ꆶ벼쫵뺭볃ꆷ뗚2웚(ퟜ뗚218웚)2006쓪컒맺췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣럖컶ꆡ쓏춨럄횯횰튵벼쫵톧풺ꆡ돂컀뮪[햪튪]췢믣뒢놸쫇튻맺맺볊뒢놸훐ퟮ훘튪뗄닺ꆣ뷼벸쓪살,훐맺뗄췢믣뒢놸평폚맺볊쫕횧ꆰ쮫쮳닮ꆱ뗄췆뚯,뿬쯙퓶뎤ꆣ맽뛠뗄췢믣뒢놸펰쿬맺쏱뺭볃뗄랢햹쯙뛈ꆣ컄헂퓚볲튪뷩짜뻶뚨쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸탨쟳솿뗄뒫춳샭싛뗄믹뒡짏,룹뻝훐맺뗄쪵볊쟩뿶,뛔훐맺뗄췢믣뒢놸탨쟳ퟷ쇋뚨탔뫍뚨솿럖컶,늢쳡돶쇋펦뛔뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄죴룉듫쪩ꆣ[맘붡듊]췢믣뒢놸;췢믣뒢놸맦쒣;맺볊뒢놸튻ꆢ틽퇔췢믣뒢놸쫇튻맺(믲뗘쟸)믵뇒떱뻖돖폐뗄퓚맺볊볤놻웕뇩뷓쫜뗄뿉폃살캬돖맺볊쫕횧욽뫢ꆢ캬돖믣싊컈뚨뫍ퟷ캪뛔췢뎥햮놣횤뗄뿉뛒뮻믵뇒닺ꆣ쯼폫믵뇒떱뻖돖폐뗄믆뷰뒢놸ꆢ퓚맺볊믵뇒믹뷰ퟩ횯(IMF)뗄웕춨쳡뿮좨뫍쳘뇰쳡뿮좨(SDRs)튻웰,릹돉튻맺(믲뗘쟸)뗄맺볊뒢놸,쫇맺볊뒢놸훐맦쒣ퟮ듳ꆢ뗘캻ퟮ훘튪뗄닺ꆣ평폚쿖탐맺볊뒢놸쳥훆뗄늻뫏샭,뻶뚨쇋랢햹훐맺볒맺볊뒢놸뗄퓶뎤췹췹횻쓜훷튪뾿췢믣뒢놸뗄퓶뎤ꆣ틲듋,캬돖튻룶쫊뛈뗄맺볊뒢놸쮮욽,뫜듳돌뛈짏쫇췢믣뒢놸쫊뛈맦쒣뗄뻶뚨컊쳢ꆣ튻맺펵폐탛뫱뗄췢믣뒢놸,늻뷶폐샻폚럀랶췢늿뷰죚럧쿕뫍헾훎럧쿕,뮹쓜퓶잿맺췢춶헟뛔놾뇒뗄탅탄,폐샻폚컼틽췢,춬쪱뮹쫇놾맺뛔췢춶뗄컯훊놣헏ꆣ떫쫇,췢믣뒢놸맦쒣맽듳,폖믡퓶볓맺쓚믵뇒릩룸솿,퓚튻뚨돌뛈짏퓬돉춨믵엲헍뗄톹솦ꆣ춬쪱,췢믣뒢놸맽뛠,믡쪹돖폐췢믣뒢놸뗄믺믡돉놾맽듳,퓬돉뷰풴샋럑,복짙뷸뿚뫍춶,펰쿬맺쏱뺭볃뗄랢햹쯙뛈ꆣ뷘횹2005쓪9퓂뗗,컒맺췢믣뒢놸틑듯7690틚쏀풪,횱뇆쫀뷧뗚튻췢믣뒢놸듳맺죕놾,췢믣뒢놸맦쒣퓙듎돉캪뛠랽맘힢뗄죈뗣컊쳢ꆣ틲듋,퓚뺭볃좫쟲뮯뗄놳뺰쿂,캪쇋룼뫃뗘폫맺볊뷓맬,좷놣맺볒뗄뷰죚낲좫뫍뺭볃뗄뿉돖탸랢햹,뷸튻늽실쪵뿆톧랢햹맛뗄튪쟳,폐뇘튪첽쳖컒맺췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣컊쳢틔벰펦뛔뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄닟싔컊쳢ꆣ뛾ꆢ컒맺췢믣뒢놸랢햹룅쫶컒맺췢믣뒢놸뺭샺쇋듓컞떽폐,훰붥믽샛ힳ듳뗄맽돌ꆣ붨맺돵웚,컒맺췢믣뒢놸벸뫵캪쇣,췢믣뷰뛌좱튻횱쫇훆풼뺭볃랢햹뗄욿뺱횮튻,튲쫇퓚볆뮮뺭볃쳥훆쿂쪵탐룟뛈벯훐뗄췢믣맜샭쳥훆뗄튻룶훘튪풭틲ꆣ떽1978쓪,맺볒췢믣뒢놸튲늻맽1틚뛠쏀풪ꆣ룄룯뾪럅뫳,춨맽얬솦퓶볓돶뿚,췢믣뒢놸훰붥퓶볓,1993쓪쒩듯떽틚쏀풪ꆣ1994쓪췢믣쳥훆룄룯틔살,돽룶뇰쓪럝췢,컒맺솬탸뛠쓪놣돖맺볊쫕횧뺭뎣쿮쒿뫍놾뷰죚쿮쒿ꆰ쮫쮳닮ꆱꆣ퓚듋믹뒡짏,컒맺췢믣뒢놸돖탸뿬쯙퓶뎤ꆣ1994쓪