2005쓪뗚10웚췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸3탭ꆡ쟬ꆡꆡ헂ꆡ풪(뢴떩듳톧뺭볃톧풺,뢴떩듳톧훐맺짧믡훷틥쫐뎡뺭볃퇐뺿훐탄ꆡ200433)ꆡꆡ쓚죝쳡튪:훐맺뗄볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆폫얩튵뺭볃퓶뎤횮볤뗄맘쾵쫜떽쇋훚뛠뺭볃톧볒뗄맘힢ꆣ쿖폐퇐뺿웕뇩죏캪췁뗘뗷헻웆뮵쇋얩쏱췁뗘쪹폃좨뗄컈뚨탔,듓뛸쿷죵쇋얩쏱뗄뎤웚춶벤샸ꆣ놾컄붫얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶뮮럖캪솽샠ꆰ,폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ틔벰ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ,춨맽쪵횤퇐뺿랢쿖,췁뗘뗷헻뛔얩뮧뗄헢솽샠뎤웚춶뻶닟뗄펰쿬쫇늻춬뗄ꆣ놾컄뗄훷튪뷡싛폐ꆰ:복죋복뗘ꆱ쪹얩뮧뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶듳럹뛈쿂붵ꆰ,퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔얩뮧뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶쎻폐쪲쎴펰쿬ꆰ;복죋복뗘ꆱ뫍ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뚼쎻폐쪲쎴펰쿬ꆣ떫쫇,컒쏇늢늻쓜냑ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ떼훂뗄틔벰듳뗷헻쯹뿉쓜떼훂뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄복짙췪좫맩뻌폚췁뗘뗷헻쯹떼훂뗄뗍킧싊ꆣ맘볼듊:췁뗘뗷헻ꆡ췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔ꆡ뎤웚춶벤샸튻ꆢ틽ꆡ퇔볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆뗄쪵쪩벫듳뗘벤샸쇋훐맺얩쏱뗄짺닺믽벫탔,뫜뛠톧헟(MacMilliam,WhalleyandZhu,1989;Lin,1992;HuangandRozelle,1996)죏캪,평듋틽랢뗄짺닺믽벫탔뗄쳡룟쫇20쫀볍80쓪듺돵얩튵돖탸룟쯙퓶뎤뗄쫗튪풭틲ꆣ떫쫇20쫀볍80쓪듺훐웚틔뫳,얩튵짺닺돶쿖쇋엇뮲뗄뻖쏦,떼훂쇋죋쏇뛔볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆뗄훊틉,쳘뇰쫇ퟮ뷼뗄20뛠쓪샯,풽살풽뛠뗄죋엺움헢튻훆뛈,죏캪볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쯤좻룸폨쎿룶얩쏱릫욽뗘펵폐돐냼췁뗘뗄좨솦,떫횻쫇룸쇋얩쏱튻룶닐좱뗄뗘좨ꆣ평폚췁뗘쫴폚듥벯쳥쯹폐,뇘탫붫좫늿췁뗘퓚좫쳥얩쏱횮볤뷸탐럖엤,틲뛸췁뗘뗄ꆰ듳뗷헻ꆱ뫍ꆰ킡뗷헻ꆱ쫆쯹쓑쏢,듓뛸떼훂쇋얩쏱췁뗘닺좨뗄늻컈뚨,뷸뛸냾뛡쇋얩쏱뛔췁뗘뗄뎤웚쪹폃좨,붵뗍쇋얩쏱뛔췁뗘뷸탐춶뗄믽벫탔,쳘뇰쫇뎤웚춶믽벫탔ꆣ헫뛔헢튻컊쳢,놾컄퓋폃얩뮧뗷닩쫽뻝뷸탐쇋볬퇩ꆣ훚뛠뺭볃톧볒헫뛔훐맺얩듥뗄볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄췁뗘닺좨뗄컈뚨탔믲낲좫탔ꋙ폫얩쏱뗄춶믽벫탔뷸탐쇋쪵횤럖컶,듳뛠쫽퇐뺿죏캪췁뗘닺좨뗄늻컈뚨뛔폚얩쏱뗄춶벤샸폐ퟅ뢺쏦펰쿬ꆣ샽죧,Yao(1995)뫍Wen(1995)죏캪얩쏱뛔췁뗘돐냼좨뗄늻좷뚨탔(uncertaintyinlandtenure)쿷죵쇋얩쏱춶뗄믽벫탔;튦퇳(1998)뗄쇭튻룶헫뛔헣붭뫍붭컷솽쪡뗄퇐뺿퓲뇭쏷,뗘좨뗄늻컈뚨탔뫍뛔췁뗘붻틗좨뗄쿞훆뛔췁뗘닺돶싊뻟폐뢺쏦뗄펰쿬,웤펰쿬춾뺶쫇붵뗍튪쯘엤훃킧싊뫍복짙얩뮧뛔췁뗘뗄뎤웚춶죫ꆣLietal.(1998)헫뛔뫓놱쪡뗄퇐뺿뇭쏷:얩뮧뗄췁뗘돐냼웚풽뎤,풽쓜릻3ꆡ놾퇐뺿쪹폃뗄뗷닩쫽뻝살ퟔ폚평냄듳샻퇇맺볊얩튵퇐뺿훐탄(ACIAR)훺뗄,냄듳샻퇇낢뗂샗뗃듳톧(UniversityofAdelaide),훐맺뺭볃퇐뺿훐탄(CERC)뫍훐뮪죋쏱릲뫍맺얩튵늿헾닟램맦쮾(MoA)릲춬뷸탐뗄얩뮧솸쪳돩퇹뗷닩쫽뻝뿢(2001쓪),퓚듋뇭쪾룐킻ꆣퟷ헟뮹튪룐킻쓏뺩얩튵듳톧뗄훓뢦쓾뷌쫚,냄듳샻퇇맺솢듳톧(ANU)뗄뷌쫚폫얩튵늿헾닟램맦쮾뗄헅뫬폮뢱쮾뎤뗄붨틩폫냯훺,늢쟒룐킻쓤쏻짳룥죋쳡돶뗄탞룄틢볻ꆣ떱좻,ퟷ헟컄퓰ퟔ뢺ꆣꋙꆡ쿖폐퇐뺿퓚퇐뺿볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄췁뗘닺좨쪱,쎻폐잿뗷췁뗘닺좨뗄컈뚨탔폫낲좫탔횮볤뗄닮뇰ꆣ놾컄뛔쯼쏇튲늻ퟶ쟸럖ꆣ59
탭ꆡ쟬ꆢ헂ꆡ풪:췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸벤샸얩쏱쪹폃얩볒럊뫍쇗럊ꆣBrandtetal.(2002)뗄퇐뺿튲랢쿖,퓚쓇킩췁뗘뗷헻룼욵랱뗄듥샯,얩쏱쪹폃폐믺럊쇏뗄쏜뛈룼뗍튻킩ꆣCarterandYao(1998)퓋폃헣붭쪡뗄214룶얩뮧뗄솽쓪쏦냥쫽뻝듓죽룶랽쏦볬퇩쇋췁뗘닺좨뛔얩쏱춶벤샸뗄펰쿬,랢쿖췁뗘돐냼좨뗄낲좫탔(tenuresecurity)뛔얩쏱춶뗄벤샸펰쿬ퟮ듳,뛸췁뗘ퟢ쇞좨뛔춶벤샸쎻폐쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ떫쫇,튲폐튻킩퇐뺿죏캪췁뗘돐냼좨뗄늻컈뚨탔뛔폚얩튵짺닺뗄뢺쏦펰쿬늢늻쓇쎴듳,샽죧Kung(1995ꆢ2000)죏캪,볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄췁뗘닺좨늻컈뚨떼훂얩쏱춶믽벫탔뗄쿂붵쯹듸살뗄뗍킧싊늢늻쏷쿔,볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄췁뗘뗷헻뛔폫췁뗘돐냼좨뗄낲좫탔뗄뢺쏦킧맻늢럇죧쿖폐샭싛벰쿖폐퇐뺿쯹뛏퇔뗄쓇퇹볲떥ꆣꋙ맘폚췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗘좨뗄늻컈뚨탔뛔폚얩튵뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬뗄훚뛠퇐뺿룦쯟컒쏇,뗘좨뗄컈뚨탔폫뎤웚춶횮볤뗄맘쾵쫇쿠떱뢴퓓뗄,쿖폐뗄퇐뺿뷡맻뮹컞램룸돶튻룶맘폚훐맺뗄췁뗘뗷헻폫얩쏱뎤웚춶횮볤뗄좷뚨맘쾵,놾컄뗄훷튪쒿뗄퓲쫇듓췁뗘뗷헻뗄뷇뛈돶랢,훘탂볬퇩헢솽헟횮볤뗄맘쾵ꆣꋚ놾컄뗚뛾늿럖쳖싛쇋췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫뎤웚춶죽헟횮볤뗄맘쾵,뗚죽늿럖뷩짜쇋쪵횤퇐뺿뗄ퟔ뇤솿뫍틲뇤솿,틔벰쯹쪹폃뗄쫽뻝,뗚쯄늿럖룸돶볆솿뷡맻,ퟮ뫳쫇뷡싛뫍움싛ꆣ뛾ꆢ췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫뎤웚춶볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆뗄튻룶쿔훸쳘헷뻍쫇퓚튻듥뗄랶캧쓚붫췁뗘내헕죋쫽욽뻹럖엤,떱볒춥죋뿚랢짺뇤뚯쪱,늻춬볒춥죋뻹펵폐뗄췁뗘풴뗄?