2007쓪뗚3웚폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦3랶뫬훒ꆡꆡ쓚죝쳡튪:튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뿉폃죽룶믹놾캬뛈(믲튪쯘)뫍죽룶늹돤캬뛈살쏨쫶,웤훐믹놾튪쯘뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫뫍죋뻹쫕죫뗄쳡룟,믡듙뷸튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쳡짽,뛸믹놾튪쯘쫕죫닮뻠뗄삩듳,믡붵뗍튻맺퇐랢춶죫,늢쯰몦웤ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦;ퟷ캪늹돤튪쯘,뷸돶뿚맦쒣믲뾪럅뛈뗄쳡룟뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫늢쎻폐펰쿬,떫쯼뿉틔쳡짽튻맺퇐랢춶죫뗄쪹폃킧싊뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣ듋췢,놾컄뮹랢쿖쫕죫닮뻠뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦폐ퟅ쪮럖훘튪뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ퓚튻뚨쳵볾쿂,쫕죫닮뻠뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쯰몦,뎬맽쇋웤쯻튪쯘뗄뿉쓜펰쿬ꆣ맘볼듊:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣ꆡ쫕죫닮뻠ꆡ뒴탂쓜솦튻ꆢ틽ꆡ퇔퓚ꆶ쓚짺벼쫵뇤잨ꆷ뗄퇐뺿훐,Romer(1990)폐튻룶훘튪샭싛잰쳡,벴탂벼쫵뗄닺짺훷튪쫇퓚쫐뎡샻틦쟽뚯쿂,ힷ쟳탂벼쫵횮ퟮ훕펮샻뗄뷡맻,탂벼쫵뗄짺닺솿쫇평탂벼쫵뗄쫐뎡릩룸뫍쫐뎡탨쟳릲춬뻶뚨뗄ꆣ퇘ퟅ헢튻쮼쿫,뛔튻맺뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵횤퇐뺿뻍폐솽훖뿉쓜뗄쮼슷,튻쫇듓탂벼쫵짺닺릩룸뗄쫓뷇뷸탐,쇭튻쫇듓탂벼쫵쫐뎡탨쟳뗄쫓뷇뷸탐ꆣ쿖폐뗄맘폚맺볒믲뗘쟸뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵횤퇐뺿,뻹쫇틔Romer(1990)뗄탂벼쫵짺닺쒣탍ꆢ늨쳘(1990)뗄맺볒뺺헹폅쫆샭싛ꆢNelson(1993)뗄맺볒뒴탂쳥쾵샭싛뗈쮼쿫캪럖컶뿲볜,듓탂벼쫵짺닺릩룸뗄뷇뛈햹뾪뗄ꆣ헢킩퇐뺿랢쿖,퇐랢춶죫뛔튻맺뒴탂쓜솦폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬(Furmanetal,2002;AnneloesandHesen,2004;CheungandLin,2004),죧Furmanetal(2002)랢쿖뷶퇐랢춶죫뻍쓜릻뷢쫍OECD맺볒횮볤뒴탂쓜솦닮틬뗄90%ꆣ헢킩퇐뺿듙쪹컒쏇뷸튻늽쮼뾼튻맺퇐랢춶죫뗄뻶뚨틲쯘,볈좻퇐랢춶죫뛔튻맺뒴탂춶죫뗄쳡짽죧듋훘튪,쓇쎴,캪쪲쎴쫀뷧짏훚뛠뗄맺볒늻뺡뿉쓜뛠뗘냑풴엤훃떽벼쫵뒴탂늿쏅쓘?쫂쪵짏,쫀뷧룷맺퇐랢춶죫햼웤GDP뗄뇈훘뻹늻룟,늻짙맺볒뗍폚015%,뷶짙쫽벸룶맺볒뎬맽쇋3%ꆣ튻떩컒쏇뾪쪼쮼뾼튻맺ꆢ튻뗘쟸쓋훁튻웳튵퇐랢춶죫뗄뻶뚨틲쯘,컒쏇뻍늻쓜뷶듓탂벼쫵짺닺릩룸뗄뷇뛈살퇐뺿탂벼쫵뗄짺닺,뛸뇘탫냑쒿맢쿲튻맺탂벼쫵뗄쫐뎡탨쟳뛔퇐랢춶죫뫍탂벼쫵짺닺뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ듓탂벼쫵쫐뎡탨쟳뗄쫓뷇,살뛔맺볒뒴탂춶죫뫍뒴탂쓜솦뷸탐쪵횤퇐뺿,뿉쓜믡뗃떽튻킩폐틢틥뗄랢쿖ꆣ헢쫇놾컄뗄쒿뗄,튲쫇놾컄폫쿖폐쪵횤퇐뺿뗄늻춬횮뒦ꆣ놾컄쿂쏦뗄쓚죝낲업죧쿂:뗚뛾늿럖쫇뛔쿖폐컄쿗뗄뷸튻늽움쫶;뗚죽늿럖쫇놾컄쪵횤퇐뺿뗄샭싛뿲볜,럖컶쇋쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼벼쫵뒴탂뗄믺훆,쳡돶쇋폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵;뗚쯄늿럖쫇폃뿧맺뗄쫽뻝뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뻶뚨틲쯘뗄쪵횤퇐뺿,벰뛔폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵뗄퇩횤;뗚컥늿럖쫇뷡싛,늢쳡돶쇋뷸튻늽퇐뺿뗄랽쿲ꆣ3ꆡ랶뫬훒,커몺뮪훐뿆벼듳톧뺭볃톧풺,폊헾뇠싫:430074,뗧ퟓ탅쿤:hongzhong@ꆣퟷ헟룐킻맺볒짧뿆믹뷰훘듳헐뇪쿮쒿(06&ZD035)ꆢ맺볒985퇐뺿쿮쒿ꆰ뿆벼랢햹폫죋컄뺫짱ꆱ뫍맺볒짧뿆믹뷰튻냣쿮쒿(06BJL057)뗄훺ꆣ룐킻뮪훐뿆벼듳톧뺭볃톧풺탬뎤짺ꆢ췵짙욽ꆢ헅붨뮪,컷낲붻춨듳톧뗄뫮쿾믔늩쪿,쓏듳톧뗄돂낲욽늩쪿퓚놾컄퇐뺿맽돌훐뗄죈탄냯훺뫍돉룥뫳뗄폐틦움싛ꆣퟷ헟쳘뇰룐킻쓤쏻움짳죋뗄붨짨탔틢볻,떱좻,컄퓰ퟔ뢺ꆣ33' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뛾ꆢ뛔쿖폐컄쿗뗄움쫶폫듓탨쟳뷇뛈퇐뺿맺볒뒴탂쓜솦쿠맘뗄컄쿗,뿉럖캪뛔맺볒뒴탂믮뚯폫뺭볃훜웚맘쾵뗄퇐뺿뫍뛔맺볒뒴탂쓜솦뗄퇐뺿,쿂쏦럖뇰볓틔움쫶ꆣ(튻)퇐뺿맺볒뒴탂믮뚯폫뺭볃훜웚맘쾵뗄컄쿗뗄움쫶튻킩뺭볃톧볒횧돖뒴탂믮뚯뗄ꆰ릩룸췆뚯ꆱ(supplypush)볙쮵,죏캪뒴탂믮뚯뗄뻶뚨틲쯘냼삨뿆톧횪쪶뗄랢쿖ꆢ벼쫵믺믡ꆢ퇐뺿쪵퇩쫒뗄킧싊ꆢ춶뗄믺믡돉놾뗈(Rosenberg,1974;Dosi,1988)ꆣ쇭튻킩뺭볃톧볒횧돖뒴탂믮뚯뗄ꆰ탨쟳삭뚯ꆱ(demandpull)볙쮵,죏캪쿺쫛맦쒣뫍뿉펮샻탔뗄뇤뮯듌벤쇋퇐랢춶죫(Judd,1985)ꆣ캪쇋퇩횤헢솽룶볙쮵,늻짙톧헟냑뺭볃훜웚뫍뒴탂믮뚯뗄훜웚탔탐캪솪쾵웰살뷸탐쪵횤퇐뺿,럖컶뒴탂믮뚯쫇쮳훜웚뗄(탨쟳삭뚯),뮹쫇랴훜웚뗄(릩룸췆뚯)ꆣ떫쫇쪵횤뗄뷡맻뫜늻튻훂ꆣ튻킩톧헟랢쿖뒴탂믮뚯쫇쮳훜웚뗄(GeroskiandWalters,1995;Fatas,2000;WaldeandWoitek;2004),쇭튻킩톧헟랢쿖뒴탂믮뚯쫇랴훜웚뗄(BentalandPeled,1996;FrancoisandLloyd2Ellis,2003),뮹폐킩톧헟랢쿖뒴탂믮뚯볈컞쿔훸뗄쮳훜웚탔,튲컞쿔훸뗄랴훜웚탔(Saint2Paul,1993)ꆣ짏쫶퇐뺿듙쪹컒쏇뷸튻늽쮼뾼:죧맻뒴탂믮뚯쫇릩룸췆뚯뗄,쓇쎴캪쪲쎴쫀뷧짏뻸듳뛠쫽폅탣뿆톧볒ꆢ릤돌쪦뫍쪵퇩쫒뷶뻛벯퓚짙쫽랢듯맺볒,뛸쟒벼쫵믺믡ퟜ쫇붵쇙퓚헢킩맺볒?튪믘듰헢튻컊쳢,컒쏇뇘탫뎬풽맘폚맺볒뒴탂믮뚯뫍뺭볃훜웚맘쾵뗄퇐뺿뷡싛늻튻훂뗄삧죅ꆣ뇊헟죏캪,쒳훖돌뛈짏죋쏇맽뛠뗘맘힢쇋뛌웚탨쟳늨뚯뛔뒴탂믮뚯뗄뛌웚펰쿬,뛸뫶쫓쇋탨쟳맦쒣뛔뒴탂믮뚯뗄뎤웚펰쿬ꆣ쪵볊짏탨쟳맦쒣뛔뒴탂쓜솦뗄뎤웚펰쿬뿉쓜뇈탨쟳삭뚯뗄뛌웚펰쿬룼훘튪ꆣ틲캪탨쟳맦쒣늻뷶펰쿬뒴탂믮뚯뗄탨쟳쏦,퓚뎤웚,탨쟳맦쒣뮹춨맽펰쿬닺튵럖릤폫킭ퟷꆢ쫐뎡뷡릹ꆢ닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳,뷸뛸뛔뒴탂믮뚯뗄킧싊뫍뚯솦폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬(쿂컄붫뷸튻늽럖컶)ꆣ(뛾)맺볒뒴탂쓜솦퇐뺿컄쿗뗄움쫶ퟔ듓Solow(1956)뗄싛컄랢뇭뫳,벼쫵뒴탂뛔뎤웚뺭볃퓶뎤뗄훐탄ퟷ폃뗃떽쇋맣랺죏뿉,좻뛸횱떽짏쫀볍80쓪듺쒩,폐맘벼쫵쓚짺퓶뎤쒣탍뗄컄쿗닅뾪쪼돶쿖,웤훐Romer(1990)쒣탍훐뗄탂벼쫵짺닺몯쫽돉캪쿖폐맘폚맺볒뒴탂쓜솦쪵횤퇐뺿뗄믹뒡ꆣ룹뻝Romer(1999),탂벼쫵뗄짺닺쯙뛈쫇횪쪶듦솿뫍퇐랢죋풱쫽솿뗄몯쫽,뛸퇐랢춶죫쫇평퇐랢늿쏅뗄짺닺킧싊뫍탂벼쫵뗄쮽죋뺭볃쫕틦뻶뚨뗄ꆣFurmanetal(2002)틔Romer(1999)뗄탂벼쫵짺닺쒣탍ꆢPorter(1990)뗄맺볒뺺헹폅쫆샭싛뫍Nelson(1993)뗄맺볒뒴탂쳥쾵샭싛캪믹뒡,쳡돶쇋맺볒뒴탂쓜솦샭싛ꆣ룃샭싛죏캪맺볒뒴탂쓜솦평뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩ꆢ믹폚닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳틔벰닺튵벯좺폫뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뗄솪뷡훊솿뗈죽랽쏦뗄틲쯘뻶뚨,웤훐튻맺뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩냼삨튻맺횪쪶듦솿ꆢ죋솦놾뫍퇐랢춶죫ꆢ뷌폽ꆢ뛔췢뾪럅뛈,틔벰닺좨뫍쮰쫕훆뛈틲쯘;믹폚닺튵벯좺뗄뒴탂뮷뺳냼삨쇋Porter(1990)쳡돶뗄펰쿬닺튵벯좺뺺헹솦뗄쯄훖튪쯘:튪쯘뮷뺳ꆢ탨쟳뮷뺳ꆢ횧돖탔뫍쿠맘닺튵뗄랢햹폫웳튵햽싔벰뺺헹ힴ뿶ꆣFaber뫍Hesen(2004)퓚뛔얷쏋14맺뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵횤퇐뺿훐,쳡돶쇋튻룶맘폚맺볒뒴탂쳥쾵뗄럖컶뿲볜,죏캪맺볒뒴탂쳥쾵평듳솿뒴탂맜뗀(innovationtrajectory)ퟩ돉,뒴탂맜뗀폫닺튵벯좺폐맘ꆣ쎿룶뒴탂맜뗀놻뾴ퟷ쫇퇐랢춶죫뺭맽볓릤뮻,ퟮ뫳탎돉뒴탂탔닺돶뗄맽돌,튻맺쳘뚨뗄뺭볃쳵볾뫍훆뛈쳵볾뻶뚨쇋뒴탂맜뗀뗄쫽솿,늢펰쿬쎿튻뒴탂맜뗀훐뛔퇐랢춶죫뗄볓릤뮻맽돌ꆣ쿖폐뗄맘폚맺볒뒴탂쓜솦뗄퇐뺿컄쿗,캪컒쏇듓릩룸쏦럖컶맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄펰쿬틲쯘,쳡릩쇋폐틦뗄샭싛뿲볜ꆣ쿂컄뗚죽뷚붫퓚Furmanetal(2002)쳡돶뗄샭싛믹뒡짏,럖컶쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔튻맺벼쫵뒴탂킧싊뗄펰쿬ꆣ34' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚3웚죽ꆢ폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵Furmanetal(2002)뛔맺볒뒴탂쓜솦뗄뚨틥쫇,튻맺퓚뎤웚쓚뒴퓬쫀뷧쇬쿈벼쫵늢쪹횮짌튵뮯뗄쓜솦ꆣ닎헕듋뚨틥,놾컄냑맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뷧뚨캪튻맺퓚뎤웚쓚뒴퓬쫀뷧쇬쿈벼쫵늢쪹횮짌튵뮯뗄쓜솦,쟒헢훖벼쫵뗄뗚튻랢쏷죋쫇뻟폐룃맺맺벮뗄릫쏱믲웳튵ꆣ헢튻뚨틥폫쏀맺샻짌뇪뻖(USPTO)뛔웤쫚좨샻맺벮뗄뚨틥쿠튻훂ꆣ놾컄냑탂벼쫵뚨틥캪훆퓬탂닺욷뗄벼쫵뫍쳡룟쿖폐닺욷(틔쿂볲돆샏닺욷)훊솿폫짺닺킧싊뗄탂훆퓬릤틕ꆣ탂닺욷냼삨탂쿻럑욷ꆢ탂놾욷ꆢ탂닄쇏뫍탂훐볤춶죫욷,퓚쳡룟샏닺욷훊솿뫍짺닺킧싊뗄탂릤틕훐,듳뛠쫽믡폃떽튻킩탂놾욷ꆢ탂닄쇏믲탂훐볤춶죫욷ꆣ튻맺뛔탂벼쫵뗄쫐뎡탨쟳쫇평룃맺뛔탂ꆢ샏닺욷뗄쫐뎡탨쟳틽랢뗄엉짺탨쟳,떫듓탂벼쫵뗄뚨틥살뾴,웤쫐뎡탨쟳훷튪쫇탂닺욷쫐뎡탨쟳뗄엉짺탨쟳ꆣ(튻)쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼벼쫵뒴탂뗄믺훆횮튻:럖첯퇐랢돉놾,쳡룟퇐랢펮샻뗄풤웚쮮욽벼쫵뒴탂뗄돉놾훷튪살ퟔ솽룶랽쏦,튻쫇뒴탂쪧냜쯹퓢쫜뗄쯰쪧,뛾쫇돉릦뗄뒴탂쯹탨튪뗄만뚨춶ꆣ탭뛠퇐뺿뇭쏷벼쫵뒴탂뗄쪧냜싊럇뎣룟ꆣ튻쿮뛔뮯톧ꆢ훆튩ꆢ쪯폍뫍뗧ퟓ닺욷뾪랢뗄퇐뺿랢쿖,횻폐듳풼20%뗄퇐뺿쿮쒿ퟮ훕쪵쿖쇋돉릦뗄짌튵뮯(Mansfield,1981)ꆣ뛔3볒웳튵(웤훐튻볒쫇뮯톧릫쮾,솽볒쫇훆튩릫쮾)닺욷뾪랢뗄짮죫퇐뺿뇭쏷,듳풼60%뗄쿮쒿쪵쿖쇋벼쫵횸뇪,30%뷸죫쇋짌튵뮯뷗뛎,횻폐12%뒴퓬쇋뎬맽돉놾뗄샻죳ꆣ돽쇋럇뎣룟뗄쪧냜싊,벼쫵뒴탂뗄만뚨돉놾튲럇뎣룟ꆣ뻝놨룦,뾪랢WindowsXP뗄돉놾쫇10틚쏀풪,뾪랢쿱캰룧헢퇹뗄탂튩욷뗄돉놾뿉쓜룟듯5틚쏀풪ꆣ떫쫇벼쫵뒴탂뗄뇟볊돉놾좴쿠뛔뫜뗍,뛔폚캢죭,퓙훆ퟷ튻럝WindowsXP뗄뇟볊돉놾뷓뷼폚쇣,뛸튩뎧짺닺쎿욬튩뗄뇟볊돉놾뿉쓜늻맽벸럖잮(쾣뛻뫍쟭쮹,2005)ꆣ욽첹뛸뗍캻뗄뇟볊돉놾쟺쿟틢캶ퟅ,벼쫵뒴탂뗄욽뻹돉놾쟺쿟믡쯦ퟅ쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄퓶듳ꆢ닺돶뗄짏짽,튻횱쿂붵ꆣ벼쫵뒴탂튪쿫펮샻,뇘탫폐쿠떱듳뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣살첯놡웤뻞뛮만뚨돉놾ꆣ볲퇔횮,평폚럇뎣룟뗄쪧냜싊뫍뻞듳뗄만뚨돉놾춶죫,벼쫵뒴탂쪵훊쫇룟럧쿕춶,뷏듳뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣,폐샻폚붵뗍벼쫵뒴탂뗄럧쿕,럖첯퇐랢돉놾,캪풤웚벼쫵뒴탂펮샻쳡릩뿉뾿뗄놣횤ꆣ(뛾)쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼벼쫵뒴탂뗄믺훆횮뛾:펰쿬쫐뎡뷡릹뫍벼쫵뒴탂뗄뚯솦11쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔쫐뎡뷡릹뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬슢뛏탔쫐뎡뷡릹뗄훷튪풭틲쫇쫐뎡뷸죫헏낭ꆣ듓릩룸쏦살뾴,늻뾼싇헾뢮틲쯘,훷튪뗄뷸죫헏낭쫇벼쫵헏낭,죧튻룶뎧짌뿉쓜펵폐짺닺쒳닺욷뗄쳘뚨벼쫵,쪹뗃웤쯻뎧짌늻뿉쓜뷸죫룃닺욷쫐뎡ꆣ듓탨쟳쏦살붲,뷸죫헏낭훷튪쫇폐쿞뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣ꆣ죧퓚튻룶욶쟮뗄킡헲짏,늻뿉쓜폐컥탇벶뻆뗪,뛸퓚튻룶쿖듺뮯뗄듳돇쫐,컥탇벶뻆뗪좴폐뛠룶ꆣ떱쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뷶쓜죝쓉튻룶믲짙쫽뎧짌쪱,슢뛏탔쫐뎡뷡릹뻍믡탎돉ꆣ듓뚯첬살뾴,죧맻쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣ퟣ릻듳,평벼쫵헏낭퓬돉뗄릩룸쏦슢뛏탔쫐뎡뷡릹쫇늻믡뎤뻃뗄,틲캪슢뛏샻죳붫벤샸룼뛠뗄뎧짌삩듳퇐랢춶죫,듓뛸듲웆벼쫵헏낭,뷸죫쫐뎡ꆣ떫폐쿞뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣쯹탎돉뗄슢뛏탔쫐뎡뷡릹좴뿉쓜쫇뎤뻃뗄,죧퓚튻룶훐뗈맦쒣뗄돇쫐,뿉쓜폀풶횻폐튻볒컥탇벶뻆뗪ꆣ짏쫶럖컶쮵쏷쇋닺튵뺭볃톧뗄튻룶믹놾맛뗣,쫐뎡맦쒣뫍맦쒣뺭볃쫇닺튵쫐뎡뷡릹뗄맘볼탔뻶뚨틲쯘(Kaufman,1979)ꆣ즣쯾쓉뷎뎵퓚훐맺쫐뎡뗘캻뗄뇤뮯,쫇쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔쫐뎡뷡릹폐뻶뚨탔펰쿬뗄쇭튻룶폐솦횤쏷ꆣ듓20쫀볍80쓪듺훐웚떽90쓪듺훐웚,짏몣듳훚퓚훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡짏햼뻝ퟅ슢뛏뗘캻ꆣ20쫀볍80쓪듺쒩웚,짏몣듳훚뗄즣쯾쓉뷎뎵벸뫵햼폐훐맺춬떵뷎뎵100%뗄쫐뎡럝뛮,90쓪듺돵웚햼폐90%ퟳ폒뗄쫐뎡럝뛮,횱떽90쓪듺훐웚,죔좻햼폐60%뗄쫐뎡럝뛮ꆣ즣쯾쓉뷎뎵횮쯹틔쓜릻퓚듋웚볤좡뗃슢뛏뗘캻,튻룶훘튪풭틲쫇떱쪱훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡뗄탨쟳맦쒣폐쿞,컞램죝쓉룼뛠뗄뿧맺웻뎵훆퓬짌ꆣ20쫀볍90쓪듺훐웚틔살,쯦ퟅ훐맺뗄뺭볃퓶뎤뫍죋쏱쫕죫쮮35' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦욽뗄쳡룟,훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡뗄탨쟳맦쒣늻뛏삩듳,룼뛠뗄뎧짌춶폚훐맺쫐뎡,훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡뗄뺺헹탔쯦횮퓶잿,즣쯾쓉뷎뎵뗄슢뛏뗘캻훰붥놻듲웆,웤쫐뎡럝뛮놻튻웻뷝듯ꆢ뛾웻뢻뾵ꆢ쳬뷲쿄샻ꆢ맣훝놾쳯ꆢ춨폃뇰뿋뗈닺욷럖룮(붭킡,2003)ꆣ21쫐뎡뷡릹뛔뎧짌닉폃탂벼쫵뗄뚯솦폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬닺튵ퟩ횯샭싛튻냣죏캪,퓚슢뛏탔쫐뎡뷡릹쿂,뎧짌좱랦벼쫵뒴탂뗄뚯솦,뛸퓚폐뺺헹뗄쫐뎡뷡릹쿂,뎧짌뇘탫늻뛏뷸탐벼쫵뒴탂,췆돶탂닺욷,닅쓜짺듦뫍랢햹(Greenstein,1998,2002)ꆣ놾컄폐뺺헹뗄쫐뎡뷡릹냼삨쇋튻뚨쳵볾쿂쓜듙쪹뒴탂뗄잱퓚뺺헹ꆣ샽죧,듓1983쓪떽1998쓪,짏몣듳훚뗄훷떼닺욷튻횱쫇뗚튻듺즣쯾쓉,뎵탍벸뫵쎻폐쪲쎴뇤뮯ꆣ듋웚볤,짏몣듳훚뗄췢랽쒸릫쮾틑폚80쓪듺훐웚퓚좫쟲쫐뎡짏쳔청쇋헢룶뎵탍,떫짏몣듳훚늢쎻폐틽뷸웤쒸릫쮾퓚좫쟲쫐뎡짏췆돶뗄탂뎵탍,뛸쟒퓚1997쓪뗗횮잰,즣쯾쓉퓚훐맺쫐뎡뗄볛룱쮮욽,룟돶웤쿈잰퓚맺볊쫐뎡짏볛룱뷼튻놶ꆣ떫듓1998쓪뾪쪼,쯦ퟅ훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡뺺헹뗄늻뛏퓶잿,뗂맺듳훚룄뇤쇋첬뛈,폚1999쓪뗗붫웤좫쟲쇷탐뎵탍엁죸쳘틽죫짏몣ꆣ듋뫳,훐맺뷎뎵쫐뎡랦짆뿉돂뗄뻖쏦톸쯙룄뇤,2001쓪뫍2002쓪,뿧맺릫쮾뻞춷훁짙붫11뿮좫쟲쇷탐뗄탂뎵탍짺닺쿟틽뷸훐맺쫐뎡(붭킡,2003)ꆣ(죽)쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼벼쫵뒴탂뗄믺훆횮죽:퓚뎤웚,뛔벼쫵뒴탂킧싊폐뻶뚨탔펰쿬죧잰쯹쫶,뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩ꆢ믹폚닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳틔벰닺튵벯좺뫍뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩횮볤뗄솪뷡쫇Furmanetal(2002)맺볒뒴탂샭싛뗄죽룶ퟩ돉틲쯘ꆣ쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔헢죽룶틲쯘뻹폐뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ11쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔튻맺뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬캪쪲쎴뻸듳뛠쫽폅탣뗄뿆톧볒ꆢ릤돌쪦뫍쪵퇩쫒뷶뻛벯퓚짙쫽벸룶맺볒?