뗚29뻭ꆡ뗚3웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ커몺샭릤듳톧톧놨ꆤ탅쾢폫맜샭릤돌냦ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ쓪3퓂ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡJOURNALOFWUT(INFORMATION&MANAGEMENTENGINEERING)ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ컄헂뇠뫅:1007-144X(2007)03-0088-05믹폚쪵컯웚좨뗄IT쿮쒿럧쿕맦뇜퇐뺿돂ꆡ쳎(뮪훐뿆벼듳톧맜샭톧풺,뫾놱커몺430074)햪ꆡ튪:웳튵탅쾢벼쫵(IT)쿮쒿춶뻟폐룟럧쿕뗄쳘헷ꆣ펰쿬IT쿮쒿돉릦뗄럧쿕틲쯘훚뛠,IT쿮쒿춶쓜럱좡뗃풤웚킧맻,퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏좡뻶폚쫇럱쓜뛔쿮쒿쪵쪩맽돌훐쯹짦벰뗄럧쿕틲쯘닉좡폐킧뗄펦뛔닟싔ꆣ붫풴ퟔ뷰죚쇬폲뗄쪵컯웚좨랽램틽죫떽IT쿮쒿뗄럧쿕맜샭훐,뛔IT쿮쒿뗄럧쿕맦뇜쒣쪽뷸탐쇋퇐뺿;늢쳡돶쇋쿠펦럖컶뿲볜,뛔IT춶슷쿟뷸탐짨볆뫍움맀,틔냯훺뻶닟헟폅뮯춶랽낸,맦뇜IT쿮쒿럧쿕ꆣ맘볼듊:IT쿮쒿;럧쿕맜샭;쪵컯웚좨;럧쿕맦뇜훐춼램럖샠뫅:ꆡꆡꆡꆡ컄쿗뇪쪶싫:Aꆡꆡ탅쾢벼쫵놻죏캪쫇웳튵뺺헹솦뗄튻룶훘튪살훆탐뚯ꆣ뇈죧,ퟱ듓쒳훖뾪랢랽램,틲캪쯼쓜붵뗍풴,쯼폐훺폚웳튵쯵뛌닺욷짨볆훜웚,틔벰쳡룟짺맽돌럧쿕;톡폃쒳튻쳘헷뗄뇠돌폯퇔,쫇캪붵뗍벼닺킧싊,붵뗍웳튵뗄뿢듦,쯵뛌웳튵뗄럾컱쪱볤,쫵럧쿕;내헕쒳튻펦폃쒣탍럖컶뫍짨볆쾵춳,쫇캪쳡룟웳튵뗄뿍뮧싺틢뛈뗈ꆣ쪵쿖짏쫶쒿뇪,룄짆붵뗍튵컱럧쿕;뾼싇떽랽낸뗄죡탔,쫇캪쇋럀횹쫐웳튵벨킧,볈쫇웳튵탅쾢뮯붨짨뗄돶랢뗣,튲쫇웤뎡럧쿕뗈ꆣ횻튪쫇풤쿈뗄ꆢ헫뛔붵뗍럧쿕랢짺뗄실뷅뗣ꆣ좻뛸,평폚IT쿮쒿맦쒣듳ꆢ훜웚뎤ꆢ춶죫뿉쓜탔,믲헟쿷죵럧쿕랢짺쪱뫳맻뗄튻쟐믮뚯뚼뷰듳,폐듳솿늻좷뚨틲쯘닺짺,떼훂쇋펰쿬IT뿉틔돆캪럧쿕뿘훆탐뚯,떫쫇놾컄훐뗄럧쿕뿘훆쿮쒿돉릦뗄럧쿕틲쯘훚뛠,춬쪱룷럧쿕틲쯘횮볤쫇횸쏷좷뗄ꆢ쿔훸뗄뫍헫뛔뿉쓜돶쿖뗄컊쳢쯹닉뗄맘쾵폖듭ퟛ뢴퓓ꆣIT쿮쒿춶쓜럱좡뗃풤웚좡뗄펦뛔닟싔뫍듫쪩ꆣ킧맻퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏좡뻶폚뛔쿮쒿쪵쪩맽돌훐쯹짦뿘훆럧쿕춬퇹쫇폐돉놾뗄(RAZand벰럧쿕틲쯘뷸탐폐킧뗄쪶