ISSN1000200548뻭뗚12웚4ö31CN1122223öNꆡ쟥뮪듳톧톧놨(ퟔ좻뿆톧냦)2008쓪뗚4JTsinghuaUniv(Sci&Tech),2008,,,2047ꆡ믹폚볛룱탅쾢뒫뗝뗄힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊슬병욽,ꆡ헅ꆡ뫬(쟥뮪듳톧붨짨맜샭쾵,놱뺩100084)햪ꆡ튪:캪럖컶퓚뿕볤캬뛈짏뗄볛룱탅쾢펰쿬,뷸탐쇋힡햬쿕쳗샻믺믡[2-3]ꆣ쫐뎡킧싊퇐뺿ꆣ샻폃쿲솿ퟔ믘맩쒣탍뫍놱뺩뗈7룶돇쫐2003ퟷ캪힡햬쫐뎡킧싊뗄훘튪ퟩ돉늿럖,힡햬쫐뎡쓪6퓂훁2007쓪7퓂뗄힡햬볛룱쫽뻝,볬퇩돇쫐볤뗄힡햬볛뿕볤킧싊쳥쿖볛룱탅쾢퓚늻춬쟸폲믲돇쫐횮볤뒫뗝룱뗄탅쾢뒫뗝탔뫍힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊ꆣ퇐뺿뇭쏷:훐맺쿠쇚돇쫐볤뗄힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊뷏룟,뛸늻쿠쇚돇쫐볤뗄힡햬쫐뗄폐킧탔,벴쒳튻쟸폲믲돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱뇤뮯쓜럱뎡뇭쿖돶뿕볤럇폐킧탔,벴늻쿠쇚돇쫐볤뗄힡햬볛룱뻟폐뿉폃폚풤닢웤쯻쟸폲믲돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱뇤뮯[4]ꆣ죧맻풤닢탔ꆣ춶헟뿉틔춨맽럖컶웤쯻돇쫐힡햬볛룱뇤뮯뗄샺쪷힡햬쫐뎡뗄뿕볤킧싊뗍쿂,벴힡햬볛룱늻쓜벰쪱ꆢ컞탅쾢풤닢쒳튻돇쫐떱잰뗄힡햬볛룱ꆣ힡햬쫐뎡듦퓚컞럧쿕쳗욫뗘랴펳힡햬뿕볤쫐뎡뗄좫늿탅쾢,퓲춶헟뻍폐샻믺믡ꆣ믺믡샻폃쒳튻뗘쟸믲돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱탅쾢풤닢웤쯻맘볼듊뗘쟸믲돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱,뷸뛸뷸탐춶믲춶믺ꆣ:힡햬쫐뎡;뿕볤킧싊;붻닦쿠맘탔;뿉풤닢탔훐춼럖샠뫅놾컄톡퓱놱뺩뗈7룶듺뇭탔돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱,:컄쿗뇪쪶싫:A컄헂뇠뫅럖컶힡햬볛룱탅쾢퓚뿕볤캬뛈뗄펰쿬맘쾵,첽쳖믹:100020054(2008)1222041203폚볛룱탅쾢뒫뗝뗄힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊ꆣH1ꆡ힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊퇐뺿쮼슷ousingmarketspatialefficiencybasedonpricinginformationtransmission1)퇹놾돇쫐폫퇹놾쫽뻝톡퓱ꆣ쫗쿈,내헕뗘샭럖쟸,톡퓱뛠룶듽퇐뺿뗘쟸;웤듎,퓚쎿룶쯹톡뗘쟸LUJiaping,ZHANGHong쓚톡퓱튻믲솽룶쿠쇚돇쫐;ퟮ뫳,쫕벯헻샭퇹놾돇(DepartmentofConstructionManagement,TsinghuaUniversity,B쫐뗄힡햬볛룱퓂뛈쫽뻝ꆣeijing100084,China)2)뾼달늻춬돇쫐힡햬볛룱뗄뿉풤닢탔ꆣ닉폃쿲Abstract:솿ퟔ믘맩(vectorautoregressive,VAR)쒣탍,뾼달autoregressivemodelwasusedtoanalyzehousingpricedatafrom돇쫐볤힡햬볛룱뗄붻닦쿠맘탔ꆣJune2003toJuly2007of7citiesincludingBeijingtoexaminethe3)볬퇩돇쫐볤힡햬쫐뎡뗄뿕볤킧싊쮮욽ꆣ춳볆돇쫐볤힡햬볛룱뗄붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊,벴틔쎿룶돇housingmarketsinneighboringcitiesisrelativelyhigh,while쫐캪쒿뇪돇쫐,럖뇰볆쯣폫웤쿠쇚뫍늻쿠쇚뗄돇쫐housingpricesinnon2neighboringcitiesarenotcloselyrelated,w훐,붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸뗄돇쫐뇈싊ꆣ,investorscanpredictthecurrenthousingpriceinonecityfromhistoricalhousing4)퇩횤힡햬볛룱풤닢횵뗄ힼ좷탔ꆣ붨솢풤닢쒣,risk2freearbitrage탍,럖뇰틔놻풤닢돇쫐뫍쿠맘돇쫐캪틲뇤솿뫍ퟔ뇤opportunitiesexistinthehousingmarkets.솿,볆쯣돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱풤닢횵;붫풤닢횵폫쪵볊Keywords:housingmarkets;spatialefficiency;cross2correlation;횵뇈뷏,춨맽풤닢컳닮뗄듳킡살퇩횤VAR쒣탍풤닢prediction돇쫐볤힡햬볛룱뗄ힼ좷돌뛈ꆣ힡햬쫐뎡킧싊쫇횸힡햬볛룱뛔힡햬쫐뎡좫늿탅쾢뗄랴펳돌뛈[1]ꆣ퓚튻룶폐킧뗄힡햬쫐뎡훐,볛룱톸쫕룥죕웚:2007212220쯙ꆢ췪헻ꆢힼ좷뗘랴펳쇋쫐뎡뗄좫늿탅쾢,떱잰뗄탅믹뷰쿮쒿:맺볒ퟔ좻뿆톧믹뷰훺쿮쒿(70673050)ퟷ헟볲뷩:슬병욽(1983ꆪ),얮(몺),놱뺩,쮶쪿퇐뺿짺ꆣ쾢늻뿉폃폚풤닢캴살뗄볛룱ퟟ쫆,쫐뎡늻듦퓚컞럧춨톶솪쾵죋:헅뫬,뷌쫚,E2mail:zhannie@' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2042쟥뮪듳톧톧놨(ퟔ좻뿆톧냦)2008,48(12)평춼1뿉횪,퇹놾돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱짏짽쟷쫆튻2ꆡ퇹놾돇쫐폫퇹놾쫽뻝톡퓱훂,쟒쳥쿖돶싖랬짏헇뗄쳘헷ꆣ헢훖쿖쿳뇭쏷,쒳튻ꆡ퇹놾돇쫐톡퓱돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱뿉쓜믡룹뻝쇭튻돇쫐뗄볛룱탅쾢뛸뾼싇쫽뻝췪헻탔뫍쫽뻝쪱볤탲쇐뗄뎤뛈,늢ퟱ뇤뮯,벴늻춬돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱탅쾢뿉쓜듦퓚뿕볤뒫톭캻폚춬튻뗘쟸쓚뗄돇쫐뇟뷧쿠쇚뗄풭퓲,럖뇰톡뗝탔뫍뿉풤닢탔ꆣ퓱캻폚뮪뚫ꆢ뮪놱ꆢ뮪쓏뫍컷쓏뗘쟸뗄7룶듺뇭탔돇쫐죧짏몣ꆢ놱뺩ꆢ쳬뷲ꆢ짮?