뢳랢짺뇤뮯,쯹틔,떱헢훖뇤뮯믽샛떽튻뚨돌뛈뫳,내헕쿖뷱얩듥뗄맟샽,뇣믡뗷헻췁뗘ꆣ쿖폐샭싛죏캪,췁뗘뗷헻뿉쓜믡쪹얩뮧퓚쿂튻듎뗷헻훐컞램퓙펵폐쿖퓚뗄뗘뿩쏦믽,쯹틔,얩뮧뷸탐뎤웚춶뗄풤웚믘놨뻍컞램믱뗃,듓뛸쿷죵쇋얩뮧뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔ꆣ놾컄죏캪,췁뗘뗷헻캴뇘튻뚨떼훂췁뗘닺좨뗄낲좫탔뗄붵뗍;벴쪹췁뗘뗷헻듸살쇋췁뗘닺좨뗄늻컈뚨탔,튲캴뇘믡룄뇤얩쏱뗄풤웚,죧맻얩쏱뗄풤웚늻랢짺룄뇤,웤뎤웚춶뻶닟뻍뿉쓜늻뇤,쯹틔,췁뗘뗷헻캴뇘믡펰쿬얩쏱뗄뎤웚춶믽벫탔ꆣ쿂쏦듓죽룶랽쏦뷸탐럖컶:1.듳뗷헻ꆢ킡뗷헻폫얩쏱뗄풤웚볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂췁뗘뗄뗷헻폐솽훖샠탍,벴듳뗷헻뫍킡뗷헻ꆣ쯹캽뗄ꆰ듳뗷헻ꆱ,쫇횸듥벯쳥붫좫늿뗘뿩쫕믘,좻뫳훘탂퓚쿖폐듥쏱횮볤뷸탐럖엤,헢퇹,쳘뚨뗘뿩폫얩뮧횮볤뗄풭폐솪쾵뻍랢짺뛏쇑ꆣ쯹캽뗄ꆰ킡뗷헻ꆱ,쫇횸듥벯쳥룹뻝얩뮧볒춥죋뿚뗄뇤뚯뷸탐뗷헻,죋뿚복짙뗄얩뮧췋돶쿠펦뗄튻럝췁뗘,탂퓶볓죋뿚뗄얩뮧늹돤뗃떽튻럝췁뗘,쓇킩볒춥죋뿚늻랢짺뇤뚯뗄볒춥쯹룻훖뗄뗘뿩놣돖늻뇤,벴쯹캽뗄ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆢ복죋복뗘ꆱꆣ놾컄죏캪헢솽훖뗷헻랽쪽뛔폚얩쏱뎤웚춶뗄풤웚뗄펰쿬쫇늻춬뗄:퓚듳뗷헻훐,틲캪얩쏱컞램풤웚떽듳뗷헻횮뫳ퟔ벺쫇럱뮹쓜볌탸룻훖풭폐뗘뿩,쯹틔쯻뿉쓜늻풸틢퓚쿖폐뗘뿩짏뷸탐뎤웚춶,틲캪튻떩퓚듳뗷헻뫳컞램볌탸룻훖풭폐뗘뿩,쿈잰쯹뷸탐뗄쒳킩뎤웚춶뿉쓜붫컞램믱뗃믘놨ꆣ떫쫇퓚킡뗷헻훐,평폚뗷헻뗄풭퓲쫇ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆢ복죋복뗘ꆱ,쯹틔,얩뮧쫇뿉틔풤웚떽쿖폐뗄뗘ꋙ쇭췢,뮹폐훚뛠맘폚췁뗘닺좨폫얩쏱뎤웚춶믽벫탔뗄퇐뺿뇭쏷,췁뗘닺좨폫뎤웚춶횮볤뗄맘쾵쫇쿠떱뢴퓓뗄,샽죧,쿠맘퇐뺿뿉틔닎뾼튦퇳(1998)퇐뺿뗄컄쿗ퟛ쫶늿럖ꆣꋚ놾컄쯹ퟶ뗄쪵횤럖컶쪵볊짏횻쫇볬퇩쇋췁뗘킡뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄솽샠뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬,틲캪놾컄쯹쪹폃뗄쫽뻝훐늢쎻폐맘폚췁뗘듳뗷헻뗄탅쾢ꆣ뛸쟒,놾컄뗄뷡맻튲늻쓜횱뷓폃살췆뛏훐맺뗄췁뗘닺좨폫얩뮧뎤웚춶벤샸횮볤뗄맘쾵,틲캪췁뗘닺좨뗄뫢솿늢럇뷶뷶냼몬췁뗘뗷헻,얩뮧쫇럱폐좨뻶뚨룻훖뗄쏦믽믲ퟷ컯욷훖ꆢ짏뷉뗄죎컱쫇럱뇘탫캪쒳훖얩ퟷ컯ꆢ얩뮧쫇럱폐췁뗘뗄냼좨뗈틲쯘뚼쫇췁뗘닺좨뗄훘튪쓚죝ꆣ쯹틔놾컄쯹ퟶ뗄릤ퟷ뷶뷶쫇볬퇩췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄펰쿬,뷸뛸뛔얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬ꆣ60
2005쓪뗚10웚뿩쫇럱믡랢짺뇤뚯뗄ꆣꋙ횻튪얩뮧풤웚떽쇋헢튻뗣,뻍뿉틔ퟶ돶쿠펦뗄춶뗷헻ꆣꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ쪱,튻냣쟩뿶쫇얩뮧ퟔ훷뗘ꋚ붫ퟔ벺쯹룻훖뗄뗘뿩훐뗄튻럝췋뮹돶좥,쯹틔샭탔뗄얩뮧뚼믡붫ퟔ벺뗄뷏욶뗄뗘뿩믲뻠샫볒춥뷏풶뗄뗘뿩췋뮹돶좥,뛸죧맻얩뮧풤웚떽벴붫튪췋돶뗘뿩쪱,쯻뻍믡복짙뛔헢킩뗘뿩뗄쒳킩뎤웚춶;떫쫇,헢훖뎤웚춶뗄복짙럹뛈튲탭늢늻듳,틲캪죧맻뷏럊컖뗄뗘뿩믲뻠샫볒춥뷏뷼뗄뗘뿩듦퓚벶닮뗘ퟢꋛ뗄뮰,얩뮧퓚쎻폐풤웚떽튪췋돶헢킩뗘뿩쪱튲틀좻늻믡뛔헢킩뗘뿩뷸탐룼뛠뗄뎤웚춶ꆣ훁폚ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ,컒쏇쎻폐샭평쿠탅쯼믡쿷죵얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶믽벫탔ꆣ쯹틔ꆰ,듳뗷헻ꆱ믲헟욵랱뗄ꆰ킡뗷헻ꆱ좷쪵뿉쓜믡펰쿬얩뮧뗄풤웚,듓뛸쿷죵얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶믽벫탔ꆣ쿖폐퇐뺿랢쿖,쯤좻훐맺얩듥룷뗘뗄췁뗘뗷헻쟩뿶듦퓚뻞듳닮틬,떫쫇훷튪쳥쿖캪ꆰ킡뗷헻ꆱ뛸늻쫇ꆰ듳뗷헻ꆱ(Kung,2000)ꆣ쇭췢,Branditetal.(2002)뛔헣붭ꆢ쇉쓾뗈8룶쪡럝뗄215룶듥뗄뗷닩퇐뺿랢쿖,ퟔ붨솢볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆틔살,폐60룶듥쎻폐뷸탐췁뗘뗷헻,쯹폐듥뗄췁뗘욽뻹뗷헻듎쫽캪117듎,욽뻹뗷헻웚쿞캪7ꆪ8쓪ꆣ쯹틔욽뻹뛸퇔,퓚헢퇹튻룶쪱웚쓚,얩쏱뷸탐뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔캴뇘믡쫜떽뗷헻뗄쿷죵ꆣ믹폚훐맺얩듥뗄킡뗷헻뷏웕뇩뗄쫂쪵,Kung(2000)죏캪,룼폐뿉쓜돶쿖뗄쟩뿶쫇:훐맺뗄얩쏱듳쳥짏틑뺭뷓쫜쇋룹뻝죋뿚폫췁뗘뇈샽뗄뇤뚯뷸탐뗄뇟볊뗷헻뗄맟샽,퓚늻뷸탐듳맦쒣뗷헻뗄쟩뿶쿂,헢훖맟샽랴뛸쿲얩쏱뒫듯쇋튻룶탅쾢,벴쯻쏇뿉틔퓚캴살룻훖쿠춬뗄뗘뿩(횻튪볒춥죋뿚늻랢짺복짙),쯹틔,듓싟벭짏붲,헢뛔폚얩쏱뗄춶믽벫탔늢늻믡닺짺뢺쏦뗄펰쿬ꆣ2.