뗚7뻭뗚1웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)쓪1퓂JournalofNorthwestA&FUniversity(SocialScienceEdition)쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍랢햹뗄쾵춳맛뿜쏷1,4ꆡ,샮슼쳃1,닜ꆡ2,돂뾭뮪3(1.컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧뺭볃맜샭톧풺;2.컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧춼쫩망,짂컷퇮쇨ꆡ712100;3.삼훝붻춨듳톧붻춨퓋쫤톧풺,삼훝ꆡ730070;4.듳춬듳톧샺쪷쾵,즽컷듳춬ꆡ037009)ꆡꆡ햪ꆡ튪:믹폚쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳뗄쳘탔틔벰퓋ퟷ탔훊뗄뢴퓓탔,뻟쳥쳖싛뫄즢뷡릹샭싛ꆢ킭춬톧샭싛ꆢ쾵춳뚯솦톧샭싛뫍퇐쳖쳼쾵춳샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍랢햹훐뗄펦폃,횼퓚캪헾뢮맜샭헟쳡릩쾵춳탔ꆢ뿆톧탔뗄럖컶컊쳢뗄쮼슷뫍폐킧뗄뻶닟틀뻝ꆣ맘볼듊:쟸폲뺭볃;튻냣쾵춳싛;쾵춳뚯솦톧;퇐쳖쳼훐춼럖샠뫅:F207ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ컄쿗뇪쪶싫:A컄헂뇠뫅:1009-9107(2007)01-0057-04SystemIdeaofRegionalEconomicPlanningandDevelopmentKOUMing2ting1,4,LILu2tang1,CAOJin2,CHENKai2hu3a(,NorthwestA&FUniversity;,NorthwestA&FUniversity,Yangling,Shaanxi712100;,LanzhouJiaotongUniversity,Lanzhou730070;,DatongUniversity,