훁1997쓪,쓪뻹퓶뎤싊뎬솽캻쫽ꆣ1994쓪듯틚쏀풪,1995쓪듯틚쏀풪,1996쓪춻웆잧틚쏀풪듳맘,듯틚쏀풪,1997쓪듯틚쏀풪ꆣ뺡맜쫜뚫쓏퇇뷰죚럧늨뗄펰쿬,듓1998쓪쪼훁2000쓪,췢믣뒢놸뻸뛔솿죔뷚뷚엊짽,늻맽퓶럹틑듳듳붵뗍ꆣ듓2001쓪훁뷱,췢믣뒢놸폖톸쯙퓶볓,2001쓪떱쓪듯떽틚쏀풪,2002쓪퓶훁틚쏀풪ꆣ2003쓪,늻냼삨맺컱풺쿲훐탐뫍붨탐힢죫뗄450틚쏀풪뒢놸,듯틚쏀풪ꆣ쫂쪵짏,2003쓪뗗뗄췢믣뒢놸캪4483틚쏀풪ꆣ떽쇋2004쓪뗗,룼쫇룟듯틚쏀풪ꆣ듓1998쓪틔살,컒맺튻횱돉캪뷶듎폚죕놾뗄좫쟲뗚뛾듳췢믣뒢놸맺ꆣ뻝풤닢,죧맻쎻폐훘듳뗄맺쓚뷰죚헾닟뗷헻뫍맺볊쟩뿶뇤뮯,훁뷱쓪뗗,컒맺뗄췢믣뒢놸붫뎬맽죕놾뛸돉캪쫀뷧짏췢믣뒢놸ퟮ뛠뗄맺볒ꆣ죽ꆢ컒맺췢믣뒢놸뿬쯙퓶뎤뗄뚯틲럖컶(튻)맺볊쫕횧ꆰ쮫쮳닮ꆱ뗄췆뚯1ꆢ뺭뎣쿮쒿쮳닮ꆣ1994쓪췢믣쳥훆룄룯틔살,맺쓚췢쿠볌돶쿖뗄튻킩폐샻폚뷸돶뿚쎳틗랢햹뗄틲쯘,췆뚯쇋컒맺뷸돶뿚쎳틗뗄톸쏍랢햹ꆣ2001쓪훐맺뗄죫쫀,룸컒맺뷸튻늽뾪췘맺볊쫐뎡,랢햹뷸돶뿚쎳틗쳡릩쇋쓑뗃뗄믺폶뫍맣삫뗄뿕볤;2004쓪돶첨뗄탂췢쎳램,퓊탭ퟔ좻죋듓쫂뛔췢쎳틗,듙쪹쇋컒맺쎳틗훷쳥뛠풪뮯;탂뗄돶뿚췋쮰헾닟뗄쪵쪩,벫듳뗘듙뷸쇋맣듳돶뿚짌뗄믽벫탔;룷뗘헐짌틽뗄훖훖폅믝듫쪩,훐맺뻟폐뇈뷏폅쫆뗄샍뚯솦돉놾,컼틽쇋훚뛠뿧맺릫쮾뗄럖횧믺릹럗럗퓚훐맺낲볒실뮧,훐맺붥돉좫쟲뗄훆퓬튵믹뗘ꆣ쯹폐헢튻쟐,벫듳뗘췆뚯쇋컒맺뺭뎣쿮쒿뗄쮳닮ꆣ2ꆢ놾뷰죚쿮쒿쮳닮ꆣ평폚뷼쓪살컒맺뫪맛뮷뺳솼뫃,뺭볃돖탸컈뚨랢햹,컒맺틑돉캪퇇첫뗘쟸ퟮ뻟폐퓶뎤잱솦뗄탂탋쫐뎡,쫇떱잰쫀뷧뺭볃뗄튻룶쇁뗣ꆣ솼뫃뗄춶뮷뺳컼틽ퟅ풽살풽뛠뗄뷰쇷죫,컒맺뷰쇷죫튻횱놣돖퓚뷏룟맦쒣ꆣ듓2002쓪뾪쪼,쪵볊샻폃췢쓪뻹뎬맽500틚쏀풪ꆣ(2002쓪샻폃췢ퟜ뛮캪틚쏀풪,2003쓪캪틚쏀풪,2004쓪캪틚쏀풪)뻞뛮뗄췢쇷죫,쪹뗃컒맺듓1994쓪훁[2]췵폱쟛,튶죊?.룟뿆벼웳튵풱릤샫횰쒣탍뗄붨솢[J].훐맺죋솦풴뾪랢,2001ꋍ[3]컢캬뿢,뢻욼욼,쇵뻼.틔볛횵맛캪놾뗄쇬떼탐캪폫췅뛔폐킧탔퓚훐맺뗄쪵횤퇐뺿[J].쾵춳릤돌샭싛폫쪵볹,2003ꋊ[4]Mobley,.:EmployeeTurnover:Cause,ConsequencesandControl[M].AddisonWesleyPublishingCom2pany,1982[5]Price,.:TheDevelopmentofaCasualModelofVoluntaryTurnover[M].PublishingIowaStateUniversity2000ꆤ53ꆤ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
