2009쓪9퓂쿮쒿맜샭벼쫵뗚7뻭뗚9웚PROJECTM ANAGEMENTT ECHNOLOGY헵횵맜샭벰웤뷸뛈벨킧럖컶뗄룄뷸첽쳖??돂삤쯯퇇쓐ꎨㄮ훐탅듷뾨싖훆퓬막럝폐쿞릫쮾ꎬ뫓놱?쟘믊떺‰㘶〰?ꎻ㈮쟘믊떺첫퇴돇맜캯믡ꎬ뫓놱?쟘믊떺‰㘶〰?ꎩ햪튪ꎺ헵횵맜샭벼쫵쟉쏮뗘붫럑폃뫍뷸뛈럖컶죚뫏퓚쇋튻웰ꎬ캪쿮쒿맜샭쪵볹뗄벨킧닢솿럖컶뫍풤닢쳡릩쇋폐킧뗄솿뮯횧돖ꎬ떫쫇춨맽뛔뇈룃벼쫵퓚럑폃벨킧뫍뷸뛈벨킧럖컶짏뗄펦폃ꎬ뿉틔랢쿖웤퓚뷸뛈벨킧럖컶랽쏦듦퓚벸룶믹뒡탔맘볼횸뇪뗄좱쪧ꆣퟱ톭PMI랢늼뗄ꆶ헵횵맜샭쪵볹뇪ힼꆷ뗄쮼슷ꎬ뎢쫔뛔헵횵맜샭벼쫵뷸탐폐틦뗄늹돤뫍룄뷸ꎬ춨맽뾼달췪짆뫳뗄벨킧횸뇪쳥쾵살퓶잿웤뷸뛈벨킧럖컶쓜솦뫍ퟛ뫏풤닢쓜솦ꆣ맘볼듊ꎺ쿮쒿맜샭ꎻ헵횵맜샭ꎻ뷸뛈벨킧ꎻ퓋쯣맘쾵0 틽퇔CPIꎩCPI=EV/AC퓚쿮쒿맜샭쪵볹훐ꎬ럑폃ꎨ돉놾ꎩ쒿뇪뫍뷸뛈ꎨ쪱ꎨ5ꎩ뷸뛈벨킧횸쫽ꎨSchedule Performance볤ꎩ쒿뇪뛔폚쿮쒿맜샭뛸퇔뻍쿱튻볝십뎵뗄솽룶싖IndexꎬSPIꎩퟓꎬ췹췹탨튪춬뗈뗄맘힢ꎻ뛸퓚솽헟뗄벨킧솿뮯럖컶SPI=EV/PV뫍풤닢랽쏦ꎬ헵횵맜샭ꎨEarned Value Managementꎬꎨ6ꎩ췪릤짐탨맀쯣ꎨEstimate to CompletionꎬEVMꎩ벼쫵틑뺭놻풽살풽뛠뗄쿮쒿맜샭헟쯹뷓쫜뫍ETCꎩ췆퓞ꆣ떫쫇ꎬ춨맽랭퓄EVM벼쫵뗄좨췾컄쿗ꆶ쿮쒿ETC=EACꎭAC[1]맜샭횪쪶쳥쾵ꆷꎨPMBOKꎩ뫍ꆶ헵횵맜샭쪵볹뇪ꎨ7ꎩ췪릤욫닮ꎨVariance at CompletionꎬVACꎩ[2-3]ힼꆷꎨ틔쿂볲돆ꆶ뇪ힼꆷꎩ틔벰웤쯻튻킩맺쓚췢뗄쿠VAC=BACꎭEAC[4-7]맘컄쿗ꎬ뚼뿉틔랢쿖EVM벼쫵쒿잰퓚뷸뛈벨킧ꎨ8ꎩ췪릤짐탨벨킧횸쫽ꎨTo-Complete Perfor-럖컶랽쏦듦퓚벸룶믹뒡탔맘볼횸뇪뗄좱쪧ꆣmance IndexꎬTCPIꎩ TCPI=ꎨBACꎭEVꎩ/ꎨBACꎭACꎩꎨ1ꎩ1 EVM룄뷸뗄쳡돶ꎨ9ꎩ췪릤맀쯣ꎨEstimate at CompletionꎬEACꎩ EAC=BAC/CPIꎨ2ꎩ[2-3] EVM뗄믹놾쫵폯벰퓋쯣맘쾵ꎨ10ꎩ췪릤쪱볤맀쯣ꎨTime Estimate at