Datong,Shanxi037009,China)Abstract:Basedonthespecialpropertiesofregionaleconomicsystemaswellasthecomplexityofoper2atingnature,thepaperdiscussestheapplicationsofseveralefficientsystemtheoriesandmethodsintheregionaleconomicplanninganddevelopment,forexample,dissipativestnuturetheory,synergeticstheory,:regionaleconomic;normalsystemtheory;systemdynamics(SD);hallforworkshopofmeta2syntheticengineeringꆡꆡ쟸폲뺭볃뗄맦뮮뫍랢햹쫇튻샠벫웤뢴퓓뗄쾵춳탔,죧맻쎻폐튻훖뿉ퟛ뫏뾼싇룷훖늻좷뚨틲쯘ꆢퟛ뫏릤돌[1],뛔웤퓋탐믺훆폐킧뗘럖컶ꆢ풤닢뫍쒣쓢뚼쫇펦폃룷랽쏦횪쪶뫍탅쾢벼쫵뗄랽램쫇컞램폐킧뷢뻶뷏캪삧쓑뗄,웤펰쿬틲쯘뗄늻좷뚨탔뫍틲쯘쿠뮥ퟷ헢튻쓑쳢뗄ꆣ뛸쾵춳릤돌샭싛뫍랽램잡잡캪컒쏇쳡폃뗄럇쿟탔룸헾뢮맜샭헟폐킧뻶닟듸쇋벫듳뗄쳴릩쇋폐킧뗄럖컶뫍뷢뻶쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳(regionaleco2햽ꆣ쳘뇰쫇쯦ퟅ쫐뎡뺭볃뛔컒맺뺭볃펰쿬뗄훰붥짮nomicsystem볲돆RES)헢튻뢴퓓컊쳢뗄샭싛뫍랽죫,쪹뗃쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍랢햹돤싺ퟅ룼뛠뗄늻좷뚨램쫖뛎ꆣ춨맽쾵춳릤돌샭싛뫍랽램뗄펦폃,퓋폃뚨ꆡ쫕룥죕웚:2006204221ꆡퟷ헟볲뷩:뿜쏷(1981ꆪ),얮,즽컷펦쿘죋,컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧뺭볃맜샭톧풺쮶쪿퇐뺿짺,퇐뺿랽쿲캪릤짌맜샭ꆢ죋솦풴뾪랢폫맜샭ꆣ' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
58ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ뗚7뻭솿럖컶뫍뚨탔럖컶쿠뷡뫏뗄랽램틔벰볆쯣믺뗈벼쫵듳쟸폲뗄ퟓ쟸폲,평듋탎돉쟸폲쾵춳뗄닣듎뷡릹ꆣ릤뻟뛔쾵춳뗄릹돉튪쯘ꆢퟩ횯뷡릹ꆢ탅쾢붻뮻뫍랴삡훐맺뺭볃쟸폲뗄닣듎뷡릹ퟮ룟닣듎(뚥뗣)캪맺볒,뿘훆뗈릦쓜뷸탐럖컶ꆢ짨볆ꆢ훆퓬뫍럾컱,듓뛸듯떽뗚뛾벶캪죽듳뺭볃뗘듸ꆢ쓏랽뫍놱랽,뗚죽벶캪듳뺭ퟮ폅짨볆ꆢퟮ폅뿘훆뫍ퟮ폅맜샭뗄쒿뗄,틔뇣돤럖뗘볃쟸,뗚쯄벶캪쪡벶뺭볃쟸,뗚컥벶캪쪡쓚뺭볃쟸,랢믓죋솦ꆢ컯솦뗄잱쓜;춨맽룷훖ퟩ횯맜샭벼쫵,쪹뗚쇹벶캪돇쫐뺭볃쟸(뗘쫐벶),뗚웟벶캪쿘벶뺭볃뻖늿뫍헻쳥횮볤뗄맘쾵킭뗷엤뫏,쪵쿖쾵춳뗄ퟛ뫏쟸(쿘쫐벶),쿘벶틔쿂뮹뿉틔폐쿘쓚뺭볃쟸ꆢ쿧헲벶ퟮ폅뮯ꆣ[2]놾컄샻폃쾵춳릤돌샭싛뛔쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뺭볃쟸뗈ꆣ뫍랢햹뷸탐쳖싛럖컶,쫔춼붨솢뿆톧뗄뿉돖탸랢햹5.ퟔ쫊펦탔뫍ퟔퟩ횯탔ꆣ쟸폲쾵춳쫇튻룶헻뗄쾵춳맛ꆣ쳥,췢뷧뮷뺳뗄죎뫎뇤뮯,뚼믡틽웰쾵춳뷡릹폫튪쯘뗄뇤뮯,붨솢웰탂뗄컈뚨뷡릹뫍ힴ첬,듓뛸쫊펦탂뗄튻ꆢ쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳쳘헷뗄쾵춳탔럖컶뮷뺳ꆣퟔ쫊펦탔냼삨죽룶랽쏦;뗚튻쫇쾵춳뛔췢뷧뮷뺳뇤뮯ퟔ뚯랴펦탔;뗚뛾쫇쾵춳쫜췢뷧뮷뺳뇤뮯1.ퟛ뫏탔뫍헻쳥탔ꆣ쟸폲쾵춳뗄ퟛ뫏탔쫇횸쾵룉죅뫳ퟔ뚯믖뢴욽뫢뗄컈뚨탔;뗚죽쫇쾵춳캪쫊펦춳튪쯘뗄뛠퇹탔,볈폐ퟔ좻틲쯘,폖폐짧믡틲쯘뫍뺭탂뗄췢뷧뮷뺳뇤뮯뛸랢짺춻뇤,떼훂쾵춳뷡릹뇤뮯볃틲쯘;헻쳥탔쫇횸쟸폲쾵춳뗄룷룶늿럖쫇쿠뮥솪폫훘ퟩ뗄퇝뮯탔훊ꆣ듓헢룶틢틥짏붲,늻좷뚨탔쿖쿳쾵ꆢ쿠뮥훆풼뗄,횻폐ퟛ뫏킭뗷짧믡ꆢ뺭볃ꆢ짺첬ꆢ뮷뗄돶쿖헽쫇쟸폲쾵춳룟뛈ퟔ쫊펦쓜솦뗄튻훖뇭쿖ꆣ뺳뗈룷룶랽쏦닅쓜믱뗃ퟮ병뗄헻쳥탔쓜ꆣ2.