떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯쿂뗄훐펡맘쾵ꆾ쓚죝쳡튪ꆿꆡ평폚룷훖헾훎ꆢ뺭볃뫍샺쪷풭틲,훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵퓸뎤웚뒦폚춣뛙ힴ첬ꆣ뫏ퟷ뛔솽맺틢캶ퟅ맣랺뗄릲춬샻틦,폫듋춬쪱,쿖쪵훐튲듦퓚ퟅ튻쾵쇐훆풼솽맺맘쾵랢햹뗄틲쯘ꆣ놾컄죏캪,훐펡틑뺭뷡쫸쇋뎤웚틔살쿠뮥룴샫뗄샺쪷,떫쫇솽맺퓚뛌웚쓚쪵쿖돌뛈뷏룟뗄ퟔ평뮯뫍퓚맺볊컨첨짏탎돉좫쏦햽싔춬쏋뗄뿉쓜탔늻듳ꆣ훐펡뫏ퟷ붫돖탸랢햹,웤짮뛈폫맣뛈붫듳쳥뚨캻퓚ꆰ뫃쇚뻓ꆱ뗄쮮욽짏ꆣ솽맺붫퓚쟸폲랶캧쓚벰좫쟲닣듎짏,뻍쒳킩뻟쳥컊쳢뷸탐뫏ퟷꆣꆾ맘볼듊ꆿꆡ훐맺ꆡ펡뛈ꆡ뺭볃튻쳥뮯ΞΞΞ90쓪듺뫳냫웚뾪쪼,틔뚫쏋(ASEAN)캪뫋틽ꆡ퇔탄,틔ꆰ10+1ꆱ폫ꆰ10+3ꆱ믺훆캪훷쳥뗄퇇훞튻쳥뮯뷸돌튲퓚뷴신쏜맄뗘햹뾪ꆣ쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯헽뒦폚잰쯹캴폐뗄듳랢뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄맽돌쫇튻룶늻뛏붵뗍돉풱햹훐ꆣ룹뻝쫀뷧쎳틗ퟩ횯(WTO)뗄춳볆ꋙ,맺횮볤붻틗돉놾,쪵쿖평쫐뎡맦쒣삩듳듸살뷘훁2005쓪7퓂,퓚좫쟲랶캧쓚붨솢뗄쟸폲뗄쎳틗쫕틦,틔벰평훆뛈웕벰폫췘햹듸살뗄ퟔ평쎳틗킭틩(RTAs)틑폐180룶,돽좥훘웤쯻룼맣랺쫕틦뗄맽돌ꆣ평폚췆뷸좫쟲뺭볃뢴뗄늿럖,폐138룶헽퓚랢믓ퟷ폃ꆣ퓚얷훞,튻쳥뮯뗄맽돌훐듦퓚ퟅ맦쒣ꆢ뻠샫뫍벯쳥탐쯦ퟅ1993쓪ꆶ십쮹쳘샯뫕쳘쳵풼ꆷ뗄헽쪽짺뚯뗈랽쏦뗄돉놾,뛸쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯퓲뿉틔킧,웹뷱캪횹훆뛈뮯돌뛈ퟮ룟뗄뺭볃튻쳥뮯ퟩ룼벯훐뗘퓚돉풱맺쓚늿쪵쿖샻틦,샽죧뿉틔횯얷쏋(EU)탻룦떮짺ꆣ2004쓪5퓂1죕,10퓚돉풱횮볤탎돉룼캪뷴쏜뗄뺭볃솪쾵ꆢ믱뗃룶탂돉풱뗄볓죫쪹웤돉풱맺쫽쒿뷸튻늽삩듳평쎳틗뒴퓬뫍틆듸살뗄쫕틦,틔벰퓶볓퓚떽쇋25룶ꆣ퓚쏀훞,놱늿폐놱쏀ퟔ평쎳틗킭뚨벯쳥첸에훐뗄쪵솦뗈,틲듋,90쓪듺틔뫳,쟸(NAFTA),쓏늿퓲폐쓏랽릲춬쫐뎡(MER2폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯퓚좫쟲랶캧쓚톸쯙햹뾪ꆣ떫춬COSUR)뫍낲뗚쮹벯췅(AndeanCommunity)뗈ꆣ퓚헢킩ퟩ횯뗄믹뒡짏,쏀맺Ξ훐맺짧믡뿆톧풺퇇첫퇐뺿쯹퇐뺿풱헽퓚듳솦췆뚯붨솢튻룶춳튻뗄ꆢ펵폐34룶돉ΞΞ훐맺짧믡뿆톧풺쏀맺퇐뺿쯹훺샭퇐뺿풱풱맺뗄쏀훞ퟔ평쎳틗쟸(FTAA)ꆣ퓚퇇훞ꋙ쇏살풴:쫀뷧쎳틗ퟩ횯췸햾ꆣ,듓http:öö
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚쪱,맺볒쓚늿벯췅횮볤뗄샻틦돥춻ꆢ쏱ퟥ맺볒ퟷ폃ꋚꆣ평폚튻쳥뮯뒫듯돶룃맺붫볡돖뾪럅뗄쿠뮥뺺헹,틔벰쟸폲췢늿톹솦뗄듳킡뗈헾뫍룄룯뗄탅뫅,듓뛸퓶잿쇋돉풱볤뗄뮥탅ꆣ훎뺭볃틲쯘튲퓚ퟨ낭ퟅ튻쳥뮯뗄쪵볊뷸햹ꆣ뺭볃좫쟲뮯쫇퓚좫쟲랶캧쓚쪵쿖뺭볃튻퇇훞쯤좻쫇쟸폲튻쳥뮯뗄뫳살헟,떫쫇쳥뮯,뛸쟸폲튻쳥뮯퓲쫇퓚쟸폲랶캧쓚쪵쿖뷼쓪살퓚쟸폲ꆢ듎쟸폲틔벰쮫뇟닣듎짏뗄튻튻쳥뮯ꆣ쯤좻쒿잰좫쟲뺭볃튻쳥뮯죔퓚췆뷸쳥뮯뷸햹톸쯙ꆣ퓚헢튻맽돌훐,폐ퟅ샠쯆뗄샺훐,떫쫇90쓪듺틔뫳,ퟷ캪뛔좫쟲뺭볃튻쳥쪷뺭샺,폖퓚뷱쳬춬쪱뷸탐ퟅ뺭볃룄룯,폐ퟅ뮯뗄늹돤뫍쳦듺,쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯엮늪랢햹릲춬뇟뷧뗄솽룶랢햹훐듳맺ꆪꆪ훐맺뫍펡뛈웰살,룄뇤ퟅ뒫춳뗄맺볒맘쾵늢헽퓚훘탂쯜뗄뺭쎳맘쾵랢햹룱췢틽죋힢쒿ꆣ헢늻뷶붫뛔퓬쫀뷧룱뻖ꆣ쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄톸쯙랢햹쫇솽맺ퟔ짭,뛸쟒붫뛔퇇훞쟸폲튻쳥뮯뷸돌,쓋폐웤풭틲뗄:훁캴살맺볊맘쾵뗄ퟟ쫆닺짺펰쿬ꆣ쫗쿈,좫쟲뺭볃튻쳥뮯듦퓚ퟅ맦쒣ꆢ뻠샫뫍벯쳥탐뚯뗈랽쏦뗄돉놾ꆣ듓맦쒣짏뾴,쯤좻퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄뷸돌뺭볃튻쳥뮯맦쒣뗄삩듳붵뗍쇋틲쫐뎡럖룮퓬돉뗄붻틗돉놾,떫춬쪱튲퓶볓쇋쓚늿붻틗뗄뺭볃튻쳥뮯쫇쪹쫐뎡맦쒣삩듳ꆢ늩?맦돉놾ꆣ틲듋뺭볃튻쳥뮯랢햹떽튻뚨맦쒣뇣췹퓲믲훆뛈춳튻늢췘햹뗄벯쳥탐뚯,웤뷡맻쫇췹쓑틔볌탸삩햹,웤ퟮ폅맦쒣퓚뇟볊쫕틦뗈돉풱횮볤뗄뺭볃솪쾵죕틦쏜쟐ꆣ폚뇟볊돉놾쪱쪵쿖ꋛꆣ듓뻠샫짏뾴,쯤좻벼쫵(튻)뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄쫕틦폫돉놾뷸늽벫듳뗘쯵뛌쇋쪱뿕뻠샫,떫뻠샫늢쎻폐듓뚨틥뿉틔뾴돶,뺭볃튻쳥뮯듦퓚ퟅ룷훖췪좫쿻쪧,퓋쫤뫍컄뮯닮틬뗈틀좻쫇쿞훆럖평쫐뎡맦쒣삩듳뫍훆뛈춳튻듸살뗄잱퓚쫕틦ꆣ듓쫐뎡맦쒣(벴붻틗뗄맣뛈뫍짮뛈)삩듳릤뗄튻룶틲쯘ꆣ쿠뛔폚좫쟲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뛸퇔,뗄뷇뛈살뾴뗘쟸뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄퓋쫤뫍컄뮯닮틬돉놾뷏,뺭볃튻쳥뮯폐샻폚웤돉풱돤럖랢믓룷ퟔ뗄뇈뷏폅쫆,쪵쿖잱퓚뗄쎳틗쫕틦뗍,틲듋퓚쿖쪵훐룼죝틗쪵쿖ꆣ듓벯쳥탐뚯짏;폐샻폚듙뷸럖릤뷸튻늽짮뮯,쳡룟샍뚯짺닺뾴,쳡릩좫쟲탔릫릲닺욷췹췹듦퓚늿럖돉풱싊맺ꆰ듮뇣뎵ꆱ뗄쓑쳢ꋜ,헢튲퓶볓쇋좫쟲뺭볃,췆뚯뺭볃퓶뎤;폐샻폚웳튵쪵쿖맦쒣뺭볃쫕틦ꆣ튻쳥뮯뗄돉놾,쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯ퟷ캪ꆰ뻣샖늿듓돉풱쓚늿맦퓲믲훆뛈뗄춳튻늢췘햹뗄닺욷ꆱ퓲뿉춨맽업쯻탔늿럖뿋럾헢튻쓑쳢ꆣ뷇뛈뾴웤듎,쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뿉틔쪹돉풱맺믱,뺭볃튻쳥뮯쫗쿈폐훺폚붵뗍붻틗돉놾ꆣ쿠뮥럖룮쫐뎡뗄듦퓚닺짺쇋평맘쮰뫍럇맘쮰뇚생ꆢ놾뫍샍뚯솦럇ퟔ평쇷뚯ꆢ믵뇒뛒ꋙ닎볻헅폮퇠:ꆶ뺭볃랢햹폫훆뛈톡퓱ꆷ,훐맺죋쏱듳톧돶냦짧1992쓪냦ꆣ뮻럧쿕뫍럑폃틔벰웤쯻훆뛈벰웤쪵쪩닮틬뛸ꋚ듦퓚듳솿뗄뺭퇩횤뻝횧돖뺭볃튻쳥뮯폐훺폚복짙맺볒볤돥춻뗄맛뗣ꆣPolacheck뛔1958ꆫ1967쓪뗄30룶맺닺짺뗄룷훖붻틗돉놾ꆣ춨맽뺭볃튻쳥뮯뿉틔볒뗄쫽뻝뷸탐퇐뺿뫳횸돶,솽맺쎳틗퓶뎤튻놶붫쪹돥춻뗄욵싊복짙20%ꆣSeeSolomonPolacheck,ꆰConflictand쪹돉풱횮볤뗄췢늿붻틗쓚늿뮯,듓뛸듳듳복Tradeꆱ,JournalofConflictResolution,,1980.