뗚14뻭뗚3웚춬볃듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)쓪6퓂ꆡꆡTongjiUniversityJournalSocialScienceSectionꆡꆡ톭뮷뺭볃샭싛폫좫쏦킡뾵짧믡훮듳붨ꆡ훜붨쇁ꆡꆡ햪ꆡ튪:톭뮷뺭볃쫇21쫀볍뗄탂뺭볃,훐맺붨짨좫쏦킡뾵짧믡탨튪맘힢톭뮷뺭볃ꆣ놾컄잿뗷톭뮷뺭볃쫇튻훖뻟폐헻뫏틢틥뗄탂랢햹랽쪽,쯼쫇뛔틔뺭볃ꆢ짧믡ꆢ뮷뺳죽캬럖쇑캪쳘헷뗄뒫춳랢햹쒣쪽뗄룹놾탔뇤룯ꆣ횸돶랢햹톭뮷뺭볃,뿉틔쪹훐맺ퟟ돶튻쳵짺닺랢햹ꆢ짺믮뢻풣ꆢ짺첬뫍킳뗄탂탍쿖듺뮯뗄랢햹뗀슷ꆣꆡꆡ맘볼듊:톭뮷뺭볃;킡뾵짧믡;탂뺭볃쒣쪽ꆡꆡ훐춼럖샠뫅:F015ꆡꆡꆡꆡ컄쿗뇪쪶싫:ACircularEconomicTheoryandaComprehensiveFairly2Well2offSocietyinChinaZhuDajian,ZhouJianliang(SchoolofEconomicsandManagement,TongjiUniversity,Shanghai200092,China)Abstract:,aneweconomicdevelopmentmodeltypicalofintegration,isafundamentalreformationcomparedwiththetraditionaleconomicdevelopmentmodelestablishedin18thcentury,whichischaracter2isticofthedisintegrationamongthethreedimensionsofeconomy,,whichistypicaloftheharmonyamongdevelopment,:CircularEconomy;FairlyWell2offSociety;NewEconomyWayꆡꆡ쪮쇹듳놨룦쳡돶,튪듓컯훊컄쏷ꆢ헾훎컄쏷ꆢ훐맺늢뫜뿬뗃떽룟닣훘쫓ꆣ놾컄싛횤쇋톭뮷뺭볃뺫짱컄쏷ꆢ짺첬컄쏷쯄룶랽쏦헻뫏뗄틢틥짏좫쏦쒣쪽뛔폚훐맺좫쏦붨짨킡뾵짧믡뗄틢틥,죏캪랢붨짨킡뾵짧믡ꆣ붭퓳쏱퓚2002쓪좫쟲뮷뺳믹뷰햹톭뮷뺭볃,뿉틔쪹훐맺ퟟ돶튻쳵짺닺랢햹ꆢ짺믮돉풱맺믡틩짏랢뇭쇋맘폚ꆰ횻폐ퟟ틔ퟮ폐킧샻폃뢻풣ꆢ짺첬뫍킳뗄탂탍쿖듺뮯뗄랢햹뗀슷;잿뗷톭풴뫍놣뮤뮷뺳캪믹뒡뗄톭뮷뺭볃횮슷,뿉돖탸뮷뺭볃쫇튻훖뻟폐헻뫏틢틥뗄탂랢햹랽쪽,쫇뛔랢햹닅쓜뗃틔쪵쿖ꆱ뗄훘튪붲뮰ꆣ톭뮷뺭볃뗄룅18쫀볍릤튵뮯퓋뚯뾪쪼뗄틔뺭볃ꆢ짧믡ꆢ뮷뺳죽쓮쫇맺볊짏20쫀볍90쓪듺탎돉뗄,1998쓪틽죫캬럖쇑캪쳘헷뗄뒫춳랢햹쒣쪽뗄룹놾탔뇤룯ꆣ훮듳붨:춬볃듳톧뺭볃폫맜샭톧풺뷌쫚ꆢ늩떼ꆢ짏몣쫐헾뢮쳘울뻶닟톯볒훜붨쇁:춬볃듳톧뺭볃폫맜샭톧풺늩쪿짺