뇰뫍움맀,틔벰럧쿕뿘SHAW[8]),쯹틔럧쿕맜샭볆뮮탨튪쫂쿈뷸탐돉놾훆폫맦뇜랽낸ꆣ킧틦럖컶ꆣ쯦ퟅ럧쿕맜샭춶죫돉놾뗄볓듳,뿉쓜튻냣죏캪,IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뗄퇐뺿쪼폚1989쓪뗄럧쿕뫳맻펰쿬뻍믡붵뗍,솽헟뇤뮯랽쿲쿠랴ꆣ,BOEHM[1]뗄ꆶ죭볾럧쿕맜샭ꆷ뗬뚨쇋룃쇬폲뗄샭싛믹뒡ꆣ뛸뫳,헢튻톧뿆믱뗃쇋엮늪뗄랢햹쟳뗃솽헟뗄뻹뫢뻍릹돉쇋럧쿕뿘훆뗄뛔쿳톡퓱쳵,풽살풽뛠뗄톧헟뫍퇐뺿믺릹뚼뾪쪼훘쫓뫍맘힢볾뫍럧쿕뿘훆쪱믺ꆣ펦뛔랽램뫍럧쿕샠탍횮볤늻쫇튻튻뛔펦뗄맘IT쿮쒿뗄럧쿕맜샭,죧BARK[2]IꆢMOYNIHAN[3]ꆢYACOUB뗈[4]ꆢROY뗈[5]ꆢ랽뗂펢[6]ꆢWA쾵,뛔춬튻럧쿕췹췹뻟폐늻춬뗄펦뛔랽램[9-10]ꆣLLACE뗈[7]튻냣럧쿕맜샭훐뎣닉폃뗄닟싔폐ꆰ뇜쏢ꆱꆢꆰ,퇐뺿믺릹냼삨SEIꆢ캢죭뫍IEEE뗈ꆣ듓맺쓚췢틆ꆱꆢꆰ뷓쫜ꆱꆢꆰ뛴훆ꆱ뫍ꆰ짮죫첽쳖ꆱꆣ쯹캽ꆰ뇜IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뗄퇐뺿돉맻살뾴,럧쿕뇦쪶뫍움맀뗄퇐뺿뇈뷏럡뢻뫍짮죫쏢ꆱ닟싔쫇횸춨맽룄뇤닺욷짨볆믲뾪랢맽돌,뇜,떫쫇,IT쿮쒿럧쿕틲쯘뗄쪶뇰ꆢ움맀뗄ퟮ훕쒿뗄쫇캪쇋쓜릻훆뚩쏢믲쿻돽럧쿕뿉쓜퓬돉뗄퇏훘뫳맻ꆣꆰ틆ꆱ닟뿆톧뗄럧쿕맜샭뫍뿘훆랽램,듓뛸폐킧뗘뷸탐IT싔뎣폃폚놣쿕럖떣믲뫏춬럖떣,럧쿕돶쿖뗄룅싊쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭,뛸쒿잰뛔폚헢랽쏦뗄퇐뺿뮹쿠뛔늢쎻폐틲듋뛸붵뗍,떫쫇붵뗍쇋럧쿕돶쿖뫳쒳튻늻ퟣꆣ랽퓢쫜쯰쪧뗄돌뛈ꆣꆰ뷓쫜ꆱ닟싔횸쳽죎럧쿕뗄ퟔ좻랢햹,튻랽쏦늻탨뢶돶럧쿕뿘훆돉놾,쇭튻랽1ꆡIT쿮쒿럧쿕펦뛔닟싔쏦튲쎻폐쿻돽럧쿕뿉쓜뗄캣몦ꆣꆰ뛴훆ꆱ닟싔춨맣틥뗘쮵,쯹폐쿮쒿맜샭탐캪뚼쫴폚럧쿕뿘뎣폐솽쳵춾뺶,튻쳵쫇볓잿룟럧쿕틲쯘뗄놡죵뮷쫕룥죕웚:2006-11-14.ퟷ헟볲뷩:돂ꆡ쳎(1980-),쓐,뫾놱쪯쫗죋,뮪훐뿆벼듳톧맜샭톧풺늩쪿퇐뺿짺.믹뷰쿮쒿:맺볒ퟔ좻뿆톧믹뷰훺쿮쒿(70571025).
뗚8929뻭ꆡ뗚3웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ돂ꆡ쳎:믹폚쪵컯웚좨뗄IT쿮쒿럧쿕맦뇜퇐뺿ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ뷚,붵뗍럧쿕랢짺뗄룅싊;쇭튻쳵쫇뗷헻짨볆랽낸쎻폐틥컱싄탐룃뫏풼,뛸웚좨뗄돶쫛헟(웚좨뗄믲맜샭랽램,복쟡럧쿕돶쿖뫳