ꆶ벼쫵뺭볃ꆷ뗚2웚(ퟜ뗚218웚)2006쓪뷱(돽1998쓪)놾뷰죚쿮쒿튻횱놣돖쮳닮ꆣ헢쫇컒맺췢믣뒢놸뿬쯙퓶뎤뗄룹놾풭틲ꆣ3ꆢ죋쏱뇒짽횵풤웚ꆣ뷼솽쓪살,맺쓚췢쫐뎡튻횱듦퓚죋쏱뇒짽횵뗄풤웚,쳘뇰쫇2003쓪뗚죽벾뛈틔살,쏀ꆢ죕뗈맺튪쟳죋쏱뇒믣싊훘맀,죋쏱뇒짽횵뗄톹솦퓶듳ꆣ퓚헢훖톹솦뫍풤웚쿂,튻랽쏦늿럖맺볊죈잮쟄좻쇷죫맺쓚,틔웚믱좡뷰쳗샻뗄쫕틦;쇭튻랽쏦,맺쓚웳튵뫍룶죋뷡믣틢풸퓶잿,뷡믣싊뻓룟늻쿂,뻓쏱췢믣뒢탮ꆢ웳튵췢믣듦뿮퓶뎤뮺싽;뛌웚쎳틗탅듻퓶볓,췢쎳웳튵훷뚯춨맽뗷헻뷸돶뿚뗄쫕뢶믣뷚ퟠ살맦뇜죋쏱뇒짽횵뗄믣싊럧쿕ꆣ뺡맜컒맺틑폚뷱쓪7퓂21죕뛔죋쏱뇒믣싊뗄탎돉믺훆ퟷ쇋룄룯,탎돉쇋쒿잰뗄틔쫐뎡릩쟳캪믹뒡ꆢ닎뾼튻삺ퟓ믵뇒뷸탐뗷뷚ꆢ폐맜샭뗄뢡뚯믣싊훆뛈,늢쟒ퟶ쇋튻룶2%뗄돵쪼뗄믣싊쮮욽뗄뗷헻,떫쒿잰쫐뎡죔뻖늿듦퓚죋쏱뇒볌탸짽횵뗄풤웚ꆣ뇭1ꆡ1994쓪훁2004쓪뺭뎣쿮쒿ꆢ쯄ꆢ컒맺췢믣뒢놸쫊뛈맦쒣뗄첽쳖놾쿮쒿랢짺뛮뫍췢믣뒢놸뇤뮯뛮튻샀뇭죧잰쯹쫶,듓1994쓪췢믣쳥훆룄룯틔살,평폚훮쓪럝뺭뎣쿮쒿랢짺뛮놾뷰죚쿮쒿랢짺뛮췢믣뒢놸퓶볓뛮뛠틲쯘뗄릲춬ퟷ폃,컒맺췢믣뒢놸뗄뻸뛔솿뫍퓶뎤싊199476583266430421뻹틔쇮죋힢쒿뗄룟쯙뛈컼틽쇋훚뛠톧헟뗄맘힢ꆣ맘폚199516183867521977튻맺췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣컊쳢,톧쫵뷧퓸닺짺쇋듓늻199672423996731431춬뷇뛈폨틔뷢쫍뗄룷훖샭싛ꆣ훐맺췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦199736,962,71521,015,39034,861,620쒣볈럻뫏뒢놸탨쟳뗄튻냣맦싉,튲뻟폐ퟔ벺뛀폐뗄탨199831,741,279-6,321,4395,069,000쟳쳘헷ꆣ199921,114,1385,179,5159,716,320(튻)췢믣뒢놸탨쟳뗄튻냣럖컶200020,519,4281,922,22410,898,4001ꆢ뒢놸폫뷸뿚뇈싊럖컶램ꆣ헢쫇튻훖펰쿬뷏듳뗄200117,405,27534,775,42746,591,040뚨솿럖컶램,룃샭싛평쏀맺뺭볃톧볒R.쳘샯럒(,421,96832,290,83774,242,150Triffin)뷌쫚퓚ꆶ믆뷰뫍쏀풪캣믺ꆷ훐쳡돶뗄ꆣ쯻죏캪:200345,874,81252,725,942116,844,100죴업돽튻킩뛌웚믲쯦믺틲쯘뗄펰쿬,튻맺뗄췢믣뒢놸200468,659,162110,659,756206,681,000힢:ꋙ쇏살풴:맺볒췢믣맜샭뻖췸햾;ꋚ1994-1996쓪뗄떥캻폫쯼뗄쎳틗뷸뿚뛮횮뇈,펦놣돖튻뚨뗄뇈샽맘쾵ꆣ헢캪냙췲쏀풪룶뇈샽맘쾵틔40%캪뇪ힼ,틔20%캪쿂쿞ꆣ,웤폠쓪럝뗄캪잧쏀풪2ꆢ믺믡돉놾럖컶램ꆣ헢쫇평20쫀볍60쓪듺쒩웚평J.낢룱컖뛻()뗈튻킩뺭볃톧볒쳡돶뗄훷튪닢쯣랢햹훐맺볒뒢놸탨쟳뗄믺믡돉놾럖컶램ꆣ룃샭싛죏캪:돖폐췢믣뒢놸뗄믺믡돉놾뻍쫇맺쓚춶뗄쫕틦싊ꆣ튻맺돖폐뗄뒢놸뎬맽맺볒뗄탨튪,뻍틢캶ퟅ튻늿럖춶뫍쿻럑뗄컾짼ꆣ틲듋,튻맺뗄뒢놸탨쟳쫇평웤돖폐뗄뒢놸뗄뇟볊돉놾뫍뇟볊쫕틦살뻶뚨뗄ꆣ쫊뛈뒢놸탨쟳펦쫇웤돖폐뒢놸뗄뇟볊돉놾뫍뇟볊쫕틦듯떽뻹뫢쪱뗄뒢놸탨쟳ꆣ3ꆢ뚨탔럖컶램ꆣ룃샭싛쫇20쫀볍70쓪듺훐웚,평.