ꆡ1ꆡ08ꆡ춬볃듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)뗚14뻭ꆡ튻ꆢ톭뮷뺭볃뛔폚훐맺좫쏦붨짨킡뾵짧믡뗄틢틥ꆡꆡ쫀볍뗄훐맺펦룃돉캪톭뮷뺭볃뗄뺭볃튪쎬뛜뇤쇋ꆣ뷱쳬,튻랽쏦,죧뫎뷢뻶맽쪣샍뚯솦잿맺뗄뻍튵컊쳢틑돉캪좫쟲훷튪쎬뛜;쇭튻랽쏦죕쟷훐맺쿖듺뮯튪붨짨뗄늻쫇18ꆫ20쫀볍뗄뺭쮥복뗄ퟔ좻놾퓲돉캪뺭볃랢햹뗄쿞훆탔튪쯘ꆣ볃잿맺,뛸쫇21쫀볍뗄뺭볃잿맺ꆣ볙죧컒쏇퇘ퟅ퓚릤튵룯쏼랢뗄쪱뫲,뗘쟲뗄뺭볃쾵춳뫜킡,짺뒫춳릤튵뮯뗄쮼슷살쳖싛훐맺뗄쿖듺뮯,뗃돶뗄첬쾵춳뫜듳,틲듋뒫춳뺭볃톧뿉틔늻뾼싇ퟔ좻쫇풭살쿟탔뺭볃틢틥짏뗄뺭볃잿맺룅쓮,죧볲떥풴뗄쾡좱탔,늻붫짺첬쾵춳뾴ퟷ쓚짺뇤솿ꆣ뺭맽뗘ힷ쟳GDP퓶뎤뗈ꆣ쿖퓚컒쏇탨튪룄뇤쮼캬랽뛾냙뛠쓪뗄랢햹뫳,뗘쟲짏뗄뺭볃쾵춳틑뺭뫜듳쪽,퇐뺿틔탂뗄뺭볃랽쪽캪떼쿲뗄뺭볃잿맺뗄틢뛸ퟔ좻쾵춳쟷폚복킡ꆣ떱ퟔ좻뮷뺳돉캪뺭볃랢햹틥ꆣ쏀맺ꆢ얷쏋ꆢ죕놾틑뺭쳡돶21쫀볍죋샠쏦쇙뗄쓚짺뇤솿쪱,돖탸뗄뺭볃퓶뎤뻍뾪쪼쫜떽ퟔ좻ퟅ튻듎탂뗄릤튵룯쏼ꆣ붭퓳쏱퓚ꆰ쪮쇹듳ꆱ놨룦훐놾뗄풼쫸;샽죧늶폣쫜떽쮮닺풴뗄풼쫸;쒾쇏쳡돶뗄탂탍릤튵뮯룅쓮,횵뗃컒쏇뷡뫏톭뮷뺭볃쫜떽즭쇖풴뗄풼쫸;돇쫐쫜떽췁뗘풴뗄풼쫸;짮죫퇐뺿ꆣ컒죏캪,평폚뿉돖탸랢햹룅쓮뗄쳡돶붻춨쫜떽쓜풴풴뗄풼쫸ꆣ풭살횻튪믺웷쮮욽쳡뫍짮뮯,21쫀볍뗄뺭볃탎쪽붫폫18쫀볍틔살뗄룟,늶폣탐튵뗄닺솿뻍믡쳡룟,GDP튲쯦ퟅ쳡룟ꆣ뺭볃탎쪽췪좫늻춬ꆣ쿖퓚돶쿖쇋탂뗄뇤룯쪽뗄뺭쿖퓚쟩뿶쫇폣풴죕쟷뫄뷟,믺웷쮮욽퓙룟튲컞볃랽쪽,헢훖뺭볃랽쪽냼몬횪쪶뺭볃뫍톭뮷뺭볃볃폚쫂ꆣ솽룶믹놾랽쏦,쒿잰죋쏇뛔횪쪶뺭볃뗄훘튪탔틑3.톭뮷뺭볃뛔쿟탔뺭볃뗄뎬풽폐돤럖죏쪶,뛸뛔톭뮷뺭볃뗄틢틥벰웤쪵볹뮹풶듓컯훊쇷뚯뗄탎쪽뾴,릤튵뮯퓋뚯틔살뗄뺭풶늻릻ꆣ볃놾훊짏쫇튻훖쿟탔뺭볃ꆣ퓚쿟탔뺭볃훐,풴2.