뚯첬탔뫍뾪럅탔ꆣ쟸폲쾵춳쫇짦벰듳솿튪쯘뛾ꆢ쾵춳샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍뗄ꆢ뢴퓓뗄뚯첬쾵춳,웤뷡릹ꆢퟩ돉튪쯘뗄쮮욽폫뇤랢햹훐뗄펦폃뮯쯙뛈뗈뻹뒦폚뚯첬뇤뮯횮훐ꆣ쟸폲쫇튻룶뾪럅쾵춳,쟸폲폫췢뷧뷸탐ퟅ쓜풴ꆢ풭닄쇏ꆢ닺욷ꆢ죋풱ꆢꆡꆡ평폚쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳뷡릹뗄뢴퓓탔ꆢ튪쯘퓋탐뗄뷰뫍탅쾢뗄쇷뚯ꆣ죧잰쯹쫶,쟸폲횮볤듦퓚ퟅ닮틬쯦믺탔ꆢퟷ폃뗄럇쿟탔,늢쟒캪쇋뗃떽뚨솿뮯돌뛈룟폫쳝뛈,늻춬뗘쟸폐늻춬뗄랢햹쳵볾뫍늻춬뗄랢햹뗄뷡맻,훂쪹늻쓜폃볲떥뗄쫽톧샭싛뷸탐럖컶,헢샯폅쫆,냑늻춬뗄뗘쟸킭뗷ퟩ횯웰살,닅쓜믱뗃듳쾵춳훷튪뷨본튻냣쾵춳샭싛훐뫄즢뷡릹뗄샭싛ꆢ뢴퓓뗄헻쳥킧틦ꆣ듓헢룶틢틥짏붲,뾪럅탔쫇쟸폲쾵춳쾵춳샭싛훐ퟔ쫊펦탔샭싛뫍쾵춳뚯솦톧샭싛뛔쟸폲쿲폅뮯랢햹뗄뇘튪쳵볾,럢뇕ꆢ맂솢뇘좻떼훂쟸폲쾵뺭볃쾵춳뷸탐럖컶ꆣ춳뗄쮥실,헢틑뺭캪쫀뷧룷맺ꆢ룷뗘쟸뗄랢햹샺돌쯹(튻)뫄즢뷡릹뗄샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃랢햹훐뗄횤쏷ꆣ펦폃3.뿕볤탔뫍쟸폲탔ꆣ쟸폲쾵춳ퟜ쫇춬튻뚨뗄뗘뫄즢뷡릹샭싛횸돶:튻룶럢뇕쾵춳뗄쫇늻뛏뇭뿕볤쿠솪쾵,쾵춳튪쯘뗄뿕볤럖늼ꆢ뗘쟸뿕볤랶퓶볓뗄,틲듋,쾵춳캪쇋뗖훆ퟔ짭ퟜ뗄퓶볓뻍뇘탫캧ꆢ뿕볤뻠샫ꆢ뿕볤솪쾵뗈퓚쟸폲쾵춳훐폐훘듳ퟷ틔뾪럅뗄탎쪽듦퓚,늻뛏뗘폫췢뷧뷸탐컯훊ꆢ쓜솿뫍폃,뛔쟸폲쾵춳뗄ퟩ돉늿럖죧짧믡ꆢ뺭볃ꆢ헾훎ퟩ횯탅쾢뗄붻뮻,늻뛏룼탂ퟔ벺뗄믺릹뫍튪쯘ퟩ돉,돉캪뗄탐캪폐벫듳뗄펰쿬,헢뻍쫇쟸폲쾵춳뿕볤탔뗄몬폐믺뗄뾪럅쾵춳ꆣ뛔튻룶쟸폲쾵춳살붲,캪쇋ퟔ짭틥ꆣ춬퇹쫇욽풭뗘쟸,퓚듳훐돇쫐훜캧뗄뗘쟸틲쫜뺭볃쮮욽뗄랢햹,뻍뇘탫폫췢뷧뷸탐죋솦ꆢ컯솦ꆢ닆떽뷏잿뗄뺭볃럸짤ퟷ폃,뺭볃랢햹쮮욽ꆢ랢햹쯙뛈뻍솦뫍탅쾢뗈컯훊틔벰뗧쓜ꆢ죈쓜뗈쓜솿뗄붻뮻살컼뷏풶샫듳훐돇쫐뗄뗘쟸캪룟ꆣ샽죧,붭쯕쪡쯕쓏뗘쫕뢺,뗖훆ퟔ짭뗄퓶볓,듓뛸뗖훆헻룶쾵춳ퟜ쟸뒦퓚짏몣ꆢ쓏뺩ꆢ쯕훝ꆢ컞컽ꆢ뎣훝ꆢ헲붭뗈듳훐돇쫐뗄퓶볓,놣돖쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳늻뛏뗘뒴탂,붡뾵뗘랢뗄펰쿬랶캧횮쓚,뺭볃랢햹쮮욽풶풶룟폚쯕놱뗘쟸ꆣ햹ꆣ듋췢,쇭튻룶놣돖ퟜ복짙뗄춾뺶쫇늻뛏룼탂4.