ࡆധିܔ՜ࣉݓࡅࡗӁԛؓӫྟ֥ᄹၭ౷ཌ,іൕਔ၂ݓ෮ᄝܥק߸ੱࠊл֥ࣜ࠶၂ࡆ,ՖطဒᆣਔఃࠎЧࡌഡbุ߄ӱ؇აఃࡆೆࠊл֥ࠊлིੱ൬ၭᆭࡗ֥ܱ༢b1999,୍Frankelࣉ၂҄ંඍਔቋႪࠊлଽളྟ၂ݓა෮ᄝܥק߸ੱࠊл֥၂ุ߄ӱ؇ᄀ,ۚఃࡆࡌקbႨ၂۱ࡥֆ֥ൕඪૼਔᆃᇕܱ༢bೆࠊл֥൬ၭᄵᄀն,ၹູࠊлଽ֥ܥק߸ੱνஆࡥ߄ਔસၞࢲෘၛࠣڜ߸ੱջট֥҂ಒקྟbLL౷ཌູӮЧ౷ཌ,LL౷ཌོੱູڵ,ඪૼਔ၂۱ݓࡅ֥ࣜ࠶აః෮ᄝܥק߸ੱࠊл֥၂ุ߄ӱ؇ᄀ,ۚఃࡆೆࠊл֥ӮЧᄀཬbᇏGG౷ཌބLL౷ཌ֥ࢌູׄE,थקਔ၂ݓ൞ڎࡆೆࠊл֥ࣜ࠶၂ุ߄ӱ؇֥ਢࢸׄ 1b֒ھݓაࠊл֥၂ุ߄ӱ؇նႿ 1ൈ,ࡆೆࠊлႵ࣪൬ၭ,ڎᄵᆳၩࡆೆᆺ߶ջট࣪ാbGG!LLଆॖၛ؎၂ݓࣜ࠶ߌ֥э߄൞ೂ3 Ӯჴݓᆭࡗ֥൬ೆཌྷܱྟޅ႕ཙఃࡆೆࠊл֥࿊ᄴ֥b২ೂ2,֒ଖݓԛ१ླэൈ,ᄝཌྷ֥ࣜ࠶၂ุ߄ӱ؇֥ޅ၂۱ඣ3֥ޘቕѓ൞మᄝࠊл֥Ӯჴଽ֥҆ཌྷસഈၞ৳༢(ّ႘સၞ၂ุ߄ӱ؇),ႨଽસၞԢၛGDP,ھݓӁԛބࣼြ֥҂໗קྟᄹն,Ⴟ൞ᄝ2ᇏLL2౷ཌഈ၍֥֞ᆴіൕ;ሺᇠ൞మᄝࠊл֥Ӯჴݓ֥൬ೆཌྷܱྟ,LL3,ࢲݔ֤ࡆೆࠊл֥ਢࢸׄႮ 2э֞ਔّ႘ޡܴࣜ࠶ᇛ௹ބࣜ࠶ࢲܒ၂ᇁྟbෛሢଽસၞ 3bक़ਗ਼۬ણ֥GG!LLଆࢹႨԮ֥ӮЧ!!!൬ၭٳ༅ٚم,Ֆֆ۱ݓࡅ൞ڎࡆೆࠊлູ৳༢֥ᄹࡆ,ࡆೆࠊл֥൬ၭ(ࢌၞӮЧ֥ࢫჿ)ࡼ్ೆഈശ;ෛሢ൬ೆཌྷܱྟ֥ᄹࡆ,٢ఙ৫֥ࠊлᆟҦ֥,ׄٳ༅ਔࡆೆࠊл֥ӮЧa൬ၭၹ,ႵᇹႿದૌᆰܴྙའֹٳ༅ֆ۱ݓࡅࡆೆࠊл֥০р֤ാ,ՖӮЧࡼ༯ࢆbၹՎ၂ݓࡆೆࠊл࣪൬ၭູਬ֥ਢطӮູಒק၂ݓ൞ڎࡆೆࠊл֥၂۱ᇗေٳ༅۽ऎbࢸཌູቋႪࠊл(OCA)ཌ,ོੱູڵ,іൕཌྷસၞᄝᆃᆭު,ෛሢჭ֥ӮۿఓႨބჭ֥ਅݺі৳༢ᄀധ(ଽસၞ/GDPᄀն),ູົӻ࣪൬ၭູਬ,གྷᄵӮჴݓ֥൬ೆཌྷܱྟॖᄀ;֮ࠇᆀસၞ৳༢ᄀ֮(,ቋႪࠊлંႻႵਔྍ֥ؿᅚbࣜ࠶࿐ࡅࣉ၂҄ฐษਔࠊл၂ุ߄ൈ۲ᇕ႕ཙၹ֥ܱ༢bᆃఃଽસၞ/GDPᄀཬ),ູົӻ࣪൬ၭູਬ,ᄵӮჴݓ֥൬ᇏቋႵ႕ཙ֥൞ೆཌྷܱྟॖᄀۚbൌ࠽ഈ൞સၞ৳༢ބ൬ೆཌྷܱྟႵFrankelބRose(1998)൮Ցิԛ֥ቋႪࠊлѓሙ֥ଽളྟۀbૌಪ,ູႨ۲ཛѓሙูսܱ༢bOCAཌႷഈٚ,սіࡆೆࠊл߶ࠆ֤࣪ট؎ቋႪࠊл֥ٚم൞҂ॖौ֥,ၹູቋႪࠊл൬ၭ;ᄝཌ֥ቐ༯ٚ,ၩࡆೆࠊлࡼᅱᇁ࣪ാbѓሙࡗႵଽളྟaસၞष٢؇ބࣜ࠶ؓӫྟ֩ѓሙ,ЧRRཌіൕસၞ၂ุ߄ӱ؇აӮჴݓ֥൬ೆཌྷܱྟ֥ܱദ൞ଽളႿ߸ੱᇅ؇࿊ᄴ֥bࠊлކቔॖၛ՜ࣉᆃུ༢,ོ֒ੱູᆞൈ,іൕਆᆀ൞ᆞཌྷܱ֥bѓሙཟ۷Ⴕ০Ⴟࠊлކቔ֥ٚཟဆࣉb؎၂۱თ3ࡌഡAݓ֒భԩႿᇏ֥Q1ׄbࣼ؋௹ु,൞ڎܒӮቋႪࠊлھݓ֥ࣜ࠶ࠎЧၹथקਔھݓೂݔࡆೆࠊл߶ᅱ,၇ঠႿთଽᆃུଽളэਈ(߸ੱaસၞ৳༢ބؓӫྟ֩)ᆭࡗ֥ཌྷቔႨܱ༢ᇁ࣪ാ,൞ೂݔᄝસၞ৳༢ބ൬ೆཌྷܱྟᆭࡗթᄝ,ࠧૌᆭࡗ൞ູၹݔ֥b෮ၛᆞཟ֥৳༢ൈ,ࠧᇏRR౷ཌོ֥ੱູᆞᆴ,ᄵࡆೆ,၂۱ݓࡅ۷ॖିᄝࡆೆࠊлުડቀႵܱѓሙط҂൞ᄝࡆೆభbࠊлࡼ߶ࠆ֤൬ၭ,ѩି՜ࣉଽસၞ৳༢ބ൬ೆཌྷFܱ؇҄ิ,ۚھݓࡼခሢRR౷ཌཟOCA౷ཌrankelބRoseؓ21۱۽ြ߄ݓࡅ1959~1993܋35୍֥સၞ৳༢ބӁԛཌྷܱ؇֥ሸކඔऌौ,ղ֞Q2ׄbෛሢࡆೆࠊлᆭ,ުસၞ၂ุ߄a,ࣉྛਔֆ၂ٚӱ݂߭ٳ༅,݂߭ٚӱ൬ೆཌྷܱྟࣉ၂֥҄ࡆ఼,ᄵھݓॖղ֞Q3ׄ,ࡆ:ູೆࠊл֥൬ၭູᆞbၹՎ,၂ݓႋھᇶ๙ݖิభ # 42# ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹
תࠊлކቔࠊл၂ุ߄طࠆ֤൙ުડቀቋႪࠊл่ࡱ,ѩࠆ֤ݓࡅGDP(Ϥຣૅჭ)GDP୍नᄹӉੱ(%)ڞ০֥ڿbࣼᆃ၂ׄط,ࠊлކቔ൞ሱ఼߄,֥(ݣֹ)1990୍2003୍1980-19901990-2003ऎႵଽളྟbໝ86621223 76 3ቋႪࠊлѓሙଽളྟࡌഡູቋႪࠊлં֥૪160000 67 4࣮षтਔൌᇉྟ֥ࣉᅚ,ྸ؟࿐ᆀؓႿቋႪࠊлѓᄀଲ6472391644 67 5ሙଽളྟ໙ี္֥࣮ᄀটᄀ؟bೂRose(2000ሧਘটჷ:WorldBank,WorldDevelopIndicator2005.)ಪູՖתބჭ۲ݓ2003୍֥ದनGDPुbת,ၛචшસၞܿଆູѓᆽ֥ࣜ࠶ष٢؇ѓሙऎႵଽളྟbBeckބWeber(2001)ඪૼ๙ࠊளᅮੱྟѓሙݓࡅ(ֹ)ದनGDP֥ҵၳն,ჭҵၳཬ,ჭऎႵଽളྟbBaeݓࡅದनGDPն҆ٳᄝਆຣૅჭၛഈbתದनle֩(2004)ંᆣਔࣁವ൧ӆ၂ุ߄ѓሙऎႵଽളྟbJanich,iWarin&Wunnava(2005)ંᆣGDPቋ֥ۚರЧაቋ֥֮ࡠ௱ᅐཌྷб,ཌྷҵ113П,طਔളӁေੀྟѓሙऎႵଽളྟbఃߎႵ࿐ᆀՖჭದनGDPቋ֥ۚ೦Ѝაቋ֥֮௮ฤཌྷб,ԊࠌཌྷරྟaളӁބཨٮ؟ဢྟaᆟᇍ၂ุ߄aস৯൧ಃཌྷҵჿ3 6Пbӆᇅ؇֩ѓሙটંᆣቋႪࠊлѓሙ֥ଽളྟbႋھі2תݓࡅ(ֹ)ބჭ۲ݓ2003୍ದनGDPඪ,ѓሙଽളྟ֥ࡌඪ൞ቋႪࠊлં࣮֥ຉᅚתݓࡅ(ֹ)ದनGDP(ૅჭ)ૐ۲ݓದनGDP(ૅჭ)(සې,2006),Ֆંഈؓࠊлଽ۲ݓቋႪࠊлರЧ34180೦Ѝ43940ѓሙڿ֥གྷའ۳ԛਔࢳ,پڶਔࠊлӮЧ൬ၭᇏݓཐۖ25860ٯধ27020ٳ༅֥ଽಸbྍࡆ21230ιغধ26960໓ঞ14532ύֹ০26720aתࠊлކቔ֥ࣜ࠶ࠎԤݢݓ12030ހধ26310ઔট༆3880б০ൈ25820ݓ2190֣ݓ25250๙ݖၛഈؓቋႪࠊлં֥ંඍ,ૌॖၛႨቋᇏݓն1100مݓ24770Ⴊࠊлѓሙ,Ֆ࣡࢘؇ٳ༅ת۲ݓҕაࠊлކቔ٣ੰџ1080ၩն০21560֥ࣜ࠶ࠎԤbૌՖၛ༯5۱ٚ૫টંඍbႆ؇ୄ༆810༆ϫ16990ᄀଲ480༐ছ13720 1.ת۲ݓ(ֹ)֥ࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣໝ340௮ฤ12130ת۲ݓ(ֹ)ࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣa൬ೆඣթᄝࠞ૪300նҵၳbՖ2003୍֥GDPधؓᆷѓु,תݓࡅ(ֹࡠ௱ᅐ300)ࣜ࠶ؿᅚࠞ҂ޙbರЧᄝתݓࡅ(ֹ)ᇏ൞ሧਘটჷ:WorldBank,WorldDevelopIndicator2005.ቋ֥ۚ,ఃGDPሹਈ൞ჿ൞ᇏݓն֥3П,൞ໝ֥ 2.ളӁေ֥ੀྟ2026П,ೂі1෮ൕbགྷࢨ؍ת۲ݓ(ֹ)ؓളӁေੀྟ֥ཋᇅі1 תݓࡅ(ֹ)GDP֥ۀঃ бࢠ؟,ࠧ൞ੀྟቋ఼֥ሧЧ,ఃੀ္൳֞ਔݓࡅGDP(Ϥຣૅჭ)GDP୍नᄹӉੱ(%)֥۬ཋᇅbႭఃᄝᇝࣁವາࠏ,ުᆃᇕཋᇅФࡆ఼(ݣֹ)1990୍2003୍1980-19901990-2003ਔ,ೂ1998୍ઔট༆ᄻ၂؇߫گਔሧЧܵᇅ,ರЧᇏݓն354644141700010 39 6ෙಖሧЧཛଢ൞٢ष,֥ఃؓຓݓሧЧሧЧݓ܄ᇏݓཐۖ754331566796 83 7ರЧඳ္֥Ⴕྸ؟ཋᇅ,ᇏݓ֩၂ུݓࡅ֥ሧЧཛଢߎໃ٢303969343008583 91 2ݢݓ2637756053319 05 5षbॖת؋௹ଽ҂ॖିಆ૫ൌགྷሧЧ֥ሱႮੀbႆ؇ୄ༆1144262083126 13 5ԢਔሧЧ֥ੀຓ,স৯֥ੀᄝת۲ݓ(ֹݓ853451429537 63 7)ࡗ္൳֞ཋᇅ,აૐၘࣜࠎЧൌགྷস৯ሱႮੀ٣ੰџ44331805741 03 5ઔট༆҂,ת۲ݓ(ֹ)ؓದჴ֥ੀေ٤ӈ۬b440241037375 35 9ྍࡆෙಖࣜކቆᆮࠣתૐᄝસၞሱႮ߄ٚ૫ၘႵ၂ק36901913426 76 3໓ঞ-5068--ࣉᅚ,ႮႿదר֥ླྀၰؓ۲ݓ҂ऎСمקჿඏ৯,ၹࡠ௱ᅐ11154228-6 5Վת۲ݓ(ֹ)֥ളӁေੀӱ؇҂ۚb ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹#43#