Completionꎬ뛔ꆶ뇪ힼꆷ훐믹놾뗄EVM쫵폯벰퓋쯣맘쾵ퟶ볲EACꎩt튪뗄맩쓉뫍헻샭죧쿂ꎬ틔ퟶ쳖싛횮폃ꆣ EAC=ꎨBAC/SPIꎩ/ꎨBAC/Monthsꎩꎨ3ꎩtꎨ1ꎩ볆뮮볛횵ꎨPlannedV alueꎬPVꎩꎻ헵횵ꎨ 벸룶믹뒡탔맘볼뷸뛈벨킧횸뇪뗄쳡돶ValueꎬEVꎩꎻ췪릤풤쯣ꎨBudget at Completionꎬ퓚짏쏦뗄벨킧횸뇪훐폐죽ퟩ쿠뛔펦뗄럑폃횸BACꎩꎻ쪵볊럑폃ꎨActualC ostꎬACꎩꆣ뇪뫍벨킧횸뇪ꎬ쯼쏇럖뇰캪CV폫SVꎬCPI폫SPIꎬꎨ2ꎩ럑폃욫닮ꎨCostV arianceꎬCVꎩEAC폫EACꎬ뛸뛔폚웤폠뗄럑폃벨킧횸뇪VACꆢtCV=EVꎭACETCꆢTCPI좴쎻폐쿠뛔펦뗄뷸뛈벨킧횸뇪ꆣ캪쇋뷸ꎨ3ꎩ뷸뛈욫닮ꎨScheduleV arianceꎬSVꎩ튻늽쳡룟EVM퓚뷸뛈벨킧랽쏦뗄럖컶ퟷ폃ꎬ췪짆SV=EVꎭPVEVM벼쫵뗄횸뇪쳥쾵ꎬ킧럂EAC뫍EACꎬ냑ETC횱tꎨ4ꎩ럑폃벨킧횸쫽ꎨCost Performance Indexꎬ뷓쒬죏캪ꆰ췪릤럑폃맀쯣ꆱꎬ쿠펦퓶볓뷸뛈벨킧횸뇪22
돂삤 뗈ꎺ헵횵맜샭벰웤뷸뛈벨킧럖컶뗄룄뷸첽쳖2009쓪뗚7뻭뗚9웚ꆰ췪릤짐탨쪱볤맀쯣ꆱꎬ폃ETCꎨTime Estimate to쪽ꎨ1ꎩ뇤탎뗃떽tCompletionꎩ뇭쪾ꆣ춬퇹ꎬ폫TCPI뛔펦퓶볓ꆰ췪릤짐 TCPI=PV/BACꎨ10ꎩrar탨뷸뛈벨킧횸쫽ꆱꎬ폃TCPIꎨTo-Completion 맘폚TCPI뗄퓋쯣ttmance Index of Timeꎩ뇭쪾ꎬ폫VAC뛔펦퓶볓ꆰ췪릤춬TCPI뗄틢틥쿠쯆ꎬ캪쇋퓚볆뮮쪱볤쓚췪돉죎쪱볤욫닮ꆱꎬ폃VACꎨTime Variance at Completionꎩ컱ꎬ쪣폠뗄죎컱탨튪퓚튻뚨뗄뷸뛈벨킧쮮욽짏살췪t뇭쪾ꆣ돉닅쓜놣횤쿮쒿늻퇓웚ꆣ캪듋탨튪틽죫ꆰ췪릤짐탨뷸뛈벨킧횸쫽ꆱꎬ폃TCPI뇭쪾ꆣTCPI뗄쯣쪽캪tt2 맘폚벨킧횸뇪뗄퓋쯣 TCPI=ꎨBACꎭEVꎩ/ꎨBACꎭPVꎩꎨ11ꎩtꎨBACꎭPVꎩ뗄몬틥퓲캪ꆰ내볆뮮뷸뛈쪣폠뗄볆 EAC쯣쪽뗄볲뮯뮮볛횵ꎨRemaining Planned Value as Plannedꎩꆱꎬt캪쇋쪵볊퓋폃뗄랽뇣ꎬ냑볆뮮췪릤쪱볤ꎨTime뿉뇭쪾캪PVꎬ폐rpꎨ12ꎩatc