뗄펰쿬뫳맻ꆣꆰ짮뿕춷랽)퓲폐뻸뛔뗄틥컱싄탐룃뫏풼ꆣ캪쇋좡뗃죫첽쳖ꆱ닟싔쫇캪헆컕럧쿕뗄뻟쳥쳘탔뛸뾪햹뗄웚좨뢳폨뗄좨샻,웚좨돖폐헟뇘탫횧뢶튻뇊웚좨룷쿮믮뚯,틔뇣좡뗃룼뛠뗄탅쾢,쪹럧쿕뻶닟룼캪럑,웚좨럑벴캪웚좨뗄볛횵,쪵컯웚좨쫇뷰죚웚좨뿆톧뫍쏷훇ꆣ퓚쪵컯쇬폲뗄삩햹,웤뇪뗄컯(믹놾닺)튻냣쫇튻냣살쮵럧쿕뿘훆닉폃죧춼1뗄맽돌ꆣ쫗쿈쒳춶쿮쒿뗄볛횵,뛸쪵컯웚좨뢳폨뗄좨샻튲췹듓럧쿕뛓쇐훐톡돶듽뿘훆럧쿕,좻뫳뷸탐뛔닟럖췹쫇쒳쿮춶믲맜샭뗄톡퓱좨ꆣ펵폐쪵컯웚좨,컶ꆣ뛔닟럖컶훐,돽쇋튪내잰쫶랽램톡퓱뛔닟췢,웤돖폐헟뻍뿉틔퓚튻뚨웚쿞쓚룹뻝믹놾닺뗄볛퓚춬뗈쳵볾쿂믲쿠뷼쳵볾쿂,튻냣내쿂쇐쮳탲톡횵뇤뚯,쇩믮톡퓱춶랽낸믲맜샭믮뚯ꆣ퓱:폅쿈뾼싇쓜럱뇜쏢럧쿕,뛸뫳뾼싇쫇뿉럱틆쪵컯웚좨쯤좻살풴폚뷰죚웚좨,떫솽헟뗄닠럧쿕,웤듎닅쫇뛴훆럧쿕돶쿖뗄룅싊믲랢짺쪱뗄훘뗣늻춬ꆣ뷰죚웚좨훷튪닠훘폚맀볛컊쳢,뛸쪵뫳맻ꆣ죧맻늻듦퓚뛴훆뛔닟,믲헟뛴훆뛔닟퓚뺭컯웚좨퓲닠훘폚뻶닟럖컶폫폅뮯컊쳢ꆣ쯤좻뻶닟볃짏늻뮮쯣뗄,퓲뷓쫜럧쿕,믲헟쮵퓝쪱뷓쫜럧폫폅뮯컊쳢튲탨튪짦벰떽맀볛컊쳢,떫캪쇋헽좷쿕,늻닉좡죎뫎듫쪩,떫죔좻뒦폚럧쿕볠뚽횮쿂ꆣ뻶닟,쫗쿈뇘탫폐튻쳗헽좷쮼캬뫍탐캪랽쪽,쪵컯웚좨헽쫇튻훖횸떼헽좷쮼캬뫍탐뚯뗄폐킧릤뻟ꆣ헢훖쮼캬랽쪽훷튪냼삨틔쿂벸룶늿럖:(1)웚좨쫇튻훖뻶닟(contingentdecision)ꆣ웚좨뻍쫇뿉틔퓚뾴떽쫂쟩쫇죧뫎랢햹횮뫳퓙훆뚨뻶닟뗄믺믡,퓚뻶닟쪱뿌볙죧쟩뿶쿲뫃뗄랽쿲랢햹,뻍ퟷ돶튻훖뻶닟;떫죧맻쟩뿶쿲늻뫃뗄랽쿲랢햹,뻍ퟶ돶쇭튻훖뻶닟ꆣ헢뻍틢캶ퟅ웚좨뗄쯰틦쫇럇쿟탔뗄,쯼붫쯦ퟅ뻶닟뇤뮯뛸뇤뮯ꆣ(2)웚좨쫇폐볛횵뗄ꆣ춶쿮쒿훐퓌몭뗄춶믺믡ꆢ맜샭쇩믮탔뗈쪵컯웚좨,뿉틔샻폃뷰죚쫐뎡뗄탅쾢ퟷ캪쫤죫솿살캪웤뚨볛,웤뷡맻쫇쪹맜춼샭웚좨ꆢ뷰죚쫐뎡뗄톡퓱좨뫍쓚늿춶믺믡뗈뻟1ꆡ럧쿕뿘훆맽돌폐뗈횵믹뒡짏뗄뿉뇈탔ꆣ좻뛸,쪵컯웚좨뗄볛횵퓚떱잰뗄퇐뺿뫍닺튵쪵볹훐,죋쏇듳뛠틔뛴뇘탫틀뾿맜샭헟뗄폐킧뻶닟닅쓜쪵쿖,맜샭헟퓚훆럧쿕캪쫖뛎,춨맽퓶볓릤ퟷ솿믲퇐뺿뗄잿뛈ꆢ퇓ퟮ잡떱뗄쪱뿌ퟷ돶ퟮ잡떱뗄뻶닟쫇쪵컯웚좨볛횵뎤릤ퟷ쪱볤믲퇐뺿뗄솦뛈듯떽럧쿕뿘훆뗄쒿뇪ꆣ쪵쿖뗄놣횤ꆣ떫쫇,폐킩럧쿕랢짺뗄룅싊룹놾컞램쿻돽,폐킩럧(3)웚좨쮼캬랽쪽뿉틔폃살짨볆뫍맜샭햽싔쿕듓뺭볃짏살붲쿫쿻돽쫇늻뫏쯣뗄,쯹틔뿘훆럧춶ꆣ쏦뛔늻좷뚨탔뫍캴살뻞듳잱퓚샻틦뗄햽싔쿕펦룃ퟛ뫏뾼싇맦뇜믲틆럧쿕뫳맻뗄랽램,뛸춶,뻶닟헟쏦뛔뗄맘볼뻶닟컊쳢쫇죧뫎붵뗍늻쒿잰뗄IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭퇐뺿뛔듋뮹맘힢늻릻ꆣ좷뚨탔놩슶,죧뫎쓜릻퓚돶쿖폐샻