닣듎탔ꆣ닣듎탔쫇폫쟸폲쾵춳뗄뿕볤탔ꆢ쟸ퟔ짭쓚늿뷡릹뫍튪쯘,룄짆쾵춳쓚컯쇷ꆢ죋쇷틔벰탅폲탔뷴쏜솪쾵뗄튻룶룅쓮ꆣ죎뫎튻룶뿕볤랶캧뷏듳쾢쇷뗄퓋ퟷ쒣쪽뫍퓋탐쳵볾,뗖훆퓶볓ꆣ쟸폲뺭뗄쟸폲쾵춳ퟜ뿉틔럖뷢돉죴룉뿕볤랶캧뷏킡뗄쟸폲볃뗄뒴탂쾵춳뻍쫇붨솢퓚죧뫎ퟩ뫏ퟔ짭튪쯘믲폫췢쾵춳;랴맽살쮵,죎뫎튻룶쟸폲뚼뿉틔뾴돉쫇쒳룶뷏뷧붻쇷뫍듓췢뷧컼쫕탂튪쯘살퓶볓ퟔ벺뗄뢺,놣' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
ꆡ뗚1웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ뿜쏷뗈:쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍랢햹뗄쾵춳맛59돖돖탸뒴탂뗄ힴ첬ꆣ랢햹떱뗘뺭볃,뷸탐헐짌틽,룶뇰닺튵랢햹,듓뛸듸뚯웤쯻닺튵ꆣ튲틲듋,쟸폲욽틽뷸죋닅ꆢ벼쫵뫍맜샭뺭퇩뻍쫇캪쇋늻뛏룼탂놾뗘뫢랢햹샭싛퓢떽뫕뛻쾣싼ꆢ뛻듯뛻뗈캪듺뇭뗄튻횪쪶뫍벼쫵뷡릹,쒿뗄쫇컼쫕뢺;뛸뗘쟸뷸탐ퟔ훷킩뺭볃톧볒뗄랴뛔폫엺에ꆣ쯻쏇죏캪:랢햹훐맺볒뒴탂쫇캪쇋뗖훆놾짭뗄퓶ꆣ늻뻟놸좫쏦퓶뎤뗄놾뫍웤쯻풴,욽뫢퓶뎤쫇늻샭싛춬쪱룸컒쏇헢퇹뗄웴쪾:뗘쟸횻폐닮틬뿉쓜뗄ꆣ뿉볻,춶횻쓜폐톡퓱뗘퓚죴룉늿쏅믲쟸닅쓜닺짺붻쇷뗄뚯솦,늻뛏듙뷸룷ퟔ튪쯘뫍뷡릹뗄폲뷸탐,웤쯻늿쏅믲쟸폲춨맽샻폃헢킩늿쏅믲쟸폲룼탂ꆣ쯼튲뫜뫃뷢쫍쇋뫍킳뺭볃랢햹햽싔늢늻쫇춬뗄춶듸살뗄췢늿뺭볃훰늽뗃떽랢햹ꆣ쪱뷸탐랢햹,듯떽춬튻뺭볃쮮욽ꆣ떱좻맺볒뫍헾뢮(뛾)킭춬톧샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮훐뗄펦폃튲쎻폐쓇쎴듳뗄쓜솦뛔쯹폐뗘쟸뷸탐춶믲럶돖,킭춬톧샭싛쫇1973평뗂맺뗄맾뿏랢쿖뗄,쯻횸폐킧뗄냬램뻍쫇럶돖랢햹뻟폐듺뇭탔뗄뗘쟸뫍닺돶:늻춬쾵춳횮볤릲춬듦퓚ퟅ춬튻쾵춳뗄튪쯘횮볤튵,좻뫳랢햹뗄뗘쟸(쟸폲)뫍캴랢햹뗄뗘쟸(쟸폲)킭춬쿖쿳ꆣ듋샭싛캪쟸폲뺭볃쓚튪쯘뫍튪쯘횮볤ꆢ횮볤뻍닺짺쇋뗘쟸닮뇰,뛸헢훖쟸폲볤뗄늻욽뫢잡튪쯘뫍뷡릹횮볤ꆢ뷡릹닣듎뫍뷡릹릦쓜횮볤욥엤탔뫃캪뗘쟸볤뷸탐탅쾢뫍컯훊뗄붻뮻쳡릩쇋뷗쳝탔뗄쳡릩쇋샭싛틀뻝,춬쪱튲캪쟸폲뺭볃횮볤뗄뫍킳랢뚯솦,헢퇹캴랢햹뗄뗘쟸튲퓚랢햹뗘쟸뗄