ퟔ좻놾돉캪죋샠짧믡뗄훆풼틲쯘쫤죫뺭볃쾵춳,뇤돉닺욷,뺭쿻럑뫳폖쫤돶,뇤돉톭뮷뺭볃쫇뛔뛾냙뛠쓪살뒫춳랢햹랽쪽뗄뇤럏웺컯,떼훂뮷뺳컊쳢ꆣ헢튻맽돌쫇떥춨뗀뗄,틲룯,쯼뗄샭싛잰쳡쫇ퟔ좻놾헽퓚돉캪훆풼죋샠듋뇭쿖캪쿟탔ꆣ퓚쿟탔뺭볃훐,뺭볃쾵춳풽ퟶ풽랢햹뗄훷튪틲쯘ꆣ듓퇇떱ꆤ쮹쏜뗬뚨뺭볃풭샭뾪듳,GDPퟜ솿뇤듳뗄쪱뫲,췢쏦뗄짺첬쾵춳퓲풽쪼,뺭볃톧뻍폐솽룶믹놾맛뗣:튻쫇죋샠랢햹뗄뇤풽킡ꆣ헢훖뺭볃랽쪽릫쪽뇭쪾캪:풴듦퓚ퟅ쒳훖쾡좱탔;뛾쫇죋샠랢햹탨튪ퟮ폐킧I=PꇁAꇁT1뗘엤훃쾡좱풴ꆣ뺭맽18쫀볍틔살200뛠쓪뗄ꆡꆡ퓚릫쪽훐,I뇭쪾뺭볃뛔뮷뺳뗄펰쿬;P뇭쪾릤튵뮯퓋뚯,뺡맜죋샠죔좻탨튪좥ퟮ폐킧뗘엤훃죋뿚;A뇭쪾쿻럑쮮욽,뿉틔폃GDP뇭쪾;T1뇭쾡좱풴,떫쫇떱잰죋샠쏦쇙뗄쾡좱풴뗄샠탍쪾쿟탔뺭볃뗄벼쫵,벴뾿듳솿풴춶죫좡뗃GDP틑랢짺쇋훘듳뗄뇤뮯ꆣ뗄듖럅쪽퓶뎤ꆣ듳쳥짏쮵,뒫춳릤튵룯쏼뗄벼쫵18쫀볍릤튵뮯퓋뚯뾪쪼뗄쪱뫲쫀뷧짏뗄쾡뺭볃쳘헷쫇뾪닉탔뗄;쿟탔뗄(뾪닉-볓릤-럏좱풴훷튪쫇죋,늻쾡좱뗄퓲쫇ퟔ좻풴ꆣ틲듋쇏);뮯쪯좼쇏쟽뚯뗄;힢틢솦럅퓚샍뚯짺닺싊짏릤튵뮯뗄탋웰뻍쫇튪틔믺웷쳦듺죋,듓뛸쳡룟샍뗄(쎿룶릤죋짺닺룼뛠뗄닺욷);놻샄폃뫍샋럑뗄ꆣ뚯짺닺싊ꆣ죧뫎돤럖뗘샻폃ퟔ좻풴,폐킧뗘뷚헢퇹튻훖뺭볃쿔좻쫇웆뮵탔뗄ꆢ첰삷뗄ꆢ쿻뫄탔ꆢ쪡죋뗄풴,돉캪떱쪱뗄훷튪쎬뛜ꆣ떫쫇릤튵뮯늻뿉돖탸뗄ꆣ퓋뚯솽냙쓪뫳뗄뷱쳬,쾡좱뗄풴뇤쇋ꆣ죋틑늻톭뮷뺭볃뾼싇뗄퓲쫇죧뫎퓚볈뚨풴듦솿쿂퓙쫇쾡좱풴ꆣ틲캪1800쓪쫀뷧짏뮹횻폐10틚쳡룟뺭볃랢햹뗄훊솿뛸늻쫇뺭볃퓶뎤뗄쫽솿ꆣ21죋뿚,쒿잰헢룶쫽ퟖ틑짏짽캪60틚ꆣ쫀볍뗄훷튪쎬뛜평늻뛏쳡룟샍뚯짺닺싊(떥캻샍쿖퓚,쾡좱뗄쫇ퟔ좻풴,룼좷쟐뗄쮵쫇냼삨뚯솦듸살뗄뺭볃퓶뎤)뇤캪탨튪듳럹쳡룟ퟔ좻ퟔ좻풴뫍짺첬쓜솦퓚쓚뗄ퟔ좻놾ꆣ쯹틔,뺭풴짺닺싊(떥캻ퟔ좻놾듸살뗄뺭볃랢햹)ꆣ헢훖볃톧뗄풭샭죔쫇헽좷뗄,떫쫇엤훃쾡좱풴뗄훷뺭볃랽쪽뿉폃릫쪽뇭쪾캪:
ꆡ뗚3웚훮듳붨뗈:톭뮷뺭볃샭싛폫좫쏦킡뾵짧믡10ꆡ9ꆡI=(PꇁA)/T2볛횵뗄컯욷뫍럾컱,튪솢횾폚붨짨돉캪ꆰ욷없짺ꆡꆡ퓚릫쪽훐,T2뇭쪾톭뮷뺭볃뗄벼쫵ꆣ퓚듋닺ꆱ뗄훐맺훆퓬뛸늻쫇ꆰ듳솿짺닺ꆱ뗄쫀뷧릤뎧ꆣ뺭볃쒣쪽훐,뺭볃쾵춳ힷ쟳ퟔ좻뮷뺳뿉돐쫜뗄맦(2)퓚짧믡랽쏦,튪잿뗷죋뿚퓶볓쳵볾쿂뗄쒣,퓚쳡룟죋샠짺듦볛횵뗄춬쪱쪹뗃뮷뺳펰쿬풽죋샠랢햹횸쫽쳡룟,듓죋샠랢햹횸쫽캪2000쓪뗄킡ꆣ뿉틔쮵떱듺짺첬룯쏼뗄벼쫵뺭볃쳘헷쫇뿉퓙쫀뷧욽뻹횵()랢햹떽룟죋샠쮮욽뗄죫쏅횵짺뗄,뛸늻쫇뾪닉탔뗄;톭뮷뗄(듓튡삺떽튡삺)뛸()ꆣ틲듋,좫쏦붨짨킡뾵짧믡튪뷢뻶훐맺뻍튵늻쫇쿟탔뗄;첫퇴쓜쟽뚯뗄,뛸늻쫇뮯쪯좼쇏쟽뚯뗄톭뮷뺭볃춾뺶ꆣ죋뿚훚뛠쫇훐맺쿖듺뮯뗄훷튪뗄;힢틢솦럅퓚풴짺닺싊,뛸늻쫇샍뚯짺닺싊컊쳢,캴살뗄훐맺탨튪붫죋뿚듳맺뇤캪뻍튵듳짏ꆣ쯼쏇뛔짺컯좦뗄펰쿬쫇솼탔뗄,뛸늻쫇샄폃맺,튪춨맽톭뮷뺭볃랢햹룷훖럾컱탔뗄닺튵,춨맽뗄ꆣ톭뮷뺭볃쪵쿖릤튵뗄뗚죽닺튵뮯ꆣꋙ4.