ꆢ맣훝ꆢ훘쟬ꆢ돉뚼뗈ퟷ캪3ꆡ뾼달늻춬돇쫐볤힡햬볛룱뗄뿉풤닢탔퇐뺿뛔쿳ꆣ헢7룶돇쫐뗄럖ퟩ쟩뿶죧뇭1쯹쪾ꆣ헢샯,춨맽볬퇩힡햬볛룱뗄붻닦쿠맘탔살뾼달뇭돇쫐볤힡햬볛룱뗄뿉풤닢탔ꆣ1ꆡ퇹놾돇쫐럖ퟩ뗘쟸쿠쇚돇쫐ꆡ쒣탍릹붨믹뒡뮪뚫짏몣ꆡꆡꆡ캪쇋뾼달솽뇤솿믲뛠뇤솿횮볤뗄풤닢쓜솦,탨뮪놱놱뺩ꆢ쳬뷲튪닉폃VAR쒣탍볬퇩붻닦쿠맘탔ꆣ튻룶k뷗뗄VAR뮪컷짮?ꆢ맣훝쒣탍죧쪽(1):뮪쓏훘쟬ꆢ돉뚼Mt=ꇆk0Mit-i+Et=i=ꆡ쫽뻝쫕벯폫헻샭01Mt-1+02Mt-2+ꆭ+0kMt-k+Et,쫕벯헻샭퇹놾돇쫐2003쓪6퓂훁2007쓪7퓂뗄Etꆫ0D(O,8).(1)힡햬볛룱퓂뛈쫽뻝(쫽뻝살풴:훐맺횸쫽퇐뺿풺ꆰ훐맺랿뗘닺쫽뻝뿢ꆱ,랿뗘닺튵뾪랢춳볆쫽뻝뿢웤훐:Mt캪룷뇤솿릹돉뗄쿲솿;01,02,ꆭ,0k벰0,2003쓪훁캪닎쫽뻘헳;Et캪쯦믺컳닮쿲솿;8캪랽닮킭랽닮2007쓪)ꆣ쫽뻝춳볆쳘헷볻뇭2ꆣ뻘헳[5];D캪헽첬럖늼몯쫽,쟒웚췻횵캪쇣쿲솿ꆣ뇭2ꆡ힡햬볛룱뗄퇹놾쫽뻝춳볆쳘헷폃ퟮ킡뛾돋램맀볆쎿룶랽돌,폃t춳볆솿볬퇩돇쫐힡햬볛룱ö(풪õm-2)ꆰ늻듦퓚붻닦쿠맘탔ꆱ뗄쇣볙짨(H0:랽돌훐ퟔ뇤솿ퟮ듳횵ퟮ킡횵욽뻹횵잰뗄쾵쫽좫늿캪쇣)ꆣ죧맻t춳볆솿뇈튻뚨훃탅뛈쿂짏몣721843086067뗄쇙뷧횵듳,뻍뻜뻸ꆰ쒳튻뇤솿늻쓜놻웤쯻뇤솿뗄샺놱뺩995843035925쪷횵풤닢ꆱ뗄쇣볙짨,벴쒳뇤솿뗄떱잰횵뿉틔춨맽ퟔ쳬뷲517723813582짮?짭뗄샺쪷횵벰웤쯻뇤솿뗄탅쾢뷸탐풤닢ꆣ1255952347307맣훝ꆡ룷돇쫐힡햬볛룱탲쇐뗄붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩훘쟬244113211785짨뛾뷗훍뫳뗄VAR쒣탍죧쪽(2):돉뚼396318532605Pi,t=Κi+Ξi,1Pi,t-1+Ξi,2Pi,t-2+ꆡꆡ캪횱맛쳥쿖룷돇쫐힡햬볛룱뗄쿠뮥맘쾵,퓚늻펰쿬룷돇쫐힡햬볛룱뇤뮯맦싉벰쿠뮥맘쾵럖컶뗄잰ꇆnΘj,1Pj,t-1+ꇆnΘj,2Pj,t-2+ui,t,j=1j=1쳡쿂jꇙi.(2),붫퇹놾돇쫐뗄퓂뛈쫽뻝뒦샭캪벾뛈쫽뻝,믦훆춼1ꆣ웤훐Pi,t캪i돇쫐퓚t쓪뗄힡햬볛룱ꆣ퓚95%뗄훃탅뛈쿂,t춳볆솿듳폚쇙뷧횵뗄ퟔ뇤솿폫틲뇤솿뻟폐붻닦쿠맘탔ꆣ뷸탐붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩[6-7],뷡맻죧뇭3쯹쪾ꆣꆡ붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩뷡맻닻쫍듓볬퇩뷡맻뿉틔뾴돶:1)퓚쿠쇚돇쫐볤,횻폐뮪놱뗘쟸뗄놱뺩폫쳬뷲힡햬볛룱뻟폐쿠맘탔;퓚뮪쓏뗘쟸뗄맣훝뫍짮?벰컷쓏뗘쟸뗄돉뚼뫍훘쟬헢솽ퟩ쿠쇚돇쫐볤,붻닦쿠맘탔늻쿔훸,뿕볤쫐뎡폐킧ꆣ춼1ꆡ퇹놾돇쫐힡햬볛룱뇤뮯맘쾵2)퓚늻쿠쇚돇쫐볤,헢7룶돇쫐힡햬볛룱뻹믡쫜떽튻솽룶돇쫐뗄펰쿬ꆣ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
