YEAR 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֩ iiࠎႿᇏݓ֥ࣜဒ࣮ ޱӑ }ᅋေ~Ч໓ҐႨᇏݓ1985ii2005୍֥ൈࡗਙඔऌđࣼؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢ࣉྛਔൌᆣ࣮bؿགྷؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֩൞၂ᇕ֚oUp֥ܱ༢b1985ii2004୍ؓຓસၞঘնਔᇏݓ൬ೆ҂֩đᆭުᄵ൞෪ཬ൬ೆ҂֩bᄝൌᆣ࣮ࢲݔ֥ࠎԤഈđЧ໓ٳ༅ਔؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֩Ӯ֚oUpܱ༢֥Ӯၹđѩࣼࣂުؿᅚؓຓસၞა෪ཬ൬ೆ҂֩ิԛਔཌྷܱࡹၰb }ܱՍ~ؓຓસၞ ൬ೆ҂֩ ֚oUp ၂aႄ ෛሢᇏݓ࣍30୍֥ڿ۪ष٢ջট֥ࣜ࠶ఏ٦đఃؓຓસၞࢫࢫശđસၞحՖڿ۪ष٢Ԛ௹1985୍֥ၡದлᄹӉ֞2005୍֥ၡದлđؓຓસၞحঔնਔПb ၂ğ1985-2005୍ᇏݓؓຓસၞحэ߄౦ঃ ֆ໊ ၡૅჭ ୍ٺ ؓຓસၞሹح ඔऌটჷğ2006୍uᇏݓ࠹୍v ၂ॖၛुԛđ1985i1994୍ູᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞحߏતᄹӉࢨ؍Ġ1995-2000୍ູؓຓસၞحഈശࢨ؍ĠطࡆೆWTOᆭު୍֥ࠫଽູؓຓસၞح٦ঔᅦࢨ؍bᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞ
حᅝGDP֥бᇗčસၞ၇թ؇Ď္൞ᇯ୍ᄹࡆđՖ1985୍֥ᄹࡆ֞2005୍֥ෛሢᇏݓ֥ؓຓष٢ӱ؇ರၭࡆധđؓຓસၞၘӮູᆦӪᇏݓࣜ࠶ۚᄹӉ֥၂ᆦᇗေ৯ਈb ؽğ1985-2005୍ᇏݓຓસ၇թ؇э߄౦ঃ ୍ٺ ຓસ၇թ؇ඔऌটჷğ۴ऌ2006୍uᇏݓ࠹୍vඔऌ࠹ෘ֤֞ ᄝؓຓસၞ҂؎ࡆؿᅚ֥ൈđᇏݓ֥൬ೆٳ္ᄀটᄀ҂֩bᄝᇏݓđӬཔ൬ೆҵए໙ีႻ൞ᇗᇏᆭᇗb۴ऌൗࢸၿྛčWorld Bank 1997Ď֥БۡđӬཔ൬ೆҵएॖၛࢳᇏݓ1995୍ሹุ൬ೆҵए֥၂϶ၛഈbਟၪڏ֩č1998ĎҐႨTheil Entropyٳࢳمॉҳਔ୪ըଽ҆aӬᆓଽ҆ބӬཔᆭࡗ֥ದन൬ೆҵएؓሹุ൬ೆҵएэ߄෮ఏ֥ቔႨđࢲݔіૼӬཔࡗҵएؓሹุҵए֥႕ཙቋնđᇔЌӻᄝ၂϶ቐႷbൗࢸၿྛ1997୍ؿ֥҃၂ٺีuູ܋ཚ҂؎ิ֥ۚ൬ೆv֥Бۡᇏᆷԛđᇏݓᄝ20ൗࡀ80୍սԚ௹֥ࠎୄ༢ඔ൞đ1995୍൞đ֞90୍սଌa21ൗࡀԚູđၘࣜਔݓ࠽ࣞࢵཌ֥ඣb֒ಖᇏݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩໙ี൞؟ٚ૫ၹᄯӮ֥đ൞ᆃᇕ൬ೆ֥҂֩൞ϴෛሢؓຓસၞ҂؎ֹᄹӉطঔն֥đପહؓຓष٢ބ൬ೆ҂֩ᆭࡗ൞ڎթᄝሢଖᇕଽᄝ৳༢Ĥ ğ1985-2005୍ᇏݓӬཔं൬ೆбэ߄౦ঃ ୍ٺ Ӭཔ൬ೆбඔऌটჷğ۴ऌ 006୍uᇏݓ࠹୍vඔऌ࠹ෘ֤֞
۴ऌථກغᠢii᠉غ೦čStolper and Samuelson 1941Ďקđ၂ݓࠒࠞҕაݓ࠽સၞđ๙ݖഅࢌߐđ߶ᇯ҄ิۚЧݓཌྷؓԉღေ֥ࡎ۬đቋᇔղ֞ေࡎ֥۬न֩߄đၧࠧ၂ݓૡࠢႨေ֥Бԏ߶ᇯ҄ഈശđطཌྷؓ༎ಌေ֥Бԏ߶ࢆ֮bᇏݓቔູൗࢸഈႚႵದ१ቋ؟