ompletionꎩ뇭쪾캪TACꎬ샠쯆쪽ꎨ2ꎩꎬEAC뗄쯣쪽 PV=BACꎭPVtrp튲뿉횱뷓킴캪듓뛸ꎬ쯣ꎨ11ꎩ뇤탎캪 EAC=TAC/SPI ꎨ4ꎩ TCPI=PV/PVꎨ13ꎩttrarp헢퇹ꎬ뻍폫EAC뫍EAC퓚싟벭풭샭뫍탎쪽짏뗃 풴춶죫잿뛈뗄쳡돶t떽쇋춳튻ꎬ쪹폃웰살튲룼캪랽뇣ꆣ쯹캽풴춶죫잿뛈ꎨ쮮욽ꎩꎨLevel of Resource뛔폚ꆶ뇪ힼꆷ훐룸돶뗄쪽ꎨ3ꎩꎬꆶ뇪ힼꆷ훐뛔MonthsInputꎩꎬ벴떥캻쪱볤풴욽뻹춶죫ꎬ떥캻쪱볤룹뻝폃ꎨ퓂쫽ꎩ뗄뷢쫍캪ꆰ볆뮮췪릤퓂쫽ꆱꎬ웤쪵뻍쫇ꆰ볆뮮춾늻춬뿉틔쫇쎿쳬ꆢ쎿훜믲웤쯻쪱볤떥캻ꎬ뿉폃췪릤쪱볤ꆱꎬ틲듋ꎬ쪽ꎨ3ꎩ뿉틔뇤탎캪LORI뇭쪾ꆣ뇈죧헻룶쿮쒿풴춶죫잿뛈풤쯣횵뿉폃 EAC=ꎨBAC/SPIꎩ/ꎨBAC/TACꎩ ꎨ5ꎩ쿂쪽쟳돶t쫂쪵짏ꎬ짏쪽뗄럖ퟓꆢ럖쒸풼뗴BAC벴캪쪽 LORI=BAC/TACꎨ14ꎩꎨ4ꎩꆣ웤쪵ꎬ헢튻쯣쪽퓚짏쏦뗄쪽ꎨ3ꎩ믲쪽ꎨ5ꎩ훐뻍틑 맘폚ETC뫍VAC뗄퓋쯣뺭돶쿖쇋ꎬ쪽훐뗄럖쒸벴캪쪽ꎨ14ꎩꎬ횻쫇쎻폐쏷좷 ETC뗄퓋쯣쯼뗄ꆰ풴춶죫잿뛈ꆱ뗄몬틥ꆣ춬샭ꎬ튲뿉틔쟳돶쿮t퓚춨맽쪽ꎨ4ꎩ뗃떽EAC횵뗄쟩뿶쿂ꎬEAC복좥쒿쒳튻뷗뛎뗄풴춶죫뗄볆뮮잿뛈뫍쪵볊잿뛈ꆣttꆰ틑뺭뮨럑뗄쪱볤ꆱ벴캪ETCꎬ냑ꆰ틑뺭뮨럑뗄쪱볤LORI캪풴춶죫쮮욽뗄뾼달쳡릩쇋랽뇣ꎬ튲캪샻폃tꎨActually Timeꎩꆱ뇭쪾캪ATꎬ퓲뷗뛎램살닢쯣ETC믲EAC쳡릩쇋뿕볤ꆣ떱좻LORItt ETC=EACꎭAT ꎨ6ꎩ튲뿉틔ퟛ뫏훷ꆢ뿍맛뗈틲쯘뷸탐탞헽ꎬ틔룼헦쪵뗘 맘폚VAC뗄퓋쯣랴펳쿮쒿퓚쒳튻쪱볤뗣짏믲쒳튻뷗뛎짏뗄쪵볊쟩t춨맽쪽ꎨ4ꎩ뗃떽EAC뫳ꎬVAC뗄쯣쪽죧쿂뿶믲훷ꆢ뿍맛튪쟳ꆣtt VAC=TACꎭEAC=TACꎨ1ꎭ1/SPIꎩ ꎨ7ꎩ 맘폚TCPI뫍TCPI뗄퓋쯣3 룄뷸뫳뗄EVM벰펦폃쪵샽 TCPI쯣쪽뗄볲뮯퓚볆쯣TCPI뗄쪽ꎨ1ꎩ훐ꎬꎨBACꎭACꎩ뗄몬틥캪 룄뷸뫳뗄EVMꆰ췪릤풤쯣폠뛮ꎨRemaining Budget at Completionꎩꆱꎬ뺭맽틔짏쳖싛ꎬ룄뷸뫳뗄EVM퓶볓쇋솽룶쫤죫뿉폃BAC뇭쪾ꎻ뛸쪽훐뗄ꎨBACꎭEVꎩ뗄몬틥캪ꆰ내쪵쫽뻝ꎺTACꎬATꎻ퓶볓쇋죽룶믹뒡탔맘볼뷸뛈벨킧횸r볊뷸뛈쪣폠뗄볆뮮볛횵ꎨActual