듓톭뮷뺭볃뾴훐맺좫쏦붨짨킡뾵짧믡(3)퓚풴랽쏦,튪퓋폃톭뮷뺭볃냑풴쿻듓뿉돖탸랢햹뫍톭뮷뺭볃뗄뷇뛈뾴,훐맺캴뫄뿘훆퓚뗍퓶뎤짵훁쇣퓶뎤쮮욽,듓쿖퓚뗄13틚살20쓪튪좫쏦붨짨뗄킡뾵짧믡펦룃쫇폃뷏짙뗄죋뿚떽캴살20쓪뗄14틚ퟳ폒죋뿚,풴킧싊튪뮷뺳펰쿬좥쳡룟짺믮훊솿뗄짧믡ꆣ뷏짙뗄뮷뺳펰쳡룟떽쿖퓚뗄3ꆫ4놶;퓚뮷뺳랽쏦,튪퓋폃톭뮷쿬쫇횸풴쿻뫄뫍뮷뺳업럅튪뺡뿉쓜복짙;뷏룟뺭볃쪹뗃뮷뺳컛좾업럅뿘훆퓚뗍퓶뎤뫍쇣퓶뎤쮮뗄짺믮훊솿쫇횸뺭볃쫕죫뫍짺믮쯘훊튪뺡뿉쓜쳡욽,뺡맜뺭볃짧믡룟뛈랢햹,떫훐맺뗄죋뻹짺첬ퟣ룟ꆣ뻟쳥뗘쮵,킡뾵짧믡튪얬솦ퟶ떽:벣ꋚ튪늻뎬맽풭살뗄뷧쿞ꆣ틲듋,좫쏦붨짨킡뾵(1)퓚뺭볃랽쏦,튪잿뗷쳡룟닺욷럾컱뗄훊짧믡튪췪짆믹폚풤럀뫍좫맽돌뗄컛좾뿘훆ꆣ훐맺솿뛸늻쫇컯훊쿻뫄뗄쫽솿,듓죋뻹800쏀풪떽죋쿖듺뮯뗄믹놾놣헏쫇쳡룟ퟔ좻짺닺싊,캴살뗄훐뻹3000쏀풪,짺믮쮮욽뗄놶쫽튪쳡룟떽쿖퓚뗄4맺튪듓뫪맛짏뗄뺭볃좫맽돌뫍캢맛짏뗄닺욷좫훜놶ꆣ틲듋,좫쏦붨짨킡뾵짧믡튪듙뷸릦쓜떼쿲뗄웚솽룶닣쏦얬솦,쪹뗃훐맺뗄ퟔ좻놾쓜릻돤럖훐맺뺭볃룯쏼ꆣ훐맺뺭볃랢햹짮쫜튻듎탔뗍볛횵뗘럾컱폚짧믡뺭볃랢햹ꆣ컯욷뗄쯰몦,캴살뗄훐맺튪훂솦폚랢햹쓍폃탔ꆢ룟뛾ꆢ쪵쿖듓죽캬럖쇑랢햹떽죽캬헻뫏랢햹뗄뇤룯ꆡꆡ1.듓죽캬럖쇑뗄쮼뾼떽죽캬헻뫏뗄쮼뾼볓복짙쇋죋샠뗄릤ퟷ룚캻,떼훂뺭볃폫짧믡뗄쎬움볛훐맺21쫀볍뺭볃랢햹뗄뫏샭탔,탨튪뾼뛜ꆣ뻍쒩뛋훎샭뗄뒫춳뮷뺳놣뮤쒣쪽뛸퇔,컒쏇싇뿉돖탸랢햹뗄죽룶캬뛈,벴쪵쿖뺭볃뷇뛈ꆢ짧믡튲뾴떽쇋컛좾훎샭폫뺭볃퓶뎤ꆢ짧믡뻍튵횮볤뗄뷇뛈폫뮷뺳뷇뛈뗄죽캬헻뫏ꆣ뿉돖탸랢햹뗄쒣볢죱돥춻ꆣ쪽,퓚뺭볃짏튪뒴퓬룼뛠볛횵,헢놻죏캪쫇풴뗄톭뮷뺭볃퓲쫇뿉돖탸랢햹뗄ꆰ죽펮ꆱ뺭볃,쯼폐킧엤훃컊쳢(볛룱뿉틔ퟷ캪훷튪뗄헾닟쫖뛎);냑뺭볃랢햹ꆢ뮷뺳놣뮤ꆢ짧믡뻍튵춳튻웰살,튪쟳퓚뮷뺳짏튪복짙뢺쏦펰쿬,헢놻죏캪쫇짺첬뗄ퟮ듓죽캬럖쇑뗄랢햹ퟟ쿲죽캬헻뫏뗄랢햹ꆣ톭뮷뺭병맦쒣컊쳢(컈첬뿉틔ퟷ캪훷튪뗄헾닟쫖뛎);퓚볃퓚랢햹뗄쎿튻룶랽쏦,뚼틢캶ퟅ룹놾탔뗄뇤룯ꆣ짧믡짏튪뷢뻶죋뿚뻍튵,헢놻죏캪쫇닺욷뗄릫욽퓚뷢뻶뮷뺳컊쳢랽쏦,쯼튪쟳쪵쿖듓뾪뮷뗄쒩뛋럖엤컊쳢(쮰쫕뿉틔ퟷ캪훷튪뗄헾닟쫖뛎)ꆣ탔훎샭떽뇕뮷뗄좫맽돌뿘훆뗄뇤룯;퓚듙뷸뺭볃뒫춳뺭볃퓶뎤뫍뒫춳뮷뺳놣뮤쫇뒫춳릤튵뮯랢햹랽쏦,쯼튪쟳쪵쿖듓쫽솿탍뗄컯훊퓶뎤떽훊퓋뚯ꆰ튻룶럖뇒ꆱ뗄솽룶랽쏦,쯼쏇퓚뷢뻶뺭볃ꆢ짧솿탍뗄럾컱퓶뎤뗄뇤룯;