슬병욽,뗈:ꆡ믹폚볛룱탅쾢뒫뗝뗄힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤킧싊2043뇭3ꆡ붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩뷡맻쿬뫍펰쿬웤쯻돇쫐뗄돌뛈뻹뷏룟,벴힡햬쫐뎡뿕볤쒿뇪돇쫐쿠맘뗄쿠쿠맘뗄늻킧싊쮮욽룼뗍ꆣ쇚돇쫐쿠쇚돇쫐짏몣ꆪ맣훝ꆢ돉뚼5ꆡ퇩횤힡햬볛룱풤닢횵뗄ힼ좷탔놱뺩ꆪ짏몣ꆢ짮?쳬뷲ꆪꆪꆡ힡햬볛룱풤닢쒣탍튻웚훍뫳짮?ꆪ훘쟬럖뇰틔쎿룶돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱캪틲뇤솿,틔룃돇맣훝ꆪ놱뺩훘쟬ꆪ놱뺩쫐볛룱뗄훍뫳쿮벰쿠맘돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱캪ퟔ뇤솿,돉뚼ꆪꆪ릹붨볛룱풤닢쒣탍죧쪽(3)ꆣ헢샯,캪쇋폫붻닦쿠맘짏몣ꆪ짮?탔볬퇩놣돖튻훂,훍뫳뷗쫽캪2ꆣ놱뺩ꆪ짏몣ꆢ짮?쳬뷲놱뺩짏몣Pi,t=∆i+Αi,1Pi,t-1+Αi,2Pi,t-2+ꇆmΒj,1Pj,t-1+뛾웚훍뫳짮?ꆪ훘쟬j=1맣훝ꆪ짏몣훘쟬ꆪ놱뺩ꇆmΒ(j,2Pj,t-2+Υi,t,ꆡjꇙ)j=1돉뚼ꆪ짏몣ꆢ쳬뷲쪽훐:Pi,t캪i돇쫐퓚t쓪뗄힡햬볛룱,m캪폫i돇쫐힡햬볛룱뻟폐쿠맘탔뗄돇쫐쫽[8]ꆣ폃ퟮ킡뛾돋램맀4ꆡ볬퇩돇쫐볤힡햬쫐뎡뗄뿕볤킧싊쮮욽볆쒣탍(3)뗄닎쫽횵ꆣ캪뾼달힡햬쫐뎡뗄뿕볤킧싊쮮욽,탨튪춳볆돇ꆡ퇩횤풤닢횵뗄ힼ좷탔쫐볤힡햬볛룱탅쾢붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊ꆣ쿔훸싊풽룟,붫2007쓪6퓂뫍7퓂뗄힡햬볛룱쫽뻝듺죫릫쪽퓲틢캶ퟅ펰쿬쒿뇪돇쫐볛룱뗄늻쿠쇚돇쫐풽뛠,벴(3),풤닢2007쓪8퓂룷돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱ꆣ풤닢뷡맻돇쫐볤힡햬쫐뎡킧싊쮮욽풽뗍ꆣ폫쪵볊쫽횵뗄뇈뷏죧뇭5쯹쪾ꆣꆡ춳볆붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊뇭5ꆡ돇쫐힡햬볛룱풤닢뷡맻폫쪵볊쫽횵뇈뷏뛔붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩뷡맻뷸탐럖샠춳볆,뗃떽7룶쒿뇪돇쫐뗄ꆰ쿠쇚돇쫐붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊ꆱ뫍ꆰ늻퇐뺿돇쫐힡햬볛룱ö(풪õm-2)풤닢컳닮ö%풤닢쪵볊쿠쇚돇쫐붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊ꆱ,춳볆뷡맻죧뇭4쯹쪾ꆣ짏몣뇭4ꆡ붻닦쿠맘탔쿔훸싊춳볆뷡맻놱뺩쒿뇪쿠쇚쿠쇚돇쫐붻닦늻쿠쇚돇쫐붻닦쳬뷲돇쫐돇쫐쿠맘탔쿔훸싊쿠맘탔쿔훸싊ö짮?%짏몣ꆪꆪ맣훝놱뺩쳬뷲훘쟬튻웚쳬뷲놱뺩돉뚼훍뫳짮?맣훝맣훝짮?