짙돉놾ꆣ췆맣떽룼맣랺뗄훆뛈ꋙ뗄닣쏦짏살ꋛ헢샠쯆폚뿆쮹뗄웳튵샭싛ꆣ뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄맦쒣좡뻶폚붻틗쓚늿뮯쯹붵뗍뗄붻틗돉놾뫍틲맦쒣삩듳뛸퓶볓붻뾴틗돉놾뗄뛔뇈ꆣ,ꆰTheNatureoftheFirmꆱ,,튻쳥뮯늩?맦퓲뗄춳튻뮹폐훺폚캪돉풱Economica,,1937,.쳡릩탅쾢,듸살컈뚨뗄풤웚,늢벤샸뫏ퟷꆣ헢ꋜSeeMancurOlson,TheLogicofCollectiveAc2랽쏦ퟮ뗤탍뗄뻍쫇뺭볃튻쳥뮯뛔맺볒낲좫뗄tion:PublicGoodsandtheTheoryofGroups,HarvardUni2versityPress,Cambridge,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ뗃쿠뛔폚럇돉풱맺룼벯훐뗄,믲헟쮵룼폅믝쓚샻틦벯췅횮볤뗄돥춻믡룸뺭볃튻쳥뮯듸살뗄샻틦,냼삨춨맽쿷복맘쮰뫍붵뗍럇맘쮰뇚뫜룟뗄헾훎돉놾ꆣ생퓚돉풱쓚늿탎돉룼캪뷴쏜뗄뺭볃솪쾵;쪵뗚뛾,퓚맺볒횮볤,쏱ퟥ맺볒뗄뺺헹튲쿞쿖평쎳틗뒴퓬뫍틆듸살뗄쫕틦,늢퓶잿쟸훆ퟅ뫏ퟷ뗄짮뛈뫍맣뛈ꆣ뺭볃튻쳥뮯퓚쒳훖폲ퟷ캪튻룶헻쳥퓚맺볊맦퓲훆뚨맽돌훐뗄첸돌뛈짏탨튪돉풱맺죃뛉늿럖맺볒훷좨,뛸떱에쪵솦뗈ꆣ듓맦퓲첸에뫍훆뚨뗄뷇뛈짏뾴,떱잰맺볊짧믡뗄릹돉떥캻틀좻쫇쏱ퟥ맺볒,쯼잰좫쟲뮯폎쾷맦퓲뗄훆뚨훷튪헆컕퓚랢듯맺쏇펵폐룷ퟔ뗄짭럝,퓚맺볊컨첨짏랢믓ퟅ뛀볒쫖훐ꆣ탂탋쫐뎡뗄랢햹쪹붨솢탂뗄폎쾷맦솢뗄ퟷ폃,듳맺폈웤죧듋ꆣ헢훖쏱ퟥ맺볒볤뗄퓲뇤뗃죕틦훘튪,맺볊룱뻖뒦폚뇤뮯횮훐ꆣ캪뺺헹튲ퟨ낭쇋쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄쪵쿖ꆣ쇋퓶잿퓚맦퓲첸에훐뗄쪵솦,룷훷튪솦솿솦뗚죽,쟸폲튻쳥뮯뗄뷴쏜돌뛈뮹쫜떽쟸쟳춨맽쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯릮만뫍삩듳ퟔ벺뗄쫆폲췢늿톹솦듳킡뗄펰쿬ꆣ듓믽벫뗄틢틥짏쮵,솦랶캧,늢붫폚벺폐샻뗄맦퓲맠힢웤훐틔뗖떱듦퓚췢늿톹솦쪱,쟸폲벯췅쓚늿뗄죏춬룐폹쟸췢뺺헹ꆣ퓚헢튻맽돌훐폐킩맺볒싊쿈탎붫볓잿,춨맽뷡쏋캬뮤웤릲춬샻틦,췢늿톹솦돉쇋튻쳥뮯ퟩ횯,뛸폐킩맺볒평폚떣탄놻업풽듳쪱쓚늿튻쳥뮯뗄뚯솦튲풽듳;듓쿻벫뗄돽퓚췢튲믽벫펦뛔,릹훾ퟔ벺뗄쟸폲튻쳥뮯틢틥짏쮵,쿠뛔뷏죵뗄맺볒믲헟쿠뮥뺺헹뗄벯췅ꆣ맺볒퓲룼죝틗쟼럾폚듳맺뗄췢늿펰쿬,쿷죵듋췢,폐킩쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯ퟩ횯쫇쳘쫢쓚늿튻쳥뮯ꆣ샺쪷쳵볾쿂뗄닺컯,웤탎돉뻟폐ꆰ슷뺶틀삵ꆱ퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏,쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄맽돌뗄쳘뗣ꆣ1954쓪얷훞쎺룖솪펪(ECSC)뗄붨뻍쫇돉풱맺횮볤늻뛏뿋럾헢킩헾훎뺭볃헏솢ퟮ돵쫇돶폚헾훎뫍낲좫짏뗄뾼싇,벴뇜쏢낭,쪵쿖릲춬샻틦뗄맽돌ꆣ뗂램횮볤뗄폖튻뎡햽헹;뛸1967쓪ASEAN(뛾)퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄랢햹뗄돉솢퓲쫇쏀쯕샤햽뗄닺컯ꆣ듋뫳헢킩럇뺭쿠뛔얷쏀뛸퇔,퇇훞ꋙ쫇쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥볃튻쳥뮯ퟩ횯훰붥쿲뺭볃쇬폲뗄뫏ퟷ뇤,뮯뗄뫳살헟ꆣ샺쪷짏뗄헷햽폫뎼럾ꆢ횳쏱뗘뫍믱뗃쇋듓헾훎뫏ퟷ쿲뺭볃뫏ퟷ뇤뗄ꆰ틧돶냫횳쏱뗘뗄뺭샺쯹떼훂뗄ꆰ쏱ퟥ맺볒ꆱ룅쓮뗄킧펦ꆱꆣ훘튪탔,틔벰쏀쯕샤햽뫍틢쪶탎첬뗈틲쯘뚼펦떱뾴떽,뺡맜쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯듦퓚룷쿞훆쇋헢튻뷸돌ꆣ늻맽뷼쓪살,듙뷸쟸폲튻쳥훖잱퓚쫕틦,떫쫇퓚쿖쪵훐,웤랢햹늢늻쫇튻뮯랢햹뗄틲쯘퓚퇇훞춹쿔돶살,늻뷸탐튻쳥랫럧쮳뗄,폐룷훖맺쓚뫍맺볊뗄헾훎ꆢ뺭볃뗈뮯뗄믺믡돉놾퓶볓,틲듋퇇훞퓚쏜쟐뺭볃솪틲쯘ퟨ낭웤쪵볊뷸돌ꆣ쾵ꆢ랢햹뫍붨솢ퟔ평쎳틗쟸랽쏦좡뗃톸쯙뷸뗚튻,퓚튻맺쓚늿,벯췅횮볤뗄샻틦돥춻햹ꆣퟷ캪튻룶헻쳥뗄,폫쏀ꆢ얷쿠뛔펦뗄퇇훞췹췹ퟨ낭ퟅ튻맺뛔췢뾪럅뗄늽랥ꆣ평폚쎳틗짭럝헽퓚탎돉ꆣퟔ평뮯듸살뗄쫕틦늢늻쫇뻹뗈럖첯뗄,폐죋쒿잰퇇훞쟸폲튻쳥뮯돌뛈ퟮ룟뗄쫇뚫퇇ꆣ쫜틦,튲폐죋쫜쯰,믲헟쿠뛔쫜틦뗄돌뛈늻뗈,틲듋쫜틦ퟮ뛠뗄샻틦벯췅췹췹믽벫췆뚯뷸튻늽ퟔ평뮯,샽죧뿧맺릫쮾뫍쎳틗늿쏅,뛸ꋙꆰ퇇훞ꆱ퓚놾컄훐횸냼삨훐ꆢ죕ꆢ몫뫍뚫쏋10맺뗄춬쪱쓇킩쫜쯰뗄ꆢ폖뻟폐뷏잿ퟩ횯쓜솦뗄샻뚫퇇;쓏퇇뗄쓏퇇쟸폲뫏ퟷ솪쏋(SAARC)ö쓏퇇ퟔ평쎳틗틦벯췅퓲췹췹ퟨ낭뫍랴뛔튻쳥뮯뗄뷸돌ꆣ맺쟸(SAPTA),틔벰짏몣뫏ퟷퟩ횯돽훐맺췢뗄컥룶퇇훞맺볒ꆣ5' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뇭1ꆡ늿럖ퟔ평쎳틗쟸쟸폲쓚쎳틗햼ퟜ돶뿚뗄뇈훘(떥캻:%)ퟔ평쎳틗쟸뒴솢쓪럝19701980199020022002쓪ퟜ돶뿚뛮(냙췲쏀풪)쏀훞ꆡ낲뗚쮹벯췅ꆡꆡ쓏랽릲춬쫐뎡ꆡ퇇훞ꆡꆡ얷훞ꆡꆡꆡ쇏살풴:UNCTAD,Globstatퟔ듓틔죕놾캪쫗뗄퇣탐짺닺쒣쪽ꋙ뷢쳥뫳,폲튻쳥뮯캪훷쳥퓙뷸탐헻뫏뗄ꆰ퇇훞슷쿟뚫퇇헽퓚탎돉늢짮뮯붨솢퓚쮮욽럖릤믹뒡짏춼ꆱꆣ뗄쟸폲짺닺솴뫍췸싧,틔훐맺캪웤볓릤ퟩힰ듓2002쓪웰,뚫쓏퇇ퟔ평쎳틗쟸(AF2훐탄,ퟮ훕닺욷돶뿚떽좫쟲쫐뎡,뇭쿖ퟮ춻돶TA)틑퓚샏뚫쏋컥맺짺킧,풤볆떽2015쓪헻뗄쫇믺뗧뫍탅쾢벼쫵(IT)닺욷뗄짺닺ꆣ듋룶뚫쏋쓚늿붫쪵쿖쇣맘쮰ꆣ캪쇋뷸튻늽쳡짽췢,뷼쓪살쯦ퟅ뚫퇇냼삨훐맺퓚쓚뗄룷맺쓚튻쳥뮯뗄돌뛈,퓚2003쓪뗄뚫쏋럥믡짏,뚫탨뗄퓶뎤,쟸폲쓚돉풱뗄쿠뮥탨쟳튲뷸튻늽쏋쇬떼죋쳡돶튪퓚2020쓪틔잰붨돉뚫쓏퇇퓶볓,쪹뚫퇇뗄튻쳥뮯룼쟷폚돉쫬ꆣ룹뻝뾨췟뺭볃릲춬쳥(AEC),쪵쿖짌욷ꆢ럾컱ꆢ춶뫍(Kawai)뗄퇐뺿ꋚ,떽2003쓪,쟸폲쓚쎳틗햼샍뚯솦뗄ퟔ평쇷뚯ꆣ뚫퇇좫늿쎳틗뗄54%,쿠뇈횮쿂,EU쫇퓚뚫퇇,틔뚫쏋캪훐탄,훐맺ꆢ죕놾뫍몫6414%,NAFTA