퓚췆뷸짧믡뻍튵랽쏦,쯼믡ꆢ뮷뺳뗄컊쳢쪱쫇럖쇑뗄뛸늻쫇헻뫏뗄ꆣ뻍캨튪쟳쪵쿖뻍튵복짙탔뗄짧믡떽뻍튵퓶볓탔뗄짧믡GDP쫇쟳뗄뒫춳뺭볃퓶뎤쒣쪽뛸퇔,튻랽쏦,쯼뗄뇤룯ꆣ춨맽쿻뫄뫍뫄즢ퟔ좻놾살믱뗃퓶뎤,떼훂뺭볃쒿잰컒맺퇘쾮뗄죔좻쫇쿟탔뺭볃뗄랢햹랽폫뮷뺳뗄쎬뛜;쇭튻랽쏦,쯼춨맽ퟔ뚯뮯쮮욽뗄퓶쪽ꆣ쯼냑랢햹뗄틔짏죽룶랽쏦럖쇑쇋뾪살ꆣ죧룄
ꆡ1ꆡ10ꆡ춬볃듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)뗚14뻭ꆡ룯뾪럅틔살컒맺뺭볃퓶뎤볓뿬쇋,떫뮷뺳뗄쳴햽(2)뺡뿉쓜뛠듎쪹폃룷훖컯욷;좴볓훘쇋ꆣ랴맽살,캪뷢뻶뮷뺳컊쳢뛸샕쇮컛좾(3)뺡뿉쓜뗘쪹럏웺컯풴뮯뫍뛑럊;웳튵맘뇕,평듋폖듸살쇋쿂룚컊쳢ꆣ틲듋랴뻍튵(4)뛔폚컞램복짙ꆢ퓙쪹폃ꆢ퓙톭뮷믲헟뛑럊뗄뮷놣튲늻뿉탐ꆣ쇭췢,쿟탔뺭볃뗄랢햹랽쪽뮹뗄럏웺컯퓲럙징믲뒦샭;떼훂뺭볃폫짧믡쿠럖쇑,죧늻잡떱뗘쳡뎫룟뿆벼(5)퓚잰쏦쯄룶쒿뇪싺ퟣ횮뫳쪣쿂뗄럏웺컯뗄랢햹떼훂쇋쪧튵컊쳢뗄퓶볓ꆣ틲듋훐맺캴살뗄퓚쿈뷸뗄쳮싱뎡폨틔쳮싱ꆣ랢햹,탨튪춨맽톭뮷뺭볃쪵쿖뺭볃퓶뎤ꆢ짧믡뻍튵3.톭뮷뺭볃뗄뺭볃캬뛈ꆪꆪꆪ듓쫽솿탍뗄컯훊폫ퟔ좻풴뗄폐믺헻뫏ꆣ퓶뎤떽훊솿탍뗄럾컱퓶뎤2.톭뮷뺭볃뗄뮷뺳캬뛈:듓뾪뮷뗄쒩뛋탔훎(1)듓맘힢닺욷뗄쫽솿떽맘힢컯욷뗄릦쓜ꆣ샭떽뇕뮷뗄좫맽돌뿘훆톭뮷뺭볃뗄뺭볃틢틥,뇭쿖퓚쯼튪쟳룄뇤쒿잰뾿듓뮷뺳뷇뛈뾴,톭뮷뺭볃튪쟳듓풴뾪닉ꆢ짺듳솿짺닺뗍볛룱ꆢ튻듎탔ꆢ뗍훊솿닺욷퓶볓GDP닺ꆢ퓋쫤ꆢ쿻럑뫍퓙샻폃뗄좫맽돌뿘훆뮷뺳컊쳢,뗄짺닺랽쪽,쿲짺닺룟볛룱ꆢ쓍폃탍폫룟훊솿뗄뛸늻뷶뷶퓚뺭볃맽돌뗄쒩뛋뷸탐컛좾뿘훆ꆣ톭뮷닺욷살뒴퓬GDPꆣ죧맻냑뺭볃퓶뎤볲떥뗘뇭쿖뺭볃뗄뮷놣틢틥,쫗쿈뇭쿖퓚쾵춳뗘죏쪶떽쇋믹캪쿂쇐맘쾵,벴뺭볃퓶뎤살ퟔ폚짺닺뫍럾컱뗄쫽폚쿟탔뺭볃뗄쒩뛋훎샭뮷뺳놣뮤쒣쪽뗄뻖쿞:솿돋짏볛룱:(1)뒫춳쒩뛋훎샭쫇컊쳢랢짺뫳뗄놻뚯ퟶGDP=P(볛룱)ꇁN(쫽솿)램,틲듋늻뿉쓜듓룹놾짏뇜쏢컛좾랢짺ꆣꆡꆡ쓇쎴뒫춳쿟탔뺭볃쫇춨맽듳엺솿뗄짺닺ꆢ닺(2)쒩뛋훎샭쯦ퟅ컛좾컯복짙뛸돉놾풽살풽욷뗄뗍훊솿뫍뗍볛룱믱뗃쫽솿탍뗄뺭볃퓶뎤;뛸룟,쯼쿠떱돌뛈짏뗖쿻쇋뺭볃퓶뎤듸살뗄쫕틦ꆣ톭뮷뺭볃퓲쫇튪춨맽뗍쫽솿ꆢ룟훊솿ꆢ룟볛룱믱뗃(3)평쒩뛋훎샭뛸탎돉뗄뮷놣쫐뎡닺짺탩볙뺭볃퓶뎤ꆣ뒫춳뗄뮷뺳톧헟뎣뎣쎤쒿뗘랴뛔뗄뫍뛱탔뗄뺭볃킧틦ꆣGDP뗄퓶뎤,톭뮷뺭볃퓲횸돶GDP뗄퓶뎤냼몬(4)쒩뛋훎샭쟷쿲폚볓잿뛸늻쫇복죵틑폐뗄솽룶늿럖:컯훊탔뗄쫽솿퓶뎤폫볛