뎤웚춶뗄뮮럖쿖폐퇐뺿퓚맘힢췁뗘닺좨뗄낲좫탔뛔폚얩쏱뗄뎤웚춶벤샸쪱,뫶싔쇋뛔뎤웚춶뗄쟸럖,웤훐,얩뮧뛔폚늻춬샠탍뗄뎤웚춶믡폐췪좫늻춬뗄뻶닟,듓뛸췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄췁뗘닺좨뗄늻컈뚨뛔폚늻춬샠뇰뗄뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬튲믡늻춬ꆣ놾컄죏캪,폐뇘튪붫뎤웚춶쟸럖캪ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶(not2land2attachedinvestment)ꆱ뫍ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶(land2attachedinvestment)ꆱ헢솽샠ꆣ뗚튻샠쫇횸쓇킩늢럇폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄춶믮뚯,샽죧룷훖얩폃믺킵ꆢ짺닺릤뻟ꆢ퓋쫤릤뻟뗈뗄춶ꆣ헢킩춶뗄뷡맻늢럇쪹쒳룶쳘뚨뗘뿩뗄짺닺킧싊랢짺룄뇤,헢훖춶랢짺틔뫳,늻뇘폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솪쾵,뻟폐틆뚯탔믲뿉럖탔ꆣ뗚뛾샠횸쓇킩횻폫쳘뚨뗘뿩랢짺솪쾵뗄춶믮뚯,뇈죧뗀슷ꆢ맠룈짨쪩ꆢ업쮮짨쪩ꆢ쯜쇏듳엯ꆢ쳯릡ꆢ쮮췁놣돖틔벰쪹폃얩볒럊믲뷸탐췁죀룄솼뗈랽쏦뗄춶ꆣ틲캪헢킩춶뗄뷡맻쫇쪹쒳룶쳘뚨뗘뿩뗄짺닺킧싊뗃틔쳡룟뛸폫웤쯻뗘뿩쎻폐맘쾵,쟒헢훖춶튻떩랢짺,뻍컞램폫쳘뚨뗘뿩럖샫,늻뻟놸틆뚯탔믲뿉럖탔ꆣ헢훖쟸럖뗄풭틲뫜쏷쿔:떱컒쏇잿뗷췁뗘뗷헻쿷죵쇋얩쏱뗄뎤웚춶믽벫탔쪱,뇘탫룣쟥돾췁뗘뗷헻쯹펰쿬뗄쫇쓄훖뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔틔벰탎돉헢훖펰쿬뗄믺훆ꆣ놾컄죏캪:췁뗘듳뗷헻뛔폚쓇킩ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ믹놾짏쎻쪲쎴펰쿬,틲캪벴쪹얩뮧뗄뗘뿩랢짺쇋룄뇤,쯻쏇뗄헢킩춶틀좻뿉틔폃폚룄뇤쇋뗘샭캻훃횮뫳뗄뗘뿩뗄짺닺믮뚯ꋜ,듳뗷헻늢늻믡떼훂헢튻샠뎤웚춶뗄풤웚쫕틦컞램쪵쿖,틲뛸컞싛얩쏱쫇럱풤웚떽듳뗷헻뗄랢짺,얩쏱뚼늻믡틲캪듳뗷헻뛸복짙ꋙ퓚킡뗷헻횮쿂,늢늻쫇쯹폐퓶볓죋뿚뗄볒춥뚼쓜릻솢벴뛮췢럖떽튻럝췁뗘,튲늢늻쫇쯹폐복짙죋뿚뗄볒춥뚼탨튪솢벴췋돶튻럝췁뗘,틲캪폐뫜뛠킡뗷헻쫇죽ꆢ컥쓪뷸탐튻듎,뇈죧짏듎킡뗷헻뷡쫸횮뫳,튻룶얩뮧볒샯뗄샏죋좥쫀쇋,퓚뷸탐쿂튻듎킡뗷헻횮잰뗄벸쓪샯,쯻뮹뿉틔볌탸룻훖헢럝췁뗘,헢튻뗣쫇뿉틔풤웚떽뗄,돽럇췁뗘뗄킡뗷헻쫇쎿쓪뗷헻튻듎,믲헟듥룉늿룣춻좻쾮믷쪽뗄킡뗷헻ꆣ떫쫇,퇐뺿랢쿖,훐맺뻸듳늿럖뗘쟸뗄킡뗷헻늢럇쎿쓪뚼뷸탐뗄ꆣꋚ쿖폐퇐뺿뮹쎻폐랢쿖잿웈얩뮧붫ퟔ벺ퟮ뫃뗄뗘뿩믲횸뚨얩뮧붫쪲쎴뗘뿩췋뮹돶좥뗄쿖쿳ꆣꋛ퓚쿖쪵짺믮훐,뿉틔맛달떽얩뮧붫룼뛠뗄튪쯘춶죫떽뫃뗄뗘뿩짏좥뗄쿖쿳ꆣꋜ떱좻,폐킩얩폃믺킵늻뻟폐췪좫뗄뿉럖탔,뇈죧닥퇭믺늻쓜폃폚몵뗘,떫쫇놾컄늻ퟶ죧듋퇏룱뗄쟸럖ꆣ61
탭ꆡ쟬ꆢ헂ꆡ풪:췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸헢튻샠춶욷뗄릺싲ꆣ훁폚킡뗷헻쿂뗄ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ,얩뮧떱좻믡틲캪췁뗘뗄복짙뛸복짙헢튻샠뗄뎤웚춶,떫쫇,컒쏇좴쎻폐샭평냑헢훖쟩뿶쿂뗄뎤웚춶복짙맩뷡캪볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쯹떼훂뗄뗍킧싊ꆣ뛔폚ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ,쫗쿈럖컶킡뗷헻뗄펰쿬:죧맻볒춥죋뿚복짙뗄얩뮧풤웚떽쇋킡뗷헻뗄랢짺늢쟒폐좨샻뻶뚨췋돶쓄튻뿩췁뗘,쯻믡샭탔뗄복짙퓚헢룶뗘뿩짏뗄헢튻샠뎤웚춶,듓뛸뿉틔냑헢킩춶욷룼뛠뗄폃폚웤쯻뗘뿩,샽죧붫룼뛠뗄얩볒럊쪹폃떽ퟔ벺뗄솼쳯짏믲쪹폃떽ퟔ벺늻ힼ놸췋돶뗄웤쯻뗘뿩짏ꆣ쯹틔,킡뗷헻뛔폚붫튪췋돶늿럖뗘뿩뗄얩뮧뗄춶믽벫탔뗄펰쿬늢늻첫듳ꆣ뛔폚듳뗷헻,듓샭싛짏붲,쯼좷쪵믡룄뇤얩뮧뗄헢튻샠뎤웚춶뗄풤웚쫕틦,틲캪튻떩듳뗷헻쪹헢킩얩뮧뗄뗘뿩랢짺쇋뇤뚯ꆰ,폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ뗄풤웚쫕틦뻍컞램쪵쿖,쯹틔쯻쏇뻍쎻폐믽벫탔뷸탐헢튻샠춶믮뚯ꆣ떫쫇,놾컄죏캪췁뗘듳뗷헻뛔얩뮧뗄ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ벤샸뗄쿷죵늢늻쓜볲떥뗄샭뷢,틲캪헢튻샠춶믮뚯훐폐뫜뛠뚼뻟폐ꆰ릫릲욷ꆱ뗄쳘헷,뇈죧폃폚맠룈믲업쮮뗄릵쟾ꆢ뗀슷뗄탞붨뗈,헢킩춶믮뚯췹췹쫇떥룶얩뮧쯹컞램췪돉믲컞솦췪돉뗄,쯹틔,벴쪹퓚췁뗘늻랢짺죎뫎뗷헻믲헟췁뗘쮽폐뗄쟩뿶쿂,컒쏇튲늻쓜웚췻얩뮧폐믽벫탔듳맦쒣뗘듓쫂헢킩랽쏦뗄뎤웚춶ꋙ,릫릲욷뗄쳘헷뻶뚨쇋쯼뗄릩룸쫇늻ퟣ뗄ꆣ쯹틔,볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄듳뗷헻펰쿬ퟮ듳뗄뿉쓜믡쫇얩볒럊뗄쪹폃뗈짙쫽폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶믮뚯ꆣ떫쫇헢훖펰쿬쯹떼훂뗄뗍킧싊떽뗗폐뛠듳,뮹탨튪뷸튻늽퇐뺿ꆣ3.뗘좨컈뚨탔뗄뫢솿폫쓚짺탔췁뗘닺좨뗄컈뚨탔믲낲좫탔뗄뫢솿쫇뫜삧쓑뗄,뛸쟒,퓚믘맩럖컶훐,쯼뿉쓜뮹믡뻟폐쓚짺탔,듓뛸쪹뗃췆떼췁뗘닺좨폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸횮볤뗄틲맻맘쾵뗄쪵횤퇐뺿뇤뗃쿠떱뢴퓓(Brasselleetal.,2002;Krusekopf,2002)ꆣ샽죧,떱쫀뷧틸탐샻폃볓쓉뗄쫽뻝뷸탐퇐뺿쪱,랢쿖췁뗘닺좨뗄낲좫탔뛔폚Anloga뗘쟸뗄얩쏱뎤웚춶뻟폐좷뚨뗄ꆢ헽쏦뗄펰쿬,뛸뛔폚Wassa뗘쟸뗄얩쏱뗄뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬좴튪킡뗃뛠(Migot2Adhollaetal.,1994),떫쫇,떱Besley(1995)쪹폃쿠춬뗄쫽뻝늢뿘훆쇋췁뗘닺좨뗄쓚짺탔컊쳢쪱,좴뗃떽쇋췪좫쿠랴뗄뷡맻ꆣ쿖폐맘폚훐맺얩듥볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆뗄퇐뺿랢쿖,튻룶듥훐뗄췁뗘쫇럱랢짺뗷헻믲헟퓚쪲쎴맦쒣짏뷸탐뗷헻튪좡뻶폚뫜뛠틲쯘,뇈죧죋뿚뗄뇤뚯ꆢ췁뗘풴?뢳뗄ힴ뿶ꆢ샍뚯솦폫탅듻쫐뎡ꆢ듥샯뗄뒫춳훈탲뗈(Kung,2000;PenderandKerr,1998;Brasselle,)ꆣ쯹틔,쪹폃쏻틥짏뗄췁뗘돐냼웚쿞ퟷ캪췁뗘닺좨뗄낲좫탔뗄뫢솿뿉쓜늢늻잡떱ꆣ쪹폃뫏춬쫇럱떽웚뗄탩쓢뇤솿튲틀좻늻뫏쫊,틲캪뫜뛠뗷헻쫇내헕튻뚨뗄쓪쿞볤룴뷸탐뗷헻뗄,뫏춬짏뗄맦뚨뫍쿖쪵훐뗄횴탐폐쪱쫇뫁늻쿠룉뗄ꆣ뛸쟒,죧맻쫇킡뗷헻뗄뮰,횻튪볒춥죋뿚늻랢짺뇤뚯,벴쪹뫏춬떽웚쇋,튲틀좻늻믡룄뇤얩뮧뗄풤웚ꆣ튦퇳(1998)뗄퇐뺿퓲듓죽룶랽쏦살뫢솿췁뗘뗄닺좨,벴뗘좨컈뚨탔ꆢ췁뗘붻틗좨뫍췁뗘쪹폃좨,캪쇋좡뗃헢죽랽쏦뗄횸뇪,쯻퓚듥벶컊뻭훐헷쟳쇋듥룉늿뛔튻쾵쇐랴펳짏쫶죽ퟩ닺좨뗄컊쳢뗄듰낸,좻뫳퓋폃틲ퟓ럖컶랽램쳡솶돶죽룶훷틲ퟓ,럖뇰듺뇭듥ퟓ뗄뗘좨컈뚨탔ꆢ붻틗좨뫍쪹폃좨뗄췪헻탔ꆣ평폚헢훖랽램쪹폃뗄탅쾢횱뷓살ퟔ폚췁뗘뗷헻뗄횴탐헟ꆪꆪꆪ듥룉늿뗄믘듰,쯹틔,뷏웤쯻퇐뺿뛸퇔,쓜릻룼뫃뗘랴펳쿖쪵뗄췁뗘닺좨ힴ뿶,춬쪱튲뿋럾횻샻폃쏻틥짏뗄돐냼웚쿞뗄뎤뛌뫢솿췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄랽램짏뗄좱쿝ꆣ놾컄쯹맘탄뗄쫇평폚췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄뗘좨늻컈뚨탔뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬,쯹틔늢늻탨튪ꋙ샽죧,컒쏇뿉틔맛달떽,얩듥쿖폐뗄뫜뛠업쮮ꆢ맠룈ꆢ탮쮮뗈짨쪩뚼뮹쫇죋쏱릫짧쪱웚탞붨뗄ꆣ쪵쪩볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆틔뫳,짵훁풭폐뗄헢킩짨쪩튲좱랦캬뮤뛸듳솿쯰뮵,벴쪹폐짙솿뗄헢튻샠춶뗄랢짺,튲듳뛠쫇듥벯쳥ퟩ횯탞붨뗄ꆣ62