ꆡꆡ평뇭5뿉횪,쒣탍뗄풤닢컳닮럇뎣킡ꆣ헢뷸튻늽훘쟬돉뚼뇭쏷붻닦쿠맘탔볬퇩뷡맻뗄ힼ좷탔,튲쮵쏷쿠맘돇돉뚼훘쟬쫐뗄힡햬볛룱뻟폐뫜잿뗄풤닢쓜솦ꆣ짏몣ꆪꆪ17놱뺩쳬뷲6ꆡ뷡싛폫붨틩뛾웚쳬뷲놱뺩놾컄뾼달쇋놱뺩뗈7룶돇쫐횮볤힡햬볛룱탅쾢훍뫳짮?맣훝맣훝짮?뗄쿠뮥펰쿬맘쾵ꆣ뷡맻뇭쏷,컒맺쿠쇚돇쫐볤힡햬뿕훘쟬돉뚼볤쫐뎡킧싊쮮욽뷏룟,뛸늻쿠쇚돇쫐볤뗄힡햬뿕볤돉뚼훘쟬쫐뎡킧싊쮮욽퓲뷏뗍,웤훐뗄놱뺩ꆢ짏몣ꆢ짮?폫웤쯻돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱횮볤듦퓚뷏룟뗄뒫뗝탔뫍뿉풤닢ꆡ춳볆뷡맻럖컶탔ꆣ헢틢캶ퟅ쫐뎡듦퓚컞럧쿕쳗샻믺믡,벴춶헟뿉평뇭4뿉횪,퓚컒맺쿠쇚돇쫐볤,힡햬쫐뎡탅쾢틔춨맽럖컶웤쯻돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱탅쾢풤닢쒳튻돇쫐뗄뿕볤뒫뗝킧싊뷏룟,벴쿠쇚돇쫐늻쓜룹뻝뇋듋뗄뗄힡햬볛룱ꆣ탅쾢쿠뮥풤닢힡햬볛룱뇤뮯ꆣ퓚늻쿠쇚돇쫐볤,놱뺩ꆢ짏몣ꆢ짮?뗈3룶돇쫐뗄힡햬볛룱쫜웤쯻돇쫐펰(쿂뗚2047튳)' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
헅붨쏱,뗈:ꆡ뾼싇캧톹뫍쏜뛈뗄놥뫍즰췁튺뮯뫳떥뗷볓퓘놾릹랽돌2047LIUHanlong,ZHOUYund4ꆡ뷡ꆡ싛ong,놾컄퓚틑폐쏨쫶튺뮯뫳떥뗷볓퓘뗄놾릹랽돌뗄liquefaction[J].ChinJGeotechEng,2002,24(2):142-믹뒡짏146.(inChinese),뾼싇쇋캧톹뫍쏜뛈뛔튺뮯뫳펦솦펦뇤맘쾵뗄펰쿬ꆣ죏캪쏜뛈뛔폚튺뮯뫳펦솦펦뇤맘쾵뗄펰쿬[7]헅붨쏱,췵룕.움볛놥뫍즰췁튺뮯맽돌훐킡펦뇤떽듳펦뇤뗄놾릹랽돌[J].퇒췁릤돌톧놨,2004,26(4):546-552.뿉틔평웤쇙뷧ힴ첬쿟뗄킱싊Mcs뗄뇤뮯쳥쿖;폐킧ZHANGJianmin,캧톹뇤뮯뗄펰쿬뿉평쏅볷보쟐펦뇤Χevaluatingsmalltolargecyclicstrainsofsaturatedsandentry쯦캧톹뗄뇤뮯살랴펳ꆣퟮ뫳duringliquefactionprocess[J].ChinJGeotechEng,2004,,믹폚쫔퇩뷡맻퇩횤쇋룄뷸쒣탍뗄폐26(4):546-552.(inChinese)킧탔ꆣ[8]헅붨쏱,췵룕.즰췁튺뮯뫳듳뇤탎뗄믺샭[J].퇒췁릤돌톧놨,2006,28(7):,닎뾼컄쿗ꆡ(References)post2liquefactiondeformationinsaturatedsand[J].ChinJGeotechEng,2006,28(7):835-840.(inChinese)[1]SeedHB,[9]췵룕,헅붨쏱.즰췁튺뮯뫳듳뇤탎뗄떯쯜탔톭뮷놾릹랽돌cyclicloading[J].JSoilMechandFoundationEngDivision,ASCE,1966,92(SM[J].퇒췁릤돌톧놨,2007,29(1):):,[2][J].JGeotechEng,DivisionASCE,1975,101(6):551-deformationofsand[J].ChinJGeotechEng,2007,29(1):-59.