튪믘듰헢룶컊쳢,죃컒쏇쿈럖컶튻쿂,튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄튻룶뛌웚퓶뎤뛔룃맺뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뗄펰쿬ꆣ튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳폈웤쫇뛔뒴탂닺욷뗄뛌웚탨쟳퓶볓,쯤좻횻쫇뛌웚쓚퓶볓쇋룃맺뛔탂벼쫵뗄탨쟳맦쒣,떫쫇헢훖뛌웚뗄탂벼쫵탨쟳,뛔뎧짌뗄퇐랢춶죫닺짺쇋듙뷸ퟷ폃,폐훺폚쳡룟튻맺뿆퇐죋풱ꆢ뿆퇐짨놸ꆢ쪵퇩쫒쫽솿뫍횪쪶듦솿뗄믽샛,듓뛸룄짆룃맺뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뫍뫪맛뒴탂뮷뺳ꆣ샽죧,춨맽퇐뺿맨마뒴퓬볛횵뗄퇝뇤,뗀룱ꆤ몺뛙(2002)랢쿖뛾햽ꆢ20쫀볍50쓪듺맺럀횧돶,폈웤쫇뎯쿊햽헹,뛔맨마닺짺쇋잿쇒뗄펰쿬,퓶볓쇋뛔맨마릫쮾뗧ퟓ닺욷뗄탨쟳,듙뷸쇋맨마벼쫵믹뒡짨쪩뫍횧돖탔닺튵뗄붨솢ꆣ헢캪틔뫳맨마쓋훁쏀맺IT닺튵뗄랢햹듲쿂쇋믹뒡ꆣ틲듋,뛌웚뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄퓶볓,뛔뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뿉쓜닺짺뎤웚뗄펰쿬ꆣ떱컞쫽룶뛌웚쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄퓶볓,믽샛돉쿖폐뗄쫐뎡맦쒣듦솿쪱,튻맺쿖폐뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뻍뻶뚨쇋튻맺쿖폐뗄뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩ꆣ21튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔믹폚닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬닺튵벯좺쪽뗄뿕볤룱뻖쫇닺튵뿕볤럖늼뗄튻냣맦쒣,쯼쫇뎧짌ힷ쟳맦쒣킧틦뗄뇘좻뷡맻(Krugman,1991)ꆣPorter(1990)ퟜ뷡뛔쪮룶맺볒뗄퇐뺿뷡맻,폃쯄룶맺볒쳘탔살쏨쫶닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳ꆣ뗚튻쫇튪쯘뮷뺳,훷튪쫇횸튵뮯뗄짺닺튪쯘,죧쏅맢톧뗄뿆퇐믺릹,횧돖죭볾릫쮾뗄럧쿕춶ꆣ뗚뛾쫇탨쟳뮷뺳ꆣPorter(1990)죏캪맺쓚탨쟳맦쒣듳,쓜냯훺뎧짌붨솢뺺헹폅쫆,떫뇈쫐뎡맦쒣룼훘튪뗄쫇맺쓚릺싲헟뗄탔훊,샏솷ꆢ뿁쟳뗄릺싲헟,웈쪹늢듌벤뎧짌늻뛏룄뷸ꆢ뒴탂닺욷ꆣ뗚죽쫇닺튵벯좺쓚쿠맘뫍횧돖닺튵뗄랢햹돌뛈ꆣ뗚쯄쫇웳튵햽싔ꆢ뷡릹뫍뺺헹뗄탔훊,훷튪횸놾맺웳튵뺺헹뗄잿뛈ꆣPorter(1990)죏캪뺺헹웈쪹웳튵뒴탂닺욷,뛸닺튵뻛벯볓듳쇋뺺헹ꆣ좻뛸,짏쫶쯄룶맺볒쳘탔뗄뻶뚨틲쯘쫇쪲쎴쓘?듓쿂쏦럖컶뿉횪,튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔짏쫶쯄룶쳘탔뻹폐뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ쫗쿈,닺튵벯좺쓚쿠맘뫍횧돖닺튵뗄랢햹뫜듳돌뛈짏쫇평쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뻶뚨뗄ꆣ룹뻝쮹쏜뚨싉,쫐뎡맦쒣뗄듳킡뻶뚨짧믡럖릤뗄뺫쾸돌뛈ꆣ닺튵벯좺짺닺맦쒣풽듳,벯좺쓚짧믡럖릤뻍풽쾸,36' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚3웚짺닺폫뒴탂뗄돉놾뻍풽뗍,킧싊뻍풽룟,헢랴맽살폖뷸튻늽컼틽춶,탎돉룼듳뗄짺닺맦쒣,쪹짧믡럖릤룼쟷뺫쾸ꆣ떫닺튵벯좺ퟮ훕뗄짺닺맦쒣돽쇋튻킩뿉쓜뗄뻛벯늻뺭볃틲쯘(죧췁뗘볛룱짏헇)췢,훷튪쫜쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼ꆣ웤듎,튵뮯짺닺튪쯘쫇짧믡럖릤뗄닺컯,짧믡럖릤풽뺫쾸,쿠맘뫍횧돖닺튵풽랢듯,튵뮯짺닺튪쯘뗄훊폫솿뻍풽룟ꆣ떫짧믡럖릤놾짭쫜쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣훆풼ꆣ뗚죽,Porter(1990)쯹캽ꆰ샏솷ꆢ뿁쟳뗄릺싲헟ꆱ쪵볊짏뻍쫇뛔쿖폐닺욷늻싺ꆢ뛔훊솿룼뫃뗄탂닺욷폐뫜잿탨쟳뗄릺싲헟ꆣ횻폐쫕죫쮮욽룟뗄릺싲헟닅뿉쓜돉캪샏솷뿁쟳뗄릺싲헟,뛸쫕죫쮮욽룟뗄릺싲헟뗄쫽솿쫇쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄훘튪뻶뚨틲쯘ꆣퟜ횮,튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뛔튻맺벼쫵뒴탂뗄뫪캢맛뮷뺳폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬,쫐뎡맦쒣풽듳,벼쫵뒴탂킧싊풽룟ꆣ헢튲뷢쫍쇋캪쪲쎴뷼쓪살튻킩훐맺웳튵떽쏀맺뻙냬퇐랢훐탄ꆣ(쯄)킡뷡춬벼쫵뒴탂뗄ꆰ탨쟳삭뚯ꆱ볙쮵뫍ꆰ릩룸췆뚯ꆱ볙쮵늻춬,놾컄죏캪쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄퓶볓,퓚뛌웚쳡룟벼쫵뒴탂뗄풤웚쫕틦,뛔튻맺벼쫵뒴탂폐탨쟳삭뚯킧펦,퓚뎤웚,춨맽펰쿬쫐뎡뷡릹,룄짆뒴탂믹뒡짨쪩뫍믹폚닺튵벯좺뗄캢맛뒴탂뮷뺳,쳡룟벼쫵뒴탂뗄뚯솦뫍킧싊,뛔벼쫵뒴탂폐릩룸췆뚯킧펦ꆣ틲듋,튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏뻶뚨쇋튻맺뗄퇐랢춶죫쮮욽뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣ(컥)폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄뷧뚨폫뫢솿횸뇪퇘ퟅPorter(1990)뗄맺볒뺺헹폅쫆샭싛,퓚놾컄뷧뚨튻맺쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣쪱,쳘뇰맘힢튻맺뛔룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏닺욷폈웤쫇탂닺욷뗄탨쟳맦쒣,틲캪횻폐헢훖탨쟳맦쒣,닅쓜뛔뎧짌닺짺뒴탂뗄톹솦뫍뚯솦,듙뷸튻맺퇐랢쫀뷧쇬쿈벼쫵ꆣ뛸튻맺뛔뗍훊닺욷뗄탨쟳맦쒣늻떫늻쓜듌벤뎧짌뛔쫀뷧쇬쿈벼쫵뗄퇐뺿죈쟩,랴뛸폐뿉쓜듙쪹뎧짌듳솿짺닺볙쎰캱쇓닺욷ꆣ쯹틔,놾컄냑튻맺뛔룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏닺욷뗄탨쟳맦쒣뷧뚨캪룃맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣ꆣ쯹캽ꆰ폐킧ꆱ쫇횸횻폐뛔룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏닺욷뗄탨쟳맦쒣,닅쓜틽랢잰컄쯹쫶뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣듙뷸벼쫵뒴탂뗄죽훖믺훆ꆣ맘폚튻맺뛔룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏닺욷뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣,톧쫵뷧늢컞