Remaining Planned뇪ꎺETCꎬVACꎬTCPIꆣ캪쇋뇣폚퓋쯣뫍펦폃ꎬ틽죫쇋tttValueꎩꆱꎬ뿉뇭쪾캪PVꆣ퓲폐쫵폯ꆰ내쪵볊뷸뛈쪣폠뗄볆뮮볛횵ꆱꆢꆰ내볆뮮뷸뛈쪣ra BAC=BACꎭAC ꎨ8ꎩ폠뗄볆뮮볛횵ꆱꆢꆰ췪릤풤쯣폠뛮ꆱ틔벰ꆰ풴춶죫잿r PV=BACꎭEV ꎨ9ꎩ뛈ꆱꆣ룷쫵폯믲벨킧횸뇪뛔펦맘쾵벰폃춾죧뇭1쯹쪾ꆣra23
2009쓪뗚7뻭뗚9웚쿮쒿맜샭벼쫵뇭1 룷쫵폯믲벨킧횸뇪뗄뛔펦맘쾵벰폃춾쪽ꎬ뛔뇭3뷸탐럖컶뗃떽늻춬쪱뛎뗄룷룶벨킧횸뇪횵ꎬ죧뇭4쯹쪾ꆣ듓럖컶뷡맻살뾴ꎬCPIꎾ1뇭쏷럑폃벨킧뇭쿖솼뫃ꎬ떫쫇뷸뛈벨킧듓뗚뛾훜뾪쪼붵떽1틔쿂ꎬ늢돊솬탸쿂붵뗄쟷쫆ꎻ뗚6훜쒩췪릤짐탨쪱볤맀쯣뇭쏷ꎬ내헕쒿잰뗄뷸뛈벨킧ꎬ쪣폠뗄죎컱탨튪훜닅쓜췪돉ꎬ떫쫇쪵볊쪣폠릤웚캪6훜ꎬ VAC듯떽쇋훜ꎬ춨t맽뷸튻늽닢쯣췪릤짐탨뷸뛈벨킧횸쫽랢쿖ꎬ듓뗚3훜뾪쪼TCPI쪼훕듳폚1ꎬ뛸쟒돊짏짽쟷쫆ꎬ떽뗚6훜t쒩틑뺭듯떽쇋ꎬ헢뚼틢캶ퟅ릤웚뗄톹솦믡풽 펦폃쪵샽살풽듳ꎬA웳튵뿉쓜믡틲듋뛸돐떣췲풪ꎨ240췲A웳튵춨맽뺺뇪믱뗃쇋튻룶ퟜ볛캪240췲풪뗄풪/훜ꇁ5%ꇁ훜ꎩ쯰쪧ꆣ쿮쒿ꎬ룹뻝쿮쒿뫏춬ꎬ쿮쒿쎿췏뫳1훜튵훷붫뿛돽ퟜ쿮쒿뺭샭랢쿖ꎬ내헕볆뮮잰6훜쎿룶릤ퟷ죕뫏춬뷰뛮뗄5%ꎬ쎿쳡잰1훜붫붱샸ퟜ뫏춬뷰뛮뗄풴춶죫잿뛈펦캪LORI=118/30=ꎨ췲풪/쳬ꎩꎬ뛸3%ꆣ쿮쒿뗄풤쯣볆뮮볲뇭죧뇭2쯹쪾ꆣ쪵볊뗄풴춶죫잿뛈캪 쿮쒿뗄풤쯣볆뮮뇭3 뗚1ꆫ6훜뗄벨킧볇슼ꎨ떥캻ꎺ췲풪ꎩ뇭4 뗚1ꆫ6훜벨킧횸뇪럖컶24
돂삤 뗈ꎺ헵횵맜샭벰웤뷸뛈벨킧럖컶뗄룄뷸첽쳖2009쓪뗚7뻭뗚9웚뇭5 뗷헻뫳뗄뗚7ꆫ12훜풤쯣볆뮮ꎨ떥캻ꎺ췲풪ꎩ뇭6 뗚7ꆫ12훜벨킧볇슼벰벨킧럖컶ꎨ떥캻ꎺ췲풪ꎩ틔뗚6훜쒩뗄TCPI=캪쾵쫽쳡룟훜풴춶죫벰퓧랢쿖쇋컊쳢ꎬ벰쪱뗷헻쇋풤쯣볆뮮늢닉좡쇋폐t잿뛈ꎬ샽죧뗚7훜풴춶죫듓풭볆뮮30췲풪쳡룟떽킧뗄뻀욫듫쪩ꎬퟮ훕뇜쏢쇋헻룶쿮쒿릤웚뗄퇓컳틔30ꇁ=ꎨ췲풪ꎩꆣ뫳탸릤ퟷ뗄풤쯣볆뮮뗷벰뿉쓜평듋듸살뗄쯰쪧ꆣퟜ횮ꎬ룄뷸뗄EVM벼쫵퓚헻죧뇭5쯹쪾ꆣ췪짆횸뇪쳥쾵뗄춬쪱ꎬ욽뫢쇋럑폃벨킧뫍뷸뛈벨킧