֥ݓࡅđႚႵնਈ֥٤ඌྟস৯đطሧЧބඌཌྷؓ༎ಌđၹՎ۴ऌݓ࠽ٳ۽֥бࢠႪ൝ჰđᇏݓ֥бࢠႪ൝ᄝႿԛ१সૡࠢӁđࣉ१ሧЧބඌૡࠢӁbᆃဢࣼ߶ളӁসૡࠢӁ֥٤ඌྟ۽ದ֥۽ሧิۚđطളӁሧЧބඌૡࠢӁ֥ඌྟ۽ದ۽ሧࢆ֮đႮՎॖၛ֤ԛؓຓष٢ॖၛࢆ֮ᇏݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇bಖطđ൙ൌݔᆇೂં෮ٳ༅֥ପဢગĤЧ໓ࡼᄝၛ༯֥ંඍᇏ൮༵߭ܤݓଽຓܱႿؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֥࣮֩đᄝࡹ৫࠹ਈଆ֥ࠎԤഈđऎุٳ༅ਔᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢ѩࢳఃჰၹđቋު֤ԛ၂ק֥ᆟҦఓൕb ؽa໓ངሸඍ 1aݓຓ࣮ Andreas Savvides(1998)ؓ൬ೆ҂֩ބસၞЌᆭࡗ֥ܱ༢ࣉྛਔൌᆣ࣮đࢲં൞20ൗࡀ80୍սၛটđؓ҂ؿղݓࡅটඪđસၞष٢ӱ؇֥ۚݓࡅ൬ೆٳ۷҂֩Ġطસၞष٢ӱ؇ؓؿղݓࡅ֥൬ೆ҂֩ࠫެીႵહ႕ཙbAntonio Spilimbergo (1999)ؓေጋڮaસၞष٢ӱ؇ބ൬ೆٳ֥ܱ༢ࣉྛਔൌᆣٳ༅đؿགྷસၞष٢ؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙ౼थႿေጋڮđᄝֹࠇሧЧԉღ֥ݓࡅđસၞष٢߶ࢆ֮҂֩Ġطᄝඌԉღ֥ݓࡅđસၞष٢߶ࡆख҂֩bLindert and Willianmson(2001)๙ݖؓಆ౯߄ބ҂֩ӱ؇֥ൎॉҳ֤ԛࢲંğݖಀ֥ਆ۱ൗࡀđൗࢸࣜ࠶҂֩ӱ؇ࡆധਔb၂ݓଽ֥҆൬ೆ҂֩ࡗ؎ྟֹഈശބ༯ࢆđ۷؟֥іགྷູؿᅚᇏݓࡅ֥൬ೆ҂֩ሑঃذ߄đؿղݓࡅࠇᆀඪ۽ြ߄ݓࡅ൬ೆ҂֩ሑঃ֤֞ڿbGuillermo Perry ބMarcelo Olarreaga(2006)ҐႨ17۱ঘૅݓࡅᄝ20ൗࡀ80୍սଌ90୍սԚ֥ཌྷܱඔऌđဒᆣਔસၞष٢߶֝ᇁ൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇֥ิۚbᆃᇶေ൞ၹູؓຓસၞི֥ႋ߶ࡆඌொཟ֥ඌࣉ҄đՖط֝ᇁधնඔྛြؓඌ۽ದ֥ླbਸ਼ຓđؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙᄝޓնӱ؇ഈ౼थႿᆟک௹෮Ґ౼֥ఃᆟҦbೂݔ၂ݓᆟکିܔᄝঔնؓຓસၞ֥ൈᄹࡆؓ౫ದ֥ඌđཟఃิ܂۷؟֥ളӁሧӁđପહؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩ڵ૫႕ཙ߶Фննַཨb 2aݓଽ࣮ ഒᡀč2007ĎҐႨᇏݓ1994i2004୍֥സࠩ૫ϰඔऌđࣼ൬ೆ҂֩აؓຓष٢ᆭࡗ֥ܱ༢ࣉྛਔဒđؿགྷࣉԛ१֥ᄹࡆ֝ᇁਔᇏݓ൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇֥ิۚbպڀč2005Ď๙ݖંބ࠹ਈࣜ࠶࿐֥ٚمđؓᇏݓસၞሱႮ߄ބ൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢ࣉྛਔൌᆣٳ༅đѩ
ᄝ౼ᇌު௹ູ1ൈđؿགྷસၞሱႮ߄ඣ൞൬ೆ҂֥֩Grangerჰၹbᅵႍč2003Ď๙ݖࡹ৫ࡥֆ֥ଆษંਔoඌொཟྟ֥ඌࣉ҄p(shill-biased technological progress)ؓ൬ೆҵए֥႕ཙđᄝॉ੮ਔؿളᄝඌૡࠢӁြ֥ᇏྟඌࣉ҄đᄝᇏݓ֥ൌ࠽স৯൧ӆหᆘ༯đᆃਆᇕඌࣉ҄ࡼ߶ඌ۽ದཌྷؓႿ٤ඌ۽ದ֥۽ሧഈശđՖط൬ೆҵएঔնb֒ࡼ࢝ტaാြੱaᇏݓࣜ࠶ሇݖӱᇏ֥ؿᅚᅞ֩эਈൈႄೆଆၛުđൌᆣٳ༅ࢲݔཁൕᇏݓ֥સၞष٢ౠཟႿঔնᇏݓ֥۱ದ൬ೆҵएb້ഉࣉč2002ĎҐႨᇏݓ100؟