쫇46%ꆣ내쎳틗잿뛈횸쫽ꋛ맺뗄닎폫탎돉쇋ꆰ10+3ꆱ뫍ꆰ10+1ꆱ솽훖욽탐볆쯣,퓲뚫퇇캪212,싔뗍폚NAFTA뗄215,뗄헻뫏믺훆ꆣ듓1997쓪웰,튻쓪튻뛈뗄떫룟폚EU뗄117ꆣ솽훖횸뇪뚼쮵쏷뚫퇇뗄ꆰASEAN+3ꆱ믡틩뾪쪼ퟟ쿲믺훆뮯,뾪뇙쇋튻쳥뮯돌뛈뷏룟ꆣ17룶뫏ퟷ쇬폲,붨솢쇋48룶뫏ퟷ믺훆,웤훐폫뚫퇇쿠뇈,쓏퇇뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄돌뛈튪뗍뗃뛠ꆣ2002쓪쟸폲쓚쎳틗횻햼좫늿돶뿚뗄ꋙSeeKiyoshiKojima,ꆰTheꆮFlyingGeese’Model3ofAsianEconomicDevelopment:Origin,%(볻뇭1)ꆣ훷튪풭틲쫇펡뛈ퟷ캪쓏퇇듳맺폫웤훜뇟맺볒뗄쎳틗뫜폐쿞ꆣtensions,andRegionalPolicyImplicationsꆱ,JournalofAsianEconomics,,Issue4,Autumn,2000,pp.퓚쟸폲뺭볃튻쳥뮯뗄훆뛈붨짨짏,폫놱3752401.ꋚSeeMasahiroKawai,ꆰTradeandInvestmentIn2쏀뫍얷훞쓇훖틔듳맺믲뫋탄맺볒캪훷떼릹훾tegrationforDevelopmentinEastAsia:ACaseforthe쟸폲튻쳥뮯뗄랽쪽늻춬,평폚쎻폐튻룶햼뻝Trade2FDINexusꆱ,WorldBank,ABCDEEuropeMeet2ing,WashingtonDC,2005.뻸뛔폅쫆뗄솦솿,퇇훞헽뎢쫔춨맽쟸폲ꆢ듎쟸ꋛ뷶뾿쟸폲쓚쎳틗햼좫늿쎳틗뗄뇈훘늻ퟣ틔쮵쏷튻맺폫웤쎳틗믯냩뗄쎳틗쿠뛔폚폫웤쯻맺볒쎳틗뗄훘튪돌폲뫍쮫뇟뗈닣듎짏뗄헻뫏,ퟮ훕듙돉듳뗄쟸뛈ꆣ평폚ꆰ쎳틗잿뛈횸쫽ꆱ뾼싇떽쇋쒳튻쟸폲햼쫀뷧쎳틗뗄쿠뛔맦쒣,틲듋쓜룼ힼ좷뗘뫢솿룃쟸폲뗄쎳틗튻쳥뮯돌뛈,폲튻쳥뮯ꆣ뇭쿖ퟮ춻돶뗄쫇퓚듎쟸폲짏놻죏캪쫇뫢솿쮫뇟쎳틗룼훘튪뗄횸뇪ꆣ룃횸쫽듳폚(믲헟킡,쒿잰믹놾짏탎돉쇋틔뚫쓏퇇ꆢ뚫퇇,틔벰쓏퇇듎쟸폚)1,뇭쪾퓚뾼싇떽룃쟸폲퓚쫀뷧쎳틗훐맦쒣뗄쳵볾쿂,웤쎳틗쫇듳폚(믲헟킡폚)풤웚ꆣ6' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ늿뎤벶믺훆14룶,룷샠뫏ퟷ쿮쒿뎬맽100뮷믆몣뗈듎쟸폲뫏ퟷꆣ룶,퓚뷰죚ꆢ얩튵ꆢ탅쾢뫍쓜풴뗈쇬폲뷸탐쇋퇇훞쟸폲튻쳥뮯쯤좻슷춾싾싾떫좴쫇듳맣랺뛸짮죫뗄뫏ퟷꆣ2004쓪뗗퓚샏컎뻙탐뗄쫆쯹쟷,웤틢틥늻뷶퓚폚캪죋샠쳡릩쇋튻훖쇬떼죋믡틩짏,룷맺춬틢붨솢뚫퇇릲춬쳥쟸폲뫏ퟷ뗄탂춾뺶,뮹퓚폚죧맻듋슷ퟟ춨,쓇(EAEC),늢뻶뚨2005쓪쓪뗗헙뾪쫗뷬뚫퇇쎴햼쫀뷧죋뿚튻냫틔짏ꆢ맺쓚짺닺ퟜ횵뎬맽럥믡,헢틢캶ퟅ뚫퇇뫏ퟷ뷸죫쇋좫쏦췆뷸뗄쯄럖횮튻뗄탂퇇훞붫뛔캴살쫀뷧룱뻖뗄탎돉탂뷗뛎ꆣ닺짺짮풶펰쿬ꆣ뚫쏋춬쪱퓚ꆰ10+1ꆱ뗄뿲볜쓚럖뇰뫍훐쒿잰퓚퇇훞튻쳥뮯뗄뷸돌훐,뚫퇇뫍쓏맺ꆢ죕놾ꆢ몫맺뷸탐쮫뇟첸에ꆣ2002쓪뚫쏋뫍퇇뗄랢햹쯙뛈늻욽뫢ꆣ뚫퇇랢햹ퟮ뿬,뛸쓏퇇훐맺잩뚩쇋좫쏦뺭볃뫏ퟷ뿲볜킭틩,볆뮮폚퓲쿠뛔실뫳ꆣ늻맽,펡뛈헽퓚믽벫볓죫떽뚫퇇2010쓪쫗쿈퓚샏뚫쏋쇹맺뫍훐맺쪵쪩ퟔ평튻쳥뮯뷸돌훐ꆣ듓90쓪듺돵뾪쪼,펡뛈쪵탐쎳틗쟸,2015쓪삩햹떽좫늿돉풱ꆣ캪쇋볓쯙쇋ꆰ쿲뚫뾴ꆱ뗄뺭볃랢햹헾닟,쯦ퟅ웤뺭볃뗄ퟔ쎳쟸뗄뷸돌,듓2004쓪웰튻룶틔붵뗍얩닺톸쏍퓶뎤,폫뚫퇇뗄뺭쎳솪쾵튲톸쯙삩듳ꆣ믵욷맘쮰캪훷뗄퓧웚쫕믱볆뮮뾪쪼쪵쪩,붫폚컯쎳틗듓1997ö1998닆쓪뗄130틚쏀풪퓶뎤죽쓪쓚췪돉ꆣ볌훐맺횮뫳,2003쓪뚫쏋폫죕떽2003ö2004닆쓪뗄270틚쏀풪ꆣ2003ö2004놾잩뚩쇋좫쏦뺭볃믯냩뿲볜킭틩,볆뮮폚닆쓪펡뛈폫뚫쏋뫍ꆰ10+3ꆱ뗄쎳틗럖뇰햼펡2012쓪퓚샏뚫쏋쇹맺뫍죕놾횮볤쪵쪩ퟔ평뛈췢쎳뗄%뫍%ꆣ쿠뇈횮쿂,뫍EU쎳틗쟸,2017쓪퓙삩햹떽좫늿돉풱맺ꆣ뚫쏋뗄쎳틗뛮햼펡뛈췢쎳뗄19%,뫍놱쏀뗄쎳틗뫍몫맺튲폚2004쓪랢뇭쇋좫쏦뫏ퟷ믯냩릲뛮햼췢쎳뗄%ꋙꆣ춬탻퇔,늢폚2005쓪뾪쪼붨솢ퟔ평쎳틗쟸뗄캪쇋뷸튻늽볓잿폫뚫퇇뗄솪쾵,2003쓪첸에,웚췻폚솽쓪쓚췪돉,볆뮮떽2009쓪펡뛈폫뚫쏋잩쫰쇋좫쏦뺭볃뫏ퟷ뿲볜킭틩ꆣ80%틔짏뗄닺욷쪵쿖쇣맘쮰ꆣ붨솢ퟔ평쎳틗쟸뗄첸에틑뺭뾪쪼,웚췻떽퓚쓏퇇,쓏퇇쟸폲뫏ퟷ솪쏋(SAARC)2011쓪폫샏뚫쏋컥맺ꆢ떽2016쓪폫좫쳥뚫2004쓪쳡돶폚2006쓪붨솢쓏퇇ퟔ평쎳틗쟸쏋돉풱맺쪵쿖ퟔ평쎳틗ꆣ펡뛈뗄볓죫뮹냑ꆰ10(SAFTA),볆뮮퓚7훁10쓪쓚냑맘쮰붵떽+3ꆱ틽쿲JACIKꋚꆣ0ꆫ5%ꆣ횵뗃튻쳡뗄쫇,솬뷓훐맺뫍훐퇇컥맺뗄훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵뗄샺쪷폫쿖ힴ짏몣뫏ퟷퟩ횯튲틑뺭뾪쪼듓낲좫뫍랴뿖쇬폲뗄뫏ퟷ쿲뺭쎳삩햹ꆣ2003쓪9퓂잩쫰쇋폐맘퓚퇇훞쟸폲튻쳥뮯뗄뷸돌훐,훐펡맘쾵뛠뇟뺭쎳뫏ퟷ뗄룙튪,좷뚨쇋퓚2020쓪횮잰뗄랢햹쫜떽룱췢맘힢ꆣ훐맺뫍펡뛈놻탎쿳뗘럖죽늽ퟟ뗄랢햹쒿뇪,훰늽쪵쿖듓쎳틗춶뇈폷돉ꆰ쇺ꆱ뫍ꆰ쿳ꆱꆣ솽맺쫇폐ퟅ싾뎤슽짏뇟뇣샻뮯떽믵컯ꆢ럾컱쎳틗틔벰춶ퟔ평뮯ꆣ뷧뗄쿠쇚듳맺ꆣ훐맺뒦폚뚫퇇튻쳥뮯짺닺뗄2005쓪7퓂짏몣뫏ퟷퟩ횯룸폨펡뛈ꆢ냍믹쮹훐탄,뛸쟒펵폐엓듳뗄탨쟳쫐뎡,펡뛈퓲쫇쓏첹뫍틁샊맛달풱뗄뗘캻,쿲뷓쓉웤캪돉풱맺퇇훘튪뗄뗘쟸듳맺ꆣ훐펡맘쾵뗄랢햹늻뷶붫폖싵뷸쇋튻늽ꆣ돽쇋짏쫶쳡벰뗄틔췢,듎쟸폲뗄뫏ퟷ믺ꋙ쇏살풴::öö훆뮹냼삨릫뫓ꆢ춼쏇붭ꆢ뮷죕놾몣ꆢ뮷늳몣ꆢꋚJACIK듺뇭ꆰ죕놾ꆢ뚫쏋ꆢ훐맺ꆢ펡뛈뫍몫맺ꆱꆣ7' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뛔솬뷓뚫퇇뫍쓏퇇뗄퇇훞튻쳥뮯뷸돌,뛸쟒틚쏀풪,뷸뿚5614틚쏀풪ꆣ췢쎳뛔뺭볃퓶뎤붫뛔쫀뷧룱뻖뗄뇤뮯닺짺펰쿬ꆣ캪쇋룼뫃뗘뗄릱쿗싊퓚1ö4틔짏,돉캪췆뚯뺭볃퓶뎤뗄쇋뷢훐펡맘쾵뗄랢햹폫잰뺰,쫗쿈탨튪뛔솽틽쟦횮튻ꆣ뷘훁2004쓪뗗,훐맺샛볆컼틽췢맺뺭쎳맘쾵뗄샺쪷폫쿖ힴ폐쯹쇋뷢ꆣퟜ뛮캪10966틚쏀풪,쪵볊샻폃췢듯떽(튻)뻅쪮쓪듺틔잰뗄훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵5621틚쏀풪,샻폃췢틑솬탸12쓪뻓랢햹훐맺뫍펡뛈뚼쫇쫀뷧컄쏷맅맺,폐ퟅ폆훐맺볒쫗캻ꆣ퓚췢뫍쎳틗뗄듸뚯쿂,훐맺돉뻃뗄뒫춳폑틪ꆣ뚫뷺쏻즮램쿔(릫풪334ꆫ캪쫀뷧짺닺쳥쾵뗄훘튪튻뮷,춬쪱웤톸쯙퓶420쓪)뫍쳆뎯쏻즮탾?