뗄쟩뿶쿂퓶볓웰풴폚뷰죚쇬폲,퓚뷰죚럧쿕맜샭훐믱뗃맣랺펦쫕틦ꆣ캪듋뻶닟헟쫗쿈튪쪶뇰뫍맀볛햽싔춶훐폃뗄쪵컯웚좨릤뻟퓲캪듋랽쏦뗄퇐뺿쳡릩쇋폐솦뗄쪵컯웚좨,웤듎쫇캪쇋룼뫃쪹폃웚좨뛸훘탂짨뗄릤뻟ꆣ볆춶,ퟮ뫳쫇퓋폃닺짺뗄웚좨살맜샭춶ꆣ평폚IT춶쿮쒿뗄춶쫽뛮듳ꆢ럧쿕틲쯘2ꆡ쪵컯웚좨폫IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뛠ꆢ뛌웚춶킧틦늻쿔훸,틲듋쪵컯웚좨랽램쳘뇰쪵컯웚좨쫇듓뷰죚웚좨뗄룅쓮랢햹뛸살뗄ꆣ쫊뫏폚뛔웳튵IT춶쿮쒿뷸탐뫏샭뗄럖컶폫움뷰죚웚좨쫇튻훖뫏풼,쯼뢳폨웤돖폐헟퓚튻뚨쪱볛,듓뛸캪뻶닟헟뗄춶햽싔맦뮮쳡릩뿆톧틀뻝ꆣ웚쓚뿉틔내쫂쿈풼뚨뗄볛룱릺싲믲돶쫛쳘뚨쫽솿웳튵탅쾢뮯탨튪펦폃듳솿뗄탅쾢벼쫵,뛸탅쾢벼뗄뷰죚닺욷뗄좨샻ꆣ웚좨뫏풼닺짺뗄좨샻뫍틥컱쫵뗄룼탂퓲럇뎣뿬,벸뫵쎿룴벸룶퓂탂뗄벼쫵뫍쫇늻뛔돆뗄,웚좨돖폐헟(웚좨뛠춷랽)폐좨샻떫뇪ힼ뻍믡돶쿖,늢훰붥좡듺풭폐뗄벼쫵뫍뇪ힼꆣ
ꆡ9ꆡ0ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ커몺샭릤듳톧톧놨ꆤ탅쾢폫맜샭릤돌냦ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ2007쓪3퓂쿠펦뗘,탅쾢벼쫵닺욷뗄볛룱튲믡뷏듳럹뛈뗘뗷뗄쫖뛎,뿉틔춨맽퓶볓IT쿮쒿춶뻶닟뗄쇩믮헻믲뇤뚯,듓뛸횱뷓퓶볓쇋IT춶돉놾뗄늻좷뚨탔,틔복쟡럧쿕돶쿖뗄뫳맻펰쿬살맦뇜럧쿕ꆣ샽탔ꆣ춬쪱탂뗄탅쾢벼쫵닺욷뻟폐탂뗄벼쫵탔쓜뫍죧,돽쇋샻폃뗈듽웚좨ꆢ퓶뎤웚좨ꆢ췋돶웚좨뫍톧쫊폃랶캧,헢튲퓶볓쇋IT춶퓚뻟쳥펦폃닣쏦짏쾰웚좨뗈퓶볓쿮쒿뗄쇩믮탔횮췢,쪵컯웚좨랽램뗄럧쿕ꆣ평폚쿮쒿짦벰뗄늻좷뚨틲쯘뷏뛠,웳튵뿉냯훺웳튵ퟶ돶틔쿂뻶닟,듓뛸맦뇜IT쿮쒿뗄럧퓚뷸탐뻶닟쪱,뇈뷏쏷훇뗄ퟶ램뻍쫇뗈듽믱뗃룼쿕,쪵쿖IT춶뗄볛횵ꆣ뛠뗄탅쾢(1)뾼싇IT쿮쒿뗄럖뷗뛎훰늽쪵쪩ꆣ룹뻝,늢쇩믮뗘훆뚩뛠훖랽낸릩뻶닟헟톡퓱,틔뇜쏢늻뿉쓦춶듸살컞램췬믘뗄쯰쪧ꆣ퓚헢훖웳튵탅쾢뮯퇝뷸뗄Nolan쒣탍,웳튵탅쾢뮯뗄돉쟩탎쿂뎤맽돌냼삨돵ힰꆢ삩햹ꆢ뿘훆ꆢ벯돉ꆢ쫽뻝뒦샭뫍돉,쪵컯웚좨랽램쓜릻냯훺춶헟돤럖샻폃쿮쒿뗄늻좷뚨탔쯹닺짺뗄믺믡쫬6룶뷗뛎ꆣ쎿튻룶탅쾢뮯룟벶뷗뛎뚼뿉틔춨맽,복짙늻좷뚨탔뿉쓜듸살뗄쯰쪧ꆣ웳튵퓚뷏뗍벶뷗뛎탅쾢뮯믹뒡짏볓듳춶뛸쪵쫂쪵짏쿖,벴웳튵뗄IT춶쪵볊짏냼몬쇋튻쾵쇐퓶뎤탍,탅쾢쾵춳(IS)퇐뺿훐틑뺭뾪쪼붫쪵컯웚좨ퟷ캪맜샭웚좨ꆣ평폚IT쿮쒿ퟔ짭뗄뢴퓓탔뫍췢늿뮷뺳뗄IT쿮쒿뗄튻훖훘튪쫖뛎ꆣ죧KAMB늻좷뚨탔,IT쿮쒿뗄맦쒣풽듳,웤퓌몬뗄럧쿕쮮IL뗈[11]붫웚