תࠊлކቔ 3.ࣜ࠶ष٢ྟᆺႵ1%bӁြࢲܒ֥ऍնҵၳ္ᄯӮਔӮჴݓӁת၂ུݓࡅބֹ,ೂᇏݓཐۖaྍࡆaઔট༆؟ဢྟٚ૫֥ҵљ,ԢᇏݓaರЧaݢݓ֩ࡹႵࢠູປ֥ؓຓष٢؇ᄝ100%ၛഈ,Ԣਔ૪aໝ֩ຓ,ᆜ֥ࣜ࠶ุ༢ຓ,תఃݓࡅႵ֥Ӂࠢᇏᄝ୪Ӂఃת۲ݓ֥ࣜ࠶ष٢؇္ࢠۚbૐᄝ1998୍,Ⴕ֥ࠢᇏᄝ١ᆮaሰӁ֩ഒඔᇕഈ,۲ݓӁჭఓభଽસၞሹحᅝֹGDP֥бᇗ,ԛ१ູ֥ٳӱ؇ࢠ֮b12 8%,ࣉ१ູ12%bط1998୍תთଽસၞحᅝ 5.ࣁವ൧ӆ၂ุ߄ӱ؇ֹGDP֥бᇗ,ԛ१ູ11 8%,ࣉ१ູ11 7%bתϴෛሢࣁವݓ࠽߄֥শӖ,གྷࢨ؍ת۲ݓ(ֹ۲ݓᆭࡗ֥સၞᅝֹؓຓસၞሹح֥бᇗՖ1980୍)֥ࣁವܵᇅႵ෮ڿࣉ,Ⴕ֥ݓࡅၘؓຓष٢ሧЧ൧֥33 8%ᄹࡆ֞2006୍֥55%bॖ,תࣜ࠶ष٢ӆ,תն҆ٳݓࡅ(ֹ)֥ࣁವ൧ӆၘӮູൗࢸࣁ؇൞ರၭิ֥ۚbطࣜ࠶ष٢؇֥ิۚ߶۲ݓؓ߸ವ൧ӆ֥၂҆ٳ,תࣘaཐۖaྍࡆၘࣜ൞ݓ࠽ᇗေ֥ੱ֥ѯૹۋbࣁವᇏྏb 4.Ӂ؟ဢྟ൞,ת֥ࣁವ൧ӆߎթሢྸ؟҂ປᆭԩbೂӁটჷႿӁြbطת۲ݓ(ֹ)Ӂြࢲܒіі3෮ൕ,ଽሧննᇌު,2003୍תଽ֥ሧགྷԛࠞն֥࿇൹,ٳ҃Ֆۚ؇୪ြ߄֞ۚ؇གྷս߄۽ࣇᅝתؓຓሧ֥5%bط2003୍ૐሧ63%൞ြb҆ٳؿᅚᇏݓࡅֻ၂Ӂြ෮ᅝ֥бᇗߎޓն,ೂᄝଽ,КૅሱႮસၞ16%֥ሧ൞ଽbགྷᄝתໝղ֞51%,ࡠ௱ᅐູ36%,ߎ൞ׅ֥୪ြݓࡅ;طთଽ֥ሧਫ਼ޓഒ,ିܔϜתದ൭֥ሧࣁሇ၂ུؿղݓࡅބֹ,୪ြ֥б২ၘࣜ٤ӈཬ,ೂರЧߐູሧཛଢ֥౻္֡ഒbі3 2003୍ಆ౯ᆣಊሧٳ҃ۀঃ ֆ໊:10ၡૅჭሧটჷNAFTAEU15תൗࢸఃֹሹ࠹NAFTA545177674716204688EU151614605880414559931ሧಀཟת4764151101651166ൗࢸఃֹ82312925664923173ሹ࠹345895412227373218958ሧਘটჷ:AsianDevelopmentBank,∃AsiaBondMonitor2005%.і4 2004୍תࣁವ൧ӆ֥ᅝб౦ঃ ֆ໊:%,൧ᆴ/GDPᆟکؿྛ֥ᆣಊᅝб܄ඳᅏಊ/Члᅏܢௐ൧ӆ൧ᆴᅝбၿྛྐվᅝбᇏݓն1810 633 4154 4ᇏݓཐۖ535 8547 7148 9ರЧ117 241 776 9146 9ݢݓ23 749 374 7104 2ႆ؇ୄ༆15 22 424 542 6ઔট༆36 138 8140 8113 9٣ੰџ21 80 237 549 8ྍࡆ27 618 6211 470 1ݓ18 518 367 184 9ሧਘটჷ:AsianDevelopmentBank,∃AsiaBondMonitor2005%ބᇝषؿၿྛ֥ఃඔऌᆜb Ֆі4ॖת۲ݓ(ֹ)ࣁವ൧ӆࢲܒҵၳႵࣜ࠶ष٢ྟѓሙൡކቋႪࠊлѓሙ,طࣜ࠶ؿᅚඣն,ᆟکؿྛ֥ᆣಊб২ቋն֥൞ರЧ,܄ඳᅏಊб২aളӁေ֥ੀྟaӁ؟ဢྟaࣁವ൧ӆ၂ุ߄4ቋն֥൞ݢݓ,ܢௐ൧ӆ൧ᆴб২ቋն֥ݓࡅ൞ྍࡆ۱ٚ૫ߎղ҂֞ቋႪࠊлѓሙ֥ေb෮ၛ,תࠊ,ၿྛྐվб২ቋն֥൞ᇏݓնbлކቔߎԩႿ֮ࠩࢨ؍b൞,۴ऌቋႪࠊлѓሙଽሸކၛഈ5۱ٚ૫,Ֆ࣡ѓሙुଢభתთᆺളྟࡌഡ,ࣼ൞ڎࡆೆࠊлކቔࣉӱ֥थҦط,൙భ # 44# ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹
תࠊлކቔ่ؓࡱ֥ܙޓॖି҂Ⴟ൙ުࢲݔb၂۱ݓࡅᄝ൙ࣜ࠶ุൌ৯֥э߄,ૄۯۄ୍טᆜ၂Ցௐಃ֥ٳު(ࡆೆࠊлު)б൙భ۷ॖିડቀࡆೆࠊл֥ѓб২b۴ऌ؟ඔၩჰᄵҐ౼ௐٚൔथҦbሙ(FrankelandRose,1998∀)b෮ၛ,۲ݓ(ֹ)ॖၛथҦᇶุ༯ഡᇂӈഡԩބࣜ࠶ࡓ॥ࠏܒbᇶ๙ݖิభࠊл၂ุ߄طࠆ֤൙ުડቀቋႪࠊԩ۴ऌथҦᇶุ֥൱ಃ,ऎุܵሧࣁbህཛླྀၰᇏл่ࡱbתࠊлކቔॖၛ՜ࣉთસၞ֥၂ุ߄,֥ሧࣁႮ၂ࡅת֥അြၿྛກܵbԩᇶေᆯି๙ݖࠊлކቔࢆ֮თ֥ҵၳ,ྟՖطࢆ֮ࠊлކቔ֥Їও:(1)ሸކܵሧࣁ֥ᄎႨ,ЇওটჷaᄎႨ่֥ӮЧ,ൈิۚࠊлކቔ֥൬ၭbࡱ,Їওൌീࣷᇹ֥ൈࡗaࠊлaߎॻ௹ཋa০ੱaַaԛ่ॻaڸࡆ่ࡱ֩ࣉྛथҦ,ѩཟथҦᇶุิ܂ඹaתࠊлކቔॖၛҐ౼֥҄ᇧሧࣁჱᇹ֥བྷ༥ٚσb(2)ࡓ॥۲۱ࣜ࠶ุ֥ॴሧЧੀ,ิԛॖି૫ਢ֥ຓ҆ڄག,ࠣൈֹཟथҦᇶุࣜݖ؟֥ٚ୭৯,֒భתࠊлކቔၘՖࣁವາࠏ๙БѩิԛؓҦbުӁള֥ቋԚམمࢨ؍(ೂᇝࠊлࠎࣁaתࠊлࠎथҦᇶุ༯֥ࣜ࠶ࡓ॥ࠏܒॖၛႮᇝषؿၿྛࣁaᇝࢹॻνஆ֩)ؿᅚ֞ࠊлކቔ֥ൌᇉࢨ؍(ೂྛھᆯିbᆃဢॖၛؿߨᇝषؿၿྛ֥ህࡅ֥ᇆྐ༏๙aౢજӐၰaתᅏಊ൧ӆ֩)bᆃུކቔູת߰bࣜ࠶ࡓ॥ࠏܒᇶေᆯିЇও:(1)ؓԩ۽ቔࣉࠊлކቔሙСਔ่ࡱbაՎൈ,ݓ࠽ഠ߶ؓתࠊྛܙb(2)ؓಆ౯ࣜ࠶aתࣜ࠶ุ֥ರӈᄎྛࣉྛлކቔ֥؇္ؿളਔэ߄,תࠊлކቔၘ႓֤ᄀট۵ሶaܙ,Їওಆ౯ࣁವ൧ӆaିჷ൧ӆྍཟࠣתᄀ؟֥ಪॖބᆦӻbࢲކགྷࢨ؍֥Ӯݔࣜ࠶ุ֥ޡܴࣜ࠶ᄎྛ൝֩b,תࠊлކቔॖၛՖ༯ඍٚ૫षᅚb 3.ࡆ఼߸ੱކቔ֒భ,ն؟ඔתࣜ࠶ุေહൌྛףᇾૅჭ֥߸ੱ 1.ࡆ఼ᇏರᆭࡗᆟᇍഈ֥ྐބླྀቔᇙ෮ᇛᆩ,ࠊлކቔླေݓࡅ֥ླྀט,ቔູྟ֥ᇅ,ေહൌྛ൙ൌഈ֥ףᇾૅჭ֥߸ੱᇅbՖ࣍௹ु,ݓࡅ߶ԉٳॉ੮ᄝࠊлކቔഈ֥ݓࡅ০ၭ֤ാbᇏݓᆃᇕ߸ੱᇅ؇൞၂ᇕႵི֥ᆟҦ,иࣨૅჭߎ൞఼൝bބರЧ൞ֹ֥նݓԉٳ֥ૅჭԥС,ն؟ඔתࣜ࠶ุՖૅݓࣉ१ն,Ֆݓࡅ০ၭԛؿ,ᇏರਆݓ༐ຬᄝתთଽषᅚࠊлކቔbᆞೂૐଽ֥ਵ֝ᆀሧЧࠊটؿᅚЧݓ(ֹ)ࣜ࠶,ѩିܔؓڱࠏԊم֣৳ކ၂ဢ,ᇏݓބರЧ֥ކቔޓᇗေ,Ⴍః൞ᄝᆟࠌ,х૧ࣁವາࠏbՖӉ௹,ुෛሢתࣜ࠶ุ֥ڿᇍഈ֥ྐbགྷᄝᇏರਆݓࣜસ৳༢ູࠞࣅૡ,ਆݓ֥۪ބؿᅚ,Ⴍఃෛሢ۽ြุ༢֥ປၛࠣሸކݓ৯֥ᄹཌྷ၇թӱ؇ᄝ҂؎ࡆധ,ཌྷ৳ކؓචٚটඪ൞၂఼,ᄜࡆഈתთଽ֥સၞ၂ุ߄֥ࡆ఼,ףᇾૅჭࡱච႓֥൙ြbᇏರ৳ކ൮༵ିܔູתԷᄯ၂۱ބ֥ڬቔႨᄀটᄀնb൮༵іགྷᄝ,ೂݔીႵླྀטྛ,໗ק֥ؿᅚߌ,ఃՑᇏݓ֥ܼখ൧ӆᄜࡆഈರЧ֥߶ᄯӮଽ҆∃ၛਣູᎦ%֥ࣩᆚܱ༢;ఃՑ൞ૅჭ֥ъሧࣁაඌᆴ,۲ݓ(ֹ)֥ԥСࡎᆴ߶༯י,ྙӮ∃หٯਆ,ିܔ՜ࣉᆜ۱ת֥ࣜ࠶၂ุ߄ؿᅚbಖط,ᇏݓބರЧႮႿൎಪ്໙ีഈ֥ٳఆ,ਆ%bၹՎ,תݓࡅ(ֹ)ᄝ߸ੱᆟҦٚ૫ႋ၂ྛݓᄝᆟᇍഈಌكധೆކቔbႿՎ,ᇏರਆݓ֥ᆟᇍކ,ॖၛٳ҄:(1)ת۲ݓ(ֹ)ՖᆟҦؓ߅ೆ൭,ቔ܋ۄყຓ߸൧ӆ(Oh,2005),Ֆ߸ੱކቔᇏ֤֞൬,ႋοᅶᇏݓᆟکิԛ֥∃ބ܋ԩཛჰᄵ%ԩ,ರЧᆟک҂ႋھᄜቓഄݝᇏݓದۋ౦֥൙౦bᆺႵၭ,ᄹࣉྐb(2)۲ݓ(ֹ),ࡹ৫৫ףᇾࠊлথᆃဢሰᇅ؇(ཫaנ၂ѡ,2002),ࠊлথሰ֥лᇕࢲܒބ,Ҍିࡆ఼ᇏರᆭࡗᆟᇍഈ֥ྐބླྀቔ,ູࠊлކቔิ܂ਅݺ֥ߌbಃᇗሱᇶथקb(3)ᄝתଽ,҆ᇯ҄٢षሧЧܵᇅ,۲ݓ(ֹ)܋ףᇾࠊлথሰᇅ؇,ಒקѯшࢸ,ѩ 2.ࡹ৫ౢજླྀၰ༯֥ᆞൔླྀטࠏܒؓႿౢજླྀၰ֥ໃটؿᅚଢѓބਫ਼ࣥಯಖթᄝᇭҐႨᇝࠊлֆ໊টࢲෘ,ࠇᆀ۲ࠊлაᇝࠊлֆ໊؟ᆚၰᆭࡗႵଖᇕܥקܱ༢b,ഉໃྙӮ܋്bૌಪູॖॉ੮5୍ଽ,תӮ৫ᆞൔླྀטࠏܒ,ࡹ৫ᇅ؇߄ุ֥ࠢथҦࠏᇅ,ܵ(༯ሇֻ15်)ౢજླྀၰ༯֥ሧࣁbॖॉ੮Ӯ৫Ⴎתૐ10+3܋ቆ∀պࣁ,ຣᆽޡ:∃תֹࠊлࣁವކቔ֥ࣜ࠶ࠎԤ࣮%, ᄉӮथҦᇶ,ุ۲ݓοᅶԛሧб২ಒקௐಃ,۴ऌ۲۱ଲն࿐࿐Б 2005୍ֻؽ௹,ֻ85်b ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹#45#