뷧뚨,떫컒쏇뿉틔퓚폐맘샭싛뗄횸떼쿂,킡탄뗘뷨본톧쫵뷧뛔튻냣틢틥짏뗄쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄폐맘뷧뚨ꆣCarretal(2001)ꆢEgger(2006)뗈톧헟퓚퇐뺿뿧맺릫쮾뗄뺭펪탐캪쪱,폃GDP살뫢솿튻맺뗄쫐뎡맦쒣ꆣAdesandGlaeser(1999)퓚퇐뺿쫐뎡맦쒣ꆢ맦쒣뗝퓶폫뺭볃퓶뎤뗄맘쾵쪱,폃죋뻹GDP살뫢솿튻맺뗄쫐뎡맦쒣ꆣAlesinaetal(2004)퓚ퟜ뷡틑폐뗄맘폚쎳틗ꆢ맺볒맦쒣뫍뺭볃퓶뎤맘쾵뗄퇐뺿돉맻뗄믹뒡짏,횸돶뷶틔GDP살뫢솿튻맺뗄쫐뎡맦쒣쫇늻릻뗄,뷸돶뿚쎳틗뿉틔퇓짬맺쓚쫐뎡ꆣ쯻쏇폃GDP뫍폃뷸돶뿚맦쒣폫GDP뇈횵뇭쪾뗄뾪럅뛈솽룶횸뇪,살뫢솿튻맺뗄쫐뎡맦쒣ꆣ짏쫶맘폚쫐뎡맦쒣뗄룷훖뷧뚨,듓늻춬닠쏦랴펳쇋쫐뎡맦쒣,떫늢늻좫쏦ꆣ맘폚튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄뫢솿횸뇪,GDP쫇컒쏇쫗쿈쓜릻쿫떽뗄,룃횸뇪뷏뫃뗘랴펳쇋튻맺뗄뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫,떫GDP늻쓜랴펳죋뻹쫕죫ꆣ룹뻝닺욷짺쏼훜웚샭싛,튻훖닺욷뗄짺쏼훜웚뿉럖캪죽룶뷗뛎:뒴탂뷗뛎ꆢ돉쫬뷗뛎뫍뇪ힼ뮯뷗뛎,뒦폚뒴탂뷗뛎뗄탂닺욷뗄볛룱췹췹뫜룟,횻폐쫕죫뷏룟뗄릺싲헟닅폐쓜솦릺싲ꆣ틲듋,벴쪹튻맺GDP뷏룟,떫룃맺죋뿚훚뛠,죋쏇웕뇩욶삧,뛔룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏쿻럑욷벰웤쯻탂닺욷늻뻟폐릺싲솦,퓲룃맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣튲뻍듳듲헛뿛ꆣ돽쇋뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫ꆢ죋뻹쫕죫,뷸돶뿚맦쒣틲캪삩햹쇋쓚늿쫐뎡,튻뚨돌뛈짏튲믡쳡짽튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣ꆣ짏쫀볍90쓪듺훐웚틔살,쫕죫닮뻠뛔탨쟳뗄펰쿬틽웰쇋컒맺짧믡룷뷧뗄웕뇩맘힢ꆣ뾭뛷쮹뗄뻸뛔쫕죫볙쮵죏캪쫕죫닮뻠삩듳,믡복짙쿻럑탨쟳ꆣ쒪뗏샯낲쓡뗈죋쳡돶뗄캴뾼싇틅퓹뚯믺뗄뇪ힼ짺쏼훜웚볙쮵,좴죏캪쫕죫닮뻠삩듳늢늻펰쿬쿻럑탨쟳ꆣBlinder(1975)쳡돶뗄맣틥짺쏼훜웚볙쮵,죏캪뾼싇떽틅퓹뚯믺,쫕죫닮뻠퓚튻뚨쳵볾쿂,믡펰쿬쿻럑ꆣMenchikandDavid(1983)뗄쪵횤퇐뺿튲횧돖쫕죫럖엤펰쿬ퟜ쿻럑뗄맛뗣(틽ퟔ풬횾룕ꆢ훬맺쇖,2002)ꆣ듋췢,룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏쿻럑욷뗄볛룱췹췹뫜룟,퓚튻맺ퟜ쫕죫뫍죋뻹쫕죫늻뇤뗄쳵볾쿂,쫕죫닮뻠풽듳,퓲룃맺싲뗃웰룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏37' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦쿻럑욷뗄죋뻍풽짙ꆣ틲듋,욶뢻닮뻠튲믡펰쿬튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣ꆣퟛ짏,놾컄붫튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣폃죽룶믹놾튪쯘ꆢ죽룶늹돤튪쯘살뫢솿ꆣ죽룶믹놾캬뛈믲튪쯘쫇튻룶맺볒믲뗘쟸뗄뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫(뿉폃GDP뇭쪾)ꆢ죋뻹쫕죫(뿉폃죋뻹GDP뇭쪾)뫍쫕죫닮뻠(뿉폃믹쓡쾵쫽뇭쪾)ꆣ웤훐튻맺뗄GDP횸뇪,랴펳쇋웤쫐뎡탨쟳뗄ퟜ솿뫍ퟜ쳥릺싲솦,웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,GDP풽룟,튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣튲풽듳ꆣ죋뻹쫕죫횸뇪,죧죋뻹GDP,랴펳쇋튻맺죋뻹뗄릺싲솦쮮욽,웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,죋뻹쫕죫풽룟,룃맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣튲풽듳ꆣ믹쓡쾵쫽랴펳쇋튻맺쫕죫뗄벯훐돌뛈믲늻욽뗈돌뛈,웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,믹쓡쾵쫽풽룟,퓲룃맺쓜릻싲뗃웰룟훊솿탂ꆢ샏닺욷뗄죋좺풽짙,웤폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뻍풽뗍ꆣ듓춳볆톧뗄틢틥짏뾴,헢죽룶믹놾튪쯘쏨쫶쇋튻맺쫕죫뗄ퟜ솿ꆢ욽뻹횵뫍늻욽뗈돌뛈,뻟폐뛀솢탔ꆣ늹돤튪쯘횮튻쫇튻맺뗄뷸돶뿚맦쒣믲뺭볃뾪럅돌뛈ꆣퟷ캪쓚늿쫐뎡뗄퇓짬,웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,뷸돶뿚맦쒣풽듳,튻맺뗄폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뿉쓜튲풽듳ꆣ튻맺뗄뾪럅돌뛈,쫇튻쿠뛔횵,튻냣폃웤뷸돶뿚맦쒣햼GDP뗄냙럖뇈뇭쪾,퓚튻뚨돌뛈짏,쯼튲랴펳쇋룃맺쓚늿쫐뎡뗄퇓짬ꆣ떫쫇,뻸뛔횵횸뇪뷸돶뿚맦쒣,룼쓜랴펳튻맺쓚늿쫐뎡뗄퇓짬,뛸쿠뛔횵횸뇪,룼쓜랴펳튻맺뗄뺭볃뾪럅돌뛈ꆣ횮쯹틔냑뷸돶뿚맦쒣벰뾪럅돌뛈돆캪늹돤튪쯘,뛸늻쫇믹놾튪쯘,쫇틲캪룹뻝탂쎳틗샭싛,퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏,튻맺뗄뷸돶뿚맦쒣벰뾪럅돌뛈쓜릻놻죽룶믹놾튪쯘쯹뷢쫍ꆣ쇭췢솽룶늹돤캬뛈쫇튻맺뗄돇쫐뮯싊뫍훐뗈뷌폽웕벰싊,훷튪헫뛔랢햹훐맺볒ꆣ웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,튻맺뗄돇쫐뮯싊풽룟,퓲웤쿻럑탨쟳벰폐킧탨쟳맦쒣튲뿉쓜풽룟ꆣ튻맺훐뗈뷌폽웕벰싊풽룟,퓲웤맺쏱뛔탂닺욷뗄죏횪샭뷢쓜솦튲뻍풽룟,틲듋풽폐뿉쓜뷓쫜탂닺욷ꆣ좻뛸,룹뻝랢햹뺭볃톧,돇쫐뮯싊뫍훐뗈뷌폽웕벰싊늻쫇뛀솢뗄튪쯘,쯼쏇폫죽룶믹놾튪쯘쏜쟐쿠맘,늢쟒쯼쏇훷튪헫뛔늿럖맺볒,쯹틔뛔튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣펰쿬뗄훘튪돌뛈튲풶늻벰죽룶믹놾튪쯘,쯹틔튲돆횮캪늹돤튪쯘ꆣ룹뻝짏쫶럖컶,컒쏇뿉틔룸돶튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄쫽톧뇭듯쪽:Dꛁꛋꛈ=X1X2X3ꆭꆭGDP<(1)쪽(1)훐,D뇭쪾튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣,룷X뇭쪾펰쿬튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄돽GDP틔췢뗄웤쯼튪쯘,쪽(1)뇭쪾튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뿉틔뾴ퟷ쫇뛔GDP뗄튻훖탞헽ꆣ튻맺퇐랢춶죫ꆢퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뫍폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄맘쾵,뿉폃쪽(2)뫍쪽(3)뇭쪾,웤훐IEꆢIA럖뇰쫇튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦,ꛐꆢꛄ쫇뮻쾵쫽ꆣIE=ꛐꆤDꛃ(2)IA=ꛄꆤDꛒ(3)쯄ꆢ뛔늻춬맺볒퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뻶뚨틲쯘뗄쪵횤럖컶(튻)퇹놾뗄톡퓱뫍퇐뺿랽램뛔늻춬맺볒퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦쪵횤퇐뺿뗄튻룶훘튪컊쳢,쫇뛔맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뫢솿횸뇪뗄톡퓱ꆣ평폚룷맺샻뗄뇪ힼ늻튻훂,쪹뗃늻춬맺볒뗄샻쫽솿좱랦뿉뇈탔ꆣ쿖폐뗄쪵횤퇐뺿,폃룷맺펵폐뗄쏀맺샻폫짌뇪뻖(쿂컄볲돆USPTO)쫚좨뗄ꆰ맺볊ꆱ샻,ퟷ캪룷맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄뫢솿횸뇪,틲캪헢훖샻퓚벼쫵뒴탂랽쏦뛔룷맺뻟폐튻훂탔,뛸쟒짪쟫헢퇹뗄ꆰ맺볊ꆱ샻돉놾튲뷏룟,횻폐뺭볃잰뺰뷏뫃ꆢ뒦폚쫀뷧벼쫵잰퇘뗄뒴탂닅믡놻폃살짪쟫샻(Furmanetal,2002)ꆣUSPTO쫚좨뗄샻럖캪랢쏷샻ꆢ췢맛짨볆샻뗈,놾컄닉폃룷맺펵폐뗄USPTO쫚좨뗄랢쏷샻,ퟷ캪뫢솿맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄횸뇪,뇊헟죏캪,랢쏷샻룼쓜랴펳튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣ늻춬맺볒펵폐뗄쏀맺USPTO샻쫽솿쿠닮럇뎣듳,쇭폐탭뛠맺볒펵폐뗄USPTO샻쫽솿뎤웚캪쇣ꆣꆶ좫쟲뺺헹솦놨룦ꆷ냑쎿쓪믱뗃USPTO샻쫽솿뎬맽15뗄뫍뗍폚15뗄맺볒,럖돉쇋솽룶샠뇰,놾컄닉폃쇋샠쯆뗄랽램,벴틔2001ꆢ2002ꆢ2003죽쓪믱뗃뗄USPTO랢쏷샻횮뫍캪뇪ힼ,냑뎬맽38' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚3웚20뗄맺볒ퟷ캪놾퇐뺿뗄좫늿퇹놾,릲48룶맺볒믲뗘쟸ꆣ틔죽쓪믱뗃뗄USPTO랢쏷샻횮뫍캪뇪ힼ,뇜쏢쇋튻맺뿉쓜듦퓚뗄벼쫵뒴탂랽쏦뗄늨뚯탔,뛸틔20룶랢쏷샻캪쿞,업돽쇋쓇킩믱뗃USPTO샻풸췻늻잿뗄맺볒틔벰탭뛠쎻폐믱뗃튻쿮USPTO랢쏷샻뗄맺볒ꆣ듓탨쟳쏦뛔늻춬퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦쪵횤퇐뺿뗄튻룶삧쓑쫇,룷맺뗄쫽뻝폈웤쫇랴펳쫕죫닮뻠뗄믹쓡쾵쫽뫜좱랦,헢쪹뗃샻폃쏦냥쫽뻝뷸탐쪵횤퇐뺿럇뎣삧쓑ꆣ놾컄닉좡뗄냬램쫇샻폃뫡뷘쏦쫽뻝,떫춨맽컈붡탔볬퇩살뇜쏢뫡뷘쏦쫽뻝뛔럖컶뷡맻뿉뾿탔닺짺늻솼펰쿬뗄뿉쓜ꆣ뻟쳥랽램쫇냑퇹놾훐뗄튻킩뻟폐쒳훖쳘헷뗄맺볒좥뗴,틔룼킡뗄퇹놾,살볬퇩폃좫늿퇹놾쯹뗃럖컶뷡맻뗄뿉뾿탔,틔럀횹튻킩늻뿉맛닢뗄맺볒만뚨쫴탔,뛔럖컶뷡맻뗄뿉쓜얤쟺ꆣ춬솬탸뗄쪱볤탲쇐쫽뻝쿠뇈,폃뫡뷘쏦쫽뻝뿉틔ퟛ뫏랴펳폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄뛌웚뫍뎤웚펰쿬ꆣ(뛾)뛔늻춬맺볒퇐랢춶죫뻶뚨틲쯘뗄쪵횤퇐뺿11뇤솿뗄쏨쫶ꆢ볆솿랽돌폫쫽뻝살풴룷맺뗄퇐랢춶죫내뷰살풴뿉럖캪웳튵춶죫ꆢ헾뢮춶죫ꆢ룟킣춶죫ꆢ쮽펪럇펯샻믺릹춶죫뫍몣췢믺릹춶죫,놾컄럖뇰뛔튻맺퇐랢ퟜ춶죫ꆢ웳튵퇐랢춶죫뫍헾뢮퇐랢춶죫뗄뻶뚨틲쯘,뷸탐쇋쪵횤럖컶ꆣ놾뷚쪵횤럖컶쒣탍쯹폃놻뷢쫍뇤솿럖뇰캪룷맺퇐랢ퟜ춶죫ꆢ웳튵퇐랢춶죫뫍헾뢮퇐랢춶죫뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,럖뇰폃LterdꆢLberdꆢLgerd뇭쪾ꆣ뷢쫍뇤솿냼삨룷맺GDP뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,폃Lgdp뇭쪾;죋뻹GDP뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,폃Lpgdp뇭쪾;틔냙럖쫽볆솿뗄믹쓡쾵쫽,폃Gini뇭쪾;뷸돶뿚맦쒣뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,폃Limex뇭쪾;폃뷸돶뿚맦쒣햼GDP뗄냙럖쫽뚨틥뗄뾪럅뛈,폃imexr뇭쪾;폃돇쫐죋뿚햼ퟜ죋뿚냙럖쫽뚨틥뗄돇쫐뮯싊,폃Urb뇭쪾;폃퓚킣룟훐짺햼쫊쇤죋뿚냙럖쫽뚨틥뗄룟훐죫톧싊,폃Enrol뇭쪾ꆣLimex뫍imexr쫇쳦듺뇤솿,폃살뾼달럖컶뷡맻뛔뇤솿톡퓱뗄컈붡탔ꆣ룹뻝폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵,Lgdp뫍Lpgdp뛔룷맺퇐랢춶죫폐헽펰쿬,Gini뛔룷맺퇐랢춶죫폐뢺펰쿬ꆣ훁폚웤쯻뇤솿,ퟷ캪탨쟳맦쒣뗄늹돤캬뛈믲늹돤튪쯘,쯼쏇뛔룷맺퇐랢춶죫튲펦폐헽펰쿬,떫헢킩펰쿬쫇럱훘튪믲쿔훸,폐듽쪵횤뾼달ꆣ쪽(4)쫇놾킡뷚닉폃뗄맘폚Lterd뗄믹놾볆솿랽돌,웤훐ꛁ0쫇뎣쫽쿮,ꛌ쫇룉죅쿮,X쫇룷뷢쫍뇤솿뗄쿲솿,us쫇탩쓢뇤솿,뛔폚쏀맺쯼뗈폚1,헢튻뇤솿폐훺폚뾼달헢룶캨튻뗄벼쫵뎬벶듳맺퓚퇐랢춶죫짏,쫇럱폐쿔훸뗄쳘쫢탔ꆣ놾킡뷚닉폃뗄웤쯻볆솿랽돌폫쪽(4)뷶폐뇤솿뗄쳦뮻ꆣLterd=ꛁ0+ꛂX+ꛁ1us+ꛌ(4)ꆡꆡ룷맺퇐랢춶죫쫽뻝,살ퟔ쫀뷧틸탐췸햾,웤쯻쫽뻝살ퟔ폚쫀뷧틸탐2002쓪떽2006쓪뗄ꆶ쫀뷧랢햹횸뇪ꆷ,솪뫏맺뷌뿆컄ퟩ횯췸햾틔벰컒맺춳볆뻖뗄2005쓪ꆶ맺볊춳볆쓪본ꆷꆣ뛔폚쓇킩좱랦2000쓪GINI쾵쫽뗄맺볒믲뗘쟸,놾컄쫗쿈뾼싇닉폃쓚닥램폨틔쏖늹,뛔폚늻쓜닉폃쓚닥램뷸탐쏖늹뗄퇹놾,놾컄닉폃ퟮ뷼쓪럝뗄GINI쾵쫽폨틔쳦듺ꆣ헢퇹ퟶ뗄뫏샭탔퓚폚,GINI쾵쫽뻍룷룶맺뇰ퟔ짭뛸퇔,퓚쪱볤짏쫇쿠뛔컈뚨뗄(Li,Squire뫍Zou,1998)ꆣ21쪵횤럖컶뷡맻뇭1훐쒣탍1ꆢ2ꆢ3쫇뛔룷맺퇐랢ퟜ춶죫뗄럖컶뷡맻,쒣탍4ꆢ5ꆢ6쫇뛔룷맺웳튵퇐랢춶죫뗄럖컶뷡맻,쒣탍7ꆢ8ꆢ9쫇뛔룷맺헾뢮퇐랢춶죫뗄럖컶뷡맻ꆣ뛔룷맺퇐랢ퟜ춶죫뫍웳튵퇐랢춶죫뛸퇔,뫢솿튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄죽룶믹놾캬뛈LgdpꆢLpgdp뫍Gini,웤쾵쫽뗄럻뫅뫍쿔훸탔,뻹횧돖폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵,쟒헢죽룶믹놾캬뛈뿉럖뇰뷢쫍룷맺퇐랢ퟜ춶죫뫍웳튵퇐랢춶죫닮틬뗄9111%뫍8619%ꆣ뛔폚룷맺헾뢮춶죫뛸퇔,폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄솽룶믹놾캬뛈Lgdp뫍Gini쾵쫽뗄럻뫅뫍쿔훸탔,횧돖폐킧탨쟳볙쮵ꆣ쇭튻믹놾캬뛈Lpgdp뗄럻뫅폫폐킧탨쟳볙쮵튻훂,떫늻쿔훸,뻍쒣탍9뛸퇔,Lpgdp뗄t볬퇩P횵캪01173ꆣ쟒죽룶믹놾캬뛈뿉틔뷢쫍룷맺헾뢮춶죫닮틬뗄8218%ꆣ헢쮵쏷벴쪹헾뢮퇐랢춶죫,튲퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏쫜쫐뎡탨쟳맦쒣뗄펰쿬ꆣ39' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뛔뇭1쯹폐쒣탍뛸퇔,폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄죽룶늹돤캬뛈Limex믲imexrꆢUrbꆢEnrol,웤쾵쫽뗄쿔훸탔쮮욽뚼뫜뗍,떱냑쯼쏇뫍늻쿔훸뗄듺뇭쏀맺뗄탩쓢뇤솿듓쒣탍훐좥뗴뫳,믘맩쒣탍뗷헻R2폐쯹짽룟,듋쪱죽룶믹놾튪쯘뗄쾵쫽횵ꆢ럻뫅뫍쿔훸탔뇤뮯뫜킡ꆣ헢쮵쏷떱뿘훆쇋죽룶믹놾튪쯘뫳,죽룶늹돤튪쯘뫍쏀맺탩쓢뇤솿뛔룷맺퇐랢춶죫쎻폐뷢쫍솦,뿉듓쒣탍훐좥뗴ꆣ뇭1뛔늻춬맺볒퇐랢춶죫뗄뻶뚨틲쯘뗄OLS럖컶(쒣탍1ꆪ9)벰컈붡탔볬퇩럖컶뷡맻(쒣탍10ꆪ13)LterdLberdLgerdLterdLberd쒣탍1쒣탍2쒣탍3쒣탍4쒣탍5쒣탍6쒣탍7쒣탍8쒣탍9쒣탍10쒣탍11쒣탍12쒣탍1311107333111103331112033311124333110113331113833311107333110603331109433311113333111063331111733311108333Lgdp(01075)(01142)(01050)(01099)(01187)(01080)(01103)(01195)(01088)(01112)(01118)(01138)(01148)0121430121330128633301311330130133013733330106201079011540127633012683301310330131633Lpgdp(01112)(01111)(01088)(01147)(01146)(01099)(01153)(01153)(01114)(01123)(01123)(01152)(01154)33-010343-01034333333-01035333-01043-01041333-010453333-01038333-01038333-010393-0103333-01047333-010373-0105333Gini(0101)(0101)(01010)(01014)(01014)(01012)(01014)(01014)(01015)(01012)(01017)(01015)(01022)-0100201136Limex01031(01233)(01170)(01223)-7169ꇁ10-501001imexr01001(01002)(01002)(01002)010030100301000010000100201003Urb(01006)(01006)(01008)(01008)(01009)(01009)010040100401005010050100501004Enrol(01004)(01004)(01006)(01006)(01006)(01006)013320133301001016730134301338us(01627)(01629)(01002)(01827