좨샭싛틽죫IT춶뗄맜샭맽돌욽튲벱뻧퓶볓ꆣ틲듋,웳튵뿉틔샻폃IT춶훐뗄,뷸튻늽쮵쏷쇋웚좨랽램퓚IT춶움볛폫맜샭맽돌훐뗄뿉폃탔ꆣ퓶뎤탍웚좨,내헕럖뷗뛎춶뗄풭퓲,쿈붨솢뷏뗍BENAROCH폫KAUFF2M닣듎뗄탅쾢뮯쾵춳,듽쳵볾돉쫬퓙볓듳춶,훰늽AN[12]ꆢCAMPBELL[13]퓲럖뇰붫쪵컯웚좨샭싛폃폚탅쾢쾵춳ퟮ병춶쪱믺뗄뻶닟ꆣ쳡룟탅쾢뮯쮮욽ꆣ웳튵튲뿉틔룹뻝ퟔ짭뗄탨튪쫗BALASU2쿈퓚룶뇰늿쏅쪵탐탅쾢뮯,헢퇹뻍샻폃쇋쿮쒿훐BRAMANIAN뗈[14]쳡돶쇋튻룶움볛IT믹뒡짨쪩춶뗄랽램싛뗄톧쾰탍웚좨,춨맽쫔뗣뿉틔냯훺뻶닟헟믱뗃듳,뾪뇙쇋맜샭IT춶뗄탂쮼슷,벴믹폚쓜솦뗄쪵컯웚좨퇐뺿ꆣ솿탂뗄탅쾢,좻뫳뻶뚨쿂튻늽춶뗄쪱믺ꆢ맦쒣뫍KIM[15]뗈퓲뷸튻늽쏷좷쇋뺭볃볛횵뫍쪵컯웚좨볛횵뗄쓚몭쓚죝,듓뛸붵뗍IT춶뗄럧쿕ꆣ,늢쳡돶(2)훘쫓죭펲볾뗄볦죝탔뫍뿉짽벶탔ꆣ평폚쇋튻룶퓚IT춶뻶닟맽돌훐닉좡햽싔탐뚯뗄럖IT춶뮷뺳뻟폐뷏듳뗄늻좷뚨탔,웳튵퓚뾼싇IT컶뻘헳ꆣKUMAR[16]잿뗷쇋IT쿮쒿훐뗄럧쿕뿉춶쪱,펦룃힢훘탅쾢뮯쿮쒿룷훖튪쯘벰웤뻟쳥틔춨맽탐뚯살맦뇜,춬쪱죏캪IT쿮쒿맜샭맽돌쪵펦폃뗄뮻쓜솦ꆣ퓚톡퓱IT춶쯹탨펲볾짨놸볊짏튲쫇맜샭웚좨ퟩ뫏뗄맽돌,늻춬뗄럧쿕뿉닉쪱,돽뾼싇닺욷뗄탔볛뇈췢,뮹탫쳘뇰맘힢닺욷뗄폃늻춬뗄웚좨뷸탐펦뛔ꆣ틲듋,쯻쳡돶쇋IT쿮쒿볦죝탔뫍뿉짽벶탔ꆣ퓚톡퓱맜샭쾵춳쪱,펦룃뾼럧쿕맦뇜랽낸뗄쪵컯웚좨뿲볜,쳡릩쇋맦뇜IT럧싇웤펦폃랶캧뗄뿉삩햹탔ꆣ웳튵튻떩믱뗃쇋IT쿕뗄샭싛믹뒡ꆣ춶훐뗄뮻탍웚좨믲죡탔웚좨,뻍뿉틔룹뻝쫐뎡볛룱뫍벼쫵뮷뺳뗄뇤뮯틔벰웳튵뗄랢햹쳘뗣,3ꆡIT쿮쒿럧쿕맦뇜쒣쪽뛔탅쾢쾵춳벰웤릦쓜뷸탐룼탂ꆢ삩햹믲쫕쯵,쪹웳쪵컯웚좨랽램쫇튻훖탂뗄쮼캬랽쪽,퓋폃쪵튵맦뇜살ퟔ쫐뎡ꆢ벼쫵뫍뮷뺳뗈랽쏦뗄럧쿕,쪹뗃컯웚좨랽램쓜릻냯훺웳튵퓚IT춶뻶닟맽돌훐폐쿞뗄뷰춶죫쓜릻닺짺ퟮ듳뗄킧틦ꆣ뷸탐뒴탂쮼캬ꆣ쏦뛔ퟅ퇏뻾뗄늻좷뚨탔뮷뺳뗄쳴(3)쇩믮닉폃췢냼랽쪽뷸탐IT쿮쒿뗄뾪랢햽,웳튵뻶닟헟펦닉좡믽벫뗄첬뛈뛔듽IT춶믮폫캬뮤ꆣ뛔폚탭뛠웳튵,쳘뇰쫇훐킡웳튵살쮵,탅뚯훐뗄늻좷뚨탔,헒돶쿮쒿짦벰뗄룷훖늻좷뚨탔쾢벼쫵벰맜샭랽쏦뗄튵죋닅뗄좱랦돉캪웤쪵쿖틲쯘,늢쟒돤럖샻폃헢킩틲쯘살쳡룟쿮쒿뗄볛횵,웳튵탅쾢뮯뗄튻듳욿뺱ꆣ틲듋,웳튵퓚뷸탐IT춶뛸늻쫇튻캶뗘믘뇜쯼쏇[17](솺춮펧,랶짽)ꆣ평폚뻶닟쪱,뿉틔뾼싇냑췢냼웚좨냼삨퓚춶쿮쒿IT쿮쒿ퟔ짭뗄룟뛈늻좷뚨탔,틲뛸웳튵뿉틔퓋폃훐ꆣ헢훖췢냼웚좨쪵볊짏튲쫇죡탔웚좨뗄튻훖,쪵컯웚좨랽램뛔IT춶쿮쒿뷸탐헻쳥맦뮮,춨맽쯼쪹웳튵퓚쎻폐뫏쫊뗄죋닅뛓컩살뾪랢뫍캬뮤탅퓶볓쿮쒿쇩믮탔살맦뇜룷훖럧쿕ꆣ냑IT쿮쒿뾴쾢쾵춳쪱,뿉틔붫헢쿮릤ퟷ뗄튻늿럖짵훁좫늿췢돉쫇튻쾵쇐뗄춶뻶닟뫍뾪랢믮뚯,폚쫇IT쿮쒿냼룸죭볾쳡릩짌뫍쾵춳벯돉짌ꆣ헢퇹튻랽쏦뿉틔맜샭뿉뾴돉쫇퓶볓탂뗄웚좨ꆢ즾돽틑폐웚좨믲룄샻폃튵릫쮾뗄벼쓜뫍횪쪶,쇭튻랽쏦튲붫늿럖뇤쿖폐웚좨횵뗄맽돌ꆣ틔쪵컯웚좨ퟷ캪럧쿕뻶닟럧쿕뷸탐쇋틆ꆣ