۱Ӭ൧֥ඔऌ֤ԛਔᄝӬ൧ඣഈؓຓष٢ିܔ෪ཬ൬ೆҵए֥ࢲંđطྷඣνč2003ĎҐႨਆေଆٳ༅ਔࡆೆWTOၛުᇏݓ൬ೆٳሑঃ֥э߄đಪູՖસၞбࢠႪ൝࢘؇টुđࡆೆWTOႵ০Ⴟࢆ֮ᇏݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇b ሸܴݓଽຓ࿐ᆀ֥࣮đؓؿᅚᇏݓࡅটඪđؓຓસၞࡆնਔ҂֩ӱ؇Ġطؓؿղݓࡅᄵ൞ࢆ֮ਔ҂֩ӱ؇bࣼᇏݓطđधն؟ඔ࣮֤ԛ֥ᇶေࢲં൞ؓຓસၞࡆնਔ൬ೆ֥҂֩ӱ؇đطᆃ္ٟڍა൙ൌ൞ཌྷژ֥b aଆა࠹ਈࢲݔ 1aଆࠣэਈ֥࿊౼ ູ༢ॉҳؓຓસၞაᇏݓ൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢đЧ໓࿊౼ਔՖᇏݓڿ۪ष٢Ԛ௹1985୍၂ᆰ֞2005୍֥ൈࡗਙඔऌđၛՎ๙ݖࢠӉൈࡗॴ؇ٳ༅ؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙbЧ໓֥නਫ਼൞ၛᇏݓӬཔं֥൬ೆбčӬ൧ंॖᆦ൬ೆა୪ըं୍ದनՂ൬ೆбĎGNIቔູФࢳэਈđၛՎটսі൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇đѩࡹ৫ೂ༯֥؟ჭ݂߭ٚӱğ 2GNI=α+cTRADE+cTRADE+cGDP+cEDU+cFINANCE+ε 012345ࣉԛ१حఃᇏTRADEູᇏݓૄ୍֥ຓસ၇թ؇đࠧႨTRADE=টޙਈؓຓસၞაGDP൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢bೂݔ༢ඔcژݼູᆞđᄵіૼᄝᇏݓؓຓસၞঔնਔ൬ೆ҂֩Ġೂ1ݔູڵđᄵіૼؓຓસၞ෪ཬਔ൬ೆ҂֩bॉ੮֞ᇏݓ֥ؓຓष٢ݖӱ၂۱҂؎ଃ෬֥ݖӱđᄝؓຓસၞ֥ݖӱᇏđ൧ӆࣜ࠶ཌྷุܱ༢ԩႿᄝ҂؎ࡹഡބປᆭᇏđߎ҂ିປಆژކථກغᠢii᠉غ೦ק෮ิԛ֥ቋᇔ൬ೆ߶Ⴟ֥֩ࡌഡభิđೂğေ֥ሱႮੀaປಆસၞሱႮ߄bགྷൌᇏđؓຓસၞѩીႵ֝ᇁӁࡎ۬ປಆཌྷbෛሢᇏݓؓຓસၞ֥҂؎ധೆđᇏݓ֥൧ӆ߄҂؎ิۚđႵθؓຓસၞ֥҂০ၹᇯࡶࡨഒđЧ໓ಪູෛሢؓຓસၞ֥ิۚđᇏݓ֥൬ೆ߶ࢤ࣍ථກغᠢii᠉غ೦ק֥ંඍđ҂֩ᇯࡶ༯ࢆbՖطႵႮ߈ၐၛສܱႿؓຓસၞ၂ᆰؓ൬ೆ҂֩Ⴕᆞཌྷܱܱ༢֥ࢲંđط൞൞ڎ္թᄝ၂۱
2ܮׄbၹՎđࡆೆTRADEđࠧႨຓસ၇թ؇֥ٚॉҳؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֩ᆭࡗ۷్ಒ֥ܱ༢b ९ሥଡ଼ՇčKuznets,1955Ďಪູ൬ೆ҂֩ა൬ೆᆭࡗ߶ᄝ൬ೆᄹӉ֥၂षӯഈശ൝đ֒൬ೆඣղ֞၂קඣުđ൬ೆ҂֩ა൬ೆᄹӉӯཌྷّܱ༢bၹՎđᄝଆ֥ࢳਈᇏࡆೆਔัԛࡎ۬ၹު֥ૄ୍GDPᄹӉੱđটޙਈࣜ࠶ؿᅚބ൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢b ۴ऌ९ሥଡ଼ՇčKuznets,1955Ďิԛ֥oෛሢসᆀ൳࢝ტᄀটᄀ؟đݓࡅ֥൬ೆࣼ߶ᄀট္֩p֥ܴׄđၛࠣPsacharopoulos & Woodhall(1985)ĠRam(1989)đBecker & Chiswick(1966)Ġ Tinbegen(1972)֥࣮֩ᆣൌਔ࢝ტა൬ೆ҂֩ᆭࡗթᄝૡ్֥ܱ༢bæၹՎđႨ࢝ტঔᅚӱ؇টіൕᇏݓ֥࢝ტ౦ঃğEDU=č്ሳޓഒ֥ದඔ*1+ཬ࿐֥ದඔ*6+Ԛᇏ֥ದඔ*9+ۚᇏ֥ದඔ*12+նህࠣၛഈ֥ದඔ*16Ď/ಆݓሹದඔb ሻޚڡč2001Ďؓࣜ࠶ᄹӉა൬ೆٳᆭࡗ֥ܱ༢ࣉྛݖࣜဒ࣮đಪູࣁವؿᅚӱ؇ა൬ೆٳ൞ࣅૡཌྷ৳༢bၹՎđଆᇏ֥FINANCEູࣁವؿᅚᆷѓđFINANCE=ಆ҆ࣁವࠏܒվॻჅح/GDPb 