(릫풪600ꆫ660쓪)뎤뗄맺쓚쫐뎡튲돉캪췆뚯쫀뷧뺭볃퓶뎤뗄틽캪훐펡붻췹쇴쿂쇋병뮰ꆣ쏷듺횣뫍(릫풪쟦횮튻,훐맺뺭볃뫍맺볊쫐뎡뇤뗃쏜늻뿉럖ꆣ1371ꆫ1435쓪)웟쿂컷퇳룼쪹솽맺뷸죫쇋샺뛸폫듋춬쪱,펡뛈퓲틀좻뒦폚쿠뛔럢뇕쪷짏맘쾵ퟮ쏜쟐뗄쪱웚ꆣ떫쫇퓚맽좥벸쪮쓪뗄ힴ첬ꆣ뺡맜듓80쓪듺뾪쪼뻍슽탸췆탐쇋튻샯,평폚뺭볃랢햹뗀슷뗄톡퓱뫍쇬췁뻀럗뗈킩쮽폐뮯뫍뛔췢뾪럅뗄듫쪩,떫쫇헦헽쾵춳풭틲,솽맺뺭쎳맘쾵믹놾짏쿝폚춣뛙ힴ첬ꆣ뗄룄룯횱떽90쓪듺닅뾪쪼ꆣ듓뺭볃랢햹뗀슷짏뾴,샤햽뾪쪼틔뫳,훐랢햹뗀슷뗄늻춬퓬돉훐펡쎳틗뫍뛔췢뾪맺놻컷랽맺볒룴뻸퓚쫀뷧뺭볃쳥쾵횮췢,ퟔ럅뗄뻞듳닮틬ꆣ듓룷랽쏦뫢솿,훐맺뗄뾪럅돌짭틢쪶탎첬뗄쫸뢿폖볓훘쇋훐맺뗄뇕맘쯸뛈뚼튪뇈펡뛈룟ꆣ떽2005쓪훐맺훆돉욷뗄욽맺ꆣ훐맺튻캶틀뾿ퟔ솦룼짺뫍퓚짧믡훷틥헳뻹맘쮰캪9%,펡뛈캪30%;2004쓪췢쎳햼펪쳥쾵쓚뗄폐쿞쎳틗뛸랢햹ꆣ폫듋춬쪱,룕뛀훐맺GDP뗄뇈훘풼캪70%,펡뛈캪30%;솢뗄펡뛈튲솦춼춨맽틔맺볒훷떼뗄ꆢ뷸뿚쳦2004쓪쓪뗗훐펡솽맺췢맺횱뷓춶듦솿햼듺뗄릤튵뮯랢햹햽싔룏뎬랢듯맺볒ꆣ쯤좻솽GDP뗄뇈훘럖뇰캪%뫍%ꋙꆣ퓚훐맺훆뚨뺭볃헾닟뗄돶랢뗣늻튻퇹,떫ퟮ훕뗄맺폫쫀뷧뺭쎳맘쾵듳랢햹뗄춬쪱,훐펡뺭쎳뷡맻좴쿠닮컞벸:퓚럢뇕뗄맺쓚쫐뎡짏탎돉좴틀좻믹놾놣돖풭ힴꆣ쇋쿠뛔췪짆뗄릤튵쳥쾵,좴폖틲캪뛔맺쓚닺튵뗄맽뛈놣뮤뛸떼훂킧싊뗍쿂ꆢ좱랦맺볊뺺훐펡횮볤듦퓚뗄뇟뷧컊쳢튲쿞훆ퟅ뺭쎳헹솦ꆣ헢훖랢햹쒣쪽쪹훐펡솽맺뗄뛔췢쎳틗맘쾵뗄랢햹ꆣ평폚샺쪷뗄풭틲,솽맺뇟뷧듓살랢햹뮺싽,룼첸늻짏뇋듋볤뗄쎳틗,볈늻쓜춨쎻폐헽쪽뮮뚨맽,틲듋듦퓚뷏듳쏦믽뗄쇬췁맽맺볊탨쟳살듸뚯맺쓚뗄짺닺ꆢ듙뷸맺쓚뗄헹뛋,늢퓚1962쓪랢짺맽벫늻폤뿬뗄뇟뷧햽닺튵짽벶,튲컞램뷨훺맺볊럖릤,듯떽풴뗄헹ꆣ뇟뷧컊쳢쫂맘맺볒뗄룹놾샻틦,폖횱뷓짦ퟮ병엤훃뫍쪵쿖룼룟뗄짺닺킧싊ꆣ벰맺쏱뗄쏱ퟥ룐쟩,틲듋뫜듳돌뛈짏훆풼쇋뺭쎳맘쾵뗄랢햹,뛸쟒퓬돉듋뫳뫜뎤쪱웚솽1978쓪훐맺룄룯뾪럅틔뫳,뫍펡뛈뺭볃랢햹뗀슷뗄닮틬뾪쪼쿔쿖돶살ꆣ훐맺톡퓱뗄맺뇋듋탄듦뷤놸ꆣ쫇폫웤쯻뚫퇇맺볒쿠샠쯆뗄췢쿲탍뺭볃랢햹평폚틔짏풭틲,햽뫳뗄벸쪮쓪샯,훐펡횮뗀슷볤뗄뺭쎳췹살럇뎣폐쿞ꆣ맙랽뗄헽쪽쎳틗쪼,틀뾿솮볛뗄샍뚯솦폅쫆,춨맽믽벫닎폫맺볊럖릤듸뚯뺭볃랢햹ꆣ1992쓪뗋킡욽쓏톲폚1951쓪ꆣ1954쓪10퓂솽맺헾뢮잩뚩쇋쎳붲뮰횮뫳,뺭볃룄룯뫍뛔췢뾪럅뷸죫쇋탂뗄틗킭뚨ꆣ떫퓚뫜뎤튻뛎쪱볤쓚쎳틗맦쒣뚼뫜뷗뛎ꆣ쒿잰훐맺틑뺭돉캪쫀뷧뗚죽듳쎳틗맺ꆣ2004쓪췢쎳ퟜ뛮캪ꋙ쇏살풴:UNCTAD,WorldInvestmentReport11548틚쏀풪,돶뿚59342005,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ킡,랢햹뮺싽ꆣ듓1950쓪떽1962쓪쮫뇟쎳틗틗뛮듓틚쏀풪퓶볓떽틚쏀풪,퓶ퟜ뛮뷶캪216틚쏀풪ꆣ듋뫳평폚뇟뷧햽헹,쎳뎤쇋놶ꆣ웤훐훐맺뛔펡뛈뗄돶뿚듓틗폖훐뛏쇋14쓪,횱훁1976쓪훐펡믖뢴췢틚쏀풪퓶뎤떽틚쏀풪,뷸뿚듓틚쏀붻맘쾵,쎳틗닅뗃틔믖뢴뫍랢햹ꆣ1984쓪8풪퓶뎤떽틚쏀풪,럖뇰퓶뎤쇋놶뫍퓂,솽맺헾뢮잩뚩쇋탂뗄쎳틗킭뚨ꆣퟔ놶(춼1)ꆣ2005쓪쮫뇟쎳틗볌탸놣돖룟쓪틔살폖쿈뫳잩뚩쇋웟룶쓪뛈쎳틗틩뚨쫩ꆣ쯙퓶뎤ꆣ1ꆫ7퓂틑뺭듯떽틚쏀풪,훐90쓪듺틔뫳솽맺뮹퓚뇟뷧뗘쟸쿈뫳뾪럅쇋맺뛔펡뛈돶뿚틚쏀풪,뷸뿚틚쏀벸뛔뇟뺳쎳틗뿚낶,웤훐냼삨1992쓪쮫랽퓚풪,럖뇰뇈짏쓪춬웚퓶뎤쇋3918%ꆢ5818%훐맺컷님뗄웕삼뫍펡뛈놱랽냮뗄릱벪헽쪽믖뫍2811%ꋚꆣ훐펡쎳틗벯훐퓚ퟔ좻풴뫍쓜뢴뇟뺳쎳틗,1994쓪폖퓚훐맺컷님뗄뻃냍뫍풴ꆢ뗧ퟓ믺킵뫍믺뗧훆욷,틔벰튽튩ꆢ폐믺뮯펡뛈쾲십?뛻냮뗄쓏볓퓶뾪쇋튻뛔뇟쎳뗣ꆣ톧뫍IT뗈닺욷짏ꆣ펡뛈훷튪듓훐맺뷸뿚뗧떫ퟜ뗄살뾴,90쓪듺틔잰짵훁냼삨헻룶90ퟓ믺킵ꆢ믺뗧닺욷ꆢ폐믺뮯톧훆욷ꆢ뿳컯좼쇏쓪듺,훐펡솽맺볤쎳틗뛮뚼뫜킡ꆣ틔벰쮿돱뗈,훐맺퓲듓펡뛈뷸뿚쳺뿳쪯ꆢ룖(뛾)훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵뗄쿖ힴ쳺ꆢ쯜쇏틔벰폐믺뮯톧훆욷뗈ꆣ90쓪듺펡뛈뺭볃뫍쎳틗뗄뿬쯙퓶뎤냑훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵듸죫쇋탂뗄랢햹웚ꆣ퓚훐맺뾪춼1ꆡ훐펡쎳틗랢햹(1998ꆫ2004)쪼뺭볃룄룯쪮쓪횮뫳,펡뛈튲뾪쪼쇋좫쏦뫍쾵춳뮯뗄뺭볃룄룯,럅쯉맜훆ꆢ쪵탐쫐뎡뮯뫍좫쟲뮯ꆣ퓚맽좥쪮쓪샯,펡뛈뗄쓪뻹뺭볃퓶뎤싊듯떽%,쎳틗햼GDP뗄뇈훘듓15%퓶뎤떽30%,맘쮰뫍럇맘쮰뇚생듓128%쿂붵떽30%틔쿂ꆣ2004쓪펡뛈뗄췢쎳ퟜ뛮듯떽1881틚쏀풪ꆣ웤훐돶뿚798틚쏀풪,뇈짏쓪퓶뎤%,뷸뿚1082틚쏀풪,뇈짏쓪퓶뎤쇏살풴:ꆶ훐맺몣맘춳볆ꆷ,1999ꆫ2005쓪룷웚ꆣ%ꆣ2004쓪8퓂펡뛈폖냤늼쇋탂뗄ꆶ좫훐펡쿠뮥춶튲랢햹톸쯙ꆣ펡뛈릫쮾살쏦뛔췢쎳틗헾닟(2004-2009)ꆷꋙ,쳡돶뷸튻뮪춶늻뷶뾴훐쇋뻞듳뗄쫐뎡죝솿,튲뾴뫃늽퓶볓돶뿚,쪵쿖떽2009쓪햼쫀뷧쎳틗훐맺캪닺튵랢햹쯹뒴퓬뗄뇣샻뮷뺳,냼삨솼115%뗄랢햹쒿뇪ꆣ듋췢,펡뛈튲믽벫닉좡듫뫃뗄믹뒡짨쪩ꆢ볲뇣뗄웳튵뒴냬쇷돌뫍폅믝쪩컼틽췢,횱뷓춶톸쯙퓶뎤,돉캪냼삨훐뗄헾닟램맦뗈,폐샻폚퓶잿펡뛈릫쮾뗄좫쟲맺뫍쏀맺퓚쓚뗄좫쟲ퟮ쫜뮶펭뗄춶뗘횮뺺헹솦,뛸훐맺릫쮾떽펡뛈춶짨뎧뗄샭평튻ꆣ쒿잰췢맺춶훷튪벯훐퓚뗧솦ꆢ튽튩ꆢ퓲훷튪쫇캪쇋죆맽펡뛈룟훾뗄쎳틗뇚생ꆣ톯럾컱뗈펡뛈ퟮ뻟뺺헹솦뗄늿쏅,헢랴맽살떽2004쓪뗗,펡뛈퓚훐맺틑잩뚩뗄춶폖퓶볓쇋펡뛈뗄돶뿚쓜솦뫍뛔췢뺺헹솦ꆣퟜ뛮듯떽틚쏀풪ꋛꆣ춶훷튪쇷쿲룟벼훐펡뺭쎳맘쾵뗄랢햹듓90쓪듺쒩뾪쪼볓쯙,쳥쿖퓚쎳틗ꆢ춶ꆢ벼쫵뫏ퟷ폫붻쇷뗈ꋙNationalForeignTradePolicy2004-2009,De2partmentofCommerce,MinistryofCommerceandIndus2뛠랽쏦ꆣtry,GovernmentofIndia,2004.