뾨냼뛻()뫍.랶()뗈뺭볃톧볒쳡돶뗄ꆣ쯻쏇죏캪:펰쿬튻맺췢믣뒢놸탨쟳솿틲쯘폐틔쿂벸룶랽쏦,럖뇰쫇:튻맺맺볊쫕횧뗷뷚믺훆뗄킧솦ꆢ튻맺맺볊쫕횧뗄뚯틲틔벰튻맺뺭볃ힴ뿶ꆢ튻맺쯹틀삵뗄맺볊쟥뎥솦뗄살풴벰컈뚨돌뛈ꆢ튻맺뒢놸닺훊솿ꆢ튻맺헾뢮닉좡뗷뷚듫쪩뗄뷷짷첬뛈ꆢ룷맺뺭볃헾닟뗄뫏ퟷ첬뛈뗈ꆣ돽쇋짏쫶벸룶펰쿬솦뷏듳뗄샭싛틔췢,웤쯼싛쫶췢믣뒢놸쫊뛈맦쒣뗄샭싛뮹폐뇪횾럖컶램ꆢ믵뇒톧엉럖컶램틔벰뒢놸햮컱럖컶램뗈ꆣ틔짏룷룶샭싛럖뇰듓늻춬뗄뷇뛈싛쫶쇋췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣컊쳢,럖뇰폐룷ퟔ닺짺뗄뻟쳥놳뺰,폐웤뫏샭횮뒦,떫튲폐훖훖좱쿝ꆣ퓚좷뚨튻룶뻟쳥맺볒뗄쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸맦쒣쪱,헢킩샭싛뿉ퟷ캪닎뾼ꆣ(뛾)컒맺췢믣뒢놸뗄탨쟳럖컶뷼벸쓪살,톧쫵뷧헫뛔컒맺췢믣뒢놸퓶뎤톸쯙뗄뿍맛쪵볊,뻍췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣뷸탐쇋맣랺뗄퇐뺿,ퟜ뗄쮵살탎돉쇋솽훖맛뗣ꆣ1ꆢ뒢놸맦쒣쫊솿싛ꆣ헢훖맛뗣죏캪:컒맺쫇랢햹훐맺볒,컒맺뗄짌욷돶뿚뺺헹솦늻잿,뛸뷸뿚뗄늨뚯탔뷏듳,맺볊쫕횧뇈뷏든죵;쯦ퟅ틽뷸췢맦쒣뗄늻뛏삩듳뫍횱뷓춶(FDI)뗄퓶뎤,췢햮뎥뮹뢺떣풽살풽훘,췢믣뗄쿻뫄솿늻뛏삩듳,쯹틔쒿잰뗄췢믣뒢놸늻쯣뛠ꆣ샽죧,뷱쓪돵놱뺩쪦랶듳톧늩쪿짺떼쪦훓캰퓚뷓쫜볇헟닉럃,믘듰컒맺췢믣뒢놸맦쒣컊쳢쪱,듓헾뢮뒢놸뗄쒿뗄헢룶뷇뛈돶랢,럖컶쇋튻맺뗄ퟮ폅뒢놸맦쒣펦냼삨컥랽쏦:튻쫇뒢놸펦놣헏3룶퓂뗄뷸뿚;뛾쫇뒢놸펦놣헏췢햮뎥뮹;죽쫇뒢놸펦놣헏퓚뮪췢웳튵뗄샻죳믣돶;쯄쫇뒢놸펦놣헏맺폐틸탐룄룯뛔뷰뗄탨쟳;컥쫇뒢놸펦풤쇴튻뿩ퟷ캪랢햹훐맺볒캴살랢햹뗄놣쿕믹뷰ꆣ룹뻝헢컥룶랽쏦뷧뚨뗄췢믣뒢놸,훓캰죏캪쒿잰컒맺췢믣뒢놸맦쒣듓ퟜ솿짏뮹쫇뿉틔뷓쫜뗄ꆣ훓캰뷌쫚뗄럖컶룼쟣쿲폚뚨탔럖컶,폈웤쫇뛔뫳솽뗣룼쫇뒿듢뗄뚨탔쮵쏷ꆣ헢훖쟣쿲탔뗄맛뗣,튪좡뗃쇮죋탅럾뗄쮵럾솦,뿖엂탨튪튻뚨뗄뿆톧쫽뻝뗄횧독ꆣ2ꆢ뒢놸맦쒣맽듳싛ꆣ헢훖맛뗣죏캪:틲캪컒맺샻폃췢뗄맦쒣퓚늻뛏삩듳;뛔맺볊쫕횧뗄놾뷰죚쿮쒿맜샭뗃뷏퇏;쪵탐뗄쫇폐맜샭뗄뢡뚯믣싊훆,뛔췢믣쫐뎡룉풤뗄뗷뷚탔뒢놸뗄탨쟳뗍;뷸돶뿚맦쒣듳뛸쪹붻틗탔뒢놸뻟폐맦쒣뺭볃쳘탔;맺볒뷰죚쪵솦늻뛏퓶잿,퓚맺볊뷰죚쫐뎡짏돯듫펦벱뷰쓜솦잿ꆣ틲듋,쒿잰컒맺뗄췢믣뒢놸틑듳듳뎬맽쇋뿍맛탨튪솿,탎돉늻뇘튪뗄샋럑,폈웤쫇퓚컒맺쏀풪뒢놸맽룟,쏀풪솬탸뇡횵뗄쟩뿶쿂,쏉쫜뗄쯰쪧룼듳ꆣ3ꆢ뒢놸맦쒣맽듳뗄쪵횤럖컶ꆣ뇊헟룼죏춬헢뫳튻훖맛뗣,맺쓚퓸폐훮뛠톧헟듓늻춬뗄뷇뛈싛쫶쇋컒맺췢ꆤ54ꆤ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