2a࠹ਈࢲݔ ۴ऌଆđ০Ⴈೈࡱؓᇏݓؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢ࣉྛਔܙ࠹đࢲݔі၂b і၂ğӬཔ൬ೆ҂֥֩ܙ࠹ࢲݔ ࢳ Ӭཔ൬ೆҵए эਈ ٚӱ၂ ٚӱؽ ٚӱ ٚӱඹ ďďďď α čĎčĎčĎ čĎ0ďď čĎčĎTRADE ďď čĎčĎTRADE ďďďďď čĎčĎ GDP ďďďď2 čĎ GDP ďďď čĎ čĎEDU æఃᇏ1985-1999୍۲࿐൳࢝ტದඔ൞ᄝ1982୍ದ१௴ҰᇏնህࠣၛഈaۚᇏބᇏህaԚᇏaཬ࿐a໓ٳো֥ࠎԤഈđ۴ऌuྍᇏݓ୍࠹ሧਘ߸щč1949-1999Ďvᇏᇏݓૄ୍۲ো࿐иြದඔ֥ෘ֤֥֞bఃᇏۚ֩࿐ބᇏ֩ህြ࿐ູ݂նህࠣၛഈቆĠۚᇏބᆯြᇏ࿐ູ݂ۚᇏቆđѩοᅶᇏݓૄ୍ඵວੱՖሹದඔᇏ۴ऌб২ࡨಀ၂ק֥ದඔb2000-2005୍ඔऌ൞ᄝᇏݓ2000୍ದ१௴Ұ֥ࠎԤഈđ۴ऌᇏݓૄ୍۲ো࿐иြದඔෘ֤֞bࠧđ୍֒ھ࿐ሹದඔ=ಀ୍ಆݓھ࿐ሹದඔ+୍֒иြ࿐ളඔ-οಆݓनඵວੱ࠹ෘھ࿐ሹದඔᇏ෮ඵວದඔb
ďď2 čĎEDU ďďďď čĎ FINANCE R ďďďďďďďďďďᇿğ1.ওݼᇏඔሳູt࠹ਈĠٳљіൕᄝ1%a5%a10%a15%֥ཁᇷඣഈཁᇷ. 2Ֆٚӱ၂ࢲݔॖၛुԛটđэਈTRADEaTRADEބ༢ඔ֥tᆴᄝ1%֥ཁᇷඣ2ഈ๙ݖဒđॖטᆜR=đඪૼᄝᇏݓؓຓસၞ൞႕ཙ൬ೆ҂֥֩၂۱ᇗေၹb2TRADE֥༢ඔູᆞđطTRADE֥ඔູڵđᆣૼᄝᇏݓؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֩ᆭࡗթᄝ၂ᇕ֚oUp֥ܱ༢bࠧؓຓસၞᄝ၂षؓ൬ೆ҂֩൞ᆞཌྷܱܱ༢đঘնਔ൬ೆ҂֩đط֒ؓຓસၞؿᅚ֞၂קӱ؇ުđᄵႻ൞ڵཌྷܱܱ༢đ߶ೂථກغᠢii᠉غ೦קç෮đ෪ཬᇏݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩b֒ᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞ၇թ؇ղ֞ቐႷൈđؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙӱ؇ղ֞ቋնđՎުđෛሢؓຓસၞ֥ᇯ҄ؿᅚđᄵ߶෪ཬ൬ೆ֥҂֩ӱ؇b ٚӱؽᇏđᄹࡆਔࢳэਈݓଽളӁሹᆴᄹӉੱaದन൳࢝ტ୍ཋaࣁವؿᅚӱ؇ཛ2ᆷѓbఃᇏTRADEaTRADEनᄝ1%ඣഈ๙ݖဒĠGDPaEDUनᄝ5%֥ඣഈ๙2ݖဒĠFINANCE္ᄝ15%֥ཁᇷඣഈ๙ݖဒđR=đ=đඪૼэਈ࿊౼֥ކđଆܙ࠹ࢲݔਅݺb 2Ֆૄ۱ࢳэਈ༢ඔ֥ژݼটुđTRADEaTRADEಯູ၂ᆞ၂ڵđژކo֚UpbGDP֥༢ඔູᆞđඪૼෛሢᇏݓࣜ࠶֥҂؎ᄹӉđ൬ೆ҂֩൞ᇯ҄ᄝᄹն֥đᆞݺဒᆣਔ९ሥଡ଼ՇܱႿؿᅚᇏݓࡅ֥ࣜ࠶ᄹӉა൬ೆ҂֥֩ંඍđࣉ၂֥҄ဒॖٚӱᇏ2GDPaGDP֥༢ඔ၂ᆞ၂ڵđဒᆣਔᄝᇏݓ֥ಒթᄝሢ൬ೆ҂֩აࣜ࠶ᄹӉ֥९ሥଡ଼Շ֚oUpđᆴ҂ۚđඪૼޭਔᇗေࢳэਈb EDU֥༢ඔູڵđඪૼᄝᇏݓ࢝ტ֥ঔᅚა൬ೆ҂֩൞թᄝᆞཌྷܱܱ༢đٟڍა၂Ϯ֥ંٳ༅҂ཌྷژކbหބѵหčKnight & Sabot 1983Ď఼טđᄝؽჭࣜ࠶ᇏႮ࢝ çᆃॖၛ๙ݖؓٚӱ၂၂ࢨ֝ඔࠞᆴ֤֞đࠧđ๙ݖؓٚӱؽ෮֤֥ࢲݔ၂ࢨ֝≈×ඔࠞᆴđ෮֤֥ؓຓસၞ၇թ؇ູቐႷđඪૼଆܙ࠹ࢲݔऎႵ၂ק֥໗קྟb