뗚9129뻭ꆡ뗚3웚ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ돂ꆡ쳎:믹폚쪵컯웚좨뗄IT쿮쒿럧쿕맦뇜퇐뺿ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ(4)퓋폃쪵컯웚좨랽램짨볆ퟩ뫏뻶닟ꆣ웳튵쫵ꆢퟩ횯뫍뺭볃쳵볾,춬쪱쪶뇰잱퓚뗄럧쿕틲쯘,뗄IT춶뻶닟췹췹늻쫇튻듎탔뻶닟,뛸쫇평튻쾵에뛏럧쿕뛔쿮쒿쫕틦벰돉놾뗄펰쿬ꆣ퓚쿮쒿짺쏼쇐ퟓ뻶닟릹돉뗄튻훖솬탸뻶닟ꆣIT춶뻶닟튲훜웚뗄쎿튻뷗뛎뚼펦뷸탐듋쿮믮뚯ꆣ늻쫇떥룶쿮쒿뗄뻶닟,뛸쫇평뛠룶쿮쒿릹돉뗄튻(2)헫뛔쿮쒿럧쿕쪶뇰펰ퟓ웚좨ꆣ늻춬뗄럧훖ퟩ뫏뻶닟ꆣ춶ퟩ뫏맜샭샭싛퓚럧쿕춶쇬폲쿕틲쯘뿉펦폃늻춬뗄웚좨뷸탐맦뇜,샽죧벼쫵럧놻맣랺뗘펦폃,럧쿕춶훐춶쿮쒿뗄럧쿕쯦ퟅ쿕뿉춨맽퇓동웚좨ꆢ췢냼벰럅웺웚좨살뿘훆ꆣ헢쓚ꆢ췢뮷뺳틲쯘뗄뇤뮯뛸뇤뮯,뿍맛듦퓚뛸폖늻좷샯뗄뗚뛾룶늽훨쫇쪶뇰돶뿉탐뗄펰ퟓ웚좨펦뛔룷뚨ꆣ룟럧쿕탔뻶뚨쇋럧쿕놾뗄퓋ퟷ뇘탫닉좡폫쿮럧쿕ꆣ좻뛸,평폚퓋폃웚좨뿉쓜듸살탂뗄럧쿕,횮쿠쫊펦뗄춶랽쪽,횻폐춨맽뫏샭뗄춶ퟩ뫏헢튻늽훨뿉쓜탨튪랴뢴뷸탐,죧췢냼뿉틔붵뗍벼럖즢뫍뮯뷢럧쿕,닅쓜붵뗍쪧냜싊,쳡룟돉릦싊,쫵럧쿕,떫뿉쓜믡듸살탂뗄뫏춬럧쿕뫍뫏ퟷ럧쿕놣횤헻쳥춶룟쫕틦ꆣ샠쯆뗘,뻶닟헟퓚뷸탐IT뗈ꆣ듋췢,뛔펰ퟓ웚좨뗄쪶뇰탨튪뷷짷뷸탐ꆣ폐쿮쒿춶쪱튲펦ퟐ쾸뾼싇룷룶쿮쒿횮볤뗄쿠뮥맘뗄웚좨뿉쓜틑뺭듦퓚폚쿮쒿훐,죧닉폃뗄벼쫵랽쾵뫍쿠뮥펰쿬,춨맽뫏샭뗄쿮쒿ퟩ뫏럖즢IT쿮쒿낸뻟폐뿉삩햹탔,퓲쿮쒿틑뺭냼몬쇋삩헅웚좨;뛸럧쿕,쪵쿖ퟮ듳뮯춶킧틦ꆣ폐킩웚좨퓲탨튪뷸탐짨볆,춨뎣믡폐튻뚨뗄쳵볾믲잰웚춶,죧춶랽횻폐뾪햹헐뇪늢뛔뾪랢짌4ꆡIT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뗄쪵컯웚좨뿲볜뗄쿮쒿붨틩쫩뷸탐움맀,닅쓜붫쿮쒿췢냼ꆣ쪵컯웚좨랽램뿉ퟷ캪튻훖폐솦뗄움맀릤뻟뛔(3)짨볆뿉탐뗄춶슷쿟ꆣ퓋폃쪵컯웚좨맜IT쿮쒿뗄킧틦뫍럧쿕뷸탐뫏샭뗄럖컶,냯훺톡퓱샭IT쿮쒿럧쿕뗄뗚죽룶늽훨쫇폃늻춬뗄펰ퟓ웚볛횵ퟮ룟ꆢ럧쿕ퟮ킡뗄춶랽낸믲슷쿟ꆣ헢샯쳡좨뗄ퟩ뫏짨볆늻춬뗄춶슷쿟,춬쪱움맀늻춬춶돶튻룶맜샭IT쿮쒿럧쿕뗄쪵컯웚좨뿲볜,죧춼2랽낸뗄럧쿕믘놨ꆣ뇭쏦짏뾴살쯹짦벰뗄춶슷쯹쪾ꆣ쿟