(inChinese)[3]YasudaS,YoshidaN,MasudaT,[10]ShamotoY,SatoM,[C]öö:Balkema,1995:11-816.[J].SoilsandFoundations,1996,36(1):39-50.[4]VaidYP,[11]ZHANGJianmin,ShamotoY,[J].JGeotechEng,ASCE,121(2):[J].SoilsandFoundations,[5]ShamotoY,ZhangJianmin,,37(2):[J].SoilsandFoundations,1997,37(2):71-80.[6]쇵몺쇺,훜퓆뚫,룟폱럥.즰췁뗘헰튺뮯뫳듳뇤탎쳘탔쫔퇩퇐뺿[J].퇒췁릤돌톧놨,2002,24(2):142-146.(짏뷓뗚2043튳)[4]PollakowskiHO,:Anexaminationofhousing캪쇋쳡룟컒맺힡햬쫐뎡뗄뿕볤킧싊쮮욽,붨틩:marketefficiency[J].JHousingRes,1997,8(1):)쳡룟룷돇쫐힡햬볛룱릹돉탅쾢벰뇤뮯쟩뿶뗄춸쏷뛈;2)볓뿬돇쫐볤힡햬쫐뎡탅쾢뮯쮮욽붨짨뷸[5]헅뫬.랿뗘닺뺭볃톧[M].놱뺩:쟥뮪듳톧돶냦짧,[M].Beijing:돌,복짙볛룱탅쾢뒫뗝뗄쪱볤ꆣTsinghuaUniversityPress,2006.(inChinese)[6]룟쳺쎷.볆솿뺭볃럖컶랽램폫붨쒣EViews펦폃벰쪵샽[M].놱뺩:쟥뮪듳톧돶냦짧,2006.닎뾼컄쿗ꆡ(References)EconometricsinEViews:ApplicationandExamples[M].[1]:TsinghuaUniversityPress,2006.(inChinese)ts:Temporalandspa[7]폚뾡쓪.볆솿뺭볃톧죭볾:EViews뗄쪹폃[M].놱뺩:뛔췢tialdimensions[J].JHousingEconm,1992,2(3):276-292뺭볃쎳틗듳톧돶냦짧,2006..[2]횣쮼웫,쇵뫩폱.랿뗘닺쫐뎡폐킧탔퇐뺿ꆪꆪ틔놱뺩뫍짏몣:UsageinEViews캪샽[J][M].Beijing:UniversityofInternationalBusinessand.짌튵퇐뺿.2006,7:,,2006.(inChinese)[J][8]맅퓺삭뗙ND.볆솿뺭볃톧믹뒡[M].4냦,쇖짙리,럑붣.CommerRes,2006,7:191-195.(inChinese)[3]췴닽퓆.뷰죚뺭볃톧[M].놱뺩:훐맺죋쏱듳톧돶냦짧욽,쯯뒺쾼,뗈,틫.놱뺩:훐맺죋쏱듳톧돶냦짧,2005..[M].4ed,[M].Beijing:ChinaShaogong,FEIJianping,SUNChunxia,etaltrans,Beijing:RenminUniversityPress,2006.(inChinese)ChinaRenminUniversityPress,2005.(inChinese)' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.