ꆰ삭뚯쿂ꆱ햹쳡릩쇋샭싛틀뻝ꆣ샽죧뛔쟸폲벼쫵뒴탂쓜솦폫쟸랢햹웰살ꆣ뻟쳥떽훐맺맺쟩,룹뻝쒿잰헾뢮쪵솦뫍폲뗄풴ꆢ뺭볃ꆢ훆뛈ꆢ컄뮯뗈쿠욥엤뗄컊쳢맺췢퇐뗘쟸뗄쪵볊쟩뿶,횻쓜쿈랢햹뻟폐뷏뫃춶뮷뺳ꆢ죝뺿뇭쏷:쟸폲벼쫵뒴탂뗄랢햹쫜떽쟸폲뻟쳥뗄랢햹틗뛔췢쎳틗ꆢ폐솼뫃짺첬뫍짺듦뮷뺳뗄뚫늿,쪹웰샺쪷ꆢ컄뮯ꆢ뒫춳벰웤쯹탎돉뗄훆뛈틲쯘뗄펰쿬ꆣ컞뗄뚫늿듸뚯쳵볾닮뗄컷늿ꆣ뻍뗘쟸놾짭살붲,캪쇋싛쫇훆뛈뫍벼쫵뗄쇓쫆쟸폲뮹쫇폅쫆쟸폲,쟸폲랢랢햹떱뗘뺭볃,횻톡퓱뗘쟸훐쒳킩듺뇭탔뗘쟸(붻춨햹뗄맘볼뚼쫇쟸폲벼쫵뒴탂쓜솦폫룃쟸폲뗄훆뛈ꆢ뇣샻,풴럡뢻뗈)뷸탐춶,듓뛸럸짤떽쇚뷼뗘쟸,닺튵뷡릹뫍샺쪷컄뮯뗄욥엤맘쾵ꆣ죧맻욥엤,뻍믡듙뷸쇚뷼뗘쟸뗄뺭볃쮮욽쳡룟,죧룟탂벼쫵뾪랢쟸닺짺킭춬킧펦,듙뷸쟸폲뺭볃랢햹;랴횮,믡틖훆쟸뗄붨솢,뺭볃뾪랢쟸뗄붨솢뗈ꆣ평폚춬튻뗘쟸룷룶폲뺭볃랢햹ꆣ죴냑욥엤맘쾵럖캪죵욥엤ꆢ잿욥엤뫍닺튵볤늻쫇뛀솢뗄,횮볤뚼뷸탐ퟅ횱뷓믲볤뷓뗄탅늻욥엤죽훖,퓲헢킩욥엤뛔쟸폲뺭볃랢햹뗄펰쿬쫇쾢뫍쓜솿뗄붻뮻,틲듋헾뢮뿉틔룹뻝놾쟸쳘뗣뷸탐쿔좻늻춬뗄(볻뇭1)ꆣ뇭1ꆡ쟸폲뒴탂벼쫵ꆢ뒴탂쓜솦폫쟸폲뺭볃랢햹뗄맘쾵[3]솽헟뗄욥엤맘쾵뛔쟸폲뺭볃랢햹뗄ퟷ폃잿욥엤킭춬킧펦잿,뛔쟸폲뺭볃랢햹뗄듙뷸ퟷ폃쏷쿔,뻟폐뫜잿뗄뿉돖탸랢햹쓜솦죵욥엤킭춬킧펦죵,뛔쟸폲뺭볃랢햹ퟷ폃늻쏷쿔,죵뗄뿉돖탸랢햹쓜솦ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ늻욥엤킭춬킧펦닮,틖훆쟸폲뺭볃랢햹,풴샋럑,좱랦돖탸뒴탂쓜솦뫍랢햹쓜솦ꆡꆡꆡ(죽)쾵춳뚯솦톧샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮뫍랢햹훐램,붨솢쇋쾵춳뚯솦톧쒣탍,틔볆쯣믺캪릤뻟,뷸탐뗄펦폃럂헦쫔퇩,듓뛸믱뗃럖컶뫍퇐뺿쾵춳뷡릹뫍탐캪뗄평폚쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳쓚췢탅쾢뫍컯훊쇷뚯ꆢ붻뮻폐킧탅쾢,캪헽좷뻶닟쳡릩쇋뿆톧틀뻝ꆣ떱좻,폃틔벰튪쯘뫍뷡릹뗄뇤틬럇뎣뢴퓓,쯼잣솬떽얩튵ꆢ릤SD살뷢뻶쟸폲뺭볃쾵춳(RES)컊쳢쫇믹폚쯼뻟폐튵ꆢ짺첬ꆢ뮷뺳ꆢ풴ꆢ죋뿚뗈뢴퓓컊쳢,벰웤쯼쏇횮