2005쓪뗚10웚룸돶뛔췁뗘닺좨뗄췪헻뗄뫢솿,뛸횻탨튪헒떽뫏쫊뗄횸뇪살뫢솿췁뗘뗄뗷헻ꆣ죽ꆢ놾컄쪹폃뗄쫽뻝벰훘튪뇤솿뷩짜쿖폐퇐뺿쯹쏦쇙뗄튻룶훘튪풼쫸캪쫽뻝뗄뿉믱뗃탔,뇈죧잰컄쳡떽뗄튻킩쪵횤퇐뺿쪹폃뗄쫇킡퇹놾뷘쏦쫽뻝ꆣ죧맻쓜릻폐뿧풽튻뚨쪱웚뗄쏦냥쫽뻝,퓲쓜릻룼뫃뗘헫뛔볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄췁뗘닺좨폫얩튵뺭볃퓶뎤뷸탐퇐뺿ꆣ놾컄쯹쪹폃뗄쫽뻝살ퟔ폚냄듳샻퇇맺볊얩튵퇐뺿훐탄(ACIAR,AustralianCentreforInternationalAgriculturalResearch)훺,평낢뗂샗뗃듳톧훐맺뺭볃퇐뺿훐탄(ChineseEconomyResearchCentre)뫍훐맺얩튵늿헾닟램맦쮾릲춬췪돉뗄훐맺얩듥뻓쏱마컯짺닺뗄컥쓪(1993ꆢ1994ꆢ1995ꆢ1999뫍2000쓪)컊뻭뗷닩붨솢뗄ꆰCERCΠMoA훐맺얩듥뻓쏱컊뻭뗷닩쫽뻝뿢ꆱꆣ룃쫽뻝뿢냼몬쇋뫓쓏ꆢ벪쇖ꆢ즽뚫ꆢ붭컷ꆢ쯄뒨ꆢ맣뚫뗈쇹룶쪡럝,쎿룶쪡쎿쓪뗄뗷닩솿캪쯄룶쿘(웤훐즽뚫쪡캪컥룶쿘)훐뗄듳풼200볒얩뮧ꆣ쯤좻늻춬쓪럝뗄뗷닩랶캧폐쯹뗷헻,떫쫽뻝뗄훷쳥캪쏦냥쫽뻝ꆣ놾컄뗄럖컶횻닉폃쇋벪쇖ꆢ즽뚫ꆢ붭컷ꆢ쯄뒨헢쯄룶쪡럝뗄쏦냥쫽뻝ꆣ쿂쏦럖뇰뷩짜놾컄뗄틲뇤솿뫍훷튪뗄ퟔ뇤솿:1.틲뇤솿놾컄뗄훷튪쒿뗄퓚폚뷢쫍췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶믽벫탔뗄펰쿬,믹폚잰컄뗄럖컶,평폚얩뮧뗄솽샠뎤웚춶뗄뻶뚨믺훆늢늻쿠춬,쯹틔컒쏇럖뇰뾼달췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚헢솽샠뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬ꆣ뛔폚뗚튻샠뎤웚춶,컒쏇쪹폃뗄쫽뻝뿢훐냼몬쇋얩뮧쎿쓪뗄짺닺탔만뚨놾뗄퓶복볛횵,벴얩뮧쎿쓪탂붨(믲릺싲)믲복짙(믲돶쫛)짺닺폃닖랿ꆢ탳틛ꆢ웻뎵ꆢ췏삭믺ꆢ쮮뇃ꆢ닥퇭믺ꆢ쫕룮믺뗈룷훖짺닺탔만뚨놾뗄뺻횵ꆣ헢튻쫽뻝뗄튻룶폅뗣뻍쫇냼몬쇋헢튻샠춶욷복짙뗄탅쾢,쯼뇈뷶뷶냼몬쎿쓪탂붨(믲릺싲)헢킩춶욷뗄쫽뻝쓜릻룼ힼ좷뗘랴펳얩뮧뗄춶믽벫탔ꆣ컒쏇붫헢킩훖샠뗄춶욷볛횵뷸탐볓ퟜ,늢쪹폃쎿쓪뗄얩튵짺닺쇏볛룱횸쫽뷸탐욽복,좻뫳퇐뺿췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚헢튻샠뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬ꆣ뛔폚뗚뛾샠뎤웚춶,퓚컒쏇쪹폃뗄쫽뻝뿢훐쫽뻝훊솿ퟮ뫃뗄캪얩뮧쪹폃뗄얩볒럊솿ꆣ평폚얩볒럊뗄킧솦돖탸쪱볤뇈뷏뎤뻃,쟒뛔폚룄솼췁죀ꆢ쳡룟췁죀뗄럊솦폐훘튪틢틥,쯹틔,놾컄뗄튻룶릤ퟷ뻍쫇뾼달췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄펰쿬,듓뛸퇐뺿췁뗘닺좨뗄컈뚨탔뛔폚헢튻샠뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬ꆣꋙ2.놾컄뛔췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄뫢솿놾컄ퟮ맘탄뗄컊쳢캪췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄췁뗘닺좨늻컈뚨뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬,뛸퓚놾컄쯹쪹폃뗄쫽뻝훐,톯컊쇋얩뮧쎿쓪췁뗘뗄뇤뮯ힴ뿶틔벰췁뗘뇤뮯뗄풭틲,웤훐떼훂볒춥룻훖뗄룷훖췁뗘퓶볓뗄풭틲냼삨ꆰ춳튻뺭펪탨튪ꆢ볒춥죋뿚퓶볓ꆢ볒춥샍솦뢻폠뫍웤쯻ꆱ,떼훂볒춥룻훖뗄룷훖췁뗘복짙뗄풭틲냼삨ꆰ춳튻뺭펪탨튪ꆢ볒춥죋뿚복짙ꆢ볒춥샍솦늻ퟣ뫍웤쯻ꆱ,폚쫇컒쏇톡좡쇋얩뮧돐냼룻뗘뗄뇤뮯풭틲ퟷ캪췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄뫢솿ꆣꋚdummya:죧맻폐얩뮧틲캪볒춥죋뿚퓶볓떼훂살ퟔ벯쳥뗄돐냼췁뗘퓶볓,쓇쎴쇮쯼뗈폚1,럱퓲뗈폚0;ꋙ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶늢럇쪹폃얩볒럊헢튻훖,뇈죧쪹폃뗘쒤붨퓬쯜쇏듳엯뗈ꆣ떫쫇놾컄쯹쪹폃뗄좫늿퇹놾훐,쪹폃맽뗘쒤뗄얩뮧뇈샽늻ퟣ1%,뛸쟒쪹폃뗘쒤뗄뻸뛔솿튲늻듳,폃춾튲늻쟥돾,쯹틔,컒쏇튲뻍럅웺쇋뗘좨컈뚨탔뛔폚얩뮧뗘쒤쪹폃솿뗄펰쿬뗄럖컶ꆣ훁폚헢튻샠뎤웚춶훐뗄웤쯻랽쏦,뇈죧맠룈짨쪩뗄붨퓬,쿖폐쫽뻝훐쎻폐닉벯헢랽쏦뗄탅쾢,쯹틔튲컞램럖컶ꆣꋚ얩뮧췁뗘뗄뇤뚯늢럇뷶뷶평폚췁뗘뗷헻,샽죧얩뮧횮볤뗄냼뗈탐캪튲믡떼훂얩뮧룻훖췁뗘뗄뇤뚯ꆣ떫쫇,헢킩풭틲떼훂뗄췁뗘뇤뚯늢늻쫇놾컄쯹맘탄뗄컊쳢ꆣ63
탭ꆡ쟬ꆢ헂ꆡ풪:췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸dummyb:죧맻폐얩뮧틲캪볒춥죋뿚복짙떼훂살ퟔ벯쳥뗄돐냼췁뗘복짙,쓇쎴쇮쯼뗈폚1,럱퓲뗈폚0;헢솽룶탩쓢뇤솿쓜릻ힼ좷뗘뿌뮭떽뗗쓄킩볒춥돐냼뗄췁뗘쫇틲캪볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쿂뗄킡뗷헻뛸랢짺쇋뇤뚯ꆣ쪹폃헢솽룶탩쓢뇤솿ퟷ캪췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄뫢솿뻟폐폅풽탔:쫗쿈쯼쫇뛔쪵볊랢짺뗄췁뗘뇤뚯뗄쏨쫶,쯼뇈듥룉늿뛔췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔컊쳢뗄믘듰틔벰놻뗷닩얩뮧뛔헽퓚룻훖뗄췁뗘뗄닺좨뗄컈뚨탔뗄룐뻵뗄쏨쫶룼ힼ좷ꆣ풭틲퓚폚퓚ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆢ복죋복뗘ꆱ뗄풭퓲쿂,늢럇쯹폐퓶볓쇋죋뿚뗄얩뮧뚼쓜릻솢벴뗃떽뛮췢뗄튻럝췁뗘,튲늢럇쯹폐복짙쇋죋뿚뗄얩뮧뚼뇘탫솢벴췋돶튻럝췁뗘,헢튪좡뻶폚췁뗘뗷헻욵싊,죧맻쎻폐떽듯뗷헻쓪쿞,벴쪹볒춥죋뿚랢짺쇋뇤뚯,볒춥쯹룻훖뗄췁뗘튲늻믡랢짺뇤뮯ꆣ퓚헢훖쟩뿶쿂,얩뮧뗄풤웚뿉쓜늢늻랢짺룄뇤ꆣ떱좻,쪹폃헢솽룶탩쓢뇤솿튲폐좱뗣,뻍쫇쯼컞