ꆶ벼쫵뺭볃ꆷ뗚2웚(ퟜ뗚218웚)2006쓪믣뒢놸맦쒣맽듳뗄컊쳢ꆣ폐톧헟퓋폃맺볊짏춨뎣닉폃뗄3룶뿍맛횸뇪(췢믣뒢놸폫뷸뿚뛮뗄뇈훘ꆢ췢믣뒢놸햼놾맺떱쓪췢햮폠뛮뗄뇈훘ꆢ췢믣뒢놸햼놾맺떱쓪GDP뗄뇈훘)살볆쯣컒맺췢믣뒢놸쫊뛈맦쒣ꆣ뷡맻뇭쏷컒맺뗄췢믣뒢놸듳듳룟폚맺볊릫죏뗄뫏샭뒢놸쮮ힼꆣ웤훐,뇊헟죏캪헟맳닽쯹ퟷ뗄퇐뺿ퟮ뻟쮵럾솦ꆣ헟맳닽듓샭싛짏뻶뚨튻룶맺볒췢믣뒢놸탨쟳튪뾼싇뗄틲쯘돶랢,뷡뫏컒맺뗄쪵볊쟩뿶,죏캪컒맺쫊뛈췢믣맦쒣닢쯣펦뾼싇뷸뿚뢶믣ꆢ췢짌춶믘놨ꆢ뎥뮹췢햮ꆢ캬돖믣싊컈뚨뗄췢믣욽ힼ믹뷰벰쳘쫢탨튪뗄췢믣탨쟳ꆣ뾼싇떽컒맺쫇튻룶랢햹훐맺볒,죋쏱뇒늻쫇맺볊뒢놸믵뇒,췢믣뒢놸늻뻟뿉쳦듺탔,뻟폐쏷쿔룕탔쳘헷,틲뛸뾼싇놣돖4룶퓂뗄뷸뿚횧뢶탨튪,벴맺볊뒢놸폫뷸뿚뇈싊캪30%;췢짌춶믘놨내15%풤쇴췢믣뒢놸;뎥뮹췢햮뗄탨쟳,내맺볊뺭퇩,펦놣돖췢햮폠뛮10%뗄췢믣뒢놸ꆣ듋췢,놣돖쓪뛈췢믣뒢놸10%ퟳ폒뗄췢믣욽ힼ믹뷰뫍쳘쫢탨튪ꆣ죴틔R뇭쪾췢믣뒢놸ퟜ솿,R1캪쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸솿,R2캪뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸솿,W캪쓪뛈뷸뿚뛮,X캪쓪뛈췢햮폠뛮,Y캪쓪뛈쪵볊폃췢ퟜ뛮,Z캪췢믣욽ힼ믹뷰벰쳘쫢탨튪(10%R),뿉뗃죧쿂뇭듯쪽:R=R1+R2ꆡꆡꋅꆡꆡꆡR1=30%W+10%X+10%Y+Zꆡꆡꆡꋆ뇭2ꆡ2000-2004쓪컒맺쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸맦쒣뫍뎬뛮뒢놸솿뇭(떥캻:틚쏀풪)룹뻝틔짏뇭듯쪽,뿉틔췆쯣돶뷼벸쓪럝20002001200220032004R:쓪뛈췢믣ퟜ뛮쓪살컒맺쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸맦쒣벰뎬뛮뒢:쓪뛈뷸뿚ퟜ뛮놸쟩뿶ꆣ,뷼컥쓪살,컒맺튻횱X:쓪뛈췢햮폠뛮짏뇭쫽뻝뇭쏷듦퓚뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸쿖쿳,폈틔뷼죽쓪캪Y:쓪뛈쪵볊샻폃췢ퟜ뛮:쫊뛈췢믣뒢놸ퟜ뛮짵ꆣ틲듋,죧뫎퓚좷놣맺볒뷰죚낲좫뫍:뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뛮뺭볃돖탸컈늽랢햹뗄믹뒡짏,폐킧뗘붵뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뛮싊뗍뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄돖폐뛮,쪹폐쿞뗄(%)(쇏살풴뷰풴룼캪뫏샭럖엤,좷놣컒맺뺭볃뗄:쯹폐쫽뻝살풴폚맺볒췢믣맜샭뻖췸햾뫍훐뮪죋쏱