∃ѓሙ%ؓસၞࠣڞ০႕ཙ࣮ٚمඍ(1992)∃TradeandWelfare--AGeneralEquilibriumMod [6]Harrison,GlennW.,,,%PolicyResearchWorkingPa Tarr.(1996)∃IncreasedCompetitionandCompletionoftheper1826,TheWorldBank,:StaticandSteadyStateEffects.%[13]Swann,Peter,PaulTemple,andMarkShurmer.(1996).JournalofEconomicIntegration11,,332-365.∃StandardsandTradePerformance:TheUKExperience,%Eco [7](2004)∃StandardsandnomicJournal106::New[14]Thornsbury,S.,,K.,DeRemer, (1999).∃AFirstStepinUnderstandingTechnicalBarrierstovey,%.%InFoodSecurity,DiversificationandRe [8]Jones,.(1996).∃StandardizationandthesourceManagement:RefocusingtheRoleofAgriculture?EditedCostsofAssessingQuality,%EuropeanJournalofPoliticalEcon ,VT:Ashgate,omy,12,-63.[9]Maskus,.(2001)∃AReviewof[15]UnitedStatesInternationalTradeCommission.(1998).GlobalPastAttemptsandtheNewPolicyContext,%(eds.),Washington,DC:US BarrierstoTrade:CanitbeDone?(AnnArbor:UniversityofITC(November1998).MichiganPress).[16]Wilson,(2002)∃ToSprayor[10]Moenius,Johannes(2000).ThreeEssaysonTradeBarriersandNottoSpray:Pestcides,BananaExports,andFoodSafety,%,PolicyResearchWorkingPaper2805,TheWorldBank,Wash .[11]OrganizationforEconomicDevelopmentandCooperation.(责任编辑:孟学聪)(2000).AnAssessmentoftheCostsforInternationalTradein(ഈࢤֻ45်)[8]Franke,lJandRose,A(1997)∃IsEMUmorejustifiableex-postthanex-ante?%,EuropeanEconomicReview.ҕॉ໓ང[9]Kenen,P.(1969),TheTheoryofOptimumCurrencyAreas:AnEclecticView,, [1]Ќઅ#क़ਗ਼۬ણ,મೋථ#ύѵථمغ֣.