램랴펳ꆰ듳뗷헻ꆱ뛔췁뗘닺좨컈뚨탔뗄펰쿬ꆣ헢쫇평폚쫽뻝뗄쿞훆뛸떼훂뗄,컒쏇쪹폃뗄쫽뻝뿢훐늢쎻폐냼몬듥랢짺췁뗘듳뗷헻뗄탅쾢,쯹틔뻍컞램늶ힽ듳뗷헻뗄펰쿬ꆣ헢튲쫇쿖폐퇐뺿웕뇩쏦쇙뗄컊쳢ꆣ떫쫇,믹폚놾컄잰쏦뗄샭싛럖컶,듳뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔뗄펰쿬늢늻듳,컒쏇퓚쪵횤럖컶훐늻퓙럖컶쯼뗄펰쿬ퟷ폃ꆣ쇭췢,평폚놾컄훷튪맘힢뗄쫇췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄췁뗘닺좨늻컈뚨뛔폚얩쏱뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬,쯹틔,쎻폐뾼싇얩쏱쫇럱폐룄뇤ퟷ컯뗄좨샻틔벰쫇럱폐ퟢ췁뗘쪹폃좨뗄좨샻뛔폚뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬ꆣ쯄ꆢ볆솿쒣탍폫믘맩럖컶쿂쏦헫뛔솽샠뎤웚춶뷸탐믘맩럖컶ꆣ1.췁뗘뗷헻뛔ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ뗄펰쿬캪쇋뾼달췁뗘뗷헻뛔얩뮧뗚튻샠뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬,컒쏇횱뷓붨솢죧쿂볆솿쒣탍:lnlongterminv=ꛂ0+ꛂ1dummya+ꛂ2dummyb+ꛂ3hhage+ꛂ4hhedu+ꛂ5lngrossfee+ꛂ6lnfoodquota+ꛂ7lnnonagremploy+ꛂ8jilindummy+ꛂ9sichuandummy+ꛂ10sandongdummy+ꛌ(1)ꆡꆡ쿂쏦럖뇰뛔짏쪽훐뗄뇤솿뷸탐볲떥뗄쏨쫶:longterminv듺뇭ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ,벴뛔얩뮧쎿쓪볒춥뗄짺닺탔만뚨놾퓶복뗄쿖횵횮뫍;dummya:뇭쪾룃얩뮧평폚볒춥죋뿚퓶볓뛸퓚떱쓪뛮췢믱뗃쇋튻럝돐냼뗘;dummyb:뇭쪾룃얩뮧평폚볒춥죋뿚복짙뛸퓚떱쓪췋돶튻럝풭폐뗄돐냼뗘;hhage:뇭쪾뮧훷뗄쓪쇤;hhedu:뇭쪾뮧훷뗄쫜뷌폽쓪쿞;grossfee:뇭쪾얩뮧뗄췁뗘돐냼럑폫웤쯻훖샠뗄췁뗘돐냼럑횮뫍ꆣ웤쯻췁뗘돐냼럑몬:돐냼웚릲춬짺닺럑ꆢ돐냼웚쳡쇴럑ꆢ돐냼웚춳돯럑ꆢ돐냼웚웤쯻럑폃뗈쯄훖,폃얩듥뻓쏱쿻럑볛룱횸쫽뛔헢컥훖럑폃욽복횮뫳볓ퟜ;foodquota:횸솸쪳뚨릺죎컱;nonagremploy:횸얩뮧뗄좫늿볒춥돉풱떱쓪듓쫂럇얩튵샍뚯뗄쪱볤,냼삨퓚놾뗘뫍췢뗘듓쫂럇얩샍뚯뗄쪱볤솽늿럖;헢튻횸뇪랴펳쇋얩뮧듓쫂얩튵짺닺춶믮뚯뗄믺믡돉놾,믲헟랴펳쇋얩뮧믱뗃럇얩뻍튵뗄믺믡뗄듳킡ꆣ헢룶횸뇪뗄솿풽듳,뿉쓜믡떼훂얩뮧뷸탐폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄얩튵춶뗄믽벫탔룼킡ꆣퟮ뫳쫇죽룶쪡럝뗄탩쓢뇤솿,좡훐늿뗘쟸뗄붭컷쪡캪뛔뇈뗄믹ힼꆣ64
2005쓪뗚10웚jilindummy:뇭쪾벪쇖쪡뗄뗘쟸탩쓢뇤솿;sichuandummy:뇭쪾쯄뒨쪡뗄뗘쟸탩쓢뇤솿;sandongdummy:뇭쪾즽뚫쪡뗄뗘쟸탩쓢뇤솿;ꛌ:뇭쪾냗퓫짹ꆣ짏쫶볆솿쒣탍훐,돽탩쓢뇤솿틔벰뮧훷뗄뷌폽돌뛈뫍쓪쇤췢,웤쯻뇤솿좡ퟔ좻뛔쫽탎쪽ꆣ평폚얩뮧뗄춶뻶닟좡뻶폚럇뎣뢴퓓뗄틲쯘,쟒헢킩틲쯘뗄ퟷ폃랽쪽뿉쓜퓚늻춬뗄쪱볤쓚랢짺뇤뮯,쯹틔,쒣탍훐뿉쓜믡듦퓚폐틬랽닮,쯹틔,컒쏇횱뷓쪹폃컈붡OLS뷸탐믘맩,뷡맻놨룦볻뇭1뗚뛾쇐ꆣ듓믘맩뷡맻뿉틔뾴돶:컒쏇쯹맘탄뗄dummyb뗄믘맩쾵쫽캪-01619,쟒퓚5%뗄쮮욽짏쿔훸,헢쫇튻룶쿠떱듳뗄뇤뮯ꆣ좻뛸폐좤뗄쫇,죧맻쮵얩뮧틲캪돐냼췁뗘뗄복짙뛸붵뗍헢튻샠뎤웚춶쫇튻훖뇘좻뗄샭탔톡퓱,뛸폫횮쿠뛔뗄쫇,퓶죋퓶뗘늢쎻폐뇭쿖돶죧듋잿쇒뗄랴펦:dummya뗄믘맩쾵쫽쯤좻캪01458,떫쫇늢늻쿔훸,뇭쏷퓚웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤뗄쟩뿶쿂,틲캪죋뿚퓶볓뛸뛮췢믱뗃튻럝췁뗘뗄얩뮧늢늻믡퓶볓폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄춶ꆣ뇭1믘맩뷡맻틲뇤솿:lnlongterminvퟔ뇤솿dummya01458(0181)01581(019)dummya+101017(0102)01028(0104)dummyb33-01619(-2104)-0133643(-2127)dummyb+101121(0114)0111(0113)hhage-013011(-1181)-01004(-0155)-01004(-0158)-01004(-0159)hhedu010218(0189)01022(0179)01022(0179)01020(0178)lng33333rossfee013143(5113)01157(4178)0133333159(4179)013158(4176)33lnfoodquota010001(0100)-013333077(-3178)-01333078(-3185)-01077(-3179)lnnonagremploy33-01333333052(-2129)-01074(-3101)-01073(-2193)-0133074(-2198)333jilindummy1133332(7162)01333333917(4157)01902(4152)01907(4154)sichuandummy013261(1193)-01088(-0159)-01107(-0170)-01099(-0166)sandongdummy01139(0199)-01085(-0152)-01112(-0169)-1099(-0161)뎣쫽쿮014663(113)113331(217)1133313(218)1133127(2179)n=2400n=1600n=1600n=1600R2=010657R2=010720R2=010722R2=010714ꆡꆡ힢:삨뫅훐캪t횵,틔쿂쿠춬ꆣ쇭췢,믘맩뷡맻뮹쿔쪾:뮧훷뗄쓪쇤풽듳,볒춥뷸탐뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔풽뗍,쟒퓚10%뗄쮮욽짏쿔훸;얩뮧듓쫂럇얩샍뚯쪱볤뗄믘맩쾵쫽캪-01052,쟒퓚5%뗄쮮욽짏쿔훸,헢쮵쏷얩뮧듓쫂럇얩뻍튵뗄믺믡풽뛠,웤뷸탐얩튵뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄벤샸풽뗍;쇭췢,벪쇖뫍쯄뒨쪡뗄얩뮧뇈붭컷쪡뗄얩뮧뷸탐헢훖뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔튪룟,쟒럇뎣쿔훸;떫쫇즽뚫쪡뗄얩뮧폫붭컷쪡얩뮧뷸탐헢튻샠뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔컞쿔훸닮틬ꆣ쇭췢,믘맩훐뮹쿔쪾돶쇋튻룶캥놳횱뻵뗄뷡맻:얩뮧돐냼췁뗘뗄좫늿럑폃뗄믘맩쾵쫽캪01143,쟒쿔훸돌뛈캪1%ꆣ평폚얩뮧돐냼췁뗘쯹뢶돶뗄룷훖돐냼럑틔벰듥쳡쇴ꆢ쿧춳돯뗈럑폃,믡볓훘얩쏱뗄뢺떣,컒쏇뎣뎣믡죏캪얩쏱뢺떣뗄볓훘믡쿷죵얩쏱듓쫂얩튵짺닺ꆢ뷸탐뎤웚춶뗄믽벫탔ꆣ뛔폚헢룶캪헽쫽뗄믘맩쾵쫽,컒쏇룸돶뗄튻룶돵늽뷢쫍캪:평폚훐맺얩듥뗄튻룶믹놾쫂쪵쫇샍65
탭ꆡ쟬ꆢ헂ꆡ풪:췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸뚯솦퇏훘맽쪣,얩쏱듓쫂럇얩뻍튵뗄믺믡뇈뷏짙,쯹틔얩쏱뗄쮰럑뢺떣풽훘,뻍늻뗃늻뷸탐룼뛠뗄춶,틔믱뗃ퟣ릻뗄쫕죫틔횧뢶룷훖럑폃뫍짺닺돉놾ꆣꋙ잰쏦뗄쪵횤럖컶횻쫇뾼달쇋떱쓪뗄췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬ꆣ떫쫇,떱얩뮧풤웚떽캴살뗄췁뗘붫튪랢짺뗷헻쪱,쯻폐뿉쓜쳡잰ퟶ돶랴펦ꆣ쯹틔,컒쏇폃dummya+1뇭쪾캴살튻쓪샯쫇럱랢짺쇋ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ,폃dummyb+1뇭쪾캴살튻쓪샯쫇럱랢짺쇋ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ,좻뫳뾼달헢솽룶탩쓢뇤솿뛔폚얩뮧떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬,듓뛸뾼달얩뮧쫇럱믡룹뻝캴살뗄풤웚뗷헻뎤웚춶뻶닟ꆣ믘맩뷡맻놨룦볻뇭1뫳죽쇐ꆣ듓뇭1뫳죽쇐뗄뷡맻뿉틔뾴돶,캴살쓪럝붫튪랢짺뗄ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔폚떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶쎻폐펰쿬,샠쯆폚잰쏦뗄럖컶뷡맻:떱쓪뗄ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔폚떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶쎻폐펰쿬ꆣ뛸캴살쓪럝붫튪랢짺뗄ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ뛔폚떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶쎻폐쪲쎴펰쿬,헢늻춬폚잰쏦뗄럖컶뷡맻:떱쓪뗄ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ믡듳듳붵뗍쇋얩뮧퓚떱쓪뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶ꆣ2.췁뗘뗷헻뛔ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ뗄펰쿬캪쇋뾼달췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄췁뗘닺좨늻컈뚨뛔폚얩뮧뗄뗚뛾샠뎤웚춶믽벫탔뗄펰쿬,컒쏇틔얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿ퟷ캪틲뇤솿,늢붨솢쒣탍:lnallmanure=ꛂ0+ꛂ1dummya+ꛂ2dummyb+ꛂ3hhage+ꛂ4hhedu+ꛂ5lngrossfee+ꛂ6lnfoodquota+ꛂ7lnnonagremploy+ꛂ8lnlivestock+ꛂ9jilindummy+ꛂ10sichuandummy+ꛂ11sandongdummy+ꛍ(2)ꆡꆡ짏쪽훐lnlivestock뇭쪾얩뮧펵폐뗄볒탳쫽솿뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,퓚얩볒럊뗄쪹폃랽돌훐볓죫헢룶뿘훆뇤솿,풭틲퓚폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊듳늿럖뿉쓜믡살ퟔ볒탳뗄럠뇣,쯇퇸룼뛠볒탳뗄얩뮧뿉쓜평폚쓜릻쫕벯떽룼뛠볒탳럠뇣뛸쪹폃룼뛠뗄얩볒럊,쯹틔,컒쏇튪맛달퓚뿘훆쇋헢룶틲쯘횮뫳,췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄펰쿬ꆣꛍ뇭쪾냗퓫짹,웤쯻럻뫅쿠춬뗄뇤솿폫쪽(1)훐뗄몬틥쿠춬ꆣ쿂쏦쪹폃벪쇖ꆢ쯄뒨ꆢ붭컷ꆢ즽뚫쯄쪡1999폫2000쓪뗄쏦냥쫽뻝볬퇩얩볒럊폃솿폫췁뗘뗷헻횮볤뗄맘쾵ꆣ쫽뻝뗄웤쯻뒦샭폫짏쏦샠쯆,쿂쏦횱뷓놨룦컈붡OLS믘맩뷡맻,삨뫅훐캪t횵:lnallmanure^=3134+01166dummya+01765dummyb-01002hhage-01084hhedu(4199)(013)(1137)(-0119)(-2111)+01216lngrossfee+01009lnfoodquota+01188lnnonagremploy+21183lnlivestock(3161)(0122)(4195)(1013)-01656jilindummy+1143sichuandummy+01702sandongdummy+ꛍ^(3)(-2127)(6136)(2167)n=1600,R2=011903ꆡꆡ짏쏦뗄믘맩뷡맻뇭쏷얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄뻶뚨틲쯘폫잰쏦럖컶뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄뻶뚨틲쯘쿔좻늻춬:쫗쿈,컒쏇쯹맘탄뗄췁뗘뗷헻쯹뛔펦뗄솽룶탩쓢뇤솿dummya뫍dummyb뚼늻퓙쿔훸,뇭쏷췁뗘뗄뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿늢쎻폐쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ폫잰쏦뗄럖컶뷡맻쿠뛔펦뗄쫇ꆰ:퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔폚얩뮧뗄솽샠뎤웚춶뚼쎻폐펰쿬,얩뮧늢늻믡틲캪죋뿚뗄퓶볓듸살뗄췁뗘퓶볓뛸퓶볓죎뫎뎤웚춶;떫쫇ꆰ,복죋복뗘ꆱ믡떼훂얩뮧뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶뗄듳럹뛈복짙,뛸뛔폚얩뮧뗄뗚뛾샠뎤웚춶(헢샯틔얩볒럊쪹폃솿캪듺뇭)쎻폐펰쿬ꆣ뮧훷뗄룶죋쳘헷뛔폚헢솽훖뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬튲쫇늻춬뗄:뛔폚뗚튻샠뎤웚춶,쓪쇤풽듳뗄뮧훷춶뗃풽짙,떫쫇뷌폽돌뛈뛔폚헢튻샠춶뗄펰쿬늻쿔훸;뛸뛔폚얩볒럊폃솿,뷌폽돌뛈풽룟뗄ꋙ떱좻,튲늢늻쓜틲듋뛸볲떥뗘췆뛏쮵복쟡얩쏱뗄쮰럑뢺떣랴뛸믡쿷죵얩쏱뗄춶믽벫탔ꆣ66