틔쿂쳘헷:(1)RES듦퓚틲맻싉,벴쾵춳쓚몬폐랴삡볤뗄ퟷ폃맘쾵,쳘뇰쫇횪쪶뺭볃쪱듺쪹컊쳢룼볓뢴뮷,뛸랴삡뮷쫇랴삡뿘훆샭싛뗄믹뒡ꆣ(2)RES뷡퓓뮯,틲캪횪쪶뗄퓘쳥ꆪꆪꆪ죋쫇룶폐ퟅ폐쿞샭탔늢릹틔랴삡뮷캪믹뒡,늢쟒쾵춳쓚늿듦퓚뛠훘랴삡뮷,쟒쇷뚯욵랱뗄폐믺쳥ꆣ헢뛔헾뢮맜샭헟뗄뻶닟살붲틲듋웤뷡릹쫇뢴퓓뗄,웤탐캪폖뻟폐랴횱맛탔ꆣ(3)컞틉쫇뒦폚ꆰ뫚쿤ꆱힴ첬,뛸쏀맺싩쪡샭릤톧풺뢣샗RES뗄룷풪쯘횮볤뻟폐뢴퓓뗄쿠뮥틀삵맘쾵,웤훐쮹쳘뷌쫚쳡돶퇐뺿쾵춳뚯첬탐캪뗄튻훖볆쯣믺럂헦탭뛠맘쾵뻟폐쏷쿔뗄럇쿟탔쳘헷ꆣ(4)RES훐뗄풭벼쫵,벴쾵춳뚯솦톧(systemdynamics볲돆SD)ꆣ틲폫뷡맻퓚쪱볤짏췹췹듦퓚뷏뎤뗄퇓동,뛸쟒퓚뿕쯼ퟛ뫏펦폃뿘훆싛ꆢ탅쾢싛ꆢ뻶닟싛뗈폐맘샭싛뫍랽볤짏쫇럖샫뗄ꆣ(5)RES뻟폐뫜듳뗄맟탔,뛔폚헾' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
60ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ컷놱얩쇖뿆벼듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ뗚7뻭닟뗄룄뇤폐튻뚨뗄뗖훆탔,쟒웤뎤웚킧맻췹췹폫뛌죋뫍벸룶죋뗄훇믛쫇늻뿉쓜뷸탐좫쏦럖컶뗄;춬쪱웚킧맻쿠랴ꆣ(6)RES늻쫊틋퓚쪵볊쾵춳훐ퟶ쫔뷶뷶폃쿟탔쒣탍뫍웤쯻좷뚨탔쒣탍튲컞램쏨쫶쟸폲퇩,쟒쯼뗄탭뛠쿖쿳쫇튻듎탔뗄ꆣ뺭볃쾵춳쓚(믲횮볤)뗄탅쾢붻뮻뫍뇤틬ꆢ닺튵볤뢴튪폐킧쒣쓢럂헦RES짏쫶쳘헷,늢듯떽쾵춳풤퓓뗄쿠뮥ퟷ폃뗈쿖쿳ꆣ뇘탫평럇쿟탔쒣탍ꆢ늻좷뚨닢뗄쒿뗄,SD쫇룶폐킧쫖뛎ꆣ내헕쾵춳뚯솦톧뗄샭쒣탍뫍쯦믺쒣탍뛔웤뿌뮮,뛸붨솢뫍뒦샭헢킩쒣탍싛ꆢ풭샭폫랽램럖컶쪵볊쾵춳,붨솢웰뚨솿쒣탍폫룅뚼탨튪샻폃퇐쳖쳼헢훖벯믺웷쳥쾵ꆢ볒쳥쾵뫍횪쓮쒣탍튻쳥뮯뗄쾵춳뚯솦톧쒣탍,뻶닟헟뻍뿉틔뷨쪶쳥쾵캪튻쳥뗄뢴퓓쾵춳뒦샭랽램ꆣ죧뛔쟸폲뺭볃훺볆쯣믺쒣쓢벼쫵퓚볒좺쳥뗄냯훺쿂,뷸탐뚨탔뷸탐풤닢믲폅뮯,웤훐펰쿬틲ퟓ뫍뮷뺳럖컶튪뾿폫뚨솿뗘퇐뺿짧믡ꆢ뺭볃쾵춳컊쳢늢뷸탐뻶닟ꆣ헢볒횧돖쳥쾵,랽램뫍쒣탍뗄톡퓱뫍붨솢돽틀뾿볒쫇붨솢쒣탍폫퓋폃쒣탍뗄춳튻맽돌ꆣ[4]횵뗃힢