(2002)ݓ࠽ࣜ࠶࿐taryProblemsintheInternationalEconomy,Chicago,University.ֻϱ.ᇏݓದն࿐ԛϱഠ.ofChicagoPress.[2]ӧ,шޣ.ࠊлૐં:ቋႪࠊлޙਈѓሙ֥ࣉᅚ.ݓ࠽ࣁವ࣮[10]McKinnon,RonaldI,(1963),∃OptimumCurrencyAreas%,A ,2004(2).mericanEconomicReview.[3]պࣁaຣᆽޡ.APEC֥ࠊлࣁವކቔ:ࣜ࠶ࠎԤაܒམ.ൗࢸࣜ࠶[11]Mundell,(1961),∃ATheoryofOptimumCurrencyAreas%,A ,2005(5).mericanEconomicReview.[4]ૼې.ၛתࣁವކቔႋؓಆ౯ࣜ࠶ാޙ.ၿྛࡅ,2006[12]WorldBank,WorldDevelopIndicator2005,(2006),<http://(05).>(٠໙ൈࡗ:2006୍10ᄅ).[5]සې.ቋႪࠊлѓሙ֥ଽളྟࡌഡඍ.ࣜ࠶࿐,[13]AsiaBondMonitor2005,(2006),<>2006(4).[6]ຣᆽޡ(٠໙ൈࡗ:2006୍10ᄅ).,պࣁ.ࠊл֥ቋႪथҦ:࡙ซתࠊлކቔ໙ี.ൗࢸࣜ࠶[14]2006୍תሧંฆ,<>,,2003(10).[7]ᅵೋङ,ᅦཫᡊ,໓.(2005).ՖቋႪࠊлંु֒భת(٠໙ൈࡗ:2006୍10ᄅ).ࠊлކቔ֥ׄ.ഠ߶॓࿐,2005(1)(责任编辑:孟学聪). ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹#15#
,2007() WorldEconomyStudyContents&AbstractsStudyontheImpactingMechanismofTradePolicyonFDITechnologySpilloverEffectShaoLiuguo ZhangShijing WangGuoshun(3)TheempiricalstudyonFDItechnologyspillovereffectshowsmixedresults,havingpositivespillovereffec,tnegativespillovereffec,, nally,westudythemipactingmechanismoftradepolicyonFDItechnologyspillovereffec:tvarioustradepolicycanleadtodifferentinvestingmotivationofforeignmerchan,tinfluencetheflowdirectionofFDI,locatingmultinationalondifferentsta tusindomesticmarke,tinfluencethechannelofFDItechnologyspillover,finally, YanKejie WangHui(10)Theresearchontradeandwelfareaffectof"standards"'standardizationstrategyandprovidebasisforsolvingtradedisputes,bu,,thispaperitpresentedupfourmethods:surveys,econometricstudies,partialequilibriumstudies,computablegeneralequi ,,:EmpiricalAnalysisbasedonPanelDataWangShaojin(16)WeanalyzetherelationshipbetweenopennessandincomeinequalityinChinawiththeprovincialpaneldatafrom1991to2004, tseparatetheinfluenceofmiportsonincomedistributionfromthatofexpor,tweseparatetheirinfluenceapartandfindthatmiportscouldsignificantlyincreastheincomeinequality,however,,JiangRen-ai,SunShuncheng(21)Thispaperestmiatesthetechnologystocksofchina,whichhasbeenspilledoverthroughinternationaltradeanddisem bodiedtechnologyknowledge,basedonthemetricmodelofR& (27)Duringrecentyears,worldeconomicsystemhasbeguntotransformfromthestructureof∃Center-Margin%,whichisbothmutuallycontradictoryandmutual gionaleconomiccooperationandintegration,threebigplates,namelytheEuropeanUnion,NorthAmerica,andEastAsia,,,inthecurrentworldthereisanewtriangulartradesystem,whichistotallydifferentfromthe∃Center-Margin%(34)Basedonclassificationsforeconomicgoodsandliteratures,thispaperexploresmerchandisestockandindustrydevelop ,therearethreetypesofeconomicgoodsincludingnationalpri vategoods,multinationalpublicgoods,,whichinfluencesindustryadjustmentoftheworld,:AnAnalysisbasedonTheTheoryofOptimalCurrencyAreasHong Lin(40) ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹#87#
WorldEconomyStudy ,2007()Alongwiththedevelopmentofeconomicglobalizationandregionalization, ssuccessfulfulfillmentprovidesthepreciousexperiencesforinternationalcurrencysystem, plainsthenecessityofmonetarycooperationinEastAsia,secondlycommentatesthetheoryofoptmialcurrencyareas,third 'StrategyofPromotingEastAsianFinancialCooperationZhuXiaobing(46)FromChina