2005쓪뗚10웚뮧훷쪹폃뗃풽짙,떫쫇뮧훷뗄쓪쇤뛔폚볒춥뗄얩볒럊폃솿쎻폐쿔훸뗄펰쿬ꆣ컒쏇뗄헢튻뷡맻폫튦퇳(1998)뗄퇐뺿뷡맻싔폐늻춬:퓚쯻뗄퇐뺿훐,얩뮧뗄볒춥욽뻹쓪쇤뛔폚싌럊뗄훖횲뻟폐헽뗄쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ쇭췢,퓚쯻뗄퇐뺿훐,뷌폽돌뛈뛔폚싌럊뗄훖횲컞쿔훸펰쿬,헢튻뗣폫컒쏇헢샯뗄뷌폽돌뛈뛔폚얩볒럊뗄쪹폃컞쿔훸펰쿬뗄뷡맻쫇튻훂뗄ꆣ얩뮧뗄볒탳펵폐솿뛔폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뻟폐헽뗄쿔훸뗄펰쿬,믘맩쾵쫽캪21183,쟒쿔훸돌뛈캪1%,헢퇩횤쇋컒쏇맘폚쯇퇸룼뛠뗄볒탳쓜릻쫕벯떽룼뛠뗄볒탳럠뇣ꆢ듓뛸믡룼뛠뗘쪹폃얩볒럊뗄에뛏ꆣ쯄룶쪡럝얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뇭쿖돶쇋쏷쿔뗄늻춬:벪쇖쪡뗄얩뮧쿠뛔폚붭컷쪡뗄얩뮧룼짙뗘쪹폃얩볒럊,뛸쯄뒨뫍즽뚫솽쪡뗄얩뮧쿠뛔폚붭컷쪡뗄얩뮧퓲룼뛠뗘쪹폃얩볒럊,폈웤쫇쯄뒨쪡뗄얩뮧ꆣ뛸쟒,헢죽룶쪡럝뗄뗘쟸탩쓢뇤솿뗄쿔훸돌뛈뚼룟폚5%ꆣ쇭췢,컒쏇튲볬퇩쇋캴살쓪럝붫튪랢짺뗄ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ뛔폚떱쓪뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄펰쿬,튲틀좻랢쿖쯼뛔얩뮧뗄떱쓪얩볒럊쪹폃솿쎻폐쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ잰쏦럖컶쇋췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄펰쿬,쿂쏦뛔쯄뒨ꆢ붭컷ꆢ즽뚫ꆢ벪쇖쯄쪡1999뫍2000쓪돽탩쓢뇤솿틔췢뗄웤쯻뇤솿ퟶ튻뷗닮럖,좻뫳뾼달췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿뇤뚯뗄펰쿬ꆣ컒쏇쫗쿈붨솢죧쿂믘맩쒣탍:manurevar=ꛂ0+ꛂ1dummya+ꛂ2dummyb+ꛂ3landvar+ꛂ4grossfeevar+ꛂ5foodprice1var+ꛂ6foodprice2var+ꛂ7quotavar+ꛂ8nonagrempvar+ꛂ9livelihoodvar+u(4)ꆡꆡ짏쪽훐룷뇤솿뗄몬틥캪:manurevar:뇭쪾2000쓪폫1999쓪뗄얩볒럊폃솿횮닮;dummya,dummyb:폫잰컄쿠춬;landvar:볒춥훖횲뗄룻뗘뇤뮯;grossfeevar:볒춥돐떣뗄쯹폐돐냼럑폃뗄뇤뮯;foodprice1var:솸쪳ퟷ컯1뗄볛룱뇤뮯;foodprice2var:솸쪳ퟷ컯2뗄볛룱뇤뮯ꋙ;quotavar:솸쪳뚨릺죎컱뗄뇤뮯;nonagrempvar:얩뮧볒춥돉풱떱쓪듓쫂럇얩샍뚯쪱볤뗄뇤뮯;livelihoodvar:볒춥쯇퇸뗄볒탳솿뗄뇤뮯;u:뇭쪾냗퓫짹;쿂쏦횱뷓놨룦컈붡OLS믘맩뷡맻,삨뫅훐캪t횵:manu^revar=-2374157-748193dummya+406128dummyb+530114landvar(-316)(-0137)(0124)(-0147)-2131grossfeevar-34159foodprice1var+540915foodprice2var-118quotavar(-0147)(-1162)(1184)(-3108)+01108nonagrempvar+28613livelihoodvar+u^(5)(0109)(-316)n=800,R2=010576ꆡꆡ짏쫶믘맩뷡맻뇭쏷:췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄뇤뮯뚼컞쿔훸펰쿬ꆣ솸쪳ퟷ컯2뗄볛룱뇤ꋙ컊뻭훐내솸쪳ퟷ컯퓚떱뗘뗄솸쪳짺닺훐뗄뗘캻톯컊쇋얩뮧뗄솽훖ퟮ훷튪솸쪳ퟷ컯뗄볛룱,평폚룷뗘뗄솸쪳ퟷ컯훖샠늻튻훂,쯹틔,룷뗘뗄헢솽훖훷튪솸쪳ퟷ컯뿉쓜늢늻쿠춬ꆣ67
탭ꆡ쟬ꆢ헂ꆡ풪:췁뗘뗷헻ꆢ뗘좨컈뚨탔폫얩쏱뎤웚춶벤샸뚯뫍볒탳쯇퇸솿뗄뇤뮯뛔폚얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄뇤뮯폐쿔훸헽뗄펰쿬,뛸솸쪳뚨릺죎컱뗄뇤뮯뛔폚얩볒럊쪹폃솿뗄뇤뮯폐쿔훸뢺뗄펰쿬ꆣ컥ꆢퟜꆡ뷡놾컄붫얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶뮮럖캪ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩늻쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ뫍ꆰ폫쳘뚨뗘뿩쿠솬뗄뎤웚춶ꆱ솽샠,늢럖뇰뾼달쇋펰쿬헢솽샠뎤웚춶뗄뻶뚨틲쯘,랢쿖쯼쏇뗄펰쿬틲쯘쫇늻춬뗄ꆣ췁뗘뗄킡뗷헻뛔폚헢솽샠뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬쏷쿔늻춬ꆰ:복죋복뗘ꆱ쪹복뗘얩뮧뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶듳럹뛈쿂붵,떫뛔얩뮧뗄얩볒럊쪹폃솿늢쎻폐쪲쎴펰쿬;뛸ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ뛔폚퓶뗘얩뮧뗄죎뫎뎤웚춶뚼쎻폐쪲쎴펰쿬ꆣ떱좻,놾컄뗄쪵횤볬퇩횻뾼달쇋췁뗘뗄킡뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶믽벫탔뗄펰쿬,평폚쫽뻝뗄쿞훆뛸컞램럖컶췁뗘듳뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뎤웚춶뗄펰쿬ꆣ떫쫇,놾컄잰쏦뗄샭싛럖컶죏캪,듳뗷헻뛔폚뗚뛾샠춶뗄펰쿬뿉쓜늢늻듳,틲캪뗚뛾샠춶듳뛠뻟폐릫릲욷뗄쳘헷,벴쪹퓚췁뗘쮽폐뗄쟩뿶쿂,쯼뗄릩룸튲쫇쿠뛔늻ퟣ뗄,쯹틔,췁뗘뗷헻뛔헢튻샠춶뗄펰쿬떽뗗폐뛠듳,뮹탨튪ퟶ돶퇏룱뗄쪵횤럖컶ꆣ쯤좻컒쏇랢쿖쇋ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ듳듳쿷죵쇋얩뮧뷸탐뗚튻샠춶뗄믽벫탔,떫쫇튲늻쓜죏캪쫇췁뗘뗷헻떼훂뗄뗍킧싊,틲캪떱얩뮧뗄ퟜ룻뗘쏦믽복짙쪱,뛔췁뗘뗄뎤웚춶뗄복짙쫇튻훖헽뎣뗄랴펦ꆣ쇭췢,컒쏇늻럁냑ꆰ퓶죋퓶뗘ꆱ늢쎻폐떼훂얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶퓶볓폫ꆰ복죋복뗘ꆱ떼훂얩뮧뗄뗚튻샠뎤웚춶듳럹뛈붵뗍헢솽뗣뷡뫏웰살쮼뾼,컒쏇뿉틔ퟶ돶돵늽췆뛏,췁뗘뗷헻뛔폚얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶벤샸뗄펰쿬뿉쓜늢늻쿱쿖폐샭싛쯹뷢쫍뗄쓇쎴듳,뛔폚얩뮧뗄뎤웚춶벤샸ퟮ폐펰쿬솦뗄틲쯘뿉쓜퓚폚췁뗘훆뛈횮췢,죧솸쪳쫕릺볛룱ꆢ얩튵짺닺쇏볛룱ꆢ럇얩뻍튵믺믡ꆢ뮧벮훆뛈뗈ꆣ쇭췢,듓컒쏇뗄믘맩럖컶훐튲뿉틔뾴돶,R2뗄횵뚼늻듳,쮵쏷틲뇤솿뗄뇤뚯놻쒣탍훐뗄헢킩ퟔ뇤솿뗄뇤뚯쯹뷢쫍뗄늿럖뮹늻룟ꆣ놾컄뗄퇐뺿뷡맻듙쪹컒쏇훘탂쮼뾼ퟮ뷼뗄튻킩퇐뺿뛔폚볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆뗄엺움틔벰쿠맘헾닟붨틩ꆣ뛔폚훐맺뗄볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆,뮹폐뫜뛠퇐뺿릤ퟷ탨튪ퟶ,뇈죧,퓚쿖폐뗄짺닺쳵볾쿂,볒춥솪닺돐냼퓰죎훆쫇럱떼훂쇋얩튵짺닺뗄맦쒣늻뺭볃?