틢뗄쳥쾵췢뮹탨튪럡뢻뗄횪쪶쳥쾵살횧돖,뛔뢴퓓쒣탍쫇퓚웤좫맽돌훐,붨쒣죋풱뇘탫뷴쏜솪쾵쪵볊,짮죫뗄럂헦쒣쓢퓲샫늻뾪볆쯣믺,뛸헢훖쾵춳탔뗄랽램뗷닩퇐뺿,ퟮ듳쿞뛈뗘쫕벯폫퓋폃폐맘룃쾵춳벰웤쳥쾵헽쫇퇐쳖쳼뗄뫋탄샭쓮ꆣ틲듋,퇐쳖쳼쳡릩쇋컊쳢뗄쇏뫍춳볆쫽뻝,뻶닟죋풱뫍쫬쾤룃쾵춳뗄쾵춳탔뒦샭쟸폲뺭볃컊쳢뗄랽램,떱좻쯼튲쫇ퟛ뫏볒죋풱튪쏜쟐뷡뫏,캨듋닅쓜쪹쾵춳뚯솦톧뗄샭펦폃짏쫶쾵춳랽램뫍쮼쿫뗄벯돉쳥쾵ꆣ싛폫랽램돉캪뷸탐뿆톧뻶닟뗄폐솦쫖뛎ꆣ(쯄)퇐쳖쳼쾵춳샭싛퓚쟸폲뺭볃ퟛ뫏맦뮮훐뗄죽ꆢ뷡ꆡ폯펦폃ퟛ뫏벯돉퇐쳖쳼쳥쾵(hallforworkshopofퟜ횮,쾵춳샭싛캪컒쏇쳡릩쇋뷢뻶뢴퓓쟸폲뺭meta2syntheticengineering,볲돆HWME)쫇잮톧볃톧컊쳢뗄폐킧뗄샭싛횧돖뫍랽램횸떼,떫쓜럱뫜즭폚1992쓪쳡돶뗄ꆣ헢룶퇐쳖쳼쳥쾵평죽룶ퟓ쳥뫃뗘펦폃떽쪵볊떱훐좥,늻떫탨튪쏅쾵춳죋풱닎쾵ퟩ돉,틔볆쯣믺캪뫋탄뗄쿖듺룟탂벼쫵벯돉뗄믺폫,뛸쟒탨튪떱뻖헾뢮죏쪶웤훘튪탔뫍뿆톧탔,춬쪱웷쳥쾵ꆢ늻춬튵놳뺰뗄볒쳥쾵틔벰쏦뛔룷훖뮷퇸돉쾵춳쮼캬뗄쾰맟ꆣ뺳쪱뒦샭늻춬컊쳢뗄랽램뫍쒣탍뗄횪쪶쳥쾵ꆣ춬쪱헢죽룶쳥쾵릹돉룟뛈훇쓜뮯뗄죋믺뷡뫏쳥쾵,늻뷶닎뾼컄쿗:뻟폐횪쪶폫탅쾢뗄닉벯ꆢ듦뒢ꆢ뒫뗝ꆢ뗷폃ꆢ럖컶폫ퟛ[1]ꆡ췴펦싥.쾵춳릤돌샭싛ꆢ랽램폫펦폃[M].뗚2냦.놱뫏뗄릦쓜,룼훘튪뗄쫇뻟폐닺짺탂횪쪶뫍훇믛뗄릦뺩:룟뗈뷌폽돶냦짧,2002:8.쓜ꆣ볈뿉폃살퇐뺿샭싛컊쳢,폖뿉폃살뷢뻶쪵볹컊[2]ꆡ췴펦싥.쾵춳릤돌[M].뗚2냦.놱뺩:믺킵릤튵돶냦쳢짧,1999:5.,틲뛸퓚뷢뻶샠쯆폚쟸폲뺭볃뷡릹뗷헻횮샠뗄폐훇믛훷쳥닎폫뗄짧믡쪵볹컊쳢쪱,룃쳥쾵뻟폐뷏뢴[3]ꆡ컌닅틸,싞폐쿍.맘폚쟸폲뒴탂쾵춳뗄벸뗣쮼뾼[J].맾뛻뇵톧풺톧놨,2005,26(7):35-40.퓓ퟔ쫊펦쾵춳샭싛(CAS)횱떽쒿잰캪횹뮹쓑틔좡듺[4]ꆡ췵웤랪.쾵춳뚯솦톧[M].탞뚩냦.놱뺩:쟥뮪듳톧돶냦뗄폅뗣ꆣ뛸쟸폲뺭볃맦뮮,쳘뇰쫇듳탍쟸폲뺭볃맦짧,1994:10.뮮춨뎣폖쫇럇뎣뢴퓓뗄튻쿮쾵춳릤돌,횻욾뷨떥룶' 1994-2010 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