뿉쓜럇뎣횮뛠,좻뛸,룹뻝엤훃웚좨뗄3룶볲떥풭퓲뻍믡업돽훚뛠늻뿉탐뗄춶슷쿟:춶랽낸훐뗄웚좨듎탲뇘탫폫쿮쒿뗄짺쏼훜웚튻훂,죧럅웺웚좨늻쓜쿈폚퇓동웚좨;춬튻ퟩ뫏훐뗄웚좨뇘탫쓜릲듦,죧쿮쒿퓚췢냼횮뫳,퇓동웚좨뿉쓜뻍늻퓙뿉탐;냼몬뺡뿉쓜뛠웚좨뗄ퟩ뫏풽뿉쓜쫇볛횵ퟮ듳뗄춶슷쿟ꆣ(4)움맀웚좨뫍춶랽낸ꆣ퓚좷뚨춶슷쿟뿉톡벯뫳,뻍탨튪뛔웚좨ퟩ뫏뫍춶슷쿟뷸탐움맀,뺻쿖횵폫웚좨볛횵횮뫍ퟮ듳뗄뻍쫇ퟮ폅춶랽낸ꆣ웚좨뚨볛폐뛠훖랽램,뿉룹뻝탨튪뫍쳵볾뷸탐톡퓱ꆣ5ꆡ뷡ꆡ싛(1)뇊헟틽죫쇋뷰죚쇬폲뗄쪵컯웚좨랽램ퟷ캪IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뗄뻶닟릤뻟,퓚쪵컯웚좨뗄쮼쿫횸떼쿂짨볆쇋IT쿮쒿럧쿕맦뇜뗄벸훖쒣쪽,춨맽퓶볓IT쿮쒿춶뻶닟뗄쇩믮탔살뿆톧뗘맦뇜믲틆IT쿮쒿훐퓌몬뗄럧쿕ꆣ쪵컯웚좨뗄랽램늻뷶캪웳튵뫏샭뗘맦뮮IT춶쿮쒿ꆢ맜샭쿮쒿럧쿕쳡릩쇋폐볛횵뗄붨틩,뛸쟒뿉틔ퟷ캪짨볆뫍움춼2ꆡ믹폚쪵컯웚좨뗄맀IT쿮쒿춶슷쿟뗄럖컶뿲볜ꆣIT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭뿲볜(2)쳡돶뗄믹폚쪵컯웚좨뗄IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜(1)뚨틥춶늢쪶뇰럧쿕ꆣ뛔춶쿮쒿뗄쒿샭뿲볜죚뫏쇋럧쿕폫웚좨뗄룅쓮,쓜쾵춳뗘쪶뇰뇪ꆢ탨쟳뷸탐뚨틥,짨볆돵쪼랽낸,좷뚨쯹탨뗄벼잱퓚웚좨살뿘훆럧쿕틲쯘,캪맦뇜IT쿮쒿럧쿕ꆢ
ꆡ9ꆡ2ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ커몺샭릤듳톧톧놨ꆤ탅쾢폫맜샭릤돌냦ꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡꆡ2007쓪3퓂폅뮯춶슷쿟쳡릩쇋폐솦뗄릤뻟ꆣprovingriskmanagement:movingfromriskeliminationtoriskavoidance[J].InformationandSoftwareTech2닎뾼컄쿗nology,1999(41):29-34.:[10]ꆡ[1]ꆡ[M].Washin2velopmentproject[J].:IEEEComputerSocietyPress,,2000(53):145-157.[2]ꆡBARKIH,RIVERDS,[11]ꆡKAMBILA,HENDERSONJ,[J].JournalofMan2Strategicmanagementofinformationtechnologyin2agementInformationSystems,1993,10(2):203-vestments:anoptionsperspective[M].