듓ꋚ쇏살풴:훐뮪죋쏱릲뫍맺짌컱늿ꆣ1999쓪떽2004쓪,훐펡쮫뇟믵컯쎳ꋛ쇏살풴:ꆶ뷱죕펡뛈ꆷ2005쓪4퓂뫅ꆣ9' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚쫵뗄횪쪶쏜벯탍닺튵,냼삨죭볾튵ꆢ웻뎵쇣늿뫏ퟷ놸췼슼ꆣ듋췢,뛔폚뎤웚삧죅솽맺뗄뇟뷧볾ꆢ훆튩튵뫍짺컯벼쫵뗈,틔벰뗍뢽볓횵훆퓬컊쳢,2003쓪6퓂훐펡솽맺ퟜ샭룷ퟔ죎쏼쇋튵,냼삨ퟪ쪯볓릤ꆢ쓍믰닄쇏틔벰냼ힰ닄쇏훆쳘뇰듺뇭,첽쳖뷢뻶뇟뷧컊쳢뗄헾훎횸떼풭퓬뗈,뷶ퟪ쪯웳튵살뮪춶뗄뻍폐19볒ꆣ뷘퓲뫍뿲볜ꆣ뺭맽컥싖믡컮,틑뺭뻍뷢뻶뇟뷧컊훁2004쓪뗗,훐맺퓚펡뛈샛볆킭틩춶ퟜ뛮쳢뗄헾훎횸떼풭퓲듯돉튻훂,2005쓪9퓂뗄듯떽2283췲쏀풪ꆣ춶훷튪퓚ITꆢퟔ좻풴뗚쇹싖믡첸틑뷸죫쪵훊탔뷗뛎ꆣ틔벰볒뗧짨놸뗈늿쏅ꆣ2004쓪뫍2005쓪솽맺ퟜ샭쪵쿖뮥럃뇪돽쇋쎳틗뫍춶췢,솽맺퓚럾컱쎳틗뫍횾ퟅ훐펡뫏ퟷ뷸죫쇋좫쏦랢햹뗄탂뷗뛎ꆣ싃폎ꆢ뿆벼뫏ퟷꆢ죋풱쇷뚯틔벰뇟뷧첸에뗈룷21쫀볍훘튪뗄훷쳢횮튻뻍쫇훐펡솽룶랽쏦튲좡뗃쇋ퟛ뫏탔뷸햹ꆣ쒿잰펡뛈뗄쯄듳듳맺뗄웰ꆣ퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯뷸돌뗄짮죫뫍죭볾돶뿚웳튵,벴쯾쯾톯럾컱릫쮾(Tata솽맺뺭볃뗄톸쯙랢햹캪훐펡맘쾵뗄훘쯜쳡릩ConsultancyServices),탅쾢쾵춳뿆벼릫쮾쇋쳵볾ꆣ햹췻캴살,훐펡뫏ퟷ늢붨솢룼캪뷴쏜(InfosysTechnologies),죸뗙퇯볆쯣믺럾컱뗄뺭쎳맘쾵뛔솽맺틢캶ퟅ맣랺뗄릲춬샻틦,폐쿞릫쮾(SatyamComputerServices)틔벰떫쫇쿖쪵훐튲듦퓚튻쾵쇐훆풼뫏ퟷ짮뛈뫍맣췾웕싞뿆벼릫쮾(WiproTechnologies)뚼틑뛈뗄틲쯘ꆣ퓚훐맺춶ꆣ탅쾢쾵춳뿆벼릫쮾틑뺭퓚훐맺짨솢쇋죭볾뾪랢훐탄ꆣ2005쓪쯾쯾톯럾컱췆뚯훐펡뫏ퟷ뗄틲쯘릫쮾놻맺볒랢룄캯톡캪IT뫏ퟷ믯냩,쳡릩죭볾틔벰짌튵쇷돌췢냼퓚쓚뗄IT쿠맘럾뻟쳥살뾴,볓잿훐펡뫏ퟷ뗄쫕틦뇭쿖퓚컱ꆣ춬쪱,펡뛈맺볒탅쾢톧풺(NIIT)폫웖뚫틔쿂벸랽쏦:볌탸뷌폽훐탄뫏돉솢뗄뛷낣낣탅쾢벼쫵뗚튻,삩듳쫐뎡맦쒣,쪵쿖룼캪맣랺뗄쎳톧풺,틔벰펡뛈웳튵APTECH폫놱듳쟠쓱틗쫕틦ꆣ뫏돉솢뗄낢늩첩뿋놱듳쟠쓱탅쾢벼쫵폐쿞쯤좻뷼쓪살훐펡쎳틗뫍춶퓶뎤톸쯙,릫쮾,솽볒릫쮾믹놾슢뛏쇋훐맺뗄IT뎤웚떫쫇쿠뛔폚솽맺뗄뺭볃맦쒣뛸퇔,뮹쿔뗃캢엠통쫐뎡ꆣ싃폎랽쏦,2002쓪펡훐싃폎킭틩늻ퟣ뗀,뻟폐뷸튻늽랢햹뗄잱솦(춼2)ꆣ2004뗄잩쫰듲뾪쇋싃폎뾪럅뗄듳쏅,솽맺폎뿍퓶쓪뛔펡쎳틗횻햼훐맺믵컯쎳틗ퟜ뛮뗄뎤톸쯙ꆣ퓚뿆벼뫏ퟷ랽쏦,펡뛈뫍욽샻폃풭ퟓ112%,웤훐뛔펡뛈돶뿚햼훐맺ퟜ돶뿚뗄쓜뗄벼쫵ꆢ얩튵벼쫵ꆢ틅뒫릤돌ꆢ볆쯣믺쳘뇰110%,듓펡뛈뷸뿚햼ퟜ뷸뿚뗄%ꋚꆣ뛸내쫇죭볾뾪랢랽쏦뗄벼쫵횵뗃훐맺톧쾰뫍뷨헕펡랽뗄춳볆,2004쓪뛔뮪쎳틗햼펡뛈믵컯본ꆣ뛸훐맺뗄킡룟슯ꆢ킡쮮뗧ꆢ볒뗧ꆢ뿕볤뾪랢쎳틗ퟜ뛮뗄5%,뛔뮪돶뿚햼펡뛈ퟜ돶뿚뗄뗈벼쫵튲틽웰쇋펡뛈랽쏦뗄탋좤ꆣ쒿잰,솽맺%,듓훐맺뷸뿚햼ퟜ뷸뿚뗄%ꋛꆣ훐펡틑잩쫰쇋퓚얩튵ꆢ뿳닺ꆢ뮷뺳ꆢ룖쳺틔벰첫뿕솽맺뗄쿠뮥춶맦쒣튲뫜킡ꆣ뛔펡춶짐늻벼쫵뗈쇬폲뗄뫏ퟷ킭틩믲헟뫏ퟷ뫍쇂뷢놸췼ퟣ훐맺좫늿뛔췢춶뗄1%ꆣ쿠뇈횮쿂,쯤좻슼,늢좡뗃쇋튻뚨뗄돉킧,벸룶춶쫽뛮뷏듳뗄뫏웳튵춶죫퓋펪,솽맺헾뢮뫍릤짌뷧횮ꋙ냼삨맍폃럾컱ꆢ횰튵엠통뫍짧믡놣헏ꆣ볤헽퓚뷸튻늽첽쳖볓잿뫏ퟷ뗄춾뺶뫍랽램ꆣꋚ쇏살풴:훐뮪죋쏱릲뫍맺짌컱늿ꆣ솽맺퓚죋풱붻쇷뫍샍컱뫏ퟷ랽쏦ꋙ튲잩쫰쇋ꋛ쇏살풴::öö' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ뛔뮪춶햼펡뛈ퟜ춶뗄뇈샽튪룟튻킩,퓚3ꆫ6%횮볤,떫듓ퟜ뛮짏뾴틀좻뫜킡ꆣ춼2ꆡ펡뛈뫍훐맺돶뿚햼뛔랽뷸뿚뗄냙럖뇈ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ쫽뻝살풴:룹뻝솪뫏맺COMTRADE쫽뻝뿢쫽뻝볆쯣ꆣꆡꆡ틲듋,훐펡펵폐뷸튻늽삩듳쫐뎡맦쒣뗄맺펵폐듳솿룟쯘훊뗄솮볛샍뚯솦,훆퓬튵햼뻞듳뿕볤ꆣ훐맺뫍펡뛈늻뷶쫇쫀뷧짏ퟮ듳뗄GDP뗄39%,늢쟒닺욷듳솿폃폚돶뿚,놻폾랢햹훐맺볒,펡뛈펵폐틚죋뿚,훐맺펵캪쫇ꆰ쫀뷧볓릤뎧ꆱꆣ돽쇋뒫춳뗄샍뚯쏜벯탍폐13틚죋뿚,뫏볆햼좫쟲ퟜ죋뿚뗄1ö3잿;쿻럑욷,뷼쓪살훐맺퓚뗧ퟓ짨놸뫍IT닺욷뛸쟒튲쫇쫀뷧뺭볃퓶뎤ퟮ뿬뗄듳맺,듓1980펲볾짏튲쿔쪾돶죕틦퓶잿뗄뺺헹솦ꆣ쿠뇈횮떽2004쓪,훐맺쓪뻹GDP퓶뎤듯떽%,쿂,펡뛈훆퓬튵뗄샍뚯짺닺싊퓲뇈훐맺튪뗍ꆣ90쓪듺뫳,펡뛈쓪뻹GDP퓶뎤싊듯떽룰엁삼(Gopalan)춨맽뛔훆퓬튵뗄샍뚯짺닺615%,뷼쓪살룼쫇듯떽7%ꆫ8%ꆣ벴쪹쫇퓚싊뷸탐맀쯣랢쿖,돽쪯폍뫍럇뗧ퟓ닺욷췢,웤죋뻹뿉횧엤쫕죫뮹늻룟뗄쳵볾쿂,붨솢퓚훐쯻탐튵뗄훐맺릤죋짺닺싊튪뇈펡뛈릤죋룟펡솽맺엓듳뗄죋뿚믹쫽뫍뺭볃퓶뎤싊믹뒡짏30%떽180%늻뗈ꋚꆣ뗄쫐뎡맦쒣죔좻늻뿉뗍맀ꆣ폈웤쫇퓚떱잰헻펡뛈뗄뺭볃뻟폐뷏잿뗄뛾풪뮯쳘뗣ꆣ웤룶쫀뷧쫐뎡틑믹놾쟷폚놥뫍뗄쳵볾쿂,훐펡뺺헹솦춻돶뇭쿖퓚룟벼쫵닺튵,냼삨죭볾뫍횮볤삩듳쿠뮥쫐뎡뗄잱솦벸뫵쇮죋돔뺪ꆣ탅쾢벼쫵럾컱뗈랽쏦ꆣ펡뛈춨맽뛔룟뗈뷌폽뗚뛾,짮뮯럖릤,췆뚯뺭볃돖탸랢햹ꆣ뗄춶뫍쮰쫕폅믝듙뷸죭볾튵뗄랢햹ꆣ쯤좻뺡맜훐펡솽맺뺭볃랢햹쮮욽뚼뮹늻룟,햼GDP뗄뇈훘뮹킡,떫쫇IT닺튵뗄쓪뻹퓶떫쫇뺭볃뷡릹뮹쫇쿔쪾돶쇋쿠뛔뷏잿뗄뮥늹뎤싊듯떽26%ꆣ쒿잰펡뛈럾컱튵뗄돶뿚틑뺭탔ꆣ헢훷튪쫇틲캪솽맺쿠뛔뫍뻸뛔뗄풴뫍햼떽좫쟲뗄%,웤훐뫜듳튻늿럖쫇탅쾢?뢳늻춬,춬쪱훐맺뺭볃룄룯뾪쪼뗃퓧ꆢ늽ퟓ벼쫵뫍쿠맘럾컱ꆣ2003쓪,펡뛈죭볾닺튵닺싵뗃듳횵듯124틚쏀풪,햼GDP뗄뷼3%ꆣ웤훐돶,뺭볃뷡릹ퟜ쳥쮮욽튪룟폚펡뛈ꆣ룹뻝쫀뷧틸탐뗄춳볆ꋙ,2003쓪퓚훐맺뿚95틚쏀풪,햼떽돶뿚ퟜ뛮뗄20%ꆣ룹뻝싳GDP훐얩튵햼15%,릤튵햼52%,럾컱튵햼ꋙ33%;춬쓪퓚펡뛈GDP훐얩튵햼22%,릤튵WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndicators2005.햼27%,럾컱튵햼51%ꆣꋚ,ꆰChina’sCompetitivenessꆱ,Dis2훐맺뗄뺺헹솦춻돶뇭쿖퓚훆퓬튵짏ꆣ훐cussionPaper,DepartmentofCommerce,GovernmentofIndia,NewDelhi,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뿏컽뗄튻럝퇐뺿놨룦,풤볆떽2008쓪,펡뛈짌믺,좾쇏ꆢ돵벶쯜쇏ꆢ룖쳺ꆢ뷰쫴훆욷ꆢ횽붬GDP뗄7%붫살ퟔIT럾컱뫍뫳쟚냬릫튵뗈뛔훐맺뗄돶뿚듳럹짏헇,웤훐룖쳺뗄퓶럹컱ꆣ뷬쪱펡뛈IT닺튵뗄돶뿚뛮붫믡듯떽쎿ퟮ캪쏷쿔ꆣ쓪570틚쏀풪,맍폃400췲풱릤ꆣ평폚탅쾢벼훐펡횮볤뗄쮮욽럖릤듸살뗄닺튵쓚쎳틗쫵럾컱랽쏦뗄뺺헹솦,펡뛈헽퓚돉캪풽살풽튲틑웰늽,늢탎돉솼뫃뗄랢햹쫆춷ꆣ쮮욽럖릤뛠뗄얷쏀웳튵뗄ꆰ뫳첨냬릫쫒ꆱꆣ춻돶뇭쿖퓚솽룶쇬폲:웻뎵뫍볆쯣믺죭펲볾ꆣ돽탅쾢벼쫵췢,펡뛈뗄폅쫆뮹뇭쿖퓚훆펡뛈웻뎵엤볾웳튵헽풽살풽뛠뗘뷸죫훐튩ꆢ짺컯벼쫵뗈룟벼쫵닺욷짏ꆣ펡뛈릤짌솪뫏맺쫐뎡ꆣ쯤좻쒿잰맦쒣뮹늻듳,떫쫇퓶뎤톸믡(ICCI)뗄튻쿮퇐뺿뇭쏷,펡뛈훆튩튵뗄쓪쯙ꆣ2002쓪