릲뫍맺짌컱늿췸햾)뿉돖탸랢햹,쫇캴살벸쓪쓚컒맺탨튪ퟅ훘뷢뻶뗄컊쳢ꆣ컥ꆢ펦뛔뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄닟싔쒿잰,컒맺뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄맜샭냼몬솽룶랽쏦:튻쫇룄짆뛔쿖듦뗄뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄럧쿕맜샭;뛾쫇죧뫎좷놣캴살맺볊쫕횧뗄믹놾욽뫢,듓뛸훰붥붵뗍캴살쓪뛈뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄맦쒣ꆣ(튻)뎬뛮췢믣뒢놸뗄럧쿕맜샭ꆣ뛔폚죎뫎튻룶맺볒살쮵,맜샭컒맺쿖뷗뛎죧듋맦쒣뗄뒢놸뚼쫇뻞듳뗄쳴햽,듓샭싛짏붲폐벸훖뿉탐뗄닟싔:튻쫇퓶잿틸탐ꆢ웳튵뫍뻓쏱뗄췢믣탮쮮돘릦쓜,춨맽췪짆췢믣쫐뎡룄룯,쪹뗃쒿잰욫훘헾뢮헢튻뿩,쓜퓚붫살폐킧럖쇷캪헾뢮ꆢ웳튵뫍뻓쏱룷튻뿩ꆣ쫂쪵짏,맺볒췢믣맜샭뻖맘폚럅뿭뺳쓚믺릹놣쇴뺭뎣쿮쒿췢믣쫕죫폐맘컊쳢뗄춨횪뗄믣랢[2005]58뫅컄뫍맘폚뗷헻뺳쓚뻓쏱룶죋뺭뎣쿮쒿쿂틲쮽릺믣쿞뛮벰볲뮯쿠맘쫖탸뗄춨횪뗄믣랢[2005]60뫅컄,헽쫇폐킧럖쇷헾뢮췢믣뒢놸뗄뚯ퟷ;뛾쫇힡믺폶,듓욫훘췢믣뒢놸,돵늽컈췗뗘쿲퓶볓폫맺쏱뺭볃랢햹뗄쏼싶폐맘뗄햽싔풴뒢놸ꆢ퓶볓믆뷰뫍쳘뇰쳡뿮좨뗈럝뛮뗄뮻ꆣ뷼죽쓪살,퓚컒맺췢믣뒢놸뿬쯙퓶뎤뫍죋쏱뇒짽횵톹솦볓듳뗄춬쪱,컒맺뗄믆뷰뒢놸뇤뚯늻듳ꆣ뷘횹2005쓪6퓂뗗,컒맺뗄믆뷰뒢놸캪600뛖,햼췢믣뒢놸뗄뇈샽뷶캪%,헢훖ힴ뿶뫍튻룶랢햹훐듳맺뗘캻벫늻쿠돆,뫍랢듯맺볒죧쏀맺뗄%ꆢ틢듳샻뗄%ꆢ램맺뗄54%틔벰뗂맺뗄%듳쿠뺶춥ꆣ틲듋헫뛔믆뷰럝뛮욫뗍뗄쿖ힴ,펦쫊떱퓶볓믆뷰뒢놸뗄럝뛮,틔틖훆췢믣뒢놸쯵쮮뫍복쟡죋쏱뇒짽횵뗄톹솦ꆣ뇭3ꆡ쫀뷧맙랽믆뷰뒢놸튻샀뇭(2005/6)죽쫇룹뻝뛔맺볊뺭볃뫍뷰죚뻖쫆뇤잨뗄햽싔에뛏,폐탲폅뮯뒢놸탲뫅맺볒쫽솿(뛖)믆뷰햼췢믣뒢놸%뷡릹ꆣ듓뷼벸쓪뗄맺볊쎳틗쟩뿶뾴,컒맺춬죕놾ꆢ얷쏋뗄맺볊쎳1쏀맺틗뛮돖탸짏짽,2004쓪훐맺춬얷쏋뷸돶뿚쎳틗퓶뎤싊%,춬2뗂맺죕놾뷸돶뿚쎳틗퓶뎤싊캪%ꆣ틲듋,튪돤럖샻폃헢튻솼뫃믺폶,삩듳얷풪ꆢ죕풪뗈뗄췢믣뒢놸럝뛮,뇜쏢틲쏀풪믣싊쿂뮬떼4램맺훂췢믣뒢놸뗄쯵쮮ꆣ5틢듳샻쯄쫇붫췢믣맜샭듓훘쫓췢믣쇷죫쿞훆췢믣쇷돶뗄늻뛔돆맜6죰쪿샭,뮻떽췢믣쇷죫쇷돶ퟛ뫏뻹뫢맜샭,웤훐냼삨웳튵ퟟ돶좥ꆢ샻7죕놾폃맺쓚맺췢솽훖풴뫍쫐뎡햽싔뗄훰늽쪵쪩ꆣ8뫉삼(뛾)맺볊쫕횧욽뫢뗄맜샭9얷훞퇫탐욽뫢맺볊쫕횧,짦벰훐맺뺭볃뗄뷡릹탔뗷헻,폈웤쫇췢ꆢ췢10훐맺듳슽쎳헾닟뗄뗷헻,틲듋,뿉듓틔쿂벸랽쏦폨틔뾼싇:튻쫇퓚샻폃췢쇏살풴:http//랽쏦,펦떱듓힢훘쫽솿쿲힢훘훊솿뇤;뛾쫇튪톡퓱쪱믺웴뚯훐췢웳튵쯹뗃쮰늢맬ꆣ쒿잰,컒맺쓚웳튵쯹뗃쮰싊캪33%,췢짌춶웳튵뫍췢맺웳튵뗄쏻틥쮰싊퓲캪15%떽24%늻뗈ꆣ헢훖헾닟닮틬퓬돉쇋듳솿맺쓚뷰춨맽룷훖춾뺶믣돶뺳췢,좻뫳퓙틔ꆰ췢ꆱ뗄탎첬믘쇷떽맺쓚,틔쿭쫜췢듽폶ꆣ죽쫇뷸튻늽췪짆뷸돶뿚쮰훆,폅뮯돶뿚짌욷뷡릹컊쳢ꆣ쪵볊짏,평폚뻶뚨췢믣뒢놸탨쟳뗄룷틲쯘놾짭듦퓚ퟅ늻좷뚨탔,쯹틔듓놾훊짏붲,췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣펦쫇튻룶뚯첬뗄룅쓮,쯼쯦ퟅ맺쓚췢뫪맛뺭볃탎쫆뗄뇤뮯뛸랢짺쿠펦뗄뇤뮯ꆣ쫊뛈뗄췢믣뒢놸맦쒣펦쫇튻룶쟸ꆤ55ꆤ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
ꆶ벼쫵뺭볃ꆷ뗚2웚(ퟜ뗚218웚)2006쓪횤좯릫쮾샻죳쒣탍뗄릹붨벰웤쏴룐탔럖컶짏몣뗚뛾릤튵듳톧뺭볃맜샭톧풺ꆡ키훇죳[햪튪]놾컄틔맜샭믡볆튻냣샻죳쒣탍뫍쏴룐탔럖컶랽램캪믹뒡,뷡뫏횤좯릫쮾튵컱뫍닆컱짏뗄쳘탔,릹붨횤좯릫쮾뗄샻죳쒣탍늢뷸탐쿠펦쏴룐탔럖컶ꆣ[맘붡듊]횤좯릫쮾ꆡ샻죳쒣탍ꆡ쏴룐탔럖컶ힷ쟳쫐뎡햼폐싊뫍샻죳ퟮ듳뮯쫇횤좯릫쮾뗄뫋탄쒿뇪ꆣ놾컄죏캪,캪쪵쿖헢튻쒿뇪,횤좯릫쮾쫗쿈펦듓뺭펪ꆢ맜샭뫍닆컱뗄쿖ힴ죫쫖,ퟷ튻킩뚨솿럖컶,뻝듋쇋뷢룷쿠맘틲쯘뗄뇤뚯폫샻죳뇤뚯뗄쿠맘돌뛈ꆣ튻ꆢ샻죳쒣탍벰웤쏴룐탔럖컶룅쫶(튻)쿠맘뚨틥1ꆢ샻죳쒣탍:맜샭믡볆톧훐뗄샻죳뗄뇪ힼ쒣탍캪:Pr=Q3(P-PVC)FCꆣ짏쫶릫쪽훐,Pr듺뇭샻죳;Q듺뇭튵컱솿;P듺뇭쿺쫛떥볛;PVC듺뇭떥캻뇤뚯돉놾;FC듺뇭만뚨돉놾ꆣ2ꆢ샻죳쏴룐탔럖컶:벴뚨솿럖컶펰쿬샻죳뗄폐맘틲쯘뗄뇤뮯틽웰샻죳뇤뚯뗄돌뛈ꆣ틲쯘뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈늻춬,퓚맜샭뫍뻶닟훐펦룃뗃떽뗄훘쫓돌뛈뻍늻춬ꆣ샻죳쒣탍훐쯄룶틲쯘뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈(럖뇰폃Si뇭쪾,웤훐i=1,2,3,4)뗄볆쯣릫쪽럖뇰쫇:튵컱솿뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈S1=(P-PVC)3Q/Pr;쿺쫛떥볛뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈S2=P3Q/Pr;떥캻뇤뚯돉놾뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈S3=PVC3Q/Pr;만뚨돉놾뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈S4=FC/Prꆣ(뛾)럖컶랽램ꆣ퓚퓋폃샻죳쏴룐탔뛔쪵볊튵컱뷸탐뚨솿럖컶쪱,뎣퓋폃뗄랽램뿉틔냼삨뚨탔럖컶뫍뚨솿럖컶솽랽쏦:1ꆢ뚨탔럖컶:벴폫샻죳뇤뮯랽쿲뗄럖컶ꆣ죧맻틲쯘i뛔샻죳뗄쏴룐뛈Si>0,퓲쮵쏷듋틲쯘뗄뇤뮯랽쿲폫샻죳뗄뇤뮯랽쿲쿠춬,믲쮵퓶듳듋틲쯘믡쪹샻죳퓶듳;랴횮틠좻ꆣ뫜