)(01858)(01864)뗷헻R201905019050191101860018610186901816018140182801795017990172201720DW춳볆솿11675116781167211981119581196021080210922107811545114081159611561BP볬퇩P=01264P=01278P=01031P=01461P=01446P=01135P=01160P=01165P=01026P=01650P=01570P=01495P7=01643퇹놾쫽48484848484848484829252925ꆡꆡ힢:ꋙ쯹폐쒣탍뺭맽BP볬퇩,돽쒣탍3뫍쒣탍9췢,웤쯼쒣탍뻹늻뻜뻸컞틬랽닮볙짨ꆣ뇭훐쒣탍3뫍쒣탍9놨룦뗄쫇뺭White틬랽닮탞헽뗄맀볆뷡맻ꆣꋚ쯹폐쒣탍뺭맽DW볬퇩뫍폎돌볬퇩,뻹늻뻜뻸컞ퟔ쿠맘ꆣꋛ삨뫅훐뗄쫽횵쫇뇪ힼ컳ꆣꋜ3ꆢ33ꆢ333ꆢ럖뇰뇭쪾퓚10%ꆢ5%ꆢ1%뗄쮮욽짏쿔훸ꆣꋝ뛔헾뢮춶죫뗄컈붡탔볬퇩뷡맻춬쒣탍9믹놾튻훂,평폚욪럹풭틲,뇭1캴놨룦;퓚컈붡탔볬퇩훐볓죫죽룶늹돤튪쯘,럖컶뷡맻춬쒣탍1ꆪ9믹놾튻훂,뛔듋뇭1튲캴놨룦,폐탨튪쿪쾸뷡맻헟,뿉폫뇊헟솪쾵ꆣ듓뇭1쒣탍1ꆪ9,뮹뿉틔뗃떽튻룶뷡싛,쓇뻍쫇쫕죫닮뻠뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫폐ퟅ훘튪뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ틔쒣탍6캪샽,튻맺GDP퓶뎤1%,웳튵퇐랢춶죫퓶뎤1114%;튻맺죋뻹GDP퓶뎤1%,웳튵퇐랢춶죫퓶뎤0137%;뛸튻맺믹쓡쾵쫽퓶뎤1룶냙럖뗣,웳튵퇐랢춶죫복짙415%ꆣ31컈붡탔볬퇩캪쇋럀횹쒳킩늻뿉맛닢뗄맺볒쫴탔,폈웤쫇튻킩랢듯맺볒뗄맺볒쫴탔죧쏱ퟥ컄뮯ꆢ맺쏱뗄쯘훊ꆢퟚ뷌탅퇶ꆢ헾훎뺭볃쳥훆뗈틲쯘,뛔뇭1훐럖컶뷡맻뗄뿉쓜펰쿬,뛸쟒튲평폚컒쏇뛔랢햹훐맺볒뗄ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦룼룐탋좤,ퟷ캪컈붡탔볬퇩뗄듫쪩,놾컄쫗쿈냑좫늿퇹놾훐죋뻹GDP뎬맽2췲쏀풪뗄맺볒좥뗴,헢퇹컒쏇폐쇋튻룶평29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄뷏킡퇹놾,쯼쏇훷튪쫇랢햹훐맺볒ꆣ폃헢29룶맺볒뗄쫽뻝뷸탐OLS럖컶,럖컶뷡맻볻뇭1뗄쒣탍10ꆢ12ꆣ퓚29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄퇹놾샯,폐4룶맺볒뗄GINI쾵쫽뎬맽쇋55,캪쇋뇜쏢GINI쾵쫽맽룟맺볒뛔럖컶뷡맻뗄잱퓚얤쟺,뇭1훐쒣탍11ꆢ13쫇붫GINI쾵쫽뎬맽55뗄맺볒듓29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄퇹놾샯좥뗴뫳뗄OLS럖컶뷡맻ꆣ컈붡탔볬퇩뗄뷡맻폫쒣탍1ꆪ9뗄뷡맻믹놾튻훂(쾵쫽횵뗄닮틬퓚춳볆짏늻쿔훸),쮵쏷짏쫶맘폚룷맺퇐랢춶죫뻶40' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚3웚뚨틲쯘뗄럖컶뷡맻쫇컈붡뗄ꆣ(죽)뛔늻춬맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵횤퇐뺿11뇤솿뗄쏨쫶폫쫽뻝살풴퓚듓쫐뎡탨쟳뗄뷇뛈,쏷좷쇋룷맺퇐랢춶죫뗄뻶뚨틲쯘뫳,컒쏇뫜쿫뷸튻늽쏷좷짏쫶틲쯘뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄펰쿬ꆣ놾킡뷚닉폃춬퇹뗄퇹놾뫍럖컶뿲볜,뛔맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뷸탐쇋쪵횤럖컶ꆣ뾼싇떽샻짪쟫뫍샻랢쏷횮볤뗄쪱훍,놾킡뷚쪵횤퇐뺿뗄놻뷢쫍뇤솿쫇룷맺2001ꆢ2002ꆢ2003죽쓪믱뗃뗄USPTO랢쏷샻횮뫍뗄ퟔ좻뛔쫽,폃Lpatent뇭쪾,뷢쫍뇤솿춬짏킡뷚뚨틥,냼삨LgdpꆢLpgdpꆢGiniꆢLimexꆢimexrꆢUrbꆢEnrolꆢus,뻹닉폃2000쓪뗄뫡뷘쏦쫽뻝ꆣ룷맺펵폐뗄USPTO랢쏷샻쫽뻝,살ퟔ쏀맺샻폫짌뇪뻖췸햾,웤쯻쫽뻝살풴춬짏킡뷚ꆣ쪽(5)쫇놾킡뷚닉폃뗄맘폚Lpatent뗄믹놾볆솿랽돌,웤훐ꛁ0쫇뎣쫽쿮,ꛌ쫇룉죅쿮,X쫇룷뷢쫍뇤솿뗄쿲솿,뛔폚쏀맺,탩쓢뇤솿us뗈폚1,헢튻뇤솿폐훺폚뿘훆쏀맺퓚짪쟫USPTO샻짏뗄뿉쓜뗄뇣샻탔ꆣ놾킡뷚닉폃뗄웤쯻볆솿랽돌폫쪽(5)뷶폐뇤솿뗄쳦뮻ꆣLpatent=ꛁ0+ꛂX+ꛁ1us+ꛌ(5)ꆡꆡ21쪵횤럖컶뷡맻뇭2훐쒣탍1ꆢ2ꆢ3쫇듓쫐뎡탨쟳뗄뷇뛈,뛔늻춬맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄OLS럖컶뷡맻,뇭2쒣탍4ꆢ5ꆢ6쫇샻폃룼킡뗄퇹놾,뛔럖컶뷡맻뗄컈붡탔볬퇩ꆣ듓뇭2쒣탍1ꆢ2ꆢ3뿉횪,폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄죽룶믹놾튪쯘LgdpꆢLpgdpꆢGini,웤쾵쫽뗄럻뫅뫍쿔훸탔뻹횧돖폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆣ늹돤튪쯘횮튻뷸돶뿚맦쒣믲뾪럅뛈(Limex믲imexr),웤럻뫅폫쿔훸탔튲횧돖폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵,떫뾼싇떽잰컄퇐뺿랢쿖,Limex믲imexr뛔룷맺퇐랢춶죫늢쎻폐펰쿬,컒쏇뿉틔뗃돶뷡싛,Limex믲imexr뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄듙뷸킧펦,늢늻쫇춨맽듙쪹룷맺쳡룟퇐랢춶죫살쪵쿖뗄,뛸쫇춨맽뛔췢뾪럅뗄벼쫵틧돶킧펦,쳡룟퇐랢춶죫뗄쪹폃킧싊뫍뒴탂믮뚯킧싊살쪵쿖뗄ꆣ탭뛠퇐뺿랢쿖,춨맽틽뷸벼쫵뒴탂쯹탨뗄훐볤춶죫욷ꆢ춨맽FDI틽뷸쿈뷸뗄벼쫵짨놸뫍엠통죋솦풴ꆢ춨맽짌욷뫍벼쫵쎳틗,믱뗃뒦폚쫀뷧벼쫵잰퇘뗄탂벼쫵탂닺욷탅쾢,뛔췢뾪럅뛔튻맺뗄벼쫵뒴탂믮뚯폐훘튪뗄틧돶킧펦(Aitken,Harrison,1999;Cheung,Lin,2003)ꆣ놾컄퇐뺿뷸튻늽랢햹뫍횤쪵쇋헢튻맛뗣,벴뛔췢뾪럅뗄벼쫵틧돶킧펦,쫇춨맽쳡룟튻맺퇐랢춶죫킧싊,살듙뷸튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄ꆣ죽룶믹놾캬뛈뫍뛔췢뾪럅캬뛈뷢쫍쇋룷맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄8216%뗄뇤틬ꆣ쇭췢솽룶늹돤캬뛈뇤솿Urb뫍Enrol,웤쾵쫽뗄럻뫅횧돖폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵,떫늻쿔훸ꆣ떱냑UrbꆢEnrol뫍us듓쒣탍훐좥뗴,뗷헻R2랴뛸짏짽,웤쯻뇤솿뗄럻뫅ꆢ쾵쫽횵ꆢ쿔훸탔뇤뮯늻듳(뷶폫횮폐릲쿟탔뗄Lpgdp뗄쾵쫽쏷쿔퓶듳,떫퓚춳볆짏늻쿔훸),쮵쏷UrbꆢEnrol뫍us쎻폐퓶볓쒣탍뗄뷢쫍솦,뿉듓쒣탍훐좥뗴ꆣ폫룷맺퇐랢춶죫뗄럖컶뷡맻쿠튻훂,놾킡뷚튲랢쿖쫕죫닮뻠뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦폐ퟅ쪮럖훘튪뗄펰쿬ꆣ뻍뇊헟욫뫃뗄쒣탍2뛸퇔,튻맺GDP쎿퓶뎤1%,웤ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦퓶뎤01712%;튻맺죋뻹GDP퓶뎤1%,웤ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦퓶뎤0141%;튻맺뷸돶뿚맦쒣퓶뎤1%,웤ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦퓶뎤01641%;뛸튻맺GINI쾵쫽퓶볓튻룶냙럖뗣,웤ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦복짙419%ꆣ훐맺2000쓪GINI쾵쫽쫇4417,뇈죕놾뗄GINI쾵쫽룟1918,웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,뷶평폚쫕죫닮뻠뗄풭틲,훐맺뗄ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뻍뇈죕놾뗄뗍97%ꆣ훐맺1990쓪뗄GINI쾵쫽쫇3416,퓲웤쯻쳵볾늻뇤,평폚쫕죫닮뻠짏짽,훂쪹컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦퓚2000쓪쿂붵쇋4915%ꆣ31컈붡탔볬퇩춬퇐랢춶죫늿럖뗄컈붡탔볬퇩튻퇹,놾킡뷚쫗쿈냑좫늿퇹놾훐죋뻹GDP뎬맽2췲쏀풪뗄맺볒좥뗴,헢퇹컒쏇폐쇋튻룶평29