횵탔뗄훊솿퓶벼쫵쳥쾵,듓뛸컾짼쇋헦헽뗄벼쫵룯탂ꆣ뎤,톭뮷뺭볃탨튪랢햹볛횵탔뗄훊솿퓶뎤ꆣ(5)쒩뛋훎샭쪹뗃웳튵싺ퟣ폚ퟱ쫘뮷뺳램맦내헕톭뮷뺭볃,뺭볃퓶뎤늢럇볲떥뗘틢캶ퟅ뛸늻쫇좥춶뾪랢컛좾짙뗄짺닺랽쪽ꆣ짺닺뫍쿻럑룼뛠뗄닺욷ꆪꆪꆪ헽쫇듋샠퓶뎤룸뮷뺳(6)쒩뛋훎샭쎻폐쳡릩좫쏦뗄뾴램,뛸퓬돉퓬돉쇋뛮췢뗄뢺떣;뛸쫇뇘탫쳡룟폃폚쿻럑뗄짌뮷뺳폫랢햹벰뮷뺳훎샭쓚늿룷쇬폲볤뗄룴뫒ꆣ욷뫍럾컱뗄훊솿뫍볛횵ꆣ쯦ퟅ닺욷쪹폃쫙쏼뗄퇓(7)쒩뛋훎샭ퟨ낭랢햹훐맺볒횱뷓뷸죫룼캪뎤ꆢ쓍폃탔뗄쳡룟뫍닺욷훊솿뗄룄짆,쯤좻듓볾쫽쿖듺뮯뗄랢햹랽쪽,볓듳쇋퓚뮷뺳훎샭랽쏦뛔랢짏뾴믡복짙탨쟳솿,떫늻믡복짙탨쟳뗄볛횵솿ꆣ듯맺볒뗄틀삵ꆣ쿠랴,쿻럑헟믡뛸좥릺싲닺솿풽살풽짙뗄ꆢ떫볛톭뮷뺭볃퓚뮷뺳짏뗄룹놾쒿뇪,쫇튪쟳퓚뺭횵풽살풽룟ꆢ풽살풽낺맳뗄닺욷ꆣ웳튵듓헢샠놣볃쇷돌훐쾵춳뗘뷚풼풴뫍뇜쏢ꆢ복짙럏컯ꆣퟷ횵탔뗄닺욷ꆪꆪꆪ뇈죧뛀튻컞뛾뗄ꆢ웦쳘뗄믲쳘뇰캪튻훖탂뗄뮷놣샭쓮,톭뮷뺭볃쫗쿈튪쟳복짙뺭뺫쏀뗄닺욷ꆪꆪꆪ훐췪좫뿉틔믱뗃럡뫱뗄뺭볃샻볃풴춷뗄컛좾닺짺솿,틲듋릤튵뷧퓚짺닺뷗뛎뫍죳ꆣ쏀맺톧헟났샯쮹퓚ꆶ헛뗣ꆷ(1998쓪)튻쫩쿻럑헟퓚쪹폃뷗뛎뻍튪뺡솿뇜쏢룷훖럏컯뗄업훐횸돶ꆰ:듓쿲ퟮ훕쿻럑헟쳡릩룼뫃뫍룼폐볛횵뗄럅;웤듎쫇뛔폚풴춷늻쓜쿷복뗄컛좾컯뫍뺭맽쿻럾컱틢틥짏살붲,늻탨튪쿻럑룼뛠컯훊풴살쪵럑헟쪹폃뗄냼ힰ럏컯ꆢ뻉믵뗈튪볓틔믘쫕샻폃,쪹쿖뺭볃퓶뎤퓚샭싛짏쫇뿉쓜뗄ꆣ헢훖맛뗣틀뻝뗄쯼쏇믘떽뺭볃톭뮷훐좥;횻폐떱뇜쏢닺짺뫍믘쫕쫂쪵쫇,쿻럑헟ퟮ훕룐탋좤뗄늻쫇짌욷놾짭,뛸쫇샻폃뚼늻쓜쪵쿖쪱,닅퓊탭붫ퟮ훕럏컯뷸탐뮷뺳헢킩짌욷쯹쓜릻쳡릩뗄럾컱ꆣꆱ컞몦뮯뗄뒦훃ꆣ틔만쳥럏웺컯캪샽,헢훖풤럀캪탨튪쮵쏷뗄쫇,컯욷뗄쓍폃탔늢늻업돢뛠퇹훷뗄랽쪽퓚톭뮷뺭볃훐폐튻룶럖닣듎뗄쒿뇪ꆣ뮯ꆣ쫂쪵짏,닺쓍폃뗄룟훊솿닺욷뿉틔쪹웳튵(1)춨맽풤럀복짙럏웺컯뗄닺짺;폐쪱볤뫍솦솿좥뾪랢헦헽룶탔뮯뗄뫍룟퇅뗄뚫
ꆡ뗚3웚훮듳붨뗈:톭뮷뺭볃샭싛폫좫쏦킡뾵짧믡11ꆡ1ꆡ컷ꆣ죧듋튻살,릩룸ퟜ솿붫믡복짙,떫욷훖붫룼볓4.톭뮷뺭볃뗄뻍튵캬뛈ꆪꆪꆪ듓뻍튵복짙탍뗄뛠퇹뮯ꆣ뛸쟒,춨맽닺욷뗄ퟢ쇞,죋쏇뿉틔뗃떽룼짧믡떽뻍튵퓶볓탍뗄짧믡뛠뗄뗷볁,룼쓜쿔쪾룶탔ꆣ죋쏇뿉틔룹뻝탨쟳뗄(1)톭뮷뺭볃뒴퓬듳솿샍뚯룚캻ꆣ톭뮷뺭볃뇤뮯ퟢ쇞믲ퟢ폃뫏쫊뗄닺욷,뛸늻뇘뎤웚쏦뛔싲뗄짧믡틢틥뇭쿖퓚캪죋뿚죕틦퓶뎤뗄짧믡쳡릩쇋살뗄닺욷ꆣ룼뛠뗄뻍튵믺믡,뛸늻쫇쿠랴ꆣ평폚쓍폃놣횵탔(2)쪵쿖듓짺닺폅쿈떽럾컱폅쿈뗄뇤ꆣ뒫닺욷뗄짺닺ꆢ놣퇸ꆢ캬탞ꆢ럾컱틔벰퓙샻폃탐튵쫴춳쿟탔뺭볃돽쇋풴쫤죫뗄룟뾪닉뫍컛좾업럅뗄폚샍뚯쏜벯탍닺튵,틲듋뗂맺톧헟삭럢떤퓚ꆶ늻튪룟쫤돶횮췢,뺭볃짏뗄훘튪쳘헷쫇튻쟐캪쇋짺닺뿖뻥뺭볃좫쟲뮯ꆷ(2000쓪)튻쫩훐횸돶ꆰ:횻튪죋뫍쿺쫛탂뗄닺욷틔벰폫늻뛏짺닺뫍쿺쫛뇘좻쿠맘쏇듓튻듎탔풭퓲쿲쓍폃탔풭퓲,뻍쓜뒴솢탂뗄뗄닺욷쪹폃뗄뛌킧탔(벴뗍쪹폃)ꆣ평폚톭뮷뺭볃샍뚯룚캻,좡듺쟷폚쿻쫅뗄튻듎탔닺욷짺닺훐뗄퓚뺭볃짏뗄쳘헷쫇폅뮯컯욷뗄쓍폃탔뫍릦쓜탔,샍뚯룚캻ꆣ듓뺻횵뾴,탂짨뗄샍뚯룚캻붫뛠폚쿻뛸늻쫇ퟮ듳쿞뛈뗘짺닺ꆢퟮ듳맦쒣뗘쿺쫛틔벰췆쪧뗄샍뚯룚캻,늢쟒탂퓶샍뚯룚캻붫돶쿖폚죋쏇쿺쫙쏼뫜뛌뗄닺욷ꆣ틲듋,뿉틔냑훐탄룅쓮붨솢짺믮쯹퓚뗘ꆣꆱ퓚붻뮻볛횵횮짏뗄쿟탔뺭볃뷐ퟶ짺닺뺭볃,뛸냑폫뒫춳쿟탔뺭볃쯵뛌뺭볃뗄솴쳵늻춬,톭뮷훐탄룅쓮붨솢퓚쪹폃볛횵횮짏뗄톭뮷뺭볃뷐ퟶ횰뺭볃쫇춨맽퇓뎤뺭볃뗄솴쳵뛸퓶볓뻍튵믺믡뗄ꆣ쓜뺭볃ꆣ짺닺헟늻퓙쫇췆쿺닺욷뛸쫇췆쿺럾컱,샽죧,퓚짺닺훐,폃쓜릻듓쫂뛠퇹뮯뫍쇩믮탔뗄죋쪹폃헟컞탫릺싲뫍펵폐컯욷,횻탫퓚튻룶캪싺ퟣ살좡듺믺웷;퓚쿺쫛훐,탨튪쫬솷죋풱룸쿻럑헟쳡웤탨쟳뛸ퟩ횯웰살뗄쳥쾵훐횧뢶럾컱럑폃뻍뿉틔릩톯뫍돶ퟢ럾컱;퓚쪹폃훐,폃폚놣퇸뫍캬탞뗄쇋ꆣ틲듋톭뮷뺭볃폐뿉쓜쪹럾컱훊솿듯떽ퟮ폅,샍컱럑폃뗄럖솿믡풽살풽듳;퓚놨럏쪱,뛔닺욷뷸듓뛸쪵쿖듓짺닺폅쿈짧믡쿲럾컱폅쿈짧믡믲헦헽탐닰킶퓙샻폃폐뫜뛠뗄뻍튵킧펦;퓚뒦샭쪱,춨맽틢틥짏뗄뫳릤튵짧믡벴럾컱짧믡뗄뇤ꆣ뛔럏웺컯뗄톭뮷샻폃뒴퓬뻍튵ꆣퟟ쿲럾컱폅쿈짧믡,폐솽룶햽싔ꆣ웤튻쫇돖(2)톭뮷뺭볃퓚뻍튵랽쏦뗄쳘뗣ꆣ폫톭뮷뺭뻃쪹폃,벴춨맽퇓뎤닺욷뗄쪹폃쫙쏼살붵뗍풴볃떼훂럾컱탔짧믡뗄랢햹쿠튻훂,톭뮷뺭볃쪹뗃쇷뚯뗄쯙뛈ꆣ죧맻죋쏇붫닺욷뗄쪹폃쫙쏼퇓뎤1뻍튵뗄훘뗣듓짺닺쿲캬뮤ꆣ죰쪿톧헟낣뛻뿋싼놶,쓇쎴뻍쫇쿠펦뗘복짙쇋튻냫뗄럏쇏ꆣ쪵쿖돖퓚ꆶ닺튵짺첬톧ꆷ(1999쓪)튻쫩훐횸돶ꆰ:짺닺늿뻃쪹폃햽싔폐쯄룶믹놾춾뺶:튪쟳늿볾뗄뇪ힼ뮯쏅뗄폃릤솿ퟔ좻뻍쿂붵쇋,떫평폚캬뮤ꆢ놣퇸ꆢ탞뫍폫웤쯻믺웷뗄볦죝탔,샽죧뇪ힼ돟듧짨볆뿉틔샭쿠맘뗄탂폃릤솿쯹좫늿늹뎥,펦룃쮵쫇듓짺닺쪹볆쯣믺ꆢ뗧쫓믺뫍웤쯼뗧ퟓힰ훃훐뗄뗧슷럇뎣룚캻틆떽쇋캬뮤놣퇸탞샭믮뚯랶돫,헢퇹뗄뻍죝틗뷸탐룼뮻뫍짽벶,뛸늻뇘룼뮻헻룶믺웷;춨맽튵믺믡,뿉틔뾴ퟷ룼캪컈뚨,틲캪쯼늻퓵쎴틀삵폚캬뮤놣퇸퇓뎤닺욷뗄쪹폃쫙쏼;헫뛔튪쟳쿠뛔뷏쫐뎡탨쟳뗄뇤뮯ꆣꆱ뗍뗄폃춾쪹폃튻킩틑뺭쪹폃맽뗄컯욷(쳝듎쪹낣뛻뿋싼퓚ꆶ닺튵짺첬톧ꆷ(1999쓪)훐쳡떽톭폃);쿲탨튪뗄늿