쏷쿔,퓚짏쫶뇪ힼ쒣탍훐,튵컱솿뫍쿺쫛떥볛뗄쏴룐탔듳폚쇣,떥캻뇤뚯돉놾뫍만뚨돉놾뗄샻죳쏴룐뛈뻹킡폚쇣ꆣ2ꆢ뚨솿럖컶:벴틲쯘뗄뇤뮯폫샻죳뇤뚯뗄럹뛈듳킡뛔뇈ꆣ틲쯘뛔샻죳뗄쏴룐뛈S뗄뻸뛔횵풽듳,퓲쮵쏷틲쯘뗄뇤뮯뛔샻죳뗄뇤뮯펰쿬풽듳ꆣ떱펰쿬샻죳뗄죎튻틲쯘(죧,뗚i룶틲쯘)틔죎틢럹뛈뫍죎틢랽쿲떥뛀뇤뚯(볙짨Di캪뗚i룶틲쯘뇤뚯냙럖뇈)쪱,퓲뿉틔샻폃쫂쿈닢쯣돶살뗄쒳틲쯘샻죳쏴룐뛈횸뇪Si뫜랽뇣뗘풤닢돶살헢훖뇤뚯붫뛔샻죳닺짺뗄펰쿬럹뛈,릫쪽캪:Ki=Di3Siꆣ짏쫶릫쪽훐,Ki캪쒳틲쯘뇤뚯쪹샻죳뇤뚯뗄냙럖뇈:Di캪룃틲쯘뗄냙럖뗣:Si캪룃틲쯘쏴룐뛈횸뇪,i=1,2,3,4ꆣ뛾ꆢ횤좯릫쮾샻죳쒣탍뗄릹붨(튻)샻죳쒣탍붨솢볙짨놾컄듓횤좯릫쮾뺭펪ꆢ맜샭뫍닆컱뗄쿖ힴ죫쫖,붫샻죳쒣탍릹붨폚틔쿂솽룶볙짨믹뒡횮짏:1ꆢ좫늿뺭볍튵컱볙짨:횤좯듺샭싲싴튵컱쫇횤좯릫쮾샻죳살풴뗄훷튪늿럖(짵훁쫇좫늿),맊놾컄볙짨횤좯릫쮾횻듓쫂듺샭횤좯싲싴튵컱,쯹폐랢짺럑폃뻹캪횤좯듺샭싲싴튵컱뛸랢짺ꆣ늻뾼싇놣횤뷰샻닮쫕죫,횤좯돐쿺,횤좯듺쿺뫍닺캯췐맜샭샻죳;2ꆢ쫖탸럑싊튻훂볙짨:쫂쪵짏A막돉붻뛮욽뻹햼쫐뎡ퟜ돉붻뛮뗄뻸듳늿럖,캪볲뇣웰볻,놾컄훐A막,믹뷰,맺햮믘릺벰웳튵햮뗄쫖탸럑싊튻싉틔A막뗄쫖탸럑싊볆ꆣ(뛾)샻죳쒣탍뗄릹붨벰탞헽뇪ힼ뗄횤좯릫쮾샻죳쒣탍캪:샻죳=뺭볍튵컱쫕죫-쫖탸럑략뮹-펪튵럑폃-펪튵쮰뷰벰뢽볓-쫖탸럑횧돶-펪튵췢횧돶ꆣ퓚쿖탐붻틗쟥쯣쳥훆벰횤좯릫쮾맜샭쳥훆쿂,뿉붫짏쫶쒣탍ퟷ죧쿂탞헽:ꋙ뺭볍튵컱쫕죫=짮뮦쫐뎡ퟜ돉붻뛮3릫쮾ퟛ뫏햼폐싊3펶뷰쫕좡싊;ꋚ붫쫖탸럑략뮹뷰뛮뮻쯣돉웤쿠펦뗄쫖탸럑쫕죫햼뺭볍튵컱쫕죫뗄냙럖뇈;ꋛ뛔펪튵럑폃,내돉놾탔첬뷸탐럖컶,룹뻝쫇럱폫뺭볍튵컱솿릹돉헽쿠맘탔뮮럖캪만뚨돉놾뫍뇤뚯돉놾ꆣ룹뻝틔짏럖뷢,뿉틔뗃떽탞헽뗄횤좯릫쮾샻죳쒣탍:샻죳=짮뮦쫐뎡ퟜ돉붻뛮3릫쮾쫐뎡햼폐싊3펶뷰쫕좡싊3[(1-펪튵쮰뷰벰뢽볓뇈샽-쫖탸럑략뮹뇈샽)-폫뺭볍튵컱릹돉헽쿠맘탔뗄펪튵럑폃뇈샽]-폫뺭볍튵컱믹놾늻릹돉쿠맘탔뗄펪튵럑폃ꆣ짏쫶릫쪽훐,펪튵쮰뷰벰뢽볓뗄뇈샽쒿잰만뚨캪%ꆣ죽ꆢ횤좯릫쮾뗄샻죳쏴룐탔럖컶볤,뛸늻쫇튻룶뻟쳥뗄쫽횵,횻튪튻맺뗄맺볊뒢놸솿퓚쒳룶뫏샭쟸볤쓚,쓇쎴룃맺뗄췢믣뒢놸맦쒣뻍쫇쫊뛈뗄ꆣ듓뷼벸쓪컒맺뺭볃랢햹뗄쟷쫆뾴,ퟛ뫏뾼싇컒맺맺쏱뺭볃뗄랢햹쯙뛈뫍췢짌춶쟩뿶,췢믣뒢놸퓚3500틚쏀풪ퟳ폒쫇뷏캪뫏쫊뗄ꆣ[닎뾼컄쿗][1]뫍믛.잳첸컒맺췢믣뒢놸뗄쫊뛈맦쒣뫍뛔닟[J].쓚쏉맅춳볆,2004,(6)[2ꆶ]훐맺췢믣맜샭ꆷ볇헟.컒맺췢믣뒢놸벰웤뺭펪맜샭[J].훐맺췢믣맜샭,2005,(3)[3]췢믣뒢놸돤ퟣ뿉퓶볓훐맺룉풤췢믣쫐뎡뗄쓜솦ꆡ[4]헟맳닽.훐맺맺볊뒢놸뗄럖컶폫퇐뺿[J].맺볊뷰죚퇐뺿,2005,(5)[5]쇵붣,쟇맰쏷.쿖듺맺볊뷰죚[M].뢴떩듳톧돶냦짧,1998ꆤ56ꆤ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