튪내뗷헻뫳뗄풤쯣볆뮮뾪햹뫳탸쿮쒿죎컱폐럖컶짏뗄쫤죫뫍펦폃ꎬ퓶잿쇋뷸뛈벨킧럖컶쓜솦뫍솽룶춾뺶ꎬ튻쫇춬쪱퓶볓쿮쒿죋풱뫍믺첨ꎻ뛾쫇퇓ퟛ뫏풤닢릦쓜ꎬ캪쿮쒿뗄뿘훆뫍뻀욫쳡릩쇋룼좫쏦뎤쎿쳬뗄릤ퟷ쪱볤ꎬ춬쪱뛔뷴헅릤탲쫊떱퓶볓죋풱뗄솿뮯횧돖ꎬ듓뛸뿉틔룼뫃뗘횸떼뫍폅뮯쿮쒿맜샭쫽솿ꎬ내볓냠쟩뿶퓶볓죋풱뗄킽뷰ꆣ뺭쳖싛ꎬ튻훂춬쪵볹ꆣ틢닉폃볓냠뗄랽쪽ꆣ뗚7ꆫ12훜횴탐쟩뿶벰늿럖벨킧횸뇪럖컶죧뇭닎뾼컄쿗6쯹쪾ꆣ듓뇭6뿉틔뾴돶ꎬ퓚뗚11훜쒩ꎬEV=240췲풪ꎬ[1] Management Body of KnowledgeꎨPMBOKꎩPV=0ꎬ뇭쏷쿮쒿틑뺭퓚뗚11훜췪돉ꎬ쓇쎴ꎬA웳튵[M].Newtown SquareꎺProject Management Instituteꎬ룹뻝뫏춬붫믱뗃[2] Standard for Earned Value Management[M].240ꇁ3%=ꎨ췲풪ꎩ뗄쳡잰췪릤붱샸ꎻNewtown SquareꎺProject Management Instituteꎬ=췲풪ꎬCV=췲풪ꎬ뇭쏷쿮쒿쪵볊r럑폃뇈풤쯣뷚풼쇋췲풪ꎻ쿮쒿뫳냫뛎뗄SPI캬돖[3] PMI.헵횵맜샭쪵볹뇪ힼ[M].헅뇳ꎬ돂뷠ꎬ틫.놱뺩ꎺ뗧ퟓ릤튵돶냦짧ꎬ2008.퓚1ퟳ폒ꎬTCPI튲캬돖퓚1ퟳ폒늢돊쿂붵쟷쫆ꎬ헢뇭t[4] Charles I BuddꎬCharlene S Budd.헵횵쿮쒿맜샭쪵볹횸쓏쏷믹폚뛔잰6훜뗄벨킧럖컶뛸닉좡뗄펦뛔듫쪩폐킧[M].맣솪듯죭볾막럝폐쿞릫쮾ꎬ틫.놱뺩ꎺ뗧ퟓ릤튵돶냦짧ꎬ뗘뷢뻶쇋뷸뛈컊쳢ꆣ2005.[5] 쇵ꎬ헅솬펪.쿮쒿벨킧움볛헵횵랽램뗄럖컶폫룄뷸[J].쿮4쒿맜샭벼쫵ꎬ2007ꎨ5ꎩꎺ34-37. 뷡폯[6] 훜쿾뫪.쿮쒿맜샭훐뗄헵횵맜샭랽램퇐뺿ꆪꆪ볦폫췾낲냮춬짏쏦뗄펦폃쪵샽뇭쏷ꎬ퓚쿮쒿훐웚헽쫇평폚뛔횾짌좶[J].쫽솿뺭볃벼쫵뺭볃퇐뺿ꎬ2005ꎨ4ꎩꎺ143-148.[7] 돂훇뮪.헵횵램퓚웻뎵쇣늿볾뾪랢쿮쒿훐뗄펦폃럖컶[J].쿮탂퓶뷸뛈벨킧횸뇪TCPIꆢETCꆢVAC뗄럖컶틔벰뛔ttt쒿맜샭벼쫵ꎬ2008ꎨ퓶뾯ꎩꎺ43-47. PMT풴춶죫잿뛈뗄뾼달뫍좨뫢ꎬ폐킧뗘냯훺쿮쒿뺭샭쫕룥죕웚ꎺ2009-07-1425