쏅싴웳튵뫍룶죋틑뺭늻퓙탨튪뮷뺭볃붫쪹뗃뻍튵퓚뗘뮯ꆣꆰ톭뮷뺭볃쪹탂뗄샍뚯뗄뚫컷ꆣ웤뛾쫇벯풼쪹폃,벴쪹닺욷뗄샻폃듯떽룚캻돶쿖폚죋쏇짺믮뗄뗘랽ꆣ벯훐뮯뗄듳솿짺닺쒳훖맦쒣킧펦,듓뛸복짙럖즢쪹폃떼훂뗄풴샋쪧좥틢틥,풽살풽뛠뗄럾컱ꆢ캬탞뫍랭탂릤ퟷ횱뷓럑ꆣ듯떽벯풼쪹폃뗄춾뺶뿉틔폐:쳡뎫뫏믯쪹폃퓚쿻럑헟짺믮뗄뗘랽뷸탐ꆣ샍뚯훘탂ퟟ뷸죋ꆣꆱ믲릲쿭쪹폃,샽죧얼뛻쪹폃뗄웻뎵펦룃릩뛠룶볝듖싔뗘쮵,톭뮷뺭볃퓚뻍튵랽쏦뗄쳘뗣:(1)쪻풱쪹폃,냬릫쫒뗈믹뒡짨쪩튲뿉틔낲업죃얼뛻퓚닺튵샠탍짏,쿟탔뺭볃잿뗷훆퓬뻍튵(뗚뛾닺탨튪뗄횰풱릲쿭;뛔폚펤뛹폃욷뗈쒳킩뛌퓝탔폃튵),뛸톭뮷뺭볃삩햹럾컱뻍튵(뗚죽닺튵틔벰뗚뛾욷뿉틔랢햹ퟢ쇞튵볓잿훜;튪얬솦짨볆돶뛠폃닺튵뗄뗚죽닺튵뮯);(2)퓚쫐뎡뇤뮯짏,쿟탔뺭볃춾뛸늻쫇떥폃춾뗄닺욷,샽죧튻훖믺웷뿉틔벯뒫틀삵쫐뎡뇤뮯,뛸톭뮷뺭볃뻟폐컈뚨쳘뗣;(3)퓚헦ꆢ뢴펡ꆢ즨쏨뗈릦쓜폚튻짭,쟒쎿튻훖릦쓜뗄탔뻍튵뿕볤짏,쿟탔뺭볃쫇틬뗘뗄뻍튵(솪쾵좫쟲쓜늻뗍폚뒫춳뗄떥릦쓜믺웷뗄릦쓜ꆣ뮯),뛸톭뮷뺭볃쫇퓚뗘뗄뻍튵(솪쾵뗘랽뮯)ꆣ
ꆡ1ꆡ12ꆡ춬볃듳톧톧놨(짧믡뿆톧냦)뗚14뻭ꆡ힢ꆡꆡ쫍ꆡꆡꋙ횸릤튵늿쏅볓잿폫퇓뎤닺욷쪹폃쫙쏼폐맘뗄럾ꋚ죋뻹짺첬ퟣ벣쫇횸죋뻹쿻럑뿉햼폃뗄짺첬럾컱쫽컱,듓뛸복짙컯훊닺욷뗄쿻뫄ꆣ솿ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗ꆡꆡ[1]훮듳붨ꆶ:톭뮷뺭볃:짏몣뿧쫀볍랢햹춾뺶ꆷꆶ,짏2002쓪ꆣ몣뺭볃퇐뺿ꆷ,1998쓪뗚10웚ꆣ[8](쏀)믴뿏뗈ꆶ:ퟔ좻놾싛ꆷ,짏몣뿆톧웕벰돶냦[2]훮듳붨ꆶ:듓뿉돖탸랢햹떽톭뮷탍뺭볃ꆷꆶ,쫀뷧뮷짧,2001쓪ꆣ뺳ꆷ,2000쓪뗚1웚ꆣ[9](쏀)늼샊ꆶ:짺첬뺭볃ꆷ,놱뺩,뚫랽돶냦짧,2002[3](쏀)룱삭뗂컄ꆶ:뿉돖탸랢햹뗄탨튪ꆷꆶ,냑컕햽쓪ꆣ싔ꆷ,놱뺩듳톧돶냦짧,2002쓪ꆣ[10](쏀)냂뗂쒷ꆶ:랱죙뗘ퟟ쿲쮥췋ꆷ,놱뺩,훐탅돶[4](죰)낣뛻뿋싼ꆶ:릤튵짺첬톧ꆷ,놱뺩,뺭볃죕놨돶냦짧,2002쓪ꆣ냦짧,1999쓪ꆣ[11](뗂)캺듄달뿋뗈ꆶ:쯄놶풾뷸ꆷ,놱뺩,훐뮪릤짌[5](뗂)삭럢떤ꆶ:늻튪뿖뻥뺭볃좫쟲뮯ꆷ,놱뺩,룄룯솪뫏돶냦짧,2001쓪ꆣ돶냦짧,2000쓪ꆣ[12](펢)났샻쮹ꆶ:헛뗣ꆷ,짏몣틫컄돶냦짧,2001[6](쏀)듷샯ꆶ:풽풽퓶뎤ꆷ,짏몣틫컄돶냦짧,2001쓪ꆣ쓪ꆣ[7](쏀)낲뗂즭ꆶ:쏔춾횪략ꆷ,짏몣뿆톧웕벰돶냦짧,(퓰죎뇠벭:킻ꆡ쏶)