[sv]:,1993.[3]ꆡ[12]ꆡBEMAROCHM,[J].IEEESoftware,1997(8):[4]ꆡYACOUBSM,AMMARHH,[J].MISQuarterly,2000,24(2):-levelriskassessmentusingdy2[13]ꆡ[C].Proceedingsofthe11thInterna2ofisinvestmentdecisions[J].Information&Manage2tionalSymposiumOnSoftwareReliabilityEngineering,ment,2002,39(5)::433-460.[14]ꆡBALASUBRAMANIANP,KULATILAKAN,STORCK[5]ꆡ:[J].JournalofManagementInfor2mareal-optionsapproach[J].JournalofStrategicIn2ationSystems,2001,17(4):,2000,9(1):39-62.[6]ꆡ랽뗂펢.IT쿮쒿럧쿕맜샭샭싛폫랽램퇐뺿[D].쳬뷲[15]ꆡKIMYJ,:쳬뷲듳톧춼쫩망,[7]ꆡWALLACEL,KEILM,[J].DecisionSupportSystem,2002,33(1):1projectrisk:aclusteranalysis[J].,2004(42):115-125.[16]ꆡ:anoptions[8]ꆡRAZO,[J].Information&Management,2002surance[C].Proceedingsofthe23rdInternational(40):(WorkshoponE2[17]ꆡ솺춮펧,랶ꆡ짽.믹폚쪵컯웚좨랽램뗄훐킡웳튵탅conomics-DrivenSoftwareEngineeringResearch),쾢뮯춶뻶닟[J].뿆톧맜샭퇐뺿,2002,20(6):532001:124-131.-56.[9]ꆡADLERTR,LEONARDJG,:Informationtechnology(IT),ꇤ:informationtechnologyinvestment;riskmanagement;realoptions;riskhedgingCHENTao:DoctorateCandidate;SchoolofManagement,HUST,Wuhan430074,China.[뇠벭:샮뗀컄]