èტ֥oࢲܒིႋp(composition effect)ބo۽ሧ෪ིႋp(wage compression effect)Ӂള֥ದ৯ሧЧࠒؓ൬ೆٳႵگᄖ႕ཙbૌಪູđ࢝ტ֥ঔᅚ߶ؓࣜ࠶Ӂളਆᇕ҂ིႋğ၂ٚ૫đ࢝ტঔᅚۚ࿐ಕุܿଆཌྷؓঔնđᆃᇕࢲܒིႋఏԚ߶ঔն൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇đުটࢆ֮൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇Ġਸ਼၂ٚ૫đႮۚ࿐স৯܂۳֥ཌྷؓᄹࡆطӁള֥۽ሧ෪ིႋ߶ࡨഒ࢝ტ֥ໃট൬ၭđՖطࢆ֮൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇bႮՎॖđ࢝ტ֥ঔᅚؓ൬ೆٳི֥ႋᄝંഈ൞҂ಒק֥bϢ࿒઼č2004Ď๙ݖൌᆣ࣮ᆣൌđᄝᇏݓđ࢝ტ֥ঔᅚა൬ೆ҂္֩൞թᄝ֚oUpܱ༢bଢభ֥࢝ტঔᅚѩ҂ିఏ֞ࢆ֮൬ೆ҂֥֩ቔႨđᆺႵᄝन൳࢝ტӱ؇ӑݖਢࢸׄᆭުđҌିఏ֞ࢆ֮൬ೆ҂֥֩ቔႨbೂٚӱࢲݔđЧéٚӱଆ෮ܙ࠹֥֒ᇏݓ֥ದन൳࢝ტ୍ཋղ֞ൈđ൬ೆ҂֩ղ֞ቋնđՎު࢝ტঔᅚა൬ೆ҂֩Ҍ൞ڵཌྷܱܱ༢bطࢩᇀ2005୍đ۴ऌܙ࠹࠹ෘđᇏݓ֥ದन൳࢝ტ୍ཋູቐႷđԩᄝ֚oUp౷ཌ֥ቐшđၹطEDU֥༢ඔູᆞđ္ࣼ҂ࢳb FINANCE֥༢ඔູᆞđඪૼࣁವ֥ؿᅚؓ൬ೆ҂֩ఏሢঔնቔႨbၹູᄝᇏݓđࣁವࠏܒᇶေ൞ݓࡅᇶ֥֝նၿྛࠏᇅđᆟکᄝሧࣁ֥ᇂᇏఏ֞ਔथקྟ֥ቔႨđطᄝڿ۪ष٢֥భ௹đᇏݓ၂ᆰࡔӻ֥൞oຓཟpࣜ࠶ؿᅚٚཟbᄝoຓཟpࣜ࠶ᆟҦ֥֝ཟ༯đᇏݓࣁವࠏܒᇏ֥ն҆ٳሧࣁੀཟਔؓຓસၞ҆bമᇀ৵ᄝ୪ը֥ࣁವࠏܒ္ࣇࣇᇶေӵքਔ၂۱ԥྐྵࠏܒ֥ቔႨđնਈ֥ሧࣁФՖ୪ըሇ၍֞ຓસ҆bᄝᆃᇕoઔིႋpቔႨ႕ཙ༯đFINANCE֥༢ඔູᆞ္ࣼ҂ࢳਔb 3aӮၹٳ༅ ථກغᠢii᠉غ೦ק෮ંඍ֥સၞሱႮ߄ջটေࡎ۬न֩߄đቋᇔ߶൬ೆᇯࡶႿ֩đ൞ࡹ৫ᄝປಆࣩᆚ֥൧ӆࢲܒࡏഡభิ༯֥đഅ֥ࡎ۬ିܔކّ֥႘ఃӮЧܒӮđေ֥ೆაః߭Б൞၂ᇁ֥bᄝݓ࠽ٳ۽ุ༢ᇏđᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞؿᅚ࿖ሢбࢠႪ൝֥ٳ۽ჰᄵb୪ընਈ֥ഺჅস৯Фሇ၍֞ਔຓસ֥҆ᇅᄯြđসളӁੱૼཁิۚđᄹࡆਔᆃུФሇ၍ԛটo୪۽p֥൬ೆčᇿၩo୪۽p֥൬ೆ൞ཌྷؓᄝ୪ըൈ֥ิۚđ൞धؓ൬ೆ֥ิۚđѩ҂၂ק൞ཌྷؓ൬ೆ֥ิۚđѩ҂၂ק෪ཬਔӬཔ൬ೆ֥҂֩bĎĠਸ਼၂ٚ૫đӉ௹ၛটđᇏݓؓຓસၞߎ൞၂ᇕՙ٢֥a֮ඣ֥ᄹӉٚൔđۚᄹӉМު൞၇ौնਈሧჷೆၛࠣস৯бࢠႪ൝টᆦӪ֥đຓસ҆ᄝۚؿᅚ֥ݖӱᇏཚ èࢲܒིႋ൞ᆷᄝ࢝ტ൬ၭੱЌӻ҂э֥౦ঃ༯đস৯֥࿐ܒӮэ߄ؓ൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇֥႕ཙĠ۽ሧ෪ིႋ൞ᆷᄝস৯࿐ܒӮ҂э֤౦ঃ༯đস৯֥܂ؿളэ߄đ֝ᇁ࢝ტ൬ၭੱؿളэ߄đࣉطؓ൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇֥႕ཙb éᆃॖၛ๙ݖؓٚӱ၂ࢨ֝ඔࠞᆴ֤֞đࠧđھࢲݔაϢ࿒઼č2004Ďᄝuܵ≈×ൗࢸvčᄅ़Ď2004୍ֻ6௹P෮ܙෘ֥čطൌ࠽ഈđᄝෲ֥ଆᇏđෲಪູॉ੮֞ᇏݓ࣍20୍҂53~58֩ӱ؇໗ᇏႵࢆ֥൙ൌđൌ࠽֥߶֮ႿĎཌྷ၂ᇁb