훐맺듓펡뛈뷸뿚쇋볛횵596췲쏀뻹짺닺쓜솦퓶뎤캪10%,뛸쫀뷧캪7%,쒿잰풪뗄슽슷뎵솾,춬쪱돶뿚쇋볛횵399췲쏀풪펡뛈훆튩튵맦쒣쇐쫀뷧뗚쯄캻,닺횵쇐쫀뷧뗄춬샠짌욷ꆣ2003쓪1ꆫ7퓂,훐맺뛔펡뛈슽뗚쪮죽캻ꆣ풤볆떽2007쓪훆튩탐튵뗄짺닺잱슷뎵솾뗄뷸돶뿚뇈짏쓪춬웚럖뇰퓶뎤쇋솦폐췻듯떽480틚쏀풪ꋙꆣ35510%뫍5015%ꋛꆣ퓚볆쯣믺벼쫵랽쏦,훐폫펡뛈쿠뇈,훐맺뗄럾컱뫍룟벼쫵닺튵맺뗄펲볾볓릤훆퓬폫펡뛈뗄죭볾뫍럾컱횮볤쿠뛔실뫳ꆣ2003쓪럾컱쎳틗횻햼ퟜ쎳틗뛮뗄튲뇭쿖돶쮮욽럖릤뗄잱솦ꆣ펡뛈ퟜ샭췟뷜엁%,웤돶뿚햼좫늿돶뿚뗄%ꆣ헢튻뇈틁뻍퓸퓚2003쓪럃뮪쪱횸돶,ꆰ훐맺뗄(펲훘퓚듳맺샯벸뫵쫇ퟮ뗍뗄ꆣ뛸쟒럾컱뗄벼쫵볾)닺욷뫍펡뛈뗄(죭볾)뷢뻶랽낸뻟폐뮥늹몬솿튲쿠뛔뷏뗍ꆣ뷰죚ꆢ놣쿕틔벰냼삨볆쯣탔,헢쫇훐펡솽맺뫏ퟷ뗄ퟔ좻믹뒡ꆣꆱ쯻죏캪,믺ꆢ탅쾢뫍춨톶럾컱퓚쓚뗄웤쯻럾컱햼럾컱훐펡웳튵펦엗뾪웤쯻맺볒뗄훐볤죋,횱뷓킯튵뗄%ꆣ쿠뇈횮쿂,럾컱쎳틗햼펡뛈ퟜ쫖뫏ퟷꆣ쎳틗뛮뗄%,웤돶뿚햼ퟜ돶뿚뗄31%,뗚죽,퓶잿퓚맺볊맦퓲훆뚨맽돌훐뗄첸뷰죚ꆢ놣쿕벰웤쯻럾컱햼ퟜ럾컱뛮뗄에쪵솦,놣헏훐펡솽맺ퟷ캪랢햹훐듳맺뗄릲7616%ꋚꆣ춬샻틦ꆣ훐맺퓚릤튵뫍믺킵짨놸ꆢ볓릤훆퓬랽쏦쯤좻훐펡룷ퟔ뗄쪵솦퓚늻뛏퓶볓,떫쫇뗄폅쫆떥뛀살뾴,훐펡뚼뮹컞램폫떱잰틔랢듯맺볒,폫펡뛈퓚죭볾뫍룟벼쫵랽쏦뗄폅쫆캪솽맺짮뮯쮮욽뫍뒹횱럖릤,뷸튻늽듙뷸뺭캪훷떼뗄쳥쾵뾹뫢ꆣ뿏쓡쮼ꆤ뮪뛻뛔ꆰ듳볃퓶뎤뒴퓬쇋뫏ퟷ뿕볤ꆣ맺ꆱ뗄뚨틥쫇:ꆰ떱튻맺뛔뇰맺뗄펰쿬듳폚뇰훐펡횮볤뗄뒹횱럖릤틑뺭탎돉맺뛔ퟔ벺뗄펰쿬쪱,룃맺벴캪듳맺ꆣꆱ뿉틔붫,늢뒦폚늻뛏짮뮯뫍삩햹뗄맽돌훐ꆣ뻝춳볆,듓1999웤뷸튻늽뚨틥캪:듳맺쫇폐쓜솦내헕ퟔ벺뗄쓪떽2002쓪,훐맺뛔펡뛈돶뿚뗄돵벶닺욷듓틢횾좥펰쿬쯻맺뗄탐캪,춬쪱폖쓜뗖훆쯻맺33뛔ퟔ벺쪩볓펰쿬뗄맺볒ꆣ내헕헢튻뚨틥,늴뿆.1%쿂붵떽%,춬쪱릤튵훆돉욷돶뿚뗄뇈샽듓%짏짽떽%,웤훐믺킵벰캬웦(Perkovich)횸돶,ꆰ펡뛈뮹쯣늻짏튻룶퓋쫤짨놸뗄돶뿚햼떽릤튵훆돉욷돶뿚뗄듳맺,쯤좻펡뛈퓚듳뛠쫽쟩뿶쿂쓜뗖훆웤쯻35%ꆣ뷼쓪살쯦ퟅ훐맺뺭볃뗄룟쯙퓶뎤틔벰캪싺ퟣ죫쫀탨튪뛸늻뛏볓뿬뗄뾪럅늽랥ꋙ쇏살풴:ꆶ뷱죕펡뛈ꆷ2005쓪4퓂뫅ꆣ,훐ꋚ쇏살풴:WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndi2맺뗄뷸뿚맦쒣벱쯙삩헅,펡뛈뗄돶뿚짌퓚훐cators2005.맺뗄훐볤훆돉욷쫐뎡짏튲뾴떽쇋풽살풽듳뗄ꋛ닎볻쇵킡톩:ꆶ랢햹룼캪뷴쏜뗄훐펡뺭쎳뫏ퟷꆷ,퓘ꆶ맺볊쎳틗ꆷ2003쓪뗚12웚ꆣ12' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ맺볒,냼삨쪵솦잿듳뗄맺볒쪩볓룸쯻뗄튪쟳,폫훐맺뫍냍컷릲춬얬솦듙돉쇋WTO퓚죕쓚떫쫇좴뎣뎣늻쓜죃웤쯻맺볒쟼듓폚ퟔ벺뗄튪췟ퟜ샭쫂믡짏듯돉릲쪶ꆣ뷱뫳샠쯆뗄뫏ퟷ뮹쟳ꆣꆱꋙ뛸훐맺쯤좻퓚쒳킩랽쏦쓜릻펰쿬뇰맺붫볌탸퓶뛠ꆣ뗄탐캪,늢쟒뗖훆뇰맺쪩볓룸ퟔ벺뗄튪쟳,떫뗚쯄,퓚톰쟳ퟔ좻풴뫍쓜풴뗄맽돌훐쫇ퟜ뗄살뾴,뇰맺뛔ퟔ벺뗄펰쿬틀좻튪듳폚뇜쏢뢶돶룼룟뗄듺볛ꆣퟔ벺뛔뇰맺뗄펰쿬,틲듋튲쓑틔퓚맦퓲첸에훐펡뺭볃헽퓚춬쪱뺭샺ퟅ샠쯆뗄죽룶훐펮뗃폐샻폚벺쳵볾ꆣ뇤:웤튻,듓볆뮮뺭볃믲헟퇏룱맜훆뗄뺭볃쿲쿖탐뗄맺볊뺭볃쳥쾵틀좻쫇평컷랽랢듯쫐뎡뺭볃뇤;웤뛾,듓얩튵짧믡쿲쿖듺뮯릤맺볒,훷튪쫇쏀맺훷떼뗄,뇭쿖퓚붨솢폚뫳늼튵짧믡뇤;웤죽,듓럢뇕뗄짧믡쿲뾪럅뫍폫샗뛙즭쇖쳥쾵믹뒡짏뗄뷰죚쳥쾵뫍붨솢폚맺볊뷓맬뗄짧믡뇤ꆣ내헕훐펡솽맺뗄죋뿚WTO믹뒡짏뗄쎳틗쳥쾵ꆣ훐맺뫍펡뛈솽룶맦쒣,죧맻춬쪱헕냡컷랽뗄랢햹쒣쪽,뛔쫀뷧탂탋듳맺뗄랢햹퓚뛠랽쏦뛔풭폐뗄볈뗃샻틦뗄쳴햽쫇뿉쿫뛸횪뗄ꆣ떱잰솽맺뺭볃랢햹틑헟릹돉쳴햽,틲듋틽웰쇋컷랽맺볒뗄잿쇒뗖뺭뇭쿖돶뛔좫쟲뗄튻킩ퟔ좻풴뫍쓜풴,샽훆ꆣ퓚쎳틗랽쏦,훐맺뷼쓪살퓚훆퓬튵돶뿚랽죧춭ꆢ쳺뿳쪯뫍쪯폍뗈릩펦뗄쳴햽ꆣ쏦쏦쇙ퟅ죕틦퓶잿뗄쎳틗놣뮤,펡뛈뗄럾컱쒿잰훐맺쪯폍탨쟳뗄1ö3,펡뛈쪯폍탨췢냼튲헽퓚틽웰샠쯆뗄잿쇒놣뮤ꆣ퓚뷰죚랽쟳뗄2ö3틀삵뷸뿚ꆣ쏀맺맺볒쟩놨캯풱믡쏦,훐맺펵폐듳솿뗄췢믣뒢놸,2004쓪캪(NIC)퓚ꆶ쫀뷧캴살룱뻖햹췻ꆷ훐짹돆,죧맻6099틚쏀풪,뺡맜뛔쏀맺폐쎳틗펯폠,떫쫇훐맺뫍펡뛈놣돖컈뚨뗄퓶뎤,쓇쎴풤볆훐맺ퟜ쳥살쮵쎳틗쫇욽뫢뗄,뿉죋쏱뇒뗄믣싊좴놻튻킩컷랽맺볒횸퓰캪뗍맀ꆣ펡뛈튲폐듳솿쓜풴쿻뫄뮹붫퓶볓150%,뛸펡뛈붫랭튻놶ꋛꆣ뗄췢믣뒢놸룃놨룦풤닢,ꆰ쓜풴탨쟳붫쫇뻶뚨솽맺췢붻뫍,2004쓪캪1412틚쏀풪ꋚꆣ뛸쟒뿉틔풤볆,췢냼붫듸살룼뛠뗄펯폠ꆣ쯤좻펡뛈맺럀헾닟(냼삨삩헅몣뻼솦솿)뗄훷튪틲쯘ꆱꆣ쪵탐뗄쫇폐맜샭뗄뢡뚯믣싊훆,훐맺튲폚훐펡퓚톰쟳쓜풴뗄맽돌훐죧맻햹뾪뺺헹뛔솽맺쓋훁쫀뷧뚼늻샻,훐펡뗄뺺볛붫쪹뗚2005쓪7퓂뾪쪼닉좡쇋맜샭뢡뚯,떫쫇헢킩뮹풶풶듯늻떽컷랽맺볒뗄튪쟳ꆣ쒿잰솽맺뗄죽랽믱틦,퓚벫뛋뗄쟩뿶쿂튲뿉쓜떼훂뇋듋놾헋뮧뚼쎻폐뾪럅횮볤뗄햽헹,듓뛸퓬돉솽냜뻣짋ꆣ샺쪷짏듳늩,듦퓚놾맜훆,쯦ퟅ쏀맺쎳틗쓦닮뗄뷸튻늽삩듳,솽맺뚼폐뿉쓜놻?뗄뷌통쮵쏷,춨맽붨솢훆뛈뷸탐뫏ퟷ,벰쪱퓙듎횸퓰캪닙ퟝ믣싊ꆣ룦횪뛔랽ퟔ벺뗄탋좤,뷸탐킭뗷뫍벼쫵뫏ퟷ퓚헢훖쳵볾쿂,훐펡횮볤뗄릲춬샻틦늻퓲뿉쪹솽맺릲춬믱틦ꆣ뛏퓶볓ꆣ솽맺퓚뫜뛠컊쳢짏,샽죧뛔붨솢퓚컷뗚컥,뒴퓬폐샻폚뺭볃랢햹뗄훜뇟낲좫ꆣ랽샻틦믹뒡짏뗄ퟔ평쎳틗뗄솽쏦탔뫍뫶싔짧훐펡뷸탐뗄잰쯹캴폐뗄맺쓚랢햹뫍뇤룯믡쿖쪵뗄뷰죚ퟔ평뮯탨튪뫍욽뗄췢늿뮷뺳ꆣ훐맺뗄듳킡쇚맺뛠듯,폐ퟅ늻춬폚컷랽듳맺뗄튪쟳뫍훷헅ꆣ춨맽훐펡뫏ퟷ,뿉틔퓶잿솽맺퓚맺볊맦퓲훆뚨훐뗄첸에쪵솦,놣헏릲춬뗄ꋙSeeGeorgePerkovich,ꆰIsIndiaaMajorPower?ꆱTheWashingtonQuarterly,,,Winter2003ö샻틦04,.,늢캪랢햹훐맺볒펮뗃폐샻뗄뺺헹맦퓲ꆣꋚ쇏살풴:WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndi2훐맺틑뺭뫍펡뛈퓚WTO뫍20맺벯췅cators2005.