sperspective, :AnEmpiricalAnalysisonChinas'ManufacturingSectorDangYuting,WanNeng(52)Thisthesisdiscussedtheeffectbytwoaspects:&&,somecountermeasureisgiveninordertomaxmiizethepositivecomposition&:AnAnalysisontheMechanismofEnvironmentalProtectionintheWTOWangHaifeng(58)Asaninternationalorganizationtofacilitatetradeliberalization,theWorldTradeOrganization(WTO),thowever,inthetradedisputesettlementpractices,theDisputeSettle ,theMembersofWTOhavehadagreatargumentovertheissueoftradeandenvironmen,'SocialResponsibilityCuiXinjian(64)Thispapermainlyexplorestheeffectoftransnationalcorporation&scharacteristicsontheconceptdefinitionofsocialre ,accordingtotherequiremen,ttheauthorsetsupanewconceptframeoftransnationalcorporation&&Privately-ownedEnterprises&AccesstoMonopolyIndustryZhouJunyu(69)BasedonCournotgamemodelandregulationtheory,thispapertakestheprivately-ownedenterprises&rightofaccesstomonopolyindustryforexample,elaboratestheinstitutionalchangemiplicationofFDIandtheinstitutionalchangemecha tmeantheprivately-ownedenterprisescouldcomeintomonopolyindustrythatChina Xiao(74)OntheEconomicandTradingCollaborationwithintheFrameworkofShanghaiOrganizationCooper ationLiLifan(79)Inthisarticle,theauthorpointedouthowtoenhancefurthereconomicandtradingcooperationintheShanghaiCoopera tionOrganization, ductivelytopromoteregionaleconomicintegrationandstability,asthesamewaytodealingeffectivelywithacceleratingeco nomicglobalization,andelmiinatingaffectionsoftradediversion,thatwillbethegoodwayofmakingregionalcooperationwithinthesystem,thatcanenjoythebenefitsofmembershipassoonaspossible. # 88# ൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮ 2007୍ֻ4௹