쫇럱ퟨ낭쇋탂벼쫵뗄닉폃?쫇럱쿞훆쇋럖릤?쫇럱ퟨ낭쇋샍뚯솦뗄쇷뚯?쫇럱쿞훆쇋얩듥탅듻쫐뎡뗄랢폽?횻폐냑헢킩컊쳢룣쟥돾횮뫳,닅쓜룼뫃뗘샭뷢훐맺쿖탐뗄췁뗘훆뛈폫얩튵뺭볃퓶뎤횮볤뗄맘쾵,듓뛸닅쓜뛔쿖탐훆뛈ퟶ돶움볛,좻뫳퓙쳡돶쿠펦뗄헾닟붨틩ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗튦퇳,1998ꆶ:얩뗘훆뛈폫얩튵벨킧뗄쪵횤퇐뺿ꆷꆶ,훐맺얩듥맛달ꆷ뗚6웚ꆣBesley,T.,1995,ꆰPropertyRightsandInvestmentIncentives:TheoryandEvidencefromGhana,ꆱJournalofPoliticalEconomy,(5),ꆪ,JikunHuang,GuoLiandScottRozelle,2002,ꆰLandRightsinRuralChina:Facts,FictionsandIssues,ꆱTheChinaJournal,,ꆪ,Anne2Sophie,FrꢦdꢦricGaspart,Jean2Philippe,Platteau,2002,ꆰLandSecurityandInvestmentIncentives:PuzzlingEvidencefromBurkinaFaso,ꆱJournalofDevelopmentEconomics,,ꆪ,1998,ꆰPropertyRights,RentalMarkets,andLandinChina,ꆱDepartmentofAgriculturalandAppliedEconomics,workingpaper,,1996,ꆰTechnologicalChange:RediscoveringtheEngineofProductivityGrowthinChinapisRuralEconomy,ꆱJournalofDevelopmentEconomics,,,ꆪ,CharlesC.,2002,ꆰDiversityinLand2tenureArrangementsundertheHouseholdResponsibilitySysteminChina,ꆱChinaEconomicReview,,ꆪ
2005쓪뗚10웚Kung,.,1995,ꆰEqualEntitlementversusTenureSecurityunderaRegimeofCollectivePropertyRights:PeasantspiPerformanceforInstitutionsinPost2reformChineseAgriculture,ꆱJournalofComparativeEconomics,,ꆪ,.,2000,ꆰCommonPropertyRightsandLandReallocationsinRuralChina:EvidencefromavillageSurvey,ꆱWorldDevelopment,,ꆪ,ScottRozelleandLorenBrandt,1998,ꆰTenure,LandRights,andFarmerInvestmentIncentivesinChina,ꆱAgriculturalEconomics,,ꆪ,.,1992,ꆰRuralReformandAgriculturalGrowthinChina,ꆱAmericanEconomicReview.,,,ꆪ,JohnWhalleyandLijingZhu,1989,ꆰTheImpactofChinapisEconomicReformsonAgriculturalProductivityGrowth,ꆱJournalofPoliticalEconomy,,ꆪ,.,Benneh,G.,Place,F.,Atsu,S.,1994,ꆰLand,SecurityofTenure,andProductivityinGhana,ꆱIn:Bruce,.,Migot2Adholla,.(Eds.),SearchingforLandTenureSecurityinAfrica,Dubuque,KendallΠHuntPublishingCy,Iowa,ꆪ,John,L.,andJohn,,1998,ꆰDeterminantsofFarmerspiIndigenousSoilandWaterConservationInvestmentsinSemi2aridIndia,ꆱAgriculturalEconomics,,ꆪ,.,1995,ꆰTheLandTenureSystemandItsSavingandInvestmentMechanism:theCaseofModernChina,ꆱAsianEconomy,(3),ꆪ,Yang,1995,ꆰInstitutionalArrangements,TenureInsecurityandAgriculturalProductivityinPostReformRuralChina,ꆱWorkingpaper,DepartmentofAgriculturalEconomics,UniversityofWisconsin,,TenureSecurityandLong2termInvestmentIncentiveinChinapisAgriculturalProductionXuQingandZhangYuan(FudanUniversity)Abstract:Thegoalofthispaperistostudytherelationshipsamongthelandreallocation,,thelong2terminvestmentsarefirstclassifiedintotwocategories:,,thechangesofland,.,thesecurityoflandtenure,:LandReallocation;TenureSecurity;Long2termInvestmentJELClassification:R140,Q150,O130(퓰죎뇠벭:폡퇇샶)(킣뛔:쿾ꆡ언)69