ꋛNationalIntelligenceCommittee,Mappingthe(G20)쓚햹뾪쇋뫏ퟷꆣ샽죧,2004쓪7퓂펡뛈GlobalFuture,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚20룶,펡뛈뛔폚훐맺쓏늿뗄낲좫틢틥훘듳;췢붻늿뎤뗄볖쮹췺쳘ꆤ탁룱쮵:듓컄쏷짏붲,뛸펡뛈뎤웚틔살튲튻횱뛔웤뚫놱쇚냮훐맺듦펡뛈쫇튻룶뛠퇹탔뗄춳튻쳥,떫쫇퓚맺볒뫍폐뷤탄ꆣ쯤좻퓚샺쪷짏솽맺퓸뺭폐맽믽풹,쿠헾훎짏퓲듓살뻍늻쫇튻룶헻쳥ꆣ폫훐맺쿠뇈,뮥좱랦탅죎,떫쫇죧잰쯹쫶,붨솢뷴쏜뗄뺭쎳펡뛈쪼훕뻍퓚쎻폐맺볒(State)뗄ힴ첬쿂듦솪쾵폐훺폚쪵쿖훜뇟낲좫,늢뿉틔캪듙뷸솽퓚,뛸훐맺뗄듦퓚퓲듓캴샫뾪맽맺볒ꋛꆣ펡뛈맺뺭볃퓶뎤뒴퓬솼뫃뗄췢늿뮷뺳ꆣ듓2003쓪뗄훐퇫뫍뗘랽헾뢮,틔벰웤쯻룷훖샻틦럇뎣뛈웰,펡뛈맺럀늿뗄쓪뛈놨룦늻퓙붫훐맺쇐럖즢,뛸쟒뇋듋뮹쿠뮥뎸훢ꆣ죫췾킲랶돫,훐펡뗄뻼쫂붻췹튲뾪쪼쏷쿔퓶틲듋펡뛈뫜쓑붫좫쳥맺쏱뗷뚯웰살뎯튻뛠ꆣ솽맺뗄낲좫맘쾵헽퓚놻훘탂쯜퓬ꆣ룶뻶뚨탔뗄랽쿲얬솦ꆣ맺볒샻틦쯤좻훁룟컞짏,떫맺쓚샻틦벯췅췹췹쪹헾닟쓑틔춳튻ꆣ뺡쿞훆훐펡뫏ퟷ뗄틲쯘맜룷떳엉뚼냑뾪럅뫍쎳틗ퟷ캪뺺톡뗄뿚뫅,헾훎틢풸뫜잿,떫쫇쪵볊췆뷸좴삧쓑훘훘ꆣ샽쯤좻훐펡뫏ퟷ뿉틔룸쮫랽듸살뻞듳뗄쫕죧,뺡맜맺쓚튪쟳좡쿻얩튵늹쳹뗄뫴짹뫜룟,틦,떫쫇튲듦퓚틔쿂헾훎뺭볃랽쏦뗄늻샻틲떫쫇평폚볈뗃샻틦벯췅뗄랴뛔뫍헾훎뻶탄뗄쯘,훆풼ퟅ솽맺맘쾵뗄짮죫랢햹ꆣ좱랦,룄룯훁뷱믹놾캴좡뗃뷸햹;폖죧,쯤좻뗚튻,룷ퟔ맺쓚벯췅횮볤뗄샻틦돥춻ꆣ튻랽쏦맺쓚뗄럾컱늿쏅튪쟳ퟔ평쎳틗,떫쫇훐맺뗄헾훎쳥훆쪹헾뢮폐뷏듳뗄ퟔ훷탔쇭튻랽쏦,훐킡웳튵ꆢ볒ퟥ웳튵벰웤쫆솦좴퓚췆뷸뫍짮뮯뺭볃룄룯ꆣ돽럇폶떽뎬뎣뗄짧믡ퟨ낭ퟅ룄룯뗄뷸돌ꆣ듓펡뛈뛔췢뾪럅살뾴,쒿쎬뛜,헢튻뗀슷쓑틔쓦ꆣ늻맽튲컞뿉럱죏,쯦헾훎뺭볃뷡릹뗄뇤뮯,뷼쓪살룷훖샻틦벯잰뷸햹뇈뷏듳뗄횻쫇퓚퓶볓돶뿚뫍틽뷸췢췅틑랢햹웰살,펰쿬ퟅ쎳틗뫍웤쯻헾닟뗄탎랽쏦,퓚퓶볓뷸뿚랽쏦퓲삧쓑훘훘ꆣ뾼싇떽훐돉ꆣ뿏쓡뗏맺훆퓬튵뗄돶뿚뿉쓜쯰몦떽펡뛈튻킩볈뗃샻(Kennedy)뛔룖쳺ꆢ뗧ퟓ닺욷뫍죭볾죽룶닺튵ퟶ쇋듳솿뗷닩,랢쿖샻틦벯췅퓚틦벯췅뗄샻틦,뛔뮪쎳틗놣뮤뫍뗖훆붫쪹뷸훐맺뗄폎쮵틑뺭럇뎣웕뇩ꋙꆣ쯻쏇춨맽듲뗧튻늽췆뷸솽맺맘쾵늽싄볨쓑ꆣ뮰ꆢ랢뗧ퟓ폊볾뫍쟗ퟔ냝럃뗈랽쪽폎쮵헾뢮뗚뛾,솽맺퓚뷸탐뺭볃뫏ퟷ뗄춬쪱늻뿉맙풱뇜쏢뗘듦퓚ퟅ뺺헹탔ꆣ,퓚쮰쫕ꆢ벼쫵뇪ힼ틔벰횪쪶닺좨헾닟뗈랽쏦랢믓ퟅ죕틦쏷쿔뗄펰쿬솦ꆣ퓚훐맺믣싊훐펡뚼쫇뻟폐잿쇒뗄듳맺틢쪶뗄맺볒,헾닟뗄훆뚨짏,폐맘퇐뺿튲뇭쏷,돶뿚늿쏅쾣췻춨맽뺭볃랢햹,훘탂퓚릤튵ꆢ뿆벼ꆢ쎳틗ꆢ,폈웤쫇뫍뗘랽헾뢮폐맘쾵뗄맺펪웳튵퓚뛔헾뷰죚뗈룷랽쏦틙솢폚쫀뷧잿맺횮쇖ꆣ솽맺뷸뢮뗄폎쮵훐폐춻돶뗄펰쿬솦,쓜쪹헾닟쿲폐튻늽랢햹돉캪쟸폲뫍쫀뷧탔듳맺뗄쒿뇪,틔샻폚쯻쏇뗄랽쿲쟣킱ꋚꆣ훐맺뗄샻틦벯췅뮹벰캪쪵쿖헢튻쒿뇪쯹닉좡뗄샠쯆랢햹슷뺶뻶뒦폚랢햹훐뚨쇋쯻쏇횮볤늻뿉뇜쏢뗘듦퓚ퟅ뺺헹탔ꆣ,뇘붫퓚훐펡맘쾵뗄랢햹짏랢믓돶쿠펦뗄펰쿬솦ꆣ뛠풪뮯뗄샻틦벯췅뫍헾떳헾훎쪹펡뛈퓚ꋙSeeScottKennedy,TheBusinessofLobbyinginChina,HarvardUniversityPress,2005.췆탐룄룯랽쏦쏦쇙뇈훐맺룼듳뗄ퟨ솦ꆣ펡뛈ꋚ닎볻헅폮퇠ꆢ헅뺲뒺:ꆶ믣싊뗄헾훎뺭볃톧ꆪꆪ믹폚훐쏀맘폚죋쏱뇒믣싊헹싛뗄퇐뺿ꆷ,퓘ꆶ떱듺퇇첫ꆷ2005쪵탐뗄쫇듺틩훆쏱훷헾쳥,춬쪱짧믡뷡릹뇭쓪뗚9웚ꆣ쿖돶뛠닣듎ꆢ뛠ퟚ뷌뫍뛠풪뮯뗄쳘헷ꆣ떣죎맽ꋛSeeJaswantSingh,DefendingIndia,Macmil2lan,LondonandNewDelhi,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ듓펡뛈살뾴,쯤좻퓚죭볾뫍IT럾컱짏ꆰ퓚뇣틋뗄훐맺닺욷뫍맺볒낲좫횮볤뗄튻훖펵폐뺺헹솦,떫쫇룃늿쏅횻햼떽GDP뗄볨쓑뗄톡퓱ꆱꆣ3%ꆣ돉릦쪵쿖쇋릤튵뮯뗄맺볒뗄랢햹뺭퇩쮵듓훐맺뗄뷇뛈살뾴,캪쇋쪵쿖뿉돖탸뗄쏷,튪쪵쿖쿖듺뮯컞램죆맽릤튵뮯뗄랢햹뷗뺭볃퓶뎤,헾닟훆뚨헟탨튪헒떽뫏쫊뗄랽쪽뛎ꆣ펡뛈튲늻샽췢,폈웤쫇릤튵뮯쫇뷢뻶웤맺췪돉릤튵뮯뫍돇쫐뮯뷸돌ꆣ쒿잰,헾뢮춬쪱쏦쓚뻍튵뫍쪹풼죽틚죋뿚췑샫욶삧뗄훘튪쫖쇙ퟅ솽룶랢햹쒿뇪:뒴퓬룼뛠뗄뻍튵믺믡뫍뛎ꋙꆣ평폚훆퓬튵퓚릤튵뮯맽돌훐폐ퟅ늻뿉뷸튻늽쳡짽닺튵뷡릹ꆣ웤훐죎뫎튻룶쒿뇪죧쳦듺뗄ퟷ폃,틲듋펡뛈늻쾣췻웤훆퓬튵놻훐맻뒦샭늻뫃,샽죧늻쓜뒦샭뫃퓚헾훎짏뇈뷏맺쯹좡듺,뛸쫇닉좡쿠맘헾닟놣뮤뫍맄샸룃쏴룐뗄뻍튵컊쳢믲헟퓚놾뫍벼쫵쏜벯탍닺늿쏅뗄랢햹ꆣ튵랢햹짏늻쓜ힷ룏짏랢듯릤튵뮯맺볒,뿉돖2005쓪9퓂,펡뛈맺볒훆퓬튵뺺헹솦캯탸랢햹뻍횻쫇튻룶쏎쿫ꆣ헢훖쟩뿶뻶뚨쇋훐풱믡(NMCC)랢늼쇋ꆶ훆퓬튵맺볒햽싔ꆷ냗욤맺뇘탫춬쪱볡돖솽쳵췈ퟟ슷ꆣ웤훐ꆰ튻쳵췈ꆱ쫩,쳡돶튪쪹훆퓬튵퓶뎤싊듯떽12%,듓뛸볌탸컼쫕맺볊놾,퓚맺볊럖릤솴뗄뗍뛋닎캬돖9%뗄뺭볃퓶뎤싊ꋚꆣ쫩훐쏷좷쳡떽펡뛈폫럖릤,쳡릩솮볛뫍룟훊솿뗄닺욷,늻뛏뒴퓬ꆰ폻폫훐맺뺺헹좫쟲훆퓬튵훐탄뗄뗘캻ꆱꆣ뻍튵믺믡;춬쪱ꆰ쇭튻쳵췈ꆱퟟ룟뿆벼뫍폐뛀퓚헢퇹뗄놳뺰쿂,뺡맜훐맺훆퓬튵닺욷솢횪쪶닺좨뗄뗀슷,췆뷸닺튵뷡릹폅뮯뫍짽퓚맺볊짏뻟폐뫜잿뗄뺺헹솦,떫쒿잰훐맺닺벶ꆣ퓚헢훖쳵볾쿂,폐쿞뗄뫍쿠뛔룟뛈맜훆뗄욷뫍웳튵퓚펡뛈쫐뎡뗄뷸햹좴늢늻듳ꆣ웤훐펡뛈쫐뎡쓑틔캪훐맺뗄돶뿚뫍춶쳡릩믺튻룶훷튪풭틲뻍쫇펡뛈헾뢮헫뛔훐맺쫷웰뗄믡ꆣퟮ뷼훐맺폖냑퓶잿ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ퟷ캪맺쎳틗뇚생ꆣ펡뛈랢웰뗄뛔뮪랴쟣쿺뗷닩뷶듎볒햽싔쪵쪩,헾뢮훆뚨쇋맺볒훐뎤웚뿆톧뫍폚쏀맺,뷘훁2005쓪9퓂샛볆틑듯85웰,뛸벼쫵랢햹맦뮮,쳡돶쇋캴살15쓪뿆벼랢햹뗄쪵볊쪵쪩뗄쫽쒿뮹뛠폚쏀맺,듓뛸퓚쫂쪵짏쒿뇪뫍죎컱,틔맺볒뗄솦솿횧돖죭볾뗄랢햹ꆣ돉캪뛔훐맺뚯폃랴쟣쿺ퟮ뛠뗄맺볒(볻뇭헢튲풤쪾ퟅ펡뛈퓚죭볾뫍췢냼랽쏦뗄뺺헹솦2)ꆣ퓚2005쓪뗄잰벸룶퓂훐,펡뛈폖뛔훐맺붫폶떽훐맺뗄쳴햽ꆣ랢웰쇋웟웰랴쟣쿺뗷닩,뫍짏쓪좫쓪뗄쫽ퟖ뗚죽,훐펡뺭볃랢햹틀삵뗄훷튪췢늿쫐돖욽,뷰뛮듯떽틚쏀풪ꆣ웤훐2005쓪5뎡쫇쏀맺,뛸뫳헟돶폚맺볒샻틦뗄탨튪,늢늻퓂18죕뗄돱뛐랴쟣쿺낸짦벰뷰뛮틚쏀퓞돉훐펡붨솢뷴쏜뗄뫏ퟷ맘쾵ꆣ풪,캪샺쓪살펡뛈뛔훐맺랴쟣쿺뗷닩짦낸뷰뛮쒿잰훐맺뫍펡뛈뛔췢맘쾵ퟮ훷튪뗄뫏ퟷퟮ룟뗄룶낸,튲쫇쪵쪩럄횯욷튻쳥뮯뫳랢햹훐믯냩틀좻쫇쏀맺헢튻좫쟲냔훷,틀뾿쏀맺쳡맺볒뛔훐맺랢웰뗄짦낸뷰뛮ퟮ듳뗄랴쟣쿺낸ꆣ릩쫐뎡ꆢ뷰ꆢ벼쫵뫍췢믣뗈ꆣ퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏,펡뛈췢맺춶듙뷸캯풱믡튲늻쪱틔짦벰헢훖늻뛔돆뗄쿠뮥틀삵뻶뚨쇋쏀맺퓚뛔훐ꆢꆰ맺볒낲좫ꆱ캪평퓝춣짳틩훐맺뗄춶쿮쒿,펡뗄쮫뇟맘쾵짏펵폐룼듳뗄훷뚯좨ꆣ웤훐짵훁냼삨쓍폃쿻럑욷짺닺뗄쿮쒿ꆣ2005쓪8퓂16죕뗄ꆶ펡뛈쪱놨ꆷ(TheTimesofꋙ쫀뷧틸탐맀볆펡뛈뒦폚욶삧쿟틔쿂뗄죋뿚캪ꆫ틚,죧맻폃죕쫕죫1쏀풪뗄맺볊뇪ힼ뫢솿,퓲욶삧죋India)놨뗀,퓚맽좥컥쓪샯,펡뛈헾뢮틑뺭솽뿚캪틚ꆣSeeWorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndica2듎샻폃헢훖랽램퇓뮺훐맺뮪캪릫쮾퓚펡뛈뗄tors2005.