൳ሢ؟֥Ⴊ߲ᆟҦbᇏݓᄝбࢠႪ൝ࠎԤഈҕაٳ۽֥ൈđؓຓસၞؿᅚ෮ླ֥ཌྷܱߌaمੰaഠ߶Ќᅰ֩ࣜ࠶ᇅ؇ุ༢ࠣაؓຓસၞཌྷൡႋ֥࢝ტaሧჷᇂaေБԏ൧ӆ߄ߎીປಆࡹ৫ఏটbԛ१അ֥ࡎ۬ೂՎᆭ֮࣍ެoϢ۳pđൌ࠽ಏ൞ԛ१֥അࡎ۬ીႵປಆّ႘ԛఃളӁӮЧđᇭೂؓߌ֥ݝӮЧѩીّ႘֞അ֥ӮЧᇏಀbo୪۽pФЉؠਔ۲ᇕসЌᅰđᆌؓo୪۽p֥Бԏѓሙaڞ০րმФದູ֤ݖ֮đაo୪ê۽pڱԛ֥স҂Ӯб২bऌૂุБ֡đՖ1992ii2003୍֥12୍ᇏđᇨֹ࢘o୪۽p֥۽ሧඣᆺഈᅨਔ68ჭđೂݔ२๙ࠊளᅮ֩ၹđo୪۽p۽ሧൌ࠽ູڵᄹӉbᄝᆃᇕoյָ֚ཌ֥ࣩᆚpčrace to the bottomĎӮЧϷم༯đؓຓસၞ෮ି֤֥֞ݺԩᄝਔӬ൧b ൈđᄝ࢝ტ֥ࢲܒིႋ༯đؓ၂۱ݓ൳࢝ტбࢠ֥֮ᇏݓটඪđෛሢ࢝ტ֥ঔᅚaन൳࢝ტ୍ཋ֥ิۚđ൬ೆ҂֩ӱ؇൞༵ഈശު༯ࢆ֥b֒భđᇏݓ֥࢝ტಯԩႿԚࠩࢨ؍đᆜุ࢝ტඣࢠ֮đۚ࿐ದҌኇكđ2003୍uᇏݓ࢝ტაದ৯ሧჷБۡvཁൕđ2000୍ᇏݓ25~64ෟದ१न൳࢝ტ୍đ൳ݖۚ֩࢝ტ֥ದ१б২ູ5%đჹ֮Ⴟ௹ૅݓ୍֥ބ35%đರЧ୍֥ބ31%đႇݓ୍֥ބ25%đ֣ݓ୍֥ބ23%đݢݓ୍֥ބ23%bؓຓસၞ֥ۚؿᅚđᄝ୪ըഺჅস৯նਈ܂۳֥ൈđіགྷ֤൞ඌྟস৯֥༎ಌđၹՎᆃུ൳ݖਅݺ࢝ტ֥ඌྟস৯֥۽ሧສສေбo୪۽pۚԛޓ؟đطᆃུඌྟস৯ສສ൞ିܔᄝӬ൧֥ंb෮ၛđڿ۪ष٢ၛটđᇏݓ֥ؓຓસၞѩીԛགྷೂථກغᠢii᠉غ೦ק෮ඪ֥൬ೆ҂֥֩ࢆ֮đط൞ঘնb ᆃᇕঔն൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢ѩ҂൞၂ᆰӻ࿃֥bՖі၂֥ܙ࠹ࢲݔᇏૌु֞đؓຓસၞ൞༵ঔն൬ೆ҂֩đު෪ཬ൬ೆ҂֥֩bଆܙ࠹֒ᇏݓ֥ຓસ၇թ؇ղ֞ၛުđ൬ೆ҂֩߶ෛሢຓસ֥ঔնط෪ཬ֥ຓસ၇թ؇ᆞݺؓႋ֥൞2004୍ၛު֥ᇏݓؓຓસၞđ္ࣼ൞ඪՖ2004୍ၛުđᇏݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩൞ෛሢຓસ֥ؿᅚط෪ཬ֥bᄝ2004୍ᇏݓषԛགྷਔo۽ߙpđᄝᆟکބഠ߶Ⴤં֥ܱᇿ༯đቋ֮۽ሧمؓఒြᇶ֥ჿඏ৯۷఼Ġ୪۽֥۽ሧषഈᅨĠഠ߶֥ߌӮЧष࠹ೆഅࡎ۬ᆭᇏĠӁြࢲܒᄝᇯ҄טᆜĠຓસ҆෮ཚႵ֥Ⴊ߲ᆟҦᄝᇯ҄ཨാĠഠ߶ሧჷ҂ᄜ൞၂ੀཟؓຓસၞ҆Ġຓસႄ֝ሧჷՖطঘնӬཔ൬ೆ҂֥֩ࠏᇅᄝᇯࡶཨാbၹՎđෛሢຓસ֥ؿᅚđӬཔ൬ೆ҂֩߶ᇯ҄༯ࢆb ඹaࢲંაఓൕ ê ᇨࡾൈБຩğ
ၛສܱႿؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂֥ܱ֩༢࣮ᇶေ൞ҐႨॴݓඔऌࣉྛбࢠ࣮đႮႿॴݓඔऌ֥ᇕᇕअཋྟđ෮֤ԛ֥ࢲં္ສສᝀಖ҂bطܱႿᇏݓؓຓસၞა൬ೆ҂ܱ֩༢֥࣮đᇶေ࿊౼സࠩ૫ϰඔऌࣉྛٳ༅đႮႿᄝ၂ݓᆭଽđ۲۱സᆭࡗ֥સၞѩ҂ൈཌྷ৫֥đؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙ္҂ࣇࣇ൞अཋႿЧസᆭଽčೂܼתസ֥ؓຓસၞ႕ཙॖିڕഝ֞ಆݓն҆ٳᇏ༆ֹ҆đؓᆃֹུ֥൬ೆ҂֩ॖି߶Ӂള႕ཙbĎđၹՎđႨݓ֥ඔऌࣉྛ݂߭ٳ༅۷ऎႵॖौྟb۴ऌ݂߭ࢲݔٳ༅đЧ໓֤ԛၛ༯ᇶေࢲંބఓൕb 1ēᇏݓؓຓष٢ၛটđؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֩൞ႵঔնቔႨ֥đؓຓष٢ა൬ೆ҂֩ᆭࡗ൞၂ᇕ֚oUp֥ܱ༢bؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩ঔն႕ཙᄝ2004୍ቔႨषԛགྷሇbෛሢᇏݓؓຓष٢ބڿ۪֥҂؎ധೆđؓຓસၞؿᅚؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙቋᇔ൞ژކථກغᠢii᠉غ೦ק֥ંඍbၹՎđෙಖڿ۪֥భ௹ᇏݓ֥ؓຓष٢ঔնਔ൬ೆ҂֩đष٢ູࣜ࠶ᄹӉջট֥ऍն৯൞႞ᇂၐ֥đؓຓष٢ؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙᆺ൞ᄠൈ֥b 2ēؓຓष٢ᄝڿ۪֥భ௹ؓ൬ೆ҂֩ఏ֞ਔঔնቔႨđᇶေ൞ႮႿᄝؓຓष٢֥ൈđᇏݓႮ࠹߃ࣜ࠶ཟ൧ӆࣜ࠶ሇ݅ݖӱᇏđؓຓસၞؿᅚ෮ླ֥ཌྷܱߌaمੰaഠ߶Ќᅰ֩ࣜ࠶ᇅ؇ุ༢ࠣაؓຓસၞཌྷൡႋ֥࢝ტaሧჷᇂaေБԏ൧ӆ߄ߎીປಆࡹ৫ఏটbෛሢڿ۪ष٢֥ࣉ၂҄ധೆđ൧ӆุᇅ֥ປđᇏݓ֥ܼնস৯ሧჷॖ֤ၛ۷ԉٳ֥০ႨđՖطؓຓસၞ߶ᇯ҄෪ཬ൬ೆ҂֩b ĘēᇏݓଢభᆞԩႿ࢝ტঔᅚؓ൬ೆ҂֩ఏঔնቔႨ֥֚oUp֥ቐшđطؓຓસၞؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙၘࣜᄀݖቋۚׄbၹՎđؓᇏݓطđᆺႵ࿃ࡆն࢝ტ֥ೆđঔᅚ൳࢝ტ֥ӱ؇đအ۷؟ିൡႋؓຓष٢෮ླေ֥ದҌđҌିࡨഒଢభ࢝ტঔᅚൈ௹ؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙđቋᇔղ֞൬ೆ֥۷܄đ۷ކࢨ؍b ęēሇэؓຓસၞ֥ࣜ࠶ᄹӉٚൔđႮՙ٢ൔཟࠢჿᄹӉٚൔ֥ሇэđ۷ކ֥ሧჷᇂđಞളӁഅ֥ഠ߶ຓ҆ྟӮЧุགྷ֞അ֥ࡎ۬ᇏđ๙ݖؓຓસၞջট֥ေࡎ۬न֩߄đࣉط൬ೆ۷ࡆ֩b ၹՎđЧ໓֥ᆟҦఓൕ൞ᇏݓ҂ႋھၹູభ௹ؓຓष٢ؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙطڎקؓຓष٢֥Ӯࣼđط൞ႋھ۷ݺ֥Ϝؓຓष٢ؓ൬ೆ҂֥֩႕ཙၘԩႿ֚oUpႷш֥ࠏმđ۷ࡆն৯؇ࣉؓຓष٢ၛ՜ࣜ࠶֥൧ӆ߄đࡆն࢝ტ֥ೆބሧჷ֥൧ӆᇂۿିđمੰุ༢֥ປđԉٳ০Ⴈѩؿߨᇏݓ֥Ⴊ൝ҕა֞ݓ࠽ٳ۽ᆭᇏಀđቋᇔൌགྷ൬ೆ֥֩b
ҕॉ໓ངğ [1].Fishcher, Ronald. (2001),“The evolution of inequality after trade liberalization”, Journal of Development economics, [J]66, PP555-579. [2].Knight, . and , 1983, “Educational Expansion and the Kuznets Effect”, American Economic Review, [J] 73: PP1132~1136. [3].Kuznets, S., 1995, “Economic Growth and Income Inequality”, American Economic Review, [J]45: PP1~28. [4].Psacharopoulos, G. and M. Woodhall, 1985, “Education for Development, [M], New York, Oxford University Press. [5].Savvides, Andreas (1998), “Trade policy and income inequality: new evidence”, Economics Letters, [J] 61, PP365-377. [6].Spilimbergo, Antonio (1999), “Income distribution, factor endowments and trade openness”, Journal of development economics, [J]59, PP77-101. [7].Wei, Shangjin,Wu Yi(2002), “Globalization and Inequality: Evidence from Within China”, NBER Working Paper [C] No,8611,November. [8]. “Welfare versus market access: The implications of tariff structure for tariff reform,” Journal of International Economics, [J]71:1, March 2007, PP187-205. [9].Ќઅ·क़ਗ਼۬ણčૅĎaમೋථ·ύѵථمغ֣ğuݓ࠽ࣜ࠶࿐včֻϱĎ[M] Кࣘğᇏݓದն࿐ԛϱഠđ2002čࣜ࠶॓࿐ၲĎđֻ83~87်b [10].Ϣ࿒઼ğu࢝ტა൬ೆ҂֩iiࠎႿᇏݓ֥ࣜဒ࣮vđuܵൗࢸvčᄅ़Ď[J] 2004୍ֻ6௹đֻ53~58်b [11].պڀğuસၞሱႮ߄ა൬ೆ҂֩iiࠎႿᇏݓ֥ࣜဒ࣮vđuൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮v[J] 2005୍ֻ10௹đֻ39~46်b
[12].ਟၪڏaਾਟč2002)oࣜ࠶ؿᅚᅞა܄aིੱ֥ܱ༢pđКࣘն࿐ᇏݓࣜ࠶࣮ᇏྏoᇏݓሇൈ௹֥֩ބഠ߶܄ᆞ໙ีݓ࠽ษ߶pն߶ં໓b [13].ഒᡀğuؓຓष٢აݓ֥൬ೆ҂֩iiࠎႿ૫ϰඔऌ֥ൌᆣ࣮vđuൗࢸࣜ࠶࣮v[J] 2007୍ֻ4௹đֻ16~20်b [14].ྷඣνğuસၞሱႮ߄აᇏݓ൬ೆٳ֥ဆэvđuൗࢸࣜ࠶໓߸v[J] 2003୍ֻę௹đֻ44~54်b [15].ሻޚڡč2001Ďğoࣜ࠶ᄹӉა൬ೆٳpđКࣘ฿ᄵࣜ࠶࣮෮ֻ203Ց฿ᄵචᇛ࿐ඌษં߶ؿ۠b [16].ᅵႍğuᇏݓ֥ؓຓष٢ބ൬ೆҵएvđuൗࢸࣜ࠶໓߸v[J] 2003୍ֻ4௹đֻ55~70်b Foreign Business Trade and Income Inequality: Empirical Analysis in China }Abstract~: The paper has analyzed the relationship between foreign business trade and income inequality with the time serials data from 1985 to 2005, finding that foreign business trade and income inequality have the “U” relationship. The income inequality increased with the expansion of foreign business trade from 1985 to 2004, then decreased. The paper analyzed the reasons leading to the result, and come up with some proposals on decreasing income inequality in the future foreign business trade development. }Key Words~: Foreign Business Trade Income Inequality “U” Relationship ቔᆀࢺകğ ޱӑ č1981iĎ ܼ༆ቂն࿐അ࿐ჽ࢝ഽ ৳༢ٚൔğ E-mail: georgehch@ Tel: 0771-3020851 Address: ܼ༆ଲୡ൧ն࿐תਫ਼188ݼܼ༆ቂն࿐അ࿐ჽ č530006Ď