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄뷏킡퇹놾,뛔헢29룶맺볒뗄쫽뻝뷸탐OLS럖컶,럖컶뷡맻볻뇭2뗄쒣탍4뫍쒣탍5ꆣ듓훐뿉횪,뛔폚29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄뷏킡퇹놾,폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵뗄죽룶믹놾튪쯘LgdpꆢLpgdp뫍Gini,웤쾵쫽뗄럻뫅폫쿔훸탔뻹폫폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵쿠튻훂,쟒죽룶뇤41' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦솿ꆡ뗄ꆡ쾵ꆡ쫽듳킡춬뇭2쒣탍ꆡ뇭2뛔늻춬맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄OLS럖컶(쒣탍1ꆪ3)1ꆢ2ꆢ3뗄뷡맻럇뎣뷓뷼ꆣ벰컈붡탔볬퇩뷡맻(쒣탍4ꆪ6)틲뇤솿:Lpatent늻춬뗄쫇늹돤튪쯘imexr,뇤솿쒣탍1쒣탍2쒣탍3쒣탍4쒣탍5쒣탍6쯤좻웤쾵쫽뗄럻뫅춬쒣탍3331133333289017121133333319113332931111811333371뫍쒣탍3쿠튻훂,떫늻Lgdp쿔훸(01135)(01251)(01124)(01233)(01158)(01253),P횵캪01164ꆣ폐솽룶횤뻝뇭쏷3333330134180141001351901334570133481013487,퓬돉imexrLpgdp늻쿔훸뗄풭틲쫇릲쿟탔ꆣ(01200)(01197)(01142)(01228)(01232)(01235)횤뻝1쫇,폃imexrퟷ놻33-01333333056-01049-0133054-010438-0133333052-010558뷢쫍뇤솿뛔GiniLgdpꆢLpgdp(01018)(01018)(01016)(01024)(01024)(01018)뫍Gini뷸탐OLS믘맩럖333컶01641-01330689Limex,믘맩랽돌뗄ퟜ쳥쿔훸(01300)(01033)탔캪01048,웤훐Lgdp뗄쿔훸탔캪01027,뗷헻뗄013-30050130058170ꇁ101103ꇁ-210imexr(01003)(01003)(01006)(01006)R2캪01179ꆣ릲쿟탔뗄뗚뛾룶횤뻝쫇,붫imexr듓0100501007쒣탍Urb4훐좥뗴뗃떽쒣탍(01011)(01011)5,쒣탍5뗷헻뗄R2쏷쿔0100301002뗍폚쒣탍4Enrol,쒣탍5훐(01008)(01008)Lgdp뗄쾵쫽쏷쿔붵뗍,쮵쏷0189411030imexr뛔쒣탍뻟폐쿔훸us뷢쫍솦ꆣ헢솽룶횤뻝뇭쏷(11124)(11113)쇋뗷헻뗄R2018180182201826015690155101576imexr폫웤쯻뇤솿듦퓚릲쿟탔,헢훖릲쿟탔퓚평퇹놾쫽48484829292548룶맺볒믲뗘쟸ퟩ돉뗄ꆡꆡ힢:ꋙ쯹폐쒣탍뻹춨맽틬랽닮뗄Breusch2Pagan볬퇩,틔벰ퟔ쿠맘뗄DW볬퇩뫍폎돌볬퇩,늻뷏듳퇹놾샯,짐캴퓬돉쿔뻜뻸컞틬랽닮뫍ퟔ쿠맘뗄볙짨ꆣꋚ삨뫅훐뗄쫽횵쫇뇪ힼ컳3,ꆢ33ꆢ333ꆢ럖뇰뇭쪾퓚10%ꆢ5%ꆢ훸펰쿬1%뗄쮮욽짏쿔훸ꆣꋛ냑us듓쒣탍1뫍2훐좥뗴,럖컶뷡맻폫뇭2,떫퓚29룶맺볒ퟩ훐뷡맻튻훂ꆣ돉뗄뷏킡퇹놾샯,뻍퓬돉ꆡ뇭3늻춬쫕죫닮뻠쳵볾쿂뛔컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쓪퓶뎤싊쇋퇏훘뗄펰쿬ꆣGini291734173917441749175417캪쇋뇜쏢GINI쾵쫽ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦맽룟맺볒뛔럖컶뷡맻뗄잱퓶뎤싊8914%6419%4014%1519%-816%-3311%퓚얤쟺,뇭2쒣탍6쫇붫GINI쾵쫽뎬맽55뗄맺볒듓29룶맺볒ퟩ돉뗄퇹놾샯좥뗴뫳뗄OLS럖컶뷡맻ꆣ듓훐뿉횪,쒣탍6춬쒣탍4뗄럖컶뷡맻믹놾튻훂ꆣ춬퇹뗄횤뻝뇭쏷,쒣탍6훐뗄뗍쿔훸탔쮮욽(P횵캪01127)쫇릲쿟탔퓬돉뗄,헢샯늻퓙ힸ쫶ꆣ뾼싇떽쿔훸탔늢늻첫뗍틔벰릲쿟탔뗄펰쿬(P횵캪01127믲01164),뿉틔죏캪평48룶맺볒믲뗘쟸뗄듳퇹놾뗃돶뗄맘폚imexr뗄뷡싛쫇컈붡뗄ꆣퟜ횮,컈붡탔볬퇩뇭쏷,뛔늻춬맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵횤럖컶뷡맻쫇뿉뾿뗄ꆣꋙ41늻춬쫕죫닮뻠쳵볾쿂뛔컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄풤닢ꋙ폃Limex듺쳦imexr뗃떽쿠쯆뗄뷡싛ꆣ퓚컈붡탔볬퇩훐,볓죫UrbꆢEnrol,럖컶뷡맻폫뇭2쒣탍4ꆢ5ꆢ6믹놾튻훂ꆣ뛔듋,뇭2쎻폐놨룦,탨튪뷡맻헟쟫폫뇊헟솪쾵ꆣ42' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
2007쓪뗚3웚컒맺2000쓪GDP퓶뎤싊쫇719%,죋뻹GDP퓶뎤싊쫇712%,뷸돶뿚맦쒣퓶뎤싊쫇1114%,믹쓡쾵쫽쫇4417ꆣ뇭3쫇볙짨GDPꆢ죋뻹GDP뫍뷸돶뿚맦쒣퓶뎤싊내2000쓪쫽뻝만뚨늻뇤,룹뻝뇭2쒣탍2볆쯣뗄늻춬믹쓡쾵쫽쳵볾쿂컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쓪퓶뎤싊ꆣ듓뇭2뿉횪,쫕죫닮뻠뛔컒맺뗄ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쳡짽폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬ꆣ죧맻컒맺믹쓡쾵쫽쿂붵15룶냙럖뗣떽2917,컒맺뗄ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쓪퓶뎤싊캪8914%,쿠랴,죧맻컒맺믹쓡쾵쫽짏짽10룶냙럖뗣떽5417,컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쓪퓶뎤싊캪뢺뗄3311%ꆣ컥ꆢ뷡쫸폯튻맺폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뿉폃죽룶믹놾캬뛈뫍죽룶늹돤캬뛈살쏨쫶ꆣ죽룶믹놾캬뛈튲뿉돆캪죽룶믹놾튪쯘,럖뇰쫇뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫ꆢ죋뻹쫕죫뫍쫕죫닮뻠;죽룶늹돤캬뛈튲뿉돆캪늹돤튪쯘,쫇뺭볃쳥뗄뷸돶뿚맦쒣믲뾪럅뛈ꆢ돇쫐뮯싊ꆢ훐뗈뷌폽웕벰싊ꆣ폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄죽룶믹놾튪쯘,뛔튻맺뗄퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦폐ퟅ뻶뚨탔펰쿬,웤훐뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫ꆢ죋뻹쫕죫,믡듙뷸튻맺뗄퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦,뛸쫕죫닮뻠뗄삩듳,믡붵뗍튻맺퇐랢춶죫,쯰몦튻맺뗄ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣ폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뗄죽룶늹돤튪쯘늢늻뛀솢폚죽룶믹놾튪쯘,룹뻝탂쎳틗샭싛뫍랢햹뺭볃톧샭싛,퓚뫜듳돌뛈짏죽룶늹돤튪쯘뿉틔놻죽룶믹놾튪쯘쯹뷢쫍,틲듋죽룶늹돤튪쯘뛔퇐랢춶죫뫍뒴탂쓜솦뗄듙뷸ퟷ폃,뿉쓜늢늻쿔훸,헢폐듽쪵횤뾼달ꆣ놾컄쪵횤퇐뺿횧돖짏쫶폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵,쪵횤퇐뺿랢쿖죽룶믹놾튪쯘훐뺭볃ퟜ쫕죫뫍죋뻹쫕죫쳡룟,듙뷸튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦,뛸쫕죫닮뻠삩듳붵뗍튻맺퇐랢춶죫맦쒣,쯰몦ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣퟷ캪늹돤튪쯘,뷸돶뿚맦쒣믲뾪럅뛈,뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫늢쎻폐펰쿬,떫쯼뿉틔쳡짽튻맺퇐랢춶죫뗄쪹폃킧싊뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦ꆣ웤쯻솽룶늹돤튪쯘돇쫐뮯싊뫍훐뗈뷌폽웕벰싊뛔튻맺퇐랢춶죫뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦,쎻폐춳볆짏쿔훸뗄펰쿬ꆣ듋췢,쪵횤퇐뺿뮹랢쿖쫕죫닮뻠뛔튻맺뗄퇐랢춶죫맦쒣뫍ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦폐ퟅ쪮럖훘튪뗄뻶뚨탔펰쿬,퓚튻뚨쳵볾쿂,쫕죫닮뻠삩듳뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쯰몦,뎬맽쇋웤쯻튪쯘뗄뿉쓜펰쿬ꆣ헢튻랢쿖늻뷶뛔컒맺헽퓚뷸탐뗄쳡룟컒맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뗄쪵볹얬솦폐뷏잿뗄헾닟몬틥,뛸쟒퓚랢햹뺭볃톧샭싛짏,튲횵뗃컒쏇듓헢튻탂뗄쫓뷇,짮쮼캪쪲쎴튻킩퓸뺭랢햹탎쫆솼뫃뗄맺볒,튻떩쫕죫닮뻠뎬맽쇋튻뚨쿞뛈,웤뺭볃뻍쿝죫쇋튻늻헱뗄삧뺳ꆣ듋췢,ퟷ캪쫗듎듓탨쟳맦쒣뗄쫓뷇뛔튻맺ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦뷸탐뗄퇐뺿,놾컄퓚폐킧탨쟳맦쒣뫢솿횸뇪뗄톡퓱짏,뺡맜폐닺욷짺쏼훜웚샭싛ꆢ폐맘쫕죫닮뻠폫쿻럑탨쟳맘쾵샭싛틔벰춳볆톧뗄횧돖,떫죔탨뒴붨룼폐헫뛔탔뗄샭싛,틔뇣폐뿉쓜톡퓱튻킩탂뗄뫢솿횸뇪,늢ퟶ돶탂뗄랢쿖ꆣ헢뿉쓜쫇캴살뗄튻룶폐틢틥뗄퇐뺿랽쿲ꆣ닎뾼컄쿗늨쳘,1990ꆶ:맺볒뺺헹폅쫆ꆷ,퓘폚냍쳘샻쳘ꆢ룪킪뛻훷뇠ꆶ:뿧맺맜샭ꆷ,헔쫯쏷훷틫,뚫놱닆뺭듳톧돶냦짧,P186-215ꆣ뗀룱ꆤ몺뛙,2002ꆶ:맨마퇝뇤뷡릹룅쎲ꆷ,퓘폚샮훓컄,췾솮ꆤ쏗샕뗈뇠ꆶ:맨마폅쫆ꆷ,죋쏱돶냦짧,P51ꆪ65ꆣ붭킡,2003ꆶ:좫쟲닺튵럖릤폫훐맺샻폃췢뗄탂쟷쫆벰웤뛔훐맺훐뎤웚랢햹뗄펰쿬ꆷ,퓘폚붭킡ꆢ퇮쪥쏷ꆢ럫샗훷뇠ꆶ훐맺뛔췢뺭쎳샭싛잰퇘ꆷ,짧믡뿆톧컄쿗돶냦짧,뗚22ꆪ55튳ꆣ욽뗒뿋ꆢ슳뇶럑뛻뗂,1997ꆶ:캢맛뺭볃톧ꆷ,헅뻼뗈틫,훐맺죋쏱듳톧돶냦짧,뗚389튳ꆣ쾣뛻ꆢ쟭쮹,2000ꆶ:햽싔맜샭ꆷ,쯯훒틫,훐맺쫐뎡돶냦짧,뗚35ꆢ235튳ꆣ풬횾룕ꆢ훬맺쇖,2002ꆶ:쿻럑샭싛훐뗄쫕죫럖엤폫ퟜ쿻럑ꆷꆶ,훐맺짧믡뿆톧ꆷ뗚2웚ꆣAdesAlbertoandEdwardGlaeser,1999,ꆰEvidenceonGrowth,IncreasingReturnsandtheExtentoftheMarketꆱ,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,,,ꆪ,,A.,1999,ꆰDoDomesticFirmsBenefitfromDirectForeignInvestment?EvidencefromVenezulaꆱ,AmericanEconomicReview,89,ꆪ' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
랶뫬훒:폐킧탨쟳맦쒣볙쮵ꆢ퇐랢춶죫폫맺볒ퟔ훷뒴탂쓜솦Alesina,AlbertoEnricoSpolaore,RomainWacziarg,2004,ꆰTrade,GrowthandtheSizeofCountriesꆱ,InPhilippeAghionandStevenDurlauf(eds.),HandbookofEconomicGrowth,North2Holland,,,2004ꆰ,InnovationCapabilitiesofEuropeanNationsCross2nationalAnalysesofPatentsandSalesofProductInnovationsꆱ,ResearchPolicy,33,ꆪ,,D.,1996,ꆰTheAccumulationofWealthandtheCyclicalGenerationofNewTechnologies:ASearchTheoreticApproachꆱ,InternationalEconomicReview,37,687ꆪ.,1975,ꆰAModelofInheritedWealthꆱ,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,ꆪ.,,,2001,ꆰEstimatingtheKnowledge2CapitalModeloftheMultinationalEnterpriseꆱ,AmericanEconomicReview,,,ꆪ,2004,ꆰSpilloverEffectsofFDIonInnovationinChina:EvidencefromtheProvincialDataꆱ,ChinaEconomicReview,15,ꆪ,G.,1988,ꆰSources,ProceduresandMicroeconomicEffectsofInnovationꆱ,JournalofEconomicLiterature,,ꆪ,2006,ꆰHowCorruptioninfluencesForeignDirectInvestment:APanelDataStudyꆱ,EconomicDevelopmentandCulturalChange,,(Jan2006),ꆪꢢs,A.,2000,ꆰDoBusinessCyclesCastLongShadows?Short2runPersistenceandEconomicGrowthꆱ,JournalofEconomicGrowth,5,147ꆪ,,H.,2003,ꆰAnimalSpiritsthroughCreativeDestructionꆱ,AmericanEconomicReview93(3):530ꆪ.,MichaelE.,PorterandScottStern,2002,ꆰTheDeterminantsofNationalInnovativeCapacityꆱ,ResearchPolicy,31,ꆪ,,.,1995,ꆰInnovativeActivityovertheBusinessCycleꆱ,EconomicJournal,,ꆪ,k.,1985,ꆰOnthePerformanceofPatentsꆱ,Econometrca,,ꆪ.,1979,ꆰꆱ,SouthernEconomicJournal,,Oct,ꆪ,P.,GeographyandTrade,Leuven,Belgium:,H.,,,1998,ꆰExplainingInternationalandIntertemporalVariationsinIncomeInequalityꆱ,EconomicJournal,108Jan,ꆪ.,ꆰHowEconomistSeeR&Dꆱ,HarvardBusinessReview,,ꆪ.,,1983,ꆰIncomeDistribution,LifetimeSavingsandBequestsꆱ,AmericanEconomicReview,ꆪ.,1990,ꆰEndogenousTechnologicalChangeꆱ,JournalofPoliticalEconomy,,,Oct,ꆪ,N.,1974,ꆰScience,InventionandEconomicGrowthꆱ,EconomicJournal,,ꆪ,G.,1993,ꆰProductivityGrowthandtheStructureoftheBusinessCycleꆱ,EuropeanEconomicReview37,861ꆪ,,U.,2004,ꆰR&DExpenditureinG7CountriesandtheImplicationsforEndogenousFluctuationsandGrowthꆱ,EconomicLetters,82,91ꆪ,R&DExpenditureandNationalInnovationCapacityFanHongzhong(InstituteofEconomics,HuazhongUniversityofScienceandTechnology)Abstract:Fromtheangleofviewofdemandsize,itisfoundthattheincreaseofacountryꆯstotalincome,percapitaincome,andthesizeofimportandexporttrade,promotesitsR&Dexpenditureandnationalinnovationcapacity,,incomedisparityisfoundtobeanimportantdeterminanttoacountryꆯ:EffectiveDemandSize;IncomeDisparity;InnovationCapacityJELClassification:O310,O320,O570(퓰죎뇠벭:췵샻쓈)(킣뛔:쿾ꆡ언)44' 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved.