삩헅늽랥ꆣ룃놨붫헾뢮뛔뮪캪뗄탐캪쏨쫶캪ꋚNationalManufacturingCompetitivenessCommit2,tee,NationalStrategyforManufacturing,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뇭2ꆡ쫀뷧훷튪맺볒(뗘쟸)랢웰뗄랴쟣쿺뗷닩낸볾벰헫뛔훐맺뗄랴쟣쿺뗷닩폫횴탐(떥캻:볾)1995ꆫꆫꆫ19941995ꆫ19992000ꆫ헫뛔훐맺닺욷랢웰헫뛔훐맺닺욷뗄뗄랴쟣쿺뗷닩랴쟣쿺횴탐듎쫽펡ꆡ뛈151322517057쏀ꆡ맺3391342165739얷쏋(풭얷릲쳥)2561861014730낢룹춢5994933933쓏ꆡ럇16129432013냄듳샻퇇31910164175냍ꆡ컷6368461410몫ꆡ맺214135148쒫컷룧1743739128낣ꆡ벰2261233ꆡꆡ쫽뻝살풴:룹뻝WTO췸햾쫽뻝헻샭ꆣꆡꆡꆶ쏀맺맺볒샻틦놨룦ꆷ쳡돶,쏀맺뗄뫋탄펡뛈돉캪ꆰ21쫀볍뗄훷튪잿맺ꆱꆣ2005쓪4샻틦냼삨캬뮤쏀맺퓚좫쟲뗄쇬떼솦,늢럀횹퓂,늼쪲ퟜ춳퓚믡볻펡뛈췢뎤쓉쳘췟뛻ꆤ탁퓚쇙뷼뗘쟸돶쿖쳴햽쏀맺냔훷뗘캻뗄솦룱쪱뇭쪾,튪냑쏀펡맘쾵쳡짽떽ꆰ룼룟뗄닣솿ꋙꆣꆶ쫀뷧캴살룱뻖햹췻ꆷ뗄놨룦돆:퓙맽15쏦ꆱꆣ쓪,훐맺뫍펡뛈뿏뚨믡돉캪좫쟲탔듳맺,쇮쏀쏀맺랢햹쏀펡맘쾵뗄튻룶훷튪틢춼쫇캪맺쏦쇙룼듳뺺헹톹솦ꋚꆣ룃놨룦풤닢,떽2020쇋훆뫢훐맺ꆣ뾨쓚믹맺볊뫍욽믹뷰믡랢늼뗄쓪훐맺뗄GDP붫뻓좫쟲뗚뛾,뷶듎폚쏀맺,쳢캪ꆶ펡뛈ퟷ캪탂탋좫쟲듳맺:쏀맺뗄탐뚯죕뛸펡뛈튲붫뎬맽뛠쫽얷훞뺭볃쳥,솽맺뚼폐돌ꆷ뗄쳢놨룦훐잿뗷,본폚펡뛈퓚캴살20뿉쓜돉캪쫀뷧뗄뿆벼쇬탤ꆣꆫ25쓪뗄랢햹잱솦,늼쪲헾뢮펦붫펡뛈엠퇸죧맻훐펡ퟟ떽튻웰탎돉햽싔솪쏋,뛔쏀캪퇇훞뗄뎬벶듳맺,틔훆뫢훐맺ꋛꆣ놨룦뮹쳡맺뗄뻞듳쳴햽쫇뿉틔쿫쿳뗄ꆣ캪쇋캬뮤ퟔ짭돶쏀맺튪닉좡컥듳늽훨폫펡뛈뷡쏋:튻쫇냯뗄샻틦훺펡뛈퓶잿쪵솦틔럀횹훐맺훷떼퇇훞;뛾쫇,쏀맺닉좡폫펡뛈붨솢룼캪뷴쏜맘쾵뗄랽쪽,ퟨ횹훐펡횮볤뗄햽싔뷡쏋ꆣ쏀맺튻룄럅웺퓚펡냍횮볤놣돖뻼쫂욽뫢뗄믃쿫;죽쫇샤햽쪱웚뛔펡뛈뗄샤떭뫍뗐쫓첬뛈,퓚쓏퇇횧돖펡뛈돉캪낲샭믡뎣죎샭쫂맺,냯훺웤볓닉좡ꆰ훘펡쟡냍ꆱ뗄헾닟,벫솦삭슣펡뛈,붫쏀죫냋맺벯췅(G8)ꆢ퇇첫뺭뫏ퟩ횯(APEC)뫍펡맘쾵뚨캻캪ꆰ룼뷴쏜뗄탂탍믯냩맘쾵ꆱꆣ맺볊풭ퟓ쓜믺릹;쯄쫇럅웺랴뛔펡뛈탞붨듓틁샊ꆪ냍믹쮹첹ꆪ펡뛈뗄쪯폍뫍쳬좻웸맜2000쓪뿋쇖뛙ퟜ춳럃펡뇪횾ퟅ쏀펡맘쾵늽죫튻룶탂쪱웚ꆣ늼쪲헾뢮짏첨뫳,쏀펡맘쾵룼쫇늻뛏짽컂ꆣ캪쇋쿔쪾폫훐맺뗄쟸뇰,쿷죵훐ꋙSeeCommissiononAmerica’sNationalInterests,2000,ꆰAmerica’sNationalInterestsꆱ,2000.펡횮볤뗄죏춬룐,쏀맺쳡돶쏀펡횮볤쫇ꆰ쫀뷧ꋚNationalIntelligenceCommittee,MappingtheGlobalFuture,2004.짏솽룶ퟮ듳뗄쏱훷맺볒횮볤뗄뫏ퟷꆱꆣ2005ꋛ,ꆰIndiaasaGlobalPower:쓪3퓂,늼쪲헾뢮릫늼튻쿮볆뮮,짹돆튪냯훺AnActionAgendafortheUnitedStatesꆱ,CarnegieEn2dowmentforInternationalPeace,WashingtonDC,' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
떱듺퇇첫ꆡꆡ2006쓪뗚2웚뺭볃ꆤ쟸폲뫏ퟷ뗀;컥쫇쿲펡뛈돶쫛뻼쏱솽폃뫋벼쫵,냼삨뫋맺틑뺭ퟩ돉쇋헾뢮볤뗄솪뫏릤ퟷퟩ쳖싛붨솢낲좫짨놸ꆣퟔ평쎳틗쟸뗄뿉탐탔ꆣ늻맽쿖쪵훐듦퓚뗄듙폐죋죏캪,뿌틢훆퓬훐펡횮볤뗄뇈뷏쪵뷸뫍훆풼뫏ퟷ뗄틲쯘쿔쪾,퓚뛌쪱웚쓚붨솢볊짏쫇튻킩컷랽맺볒뗄햽싔탨튪ꆣ틢폻춨맽웰헢훖맘쾵뗄뿉쓜탔튲늻듳ꆣ헃쿔훐펡솽맺뗄뺺헹탔,쿷죵솽맺릲춬뛔췢뗚죽훖뿉쓜탔쫇,훐펡뫏ퟷ붫톭ퟅ컈늽ꆢ뗄죏춬룐,ퟨ횹솽맺햽싔뷡쏋ꆣ뗍쯙뗄랽쿲돖탸췆뷸,솽맺붫뷸튻늽짮뮯쎳틗솪쾵뫍첽쯷뿉틔뫏ퟷ뗄쇬폲,떫쫇뫏ퟷ뗄뛔훐펡맘쾵뗄햹췻짮뛈뫍맣뛈듳훂놣돖퓚ꆰ뫃쇚뻓ꆱ뗄랶캧쓚ꆣ본폚짏쫶럖컶,헢뿉쓜쫇ퟮ캪뷓뷼쿖쪵뗄튻듓80쓪듺뫳웚뾪쪼,좫쟲헾훎뺭볃룱뻖훖쟩뿶ꆣ뗄뇤뮯ꆢ퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯뷸돌뗄랢햹틔벰훐탨튪뛔ꆰ뫃쇚뻓ꆱퟶ튻킩뷸튻늽뗄쮵쏷ꆣ펡뺭볃룄룯뗄짮죫,캪솽맺맘쾵뗄훘쯜뒴퓬웤듳훂냼몬쯄룶닣듎뗄몬틥:캬돖뎤웚뫍욽쇋쳵볾,훐맺뫍펡뛈틑뺭뷡쫸쇋뎤웚틔살쿠릲뒦;냑낲좫ꆢ헾훎뫍뺭쎳컊쳢짏뗄럖웧캬돖뮥룴샫뗄샺쪷ꆣ뫏ퟷ뛔솽맺틢캶ퟅ맣랺뗄쫕퓚뿉틔뿘훆뗄쮮욽짏;퓚쓜릻쪵쿖릲펮뗄쇬틦,냼삨쪵쿖뫍삩듳쎳틗쫕틦ꆢ듙뷸뺭볃퓶폲뷸튻늽뾪럅쫐뎡뫍뇣샻뺭쎳뫏ퟷ;퓚쟸폲뎤ꆢ퓶잿퓚맺볊맦퓲훆뚨맽돌훐뗄첸에쪵솦ꆢ쓚뫍맺볊짏뻍뻟쳥컊쳢뷸탐쏜쟐뫏ퟷꆣꆰ뫃샩퓚톰쟳쓜풴뫍웤쯻ퟔ좻풴뗄맽돌훐뇜쏢뢶탞뫃쇚ꆱ(Goodfencesmakegood돶룼룟듺볛,틔벰뒴퓬폐샻폚뺭볃랢햹뗄훜neighbors)ꆣ퓚헢샯,ꆰ뫃샩ꆱ(goodfences)횸뇟낲좫뗈ꆣ뛸폫듋춬쪱,튲듦퓚튻쾵쇐훆풼솽쏷좷뷧뚨뫍퇏룱횴탐뗄맺볊훆뛈뫍맦퓲ꆣ뻍맺짮뮯뫏ퟷ뗄틲쯘,훮죧룷ퟔ맺쓚벯췅횮볤훐펡맘쾵살뾴,솽맺뿉틔퓚JACIKꆢ짏몣뫏뗄샻틦돥춻ꆢ뗘풵헾훎뫍솽맺뺭볃짏뗄뺺헹ꆢퟷퟩ횯뗈쟸폲닣듎짏뗄튻쳥뮯ퟩ횯쓚뷸튻늽췢늿솦솿뗄잣훆뗈ꆣ볓잿붻쇷폫솪쾵,췆뷸쟸폲튻쳥뮯뗄짮죫뫍훐펡맘쾵뗄랢햹듦퓚죽훖뿉쓜탔:헻뫏,늢퓚WTOꆢG20뗈좫쟲닣듎짏뗄ퟩ횯뗚튻훖,늻붨솢뫏ퟷꆣ헢틢캶ퟅ훐펡횮볤쓚뻍캬뮤랢햹훐맺볒뗄릲춬샻틦뷸탐뫏ퟷꆣ퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏쫇튻훖쇣뫍뗄뺺헹맘쾵,뛸쟒훐펡뫏ퟷ뗄뗀슷쯤좻웩늻욽,떫쫇웤잿듳뗄훐펡횮볤뇘폐튻운ꆣ듓쿖쪵살뾴,헢훖짮죫랢햹뇘붫뛔퇇훞뺭볃튻쳥뮯,뛔랢햹훐믘떽듓잰뗄뿉쓜탔벸뫵늻듦퓚ꆣ맺볒뗄릲춬샻틦,쓋훁뛔좫죋샠뗄뢣ퟶ돶뗚뛾훖,쪵쿖뷏룟돌뛈뗄쎳틗ퟔ평뮯뫍믽벫릱쿗ꆣ퓚맺볊컨첨짏탎돉좫쏦햽싔춬